tautologer @tautologer.com · 21hthis is literally what the majority of the movement has dedicated itself to for most of its existence. like this is its whole focus and raison d'etre 0100
tautologer @tautologer.com · 21hbulverism ^ this is also. like. insane to say about the movement that produced, eg, this document www.givewell.org/impact-estim...givewell.orgHow We Produce Impact EstimatesThis page shares our general approach to creating impact estimates for the programs and funding opportunities we recommend and walks through the decisions and judgment calls behind those estimates. 150
Reposted by tautologerWilliam B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Whatever weird shit might be happening at like the commanding heights of effective altruism (and it does look like there’s weird shit), I do think it’s worth reiterating that the vast majority of folks who prescribe to EA are overall really good people, & the vulgar form of the argument is very true 2040126
Reposted by tautologerGrace @gracekind.net · 29/09/2026Since I’ve done a lot of Yud defending, here are some Yud critiques: - he’s wildly overconfident, especially about things like philosophy of mind - his plan for AI safety is bad - his “pivotal act” rhetoric is dangerous - he’s failed to react to abuse in his community - he has incurable porn brain 1020611
tautologer @tautologer.com · 27/09/2026I think EA and AI safety communities are full of amazing talented people doing important work, including several of my brilliant female friends, on whose behalf I spoke up because I believe that their ability to be in an environment where they can do their best work is important for humanity 1114114
tautologer @tautologer.com · 27/09/2026like the writing isn't the purpose/product like an essay or a memoir, so I don't feel like I got fooled/scammed... I'm not reading it for the writing, I'm reading to hear her side of the story, if that makes sense? 020
tautologer @tautologer.com · 27/09/2026I'm actually pretty okay with it in this case, ngl. this isn't writing qua writing, it's a non-writer writing to address the public, and I think it's reasonable to want to polish it to leave as few attack surfaces as possible 170
Reposted by tautologerGrace @gracekind.net · 27/09/2026I took most of my kicks to the face c. 2022. It hurt but I got better 4843
Reposted by tautologerCameron 🇺🇸🗽🦅 @cameroncorduroy.bsky.social · 27/09/2026talking about water use policy is impossible because "AI data centers use a lot of water to cool the computers" sounds way more believable than "they're draining the Great Salt Lake so the Governor of Utah can sell alfalfa to Saudi Arabia" and yet 8898169
Reposted by tautologerColin @colin-fraser.net · 23/09/2026It only ever wants to do one thing: write a story about the little guy that it's been trained to write a story about. That guy says a bunch of things that look like the kind of things that someone trying to pursue the assigned goal would say. That is distinct from pursuing the goal. 114620
Reposted by tautologerRiver_Tam @rivertam.bsky.social · 23/09/2026It's inaccurate to say vaccines prevent disease. Vaccines are not conscious and thus cannot "prevent" anything. What actually happens is that the human body undergoes a series of biological changes in response to an injection of the vaccine which prevents it from later being hospitable to a virus. 614610
Reposted by tautologerColin @colin-fraser.net · 23/09/2026you don't need to appeal to metaphysics to see what whatever LLMs do is different from human thought. You can just look at the concrete differences in behavior. For example, LLMs are able to solve the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem whereas humans are not. 41329
tautologer @tautologer.com · 23/09/2026but on a behavioral/functional account of understanding, you do need to present a behavior/function/faculty that humans have and LLMs don't, which may still be possible in some domains, but certainly gets harder with every passing month, and I'm pretty sure is impossible in select domains already 100
tautologer @tautologer.com · 23/09/2026the consciousness question is a (famously) Hard Problem, so if you define understanding as requiring consciousness, then the LLMs-don't-truly-understand camp has some room to maneuver there 100
tautologer @tautologer.com · 23/09/2026oh, if we're returning to a behavioral/functional account of understanding, then it seems quite absurd to me to claim that frontier models don't understand things. they're still poor at generalization in some areas, but they certainly do more than simply return correct output in limited situations 210
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026what are the Xiaomi and Anthropic restrictions you're referring to? 230
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026I do think that Will is generally right on a high level though, in that I don't think it's reasonable to argue that thinking and understanding require consciousness. but you're right that this actually requires a slightly more subtle argument than he is currently making 100
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026and if you hold a definition of thinking or understanding that I have consciousness as a prerequisite, then you can say that LLMs don't think or have understanding but also that those things don't require a soul 120
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026it's possible to be a materialist about consciousness, even a functionalist, and yet hold something like substrate dependence, or that internal causal structure matters for consciousness, and therefore conclude that LLMs aren't conscious. so no "soul" (dualism) but no consciousness... 120
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026if the argument is that consciousness is a prerequisite for thinking and understanding, then this seems to boil down to #2... oh wait, actually, I see the gap, and you're right 120
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026I can't help but feel that like many other commenters, you're conflating consciousness and thinking/understanding. I agree that it's possible to have non-computational functionalism which admits views like substrate dependence; but I've only heard these views about consciousness 120
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026yes—exactly—which is why "do the reading" is such an insane thing to say in response to a philosophical claim 350
Reposted by tautologerGrace @gracekind.net · 22/09/2026Help me prove Yud wrong, work on AI safety today! 7413
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026i have a BA in philosophy and I think Will is pretty much right 250
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026unfortunately i am not sure i can say more at the moment without making a situation worse for a good person. but i'm going to do what i can 040
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026i have become aware of some new information and i have some crow to eat 4380
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026he is fighting non-philosophers about philosophy. he keeps begging people to make an actual philosophical argument and i haven't seen anyone do it yet. because they're wrong 170
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026(which is not a counterargument to your skepticism that you CAN put that dog in them ... i'm just gesturing at a reason why we'd expect a LOT of efforts being devoted to proving you wrong) 020
tautologer @tautologer.com · 22/09/2026the more dog a model has the more money it can potentially make therefore the labs will put as much dog in it as they can 140
tautologer @tautologer.com · 21/09/2026that's what i took "doing things that are purely deterministic. A human is going to tell you 2*2=4 every single time" to mean. can you clarify what you meant? 110
Reposted by tautologerJ. C. Cantwell 🌻 @segfaultvicta.aludel.xyz · 20/09/2026whole bunch of people out there spent decades laughing at religious people for god-of-the-gaps discourse and then immediately found a god in the gaps as soon as they needed one 210012
tautologer @tautologer.com · 20/09/2026they're relevant to the claim that human processing/thinking/behavior is deterministic 130
tautologer @tautologer.com · 20/09/2026even if they mishear you? even if they have a concussion? even if they're on LSD? even if they're feeling goofy? even if they don't respect you and want to demonstrate that? even if they're distracted and thought you asked a different question? even if they're half-asleep? 1250
Reposted by tautologerSE Gyges @segyges.bsky.social · 20/09/2026you do have to respect will stancil's utterly dogged determination to teach philosophy of mind 101 to bluesky 4899853
tautologer @tautologer.com · 20/09/2026i am having the time of my life (a very positively valenced subjective experience) at Eleos ConCon. say hi if you see me wandering around today! 3431
tautologer @tautologer.com · 19/09/2026should liability rest with the model trainer or the inference provider? 2170