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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

So, the Race for AI is getting ready to blow a collective multi-trillion dollar hole in the balance sheets of the AI companies over the next five years, unless they can find a magical revenue fairy. These are big companies, but "multi-trillion" seems like it would be a problem.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

The right-hand side of the chart is hovering near the line that represents zero crossings. The color-fill of the chart is somewhat misleading since it is needlessly filling in the space below that 0-line, which wouldn't actually correspond to anything.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 11/06/2026

Whoa, whoa, whoa! Who said anything about writing anything down? I’m sure it’s less of a memo and more of an understanding, so when Trump wants to lie about what’s in it, no one can prove otherwise.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 07/06/2026

Did you ever stop and think about how many classified documents there would be in the government? He clearly needed more ... places ... to put them all.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 25/05/2026

Indigo Girls Reverend Horton Heat Ani Difranco Bettie Serveert Suzanne Vega Nine Inch Nails Neko Case Rodrigo y Gabriela Lake Street Dive Johnny Cash

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

I wouldn't immediately grasp the import of the phrase "Ambient Listening Documentation Consent." It just feels like a jumble of words to me. Better would be "Consent for AI-produced documentation via always-on microphones" or something similarly clear.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

It happened 6 years ago in Finland: a private therapy company got hacked, and patient records (incl. therapy notes) were stolen. When the company wouldn't pay the ransom, the hackers turned to blackmailing each patient individually. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vastaam...

en.wikipedia.org

Vastaamo data breach - Wikipedia

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

There has been some "demand destruction": some countries accelerating their transition to renewables. But these would have already been in the works. From a standing start, I can't imagine much can be done in just weeks or months. So, it's anyone's guess how bad this gets. 3/3

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

Iran's biggest leverage in the war is to keep a lid on the Strait, so that will continue until the war is resolved. The resulting oil prices depend on how quickly buyers step away as the price rises ("elasticity of demand"). Oil is integral to most economies, so I expect less elasticity. 2/3

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

My 2 cents: Trump can't ever "lose": he's still inventing phantoms to explain away his 2020 election loss. Iran won't let him walk with a fictional "win" here: they want reparations and/or perpetual payments for transits of the Strait. So, the war won't end any time soon. 1/2

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 05/04/2026

Heard "Murder on the Dancefloor" by Sophie Ellis-Bextor playing in a shop in Amsterdam. My travel book mentioned the Pop Music Institute there. So I went and asked. They were like, "That's not really what we do here, but here's a list of the current top of the pops," and there it was.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 05/04/2026

We’re all just waiting for the day when the AI companies raise their prices to try to recover their costs (data center build-outs, ongoing operations) and make some profit. It will make a lot of AI usage untenable. With fewer customers, they raise prices more … the death spiral of the AI industry.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

It’s called the Anti-Deficiency Act. Spending federal money in ways not authorized by Congress is illegal.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 21/03/2026

National debt is “only” up ~2.5 trillion since Trump 2 started. The “doubled since…” dates back to whenever it was Trump boasted that _he_ would be the one to pay down the debt, probably 2015 or 2016.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

The Ukrainians have been smart. I would not be surprised if they consider the burgeoning oil sale windfall for Russia as a strategic priority. So, expect more drones to hit Russian shadow tankers, wherever they might be. You can't get paid if you can't deliver.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

We grow “raspberry shortcake” variety, in KY. These are thornless, dwarf bushes that grow well in a raised bed and self-propagate within the bed. The berries have a complex flavor, sweet but not overly so. We pick ‘em in June.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 23/02/2026

Yes, the prices are so high that it is hard to afford the whistles and gas masks Americans need in their everyday lives.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

Just... well... you might want to spell Epstein correctly. Carry on.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

There's grim, and then there's GRIMM.™️

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

Wait… he is saying it’s BAD to threaten to ambush families going to school or to church? I feel like ICE needs to hear this.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

Yeah, I also started to read it and quit when I hit that line of absolute BS. It's like I used to do with Washington Journal on C-SPAN: I'm happy to hear what any guest has to say, up until they try to tell me something I _know_ is a lie. Then, it's the mute button until the next guest.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

