Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 26/08/2026For two straight Governor cycles in AZ, Hobbs not debating seems like a pretty smart trap. Her opponents in 22 and 26 both gleefully leap off message and can't talk about anything other than the debate of debates. And voters truly don't care. 130
Reposted by Tony CaniMatt Ortega @mattortega.com · 18/08/2026The people who say tearing down monuments to traitors is erasure of history also deny teaching facts about the Holocaust. 075
Reposted by Tony CaniJason Concepcion @netw3rk.bsky.social · 17/04/2026Hegseth: Our fighting men understand that hardship is part of the warrior ethos. As it says in the bible: "In prison, dinner was always a big thing. St Paul had a wonderful system for doing the garlic. He used a razor and he'd slice it so thing it would liquefy in the pan." 1231312
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 09/04/2026I don't know. This might prove me wrong in some cases. Those logos, I wonder if they worked against them. I soften some on my street signs hate when there is a single issue on a ballot. Here TPUSA may have made the slate appear like one single issue by branding it? 130
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 09/04/2026I don't think they have wake-up calls. I used to always hope they’d wake up. 130
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 09/04/2026They are way more than just an org that does events at college campuses, especially here in Arizona. For years I've been warning about their destructive influence and power, and they now have more money than they ever have before. Guaranteed they will improve their operation after this. 1103
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 09/04/2026I'm loving the much-deserved victory lap clean energy candidates are getting after they crushed TPUSA in SRP water board elections A flag of caution for the rest of us, though. They won because they refused to underestimate TPUSA. So, we can't let their win ease us into a "TUPSA is no threat" trap. 1186
Reposted by Tony CaniChris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 29/03/2026This “lawmakers remain at a stalemate” framing is all over the place and is so bad. While technically accurate, it’s misleading and a disservice to readers. If Senate Rs, Senate Ds, & House Ds agree to something, but House Rs keep that deal from getting to Trump, the framing should reflect that. 162015479
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 07/03/2026Just as an experiment: reply with reasons you’re heard others say Talarico won. It doesn’t have to be a reason you agree with. Just any you’ve seen or heard. I think we are in the midst of the biggest example of empty analysis to confirm priors I’ve seen. But that might be my prior. 320
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 22/02/2026Very unreliable to do it this way but going back and looking at some other players w broken hands, it seems to be a 5-8 week recovery. So that means end of March at best last day of play-in if 8 weeks. 😭 000
Reposted by Tony CaniMike Sacks @mikesacks.bsky.social · 20/02/2026Now that SCOTUS has sided against Trump on tariffs, say it with me: 13471133
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 20/02/2026Also: Maybe we shouldn't use polling to tell us where to be on civil rights & instead use polling to develop a long term plan that moves the public to where they should be on civil rights. That is a major difference between how we use polling and the how the bad guys use polling. Short v long-term. 041
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 20/02/2026Makes MAGA sad when you point out it wasn't a dem poll. Grain of salt w these results since it was around a 500 person sample. Which is a bit small for my taste. 040
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 20/02/2026This poll was paid for by the advocacy arm of the very right-wing Foundation for Govt Accountability. Also showed Dem AG Kris Mayes +9 over Glassman & +7 over Sen Pres Petersen. Some crosstabs and all questions here: excellenceinpolling.com/wp-content/u...excellenceinpolling.com 261
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 13/02/2026A crucial aspect of this story is that Cota got appointed by the far right Maricopa County Superintendent, an elected office that pretty much exists to fill school board vacancies. Choosing guys like Cota to ruin public ed is her whole thing. She’s up for reelection in 28. 030
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 25/01/2026I keep thinking about how I was on a KTAR show a few days after the 24 election and two well known local conservatives (neither super maga) said on the air they weren’t worried about things because the billionaires backing Trump would keep him in check. I gotta find the clip. 3112
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 25/01/2026Pack it up everyone!!! They fixed it all!! democracy for America has an emergency billboard campaign over in Minneapolis!! JUST WAIT UNTIL THOSE FEDS READ THAT BILLBOARD!! Tyranny is stopped in its tracks! 050
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 25/01/2026They’re not trying to convince anyone their BS about Pretti is true. They don’t care what you think. The point is to attack the very idea that facts exist. Guys like Stephen Miller know history. They know the crucial first step toward authoritarianism is destabilizing truth. 151
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 24/01/2026They don’t lie this brazenly to change our minds about what we see with our own eyes. They lie like this so their disinfo network knows exactly what to repeat over and over and over again until Americans give up too exhausted to keep fighting for the truth We can’t give up. 2175
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 08/11/2025media.tenor.coma group of people are running through a field with the words `` your firearms are useless '' written on the bottom .ALT: a group of people are running through a field with the words `` your firearms are useless '' written on the bottom . 011
