iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Hundreds of small acts of courage that together shaped the future of a country in democracy. Assuming you live in a Democracy, take the day to celebrate/appreciate/enjoy your freedom in a time where winds from the West remind us that those who go to sleep in democracy might wake up in dictatorship.

000

Or the story of how a woman, Celeste Caeiro, that was going to the market to sell flowers, blood red carnations, and put one in the barrel of a gun, to show that the people did not desire war, and how that set the tone to many others doing it, with the revolution gaining its name.

100

Another story where a single captain Rui Rodrigues, with a very small group of men, secured the airport on his own, by saying that the regime troops had to surrender to him as the regime had fallen (this was not true, not yet at least) and reinforcements were on the way.

100

Salgueiro Maia's nerves of steel, who stood in front of the regime forces, a tank directly pointed at him, and survived the order given twice to shoot him, which the soldiers at the other side refused to obey. A true act of courage that might have represented one of the major blows on the regime.

100

Those guys were truly evil, often sadistic bastards with a free license to do the worst of things to other men, and I suspect they would not go down without a fight, fearing the repercussions of years of torture and selective killings they led. There are endless small stories within the big story.

100

This was an amazing event were a group of low rank officials decided to change the course of history. There were barely any casualties, and those that happened, 6 if I recall correctly, were the consequence of a stand off gone wrong with the political police.

100

Homepage - Comissão Comemorativa 50 Anos 25 Abril

Not been here for a while, I though I would today to commemorate the 25th of April 1974. If don't know what it represents for Portugal, visit the website that was built to commemorate the 50 years of the revolution (which was last year) which includes lots of information about it: 50anos25abril.pt

50anos25abril.pt

Até 2026 celebramos 50x2, 50 anos de liberdade e de democracia.

111

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

O problema do país parecem ser os imigrantes criminosos, com valores de criminalidade residual, e os deputados do chega, onde a proporção de criminosos ronda os 20% www.publico.pt/2025/01/22/p... não os podemos mandar fazer as malas 😝 e enviar para o país deles? Aí, espera... o pais deles é o nosso.

publico.pt

Quase um quinto dos deputados do Chega teve ou tem problemas na Justiça

Pelo menos nove dos 50 deputados eleitos do Chega já tiveram processos na Justiça. Miguel Arruda é o caso mais recente.

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

A cool example of using a model for (multi) species abundances to reconstruct an image (unrelated to species abundances!), by treating the RGB channels as 3 different species. It's remarkable how you can get a good idea about the overall picture just from RGB values on a very small sample of pixels.

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

It is disturbing how a few men are now capable of electing a President in what was once an example of democracy, and worse, that they can silence the "free" press about it without consequences. That seems the theme of the century. No consequences, no accountability open.substack.com/pub/anntelna...

open.substack.com

Why I'm quitting the Washington Post

Democracy can't function without a free press

031

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Great diversity. I might be quite marine mammal biased... I'll go with bowhead whale, Commerson's dolphin, polar bear, narwhal and chimpanzee.

161

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Warning: look away or you might die of cuteness...

040

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 31/12/2024

Happy 2025 to all. A very funny year, numerically speaking. 2025 = 45² = (0 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9)² = (0³ + 1³ + 2³ + 3³ + 4³ + 5³ + 6³ + 7³ + 8³ + 9³)

media.tenor.com

a black background with fireworks and the words happy new year 2025

ALT: a black background with fireworks and the words happy new year 2025

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 30/12/2024

I had never seen one so obvious, but this is a fungi of the genus Phallus. Suitably named I guess 😁

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 26/12/2024

Insightful post from Peter Ellis on the relation between depression levels at the US county level and proportion of Trump voters. Code to gather data + run analysis available. Cool analysis illustrates how logistic regression might severely underestimate precision freerangestats.info/blog/2024/12...

freerangestats.info

Depression incidence by county and vote for Trump

Multi-level modelling with spatial auto-correlation! I look at county level data on incidence of depression in 2020, and voting for Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election, and conclude that there'...

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 23/12/2024

Animal movement workshop alert! A line of speakers difficult to beat with John Fieberg, Marie Auger-Méthé, Brett McClintock & Inês Silva and the location is definitely a place that makes you "move" for it: lovely Madeira. 19-23 May 2025. Just after the ECS in Azores. It's PT islands 2025. See you?

marcfer3.wixsite.com

Animal movement workshop

0115

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 23/12/2024

Usei o meu primeiro block nesta rede, já me bastou o que tive de aturar no Twitter...

100

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Today was the last day of Ecological Modelling classes, I "offered" the students a full day workshop where I would work with them and their final assignment models. Yesterday we had a little get together to celebrate end of term. What a great class. #WorkHardPartyHarder

180

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

I began the public defense with a "conflict of interests" statement: "I am conflicted about being objective given your boyfriend crashed into me 20 mins ago" The student turned red, then purple, then green, finally yellow. Still, she passed 😀 A story to remember forever. A once in a Universe event?

