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Hunter

@statisticurban.bsky.social
4.7K followers 2K following 541 posts

Data scientist │ MS in CS, stats, biochemistry │ Current Econ MS student │ 🇺🇸🇩🇪🇬🇧 Policy-centered tweets about tech, bio, urbanism, economics, & politics

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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Georgia Republicans are falling off an electoral cliff... If it keeps up, Georgia won't be a swing state for all that long. It'll look more like Virginia and Colorado than Wisconsin.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
This might be as close as you can get to the story of American summarized in one photo.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Markets expect inflation to run at ~5.3% over the next year. I wonder what a Trump midterm at 5% inflation, a weakening labor market, and war in the Middle East looks like.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
🔴US gas prices hit a 3yr high today.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
The attacks on Ras Laffan and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz leave the US as very nearly the world's sole helium supplier. Helium is crucial in a huge range of products, including semiconductor manufacturing, welding, fiber optic production, and MRI machines.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Oil futures are up 22.3% in the first 10 minutes of futures trading today and have exceeded $110/barrel
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
The American West is having its warmest winter in recorded history
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
According to new BLS data released this morning, in the entirety of 2025, *just 181,000 new jobs* were added in the US. Compare that to 2024’s average of 168,000 per month. Objectively, the Trump administration has been vastly worse than the Biden administration for job creation.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
I knew woke would return when the gay hockey show randomly became a megahit.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Do you feel it?
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
The Senate is losing its distinctiveness. People like Bernie, Jon Tester, Elizabeth Warren, Murkowski, Manchin - they fit their states perfectly. But new arrivals like McCormick and Ashley Moody are essentially just “generic Republican number 5.”
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
This is bad
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Per Politico, the United States Secretary of the Treasury allegedly threatened to punch another official in the face on Wednesday. We're being governed by manchildren.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Here's a fun graph of the US population by region since 1900. You can really see the decline of the Northeast and Midwest and rise of the West and the South.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Here's a map of the housing shortage by state, in absolute terms. Democrats just aren't building enough in their states. Especially CA.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Per a new Financial Times article from today: vast parts of the US aren't looking great economically. Many states, including large ones like IL, WA, NJ, GA, and VA, could be in recession. However, the "big 4" (NY, TX, FL, CA) are holding on.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Per the FT, manufacturing is in the worst economic position of any sector of the economy atm. The US has lost 78,000 manufacturing jobs so far in 2025. Those tariffs sure are working great.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Minnesota feels like someone picked up an East Coast state and just dropped it in the middle of the upper Midwest. Similarly, Colorado feels like a West Coast state dropped in the Rockies.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Georgia's flag is not okay tbh. Literally the first official flag of the Confederacy with the state seal in the middle of the stars.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Here's a map of the housing shortage by state. You'll see the South and Midwest generally do better, while the West and Northeast are struggling. And California is... well, it's California.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Americans aren't choosing to move to, or stay in, blue states. Only 5 states both voted for Kamala Harris and attract more Americans than they lose. Four of them, DE, NH, VT, and ME, are very small states. 21 Trump-voting states have positive domestic migration. Democrats must build housing.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
Since 2000, average rent has increased by 139.4% compared to 112.3% for median full-time wages, meaning the growth in rents has outpaced wage growth by roughly 24.1%
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
Nightmare. Five alarm fire. Trump just fired Lisa Cook, a member of the Fed Board of Governors. Trump can only remove her "for cause," i.e. gross negligence or malfeasance. So he charged her with mortgage fraud. Remember this man is guilty of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 23/08/2025
It feels wrong to me that Wisconsin is more populated than Minnesota. The Twin Cities are so much bigger than anything in WI. All the mid-size towns and deceptively populous rural areas in WI throw me off.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 23/08/2025
MAGA seems to think that wages will magically go up if you deport people. But immigration generally slightly raises wages of native workers, or has little impact. And by deporting people, you shrink the entire economy. One less worker, one less consumer, one less taxpayer.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 23/08/2025
The only two people, at present, I'd be willing to say I think have a >10% shot at the Dem nomination in 2028 are AOC and Newsom.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 23/08/2025
If conservatives wanted to preserve Cracker Barrel in amber, might I suggest they should have prevented its past three years of quarterly growth from looking like this? Perhaps by eating there?
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 23/08/2025
Each colour is roughly 1/3rd of the US population.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
The AI is not going to be shut off. Stop deluding yourselves, engage with the world as it is.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
Democrats haven’t won a statewide election in Texas since 1994. Republicans haven’t won a statewide election in New York since 2002. These are the longest same-party streaks in any state for each side. It’ll be interesting to see which one breaks first.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
Is your state building housing? Here’s how many housing units were permitted per 1,000 residents in 2024. You’ll notice that many red states are booming, but only four blue states - Washington, Maine, Colorado, and Delaware - are above the nationwide median.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
The number of young men who report having had sex with another man has more than doubled since 1990. Who knows if more men are actually having sex with men, or if they're just more willing to be forthright on a survey, or both, but either way, it's something.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
Do you remember the famed "rising male virginity" headline from WaPo in 2018? It's gone now
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Thanks Trump. I always secretly yearned for you to stab the US economy in the back for no reason.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
South Carolina is sneakily heavily gerrymandered. It's very easy to draw a compact 4R-3D map, which also reflects the state's partisan makeup very well. But it's 6R-1D in reality, and the GOP has to let that seat exist because of the VRA.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Sometimes looking at possible maps in states where Dems gave up redistricting power is painful.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
In the US, coal is having whatever the opposite of a moment is. In its flop era.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
911 didn't reach coverage of 50% of Americans until 1987 lol. It covered 26% in 1979. It wasn't nationally mandated until 1999. So many facets of what I consider modernity are still so new.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
There are only 12 countries on Earth that have a population of 25 million or more and a GDP per capita (at PPP) of >$50,000. Getting rich is hard. Aside from Western Europe and its offshoots, the only others to make the list are Japan, South Korea, Poland, and KSA (who cheated)
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Are gay/bi/MSM men less likely to serve in the US military? This survey of 2.3M American men found no statistical difference between the groups. They serve at equal rates. Data is from 2002-2013, a higher proportion of men identify as gay/bi now (about 6.5%, an ~50% increase)
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 26/07/2025
You can make a 20D-18R Texas using 2024 data even though Democrats lost the state by 14pts. You can also make a 32R-6D map using the same data. Gerrymandering is stupid powerful.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Thatcher came to power and the British immediately started to lose faith in God
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
Here's a popular narrative more or less debunked by new evidence: does lead explain the huge surge in crime in the 80s and 90s? No, not mostly. It's certainly part of it, but the effects are relatively modest.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
The solution is clear: to save the birthrate, we must stop men from going to school
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
If you try to create a liberal or neutral LLM, it becomes a wine mom resist lib. If you try to create a conservative bot, it starts calling itself MechaHitler. Much to be gleaned here.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
- Elon aligns AI to his liking - Instantly starts calling itself "MechaHitler”
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
Well, the bill may result in 17M losing health insurance, explode borrowing costs, increase the deficit, hurt student borrowers, make energy more expensive, and cut SNAP for millions, but at least it grows the economy right? No. It has a negative effect on GDP!
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
Wow, Zohran *actually* supercharged youth turnout. Didn't think this was possible tbh.
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Hunter @statisticurban.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
If you just stop after Season 6 and pretend the series ends on the bold cliffhanger of Daenerys finally sailing to Westeros with her army and dragons as winter looms, Game of Thrones remains one of the best shows ever made tbh
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