Alternatively, he's been frequently shaking his left hand with his right hand to congratulate himself on the many awards he is receiving. So many awards, very much bruising.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

The people in this video did not open the door. The ICE agents used a battering ram to bust it open. There is another video, shot from outside the home, that shows it happening.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 09/01/2026

+/-136k is the error bar. So, starting from the reported value (50k), we expect this value (after future revisions) will end up somewhere between -86k and +186k. Pretty anemic, though, even at the high end.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 08/01/2026

I'm not aware of what most of these organizations do, but I see that the list of what we're leaving includes the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC reports are the gold-standard compendiums of our knowledge of climate change.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 31/12/2025

MAGA merch. But I’d produce the stuff using cheap, toxic dyes. I almost get away with it, too - the cancers wouldn’t show up for years. But Trump got one of my hats, and the red dye mixed with his toupee glue with disastrous effect, and suddenly everyone got _really_ interested in me.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 14/12/2025

After the middlemen are gone, the scale of the government could be put towards containing the costs of care and drugs. Admittedly, there is a trade-off between containing costs and maintaining a proper supply of doctors, nurses, and drugs, but it's a balance that can be found over time.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 14/12/2025

The only way I know of that costs can actually be reduced (instead of shifted around) is to remove layers of middlemen and the profits they extract, and the government would need to perform any necessary functions in their place. So, basically, Medicare For All or some such.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 14/12/2025

If you read enough econ/finance stuff, you realize that there isn't "one weird trick" to make it all cheaper. You can shift the costs around, but they're still there. If a $65 membership to Costco gave super-cheap insurance, high-risk people would flock there, leading to high-cost insurance.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 02/12/2025

I can’t get past the ghoulish choice by the show producer. This is a mass murder, being casually played on a loop while talking with a guest. Just every shade of wrong. This isn’t the first time, either. There is something broken in these people.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

Oh, I know: we use an AI agent to poll multiple LLMs and report a consensus summary. Kinda like Mr. Burns from The Simpsons, there are so many points of failure that they all just manage to cancel each other out. Foolproof! The innovations will continue until morale improves.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

Does it count as fact-checking if you just ask the LLM the same question a second time and see if it gives the same answer? Or even just a follow-up prompt of “Are you sure?” ‘Cause, then, you get a source AND a fact-check AND never leave the tool. Perfection!

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

A third option - impeachment and removal of Hegseth by Congress - is also in play. In fact, it might be the likeliest result; the Republican Party in Congress is fracturing over how much to still support the Trump crew’s actions, as they consider the catastrophic electoral impacts inbound.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 16/11/2025

It's the "But I Really Wanna!" loophole. My kids know it well.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 16/11/2025

My high school physics teacher told me the curve was because of the warping of spacetime around a singularity at its core. Dude never knew what he was talking about.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

For the uninitiated, "FFT" probably refers to the Fast Fourier Transform, a math/programming tool that must have captured his imagination for some reason.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 06/11/2025

So weird, because Lutnick’s sons have been betting REALLY BIG that the tariffs will be struck down. Truly, a mystery wrapped in an enigma. talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/lutni...

talkingpointsmemo.com

Lutnick Family Angling To Make Astronomical Sums Off Court Nixing Tariffs

This is not new. But I at least hadn’t heard any of...

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 04/11/2025

I can’t help thinking, “Man, that HOA doesn’t mess around!”

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 27/10/2025

"Lead from the hose" was the modern way. I still have fond memories of the delicious lead from the hand-powered water pump in the front yard of my grandparents' house. Progress is not always progress.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 20/10/2025

Someone's been reading ahead in the script...

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 18/10/2025

All three of these were new to me, but that song by Thursday has the same feel as Rainer Maria's "Catastrophe Keeps Us Together" album, which I have loved front-to-back for a long time.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 18/10/2025

The only bit of solace is that the chances are really high that George will crime again, get caught again, and end up in prison again.

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surrealization.bsky.social @surrealization.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

Bingo. And his go-to response is to try to hide the data (as we saw with Covid in 2020 and BLS this year). This is also a trial balloon for the concept in general. I'm sure he'd love to push back financial reporting beyond the midterms, if people let him.

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