230

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

Near-0 probability event: level unlocked. Today I was the external examiner of an MSc dissertation. Drove to a different uni. A car hit me from behind (really far from the uni!). A few chaotic minutes later... the MSc's student boyfriend was the co-pilot, his cousin the driver. What are the odds??

210

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 17/12/2024

Talking about GAMMs, does anyone happen to know what are the variables decription in the dataset TurnstoneDataV2.txt, from Chapter4 in Zuur's et al. book on GAMMs. Wanted to give it to students as an example dataset to play with, but can't figure out what some variables are (and don't have the book)

000

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 17/12/2024

Today in class will be talking about GAMMs and impossible not to point the students to this great paper about "Hierarchical generalized additive models in ecology: an introduction with mgcv". Open access too at peerj.com/articles/6876/

peerj.com

Hierarchical generalized additive models in ecology: an introduction with mgcv

In this paper, we discuss an extension to two popular approaches to modeling complex structures in ecological data: the generalized additive model (GAM) and the hierarchical model (HGLM). The hierarch...

1103

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

If you're looking for a gentle introduction to fit linear mixed models with R, with lots of examples, data & code available, here's one below. And not just another paper, just realized this one actually cites a Marvel’s comic book: cool-geek level unlocked :) journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

0247

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

His personal account, which he is happy to share, discussing his move from academia to industry, is a really interesting path for some of the students, above and beyond the actual class contents with several modelling examples! Thank you Pedro #academia #industry

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

Today is a pleasure to host at our Modelação Ecológica class my former Biostatistics MSc student now full grown researcher Pedro Nicolau about "Statistical ecology and environmental consultancy", based on his personal experience at biodiversity based company Strix

110

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Congratulations to my former student Pedro Brandão that perservered to get his MSc thesis published after a couple of years of back and forth with journals: "Trends in fish diversity in Portuguese estuaries in the past decades and predictions in face of global changes" doi.org/10.1016/j.ec...

051

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 23/11/2024

The full program, highlighting that I am here with my many hats! SPE, University of St Andrews, CREEM, CEAUL, DBA, FCUL. A mix of institutions and topics, but what I have to share is really a product of that mix between statistics and ecology.

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 23/11/2024

The dream team today at Feira da Matemática at Museu Nacional de História Natural e da Ciência, (yesterday schools and) today helping the general public know how we count wild animals. Thanks Matilde Correia, Miguel Martins and Gabriela Xavier-Quintais, all students of the Biostatistics MSc at FCUL.

150

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

I participated invited to represent the Portuguese Statistical Society, but I brought all my many hats, besides SPE we had University of St Andrews/CREEM, CEAUL and DBA/FCUL on display. It is great to be able to work at different places and interface between different topics, ecology and statistics.

000

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

Also fortunate to be accompanied by two great students of the FCUL/DEIO MSc in Biostatistics, Gabriela Quintais and Miguel Martins, helping with the hands-on activities, a photo ID exercise and a comparison between design based and model based inferences.

100

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

Today I was at Museu Nacional de História Natural e da Ciência, at Feira da Matemática, with an activity about how to count animals. Highschool kids and as usual some climate change, Dunning-Kruger effect, passive acoustics density estimation, ACCURATE cue rates, distance sampling, capture-recapture

230

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

this time I was accompanied by my MSc student Matilde Correia, who was a student at this high school a few years back. It was really nice to see the students experience one of "them" now talking to them as a "scientist". You could see the "maybe I can do it too" spark in some of their eyes...

000

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

Today I was at Escola Secundária Romeu Correia talking to the students about science and the importance of statistics in our lives and how it might be a carreer choice. With quick detours to talk about climate change, the Dunning Krugger effect, critical thinking, estimating animal abundance...

Me talking about a slide with the #showyourstripes Lisbon stripes

100

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Can someone point me to a starter pack on Ecological Statistics, in case there happens to be one?

230

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Thanks so much for this starter pack. Slowly moving to greener pastures and bluer skyes!

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 17/11/2024

Making my first post here in a long time, but as many others more and more disappointed with twitter each day. How's the environment around here? Are there fundamental things to do/not do here? Any pointers greatly appreciated!

470

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 03/10/2023

I got a standing ovation during Ecologia Numérica class @FC_UL ok, details: an Asian wasp got in the classroom, I managed to get it out of the room with the help of a student's jacket, after 5 minutes of mayhem. In a few years I'll forget details, I'll just remember t ovation 🤣we

030

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 26/09/2023

Just found out about this shinny app to do word clouds from your Google scholar profile. Can you guess what I work on :) do yours here shiny.rcg.sfu.ca/u/rdmorin/sc...

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 24/09/2023

Would love to know more about depression epigenetics, as someone who's been in the last 15 years non- for 3 times with burnout/depression, each acute episode separated by about 6 years #MentalHealth

000

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 23/09/2023

Calling bulshit 🤣 It's utterly ridiculous to think that authoring 27 out of 28 papers in a volume is adequate, sensible or serious. That someone else might apparently support it just begs questions. Others have skin in the game?

Tiago A. Marques @talom.bsky.social · 22/09/2023

Fantastic. Sounds like a great set of ground rules. Many thanks Dani!