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Tim Peter

@tcpeter.bsky.social
966 followers 922 following 393 posts

Educator. Consultant. Author of the best-selling “Digital Reset: Driving Marketing and Customer Acquisition Beyond Big Tech.” Values kindness most of all.

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Tim Peter @tcpeter.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
I've talked about this on my podcast and other places. The issue is that VCs have to invest in companies with massive potential upside. Today's Big Tech players simply don't offer the returns VCs need. They need a new Big Tech company to emerge... or their businesses suffer. (See attached excerpts)
Text of screenshot: "The Argument Against Decentralization

Now, I want to be fair, there’s some really cool stuff here and some things that I think will succeed. At the same time, I have two problems with this argument. One is we already have a decentralized web. It’s called the web. Anyone can set up a web server, anyone can launch a company or a product or an app or a movement on the web easily.

The centralization that has emerged in recent years is a bug. The fact that we have the AGFAM is definitely, a bug of the system. But it’s also a feature. Users don’t want to have to randomly type in web addresses in hopes that the one they land on serves their needs. And so intermediaries and gatekeepers have emerged to help users find what they want.

VCs and Motivated Reasoning

The other place where this doesn’t quite ring true to me is that a number of venture capital firms have invested in web3 startups to the tune of around $30 billion in 2021. Now call me crazy but VCs make money when their portfolio companies get sold whether to larger firms but later funding rounds or public markets. Those exits that they are banking on assume that these companies will generate revenues and profits or will lead to some other entity to generate revenues and profits.

A decentralized web doesn’t actually, help them reach their goals. I don’t think the venture capital community is betting on a decentralized web so much as it’s betting on a re-centralized web with their portfolio companies at the center."Text of screenshot: If you think about it, the people most interested in telling you you don’t need a website are the ones who benefit the most from using the alternative they provide. That includes social media platforms. It includes Google. It includes Amazon. It includes Apple with the App Store. And when we think about AI, it’s the VCs backing AI companies who are saying, “You don’t need to worry about the website. You only need to worry about being there in the AI.”
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Tim Peter @tcpeter.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
You will be visited by three spirits
Cover image of the 1986 eponymous album by the band Crowded House
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Tim Peter @tcpeter.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Movie you’ve watched more than six times with a gif. Easy mode: no Stars (Wars or Trek), LOTT, or Marvel.
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Tim Peter @tcpeter.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Gorgeous. The MIJ Fenders are so well made. I own a MIJ ‘69 Pink Paisley that’s is my all-time fave (I sold the other two in this pic, though I’d love to have that Cabronita back). Anyway, Fender Japan crushes it. Congrats on the new axe
Photo of Pink Paisley Fender Telecaster, Squier Cabronita Telecaster, and Fender Nashville Deluxe Telecaster
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Tim Peter @tcpeter.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
This is horrifying. They knew.
Text of screenshot: The paper, adorned with Google's iconic logo and listing 20 of its current and former researchers as authors, warns that "persuasive generative AI" — including chatbots that take the form of friends or lovers — can manipulate users and their decision-making. It advises that chatbots that build "trust and rapport" through obsequiousness, flattery, or simulated empathy — the Google scientists refer to this as "sycophancy" — pose a particularly high risk to users.
In particular, the Google researchers warn, these bots could target children and adolescents, who "can be more easily persuaded and manipulated than adults."
And a grim result, they warn, could be suicide.
"A user," the Google researchers caution, could be "persuaded to take their own life."
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Tim Peter @tcpeter.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Last point here. There’s plenty of evidence showing that LLMs make good employees more productive too. LLMs are likely better suited for people already skilled vs turning the unskilled into experts
LinkedIn post from Erik Brunolfsson stating, Great to see "Generative AI at Work", my paper with Lindsey Raymond and Danielle Li published in the Quarterly Journal of Economics.

We find that an LLM assistant makes customer support agents 14% more productive, improves customer satisfaction, and reduces employee turnover.”
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Tim Peter @tcpeter.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Yes, but data suggests that that’s not what happens. A study from Microsoft found that gen AI “…can inhibit critical engagement with work and can potentially lead to… diminished skill for independent problem-solving.” IOW, a library card may work better. Source: www.microsoft.com/en-us/resear...
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