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 13/09/2025They totally control the GOP out here in AZ and spent nearly $100 mil last cycle around the country. They’ve had organized campaigns against mlk, efforts to end the civil rights act, they applauded employees who assaulted a queer asu professor, and so much more. 280
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 13/09/2025On the topic of TPUSA specifically this has been a massive challenge I’ve been screaming about for years. National reporters treat them like some podcast company that goes to college campuses to own the libs. They think TPUSA and Kirk are same as Ben Shapiro. That is far from the case. 160
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 13/09/2025This may have been true 30 years ago. But it isn’t true today. Your claim only works if we assume that they don’t have their own very active information eco system. Which of course they do. We could ignore them forever and their message would still go out to huge audiences, but now unchallenged. 040
Reposted by Tony Canijamelle @jamellebouie.net · 13/08/2025the thing everyone is going to have to accept is that the post-trump period, whenever it comes, will not and cannot be a project of national unity, it must be a project of partisan project of renewal, in the same way that reconstruction and the new deal were partisan projects of renewal. 214136833248
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 11/08/2025There is an epidemic of Democrats dismissing extremely dangerous and very troubling actions by Trump as “just a distraction.” It really has to stop. 160
Reposted by Tony CaniAZ Attorney General Kris Mayes @azagmayes.bsky.social · 06/08/2025Warren Petersen is using his position as Sen. President to threaten and intimidate Sen. Analise Ortiz for exercising her 1st Amendment rights. That’s not leadership—it’s bullying. I know he’s only been a lawyer for a year and a half but he needs a CLE on the Bill of Rights. 511034
Reposted by Tony Canijamelle @jamellebouie.net · 03/08/2025one of the most obvious lies imaginable (that wasn’t reported as such by our political press corps) 764631949
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 25/07/2025While every GOP elected official in AZ sat by & kissed up to Trump, our AG @krismayes.bsky.social sued his admin to release these illegally blocked funds. This is the “lAWfaRe” they’re coming after her for. www.azcentral.com/story/news/l...azcentral.com'Heartfelt request': Why an Arizona Republican wrote to Trump about withheld school funds"Mr. President, this is ... a heartfelt request to correct policies that are unintentionally harming rural communities," the letter said. 041
Reposted by Tony CaniClaudia Koerner @claudiakoerner.bsky.social · 18/07/2025Discovered I've still got press releases in my inbox about Trump's Sharpie drawings selling at auction, but sure, he doesn't draw pictures www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-... 095
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025Agree. Reporting is often erasing her qualities when talking about why she won by so much. Candidates matter! I mean look at who got 3rd. Proof. 000
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025I’ll push back some on this. There is zero data to argue the presence of Hogg himself could impact an election one way or another. I very seriously doubt more than 15% of even an odd year primary electorate (which includes more high efficacy voters than say a presidential) even know who he is. 100
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025I think lots of lazy reporting is happening for sure. But I’ve also seen a lot of pnline progressives argue that Bernie and the coalition Grijalva built are the establishment. Do you think Hogg is the establishment? (I don’t) He was pushing this message too. 100
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025It’s nuts to me when you all call Grijalva establishment. Ya he was in congress for a long time but dude wasn’t a prolific fundraiser. He constantly bucked leaders. He often would be the lone endorser when all his colleagues went another way. Ie early for Howard Dean first for Bernie Sanders etc 131
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025I don’t think it was because they didn’t like Deja Foxx. I think it is because they really liked Adelita. She has been in public office locally for a long time and has always been a reliable fighter. 130
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025Deja Foxx raised good money, were those digital ads outside the district designed for that? Or was there some other strategic reason? Or just a targeting error by whoever did the buys? I’m not playing dumb here, maybe there was a reason. I want to know. I’ve been confused about this for a few weeks 170
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025Already lots of silly takes about why Deja Foxx TikTok & media hype didn’t translate to votes Well, it kind of did! Just not enough! Getting 20% from 0% in 100 days while the 3rd place guy spent $1 mil is wild! The real question is why did the Foxx campaign advertise so much outside the district?nytimes.comA Scion of Democratic Politics Defeats the Upstarts in an Arizona Primary 1100
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025If Adelita Grijalva stays close to 60% its worth noting that her support grew during the race despite the emergence of an unexpectedly strong 3rd candidate in Deja Foxx who got unlimited earned media late, not to mention Daniel Hernandez spending over $1,000,000. That’s a sign of a good campaign. 390
Tony Cani @tcani.bsky.social · 16/07/2025An evergreen truth in AZ politics is many national orgs don’t understand how elections work here. Out of state pundits didn’t realize the futility of Hogg’s massive but very late investment. By the time Leaders We Deserve started spending in AZ7, probably 65-75% of all votes were already cast. 1110