startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Oh that is extremely fair. Dems should be investing hard in nearly every state this cycle. 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Florida is just in no ones interest to spend in 100
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Im confused by what the issue group numbers mean- do you follow it? 100
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I am not sure i follow that seems entirely reasonable as a collective action? 120
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I susprct these polls may be a bit rosy but wow 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Shouldn't we be starting to see effects of spending differential around now? 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The rest would basically come from either persuasion or changes in eday makeup then rifht? 010
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Its the is/ought fallacy in an extreme form! 020
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 27/09/202620 just seems implausible but it would be relevant for the rumors figures and Soto are up 110
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 26/09/2026VA 02 and 03 are always low early. They do more eday and black voters do souls to the polls 010
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Isnt the whole story that low turnout rs dont show up in ak in midterms? 110
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 23/09/2026VA 01 seems very surprisingly low overall. Is mail not in there as much? I'd expect va 01 to be extremely high in general 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 23/09/2026You have invited a war over the geography of MD i do not think you intended 1100
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 23/09/2026I actually wonder on that because it isn't Trump losing so he may just not care 020
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Theres maybe some reason to think it hurts Rs by reinforcing that whole idea that Rs are just bsing about helping anyone 110
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Well it matters for the Republican response. If the base believes it they won't turn on trump 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Tbf election data before the count is realllly messy 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 22/09/2026The real sleeper is NJ EV which seems more predictive than polls in 25 010
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 22/09/2026I am not sure i agree? Both parties are spending in NH and MI and even MN. GA and NC seem gone but besides that the field seems to extend from like...MN to NE 260
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 22/09/2026I think it is bad as it makes $$$ more consequential but good as it limits certain malevolent entryism 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 22/09/2026I find somewhat negative funnier. "Well overall more bad than good but its close" 030
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Eh I think that's actually trivial. Latinos snap hard Dem but Appalachian whites flip harder right 020
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 21/09/2026This is true! Rs do still have an edge on ad time aired in most races but not at the same lopsidedness 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I tend to agree but I wouldn't be positive 000
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I agree committee's were spending before but they werent swamping dems 3-1 or worse 200
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 21/09/2026The massive musk/trump money deluge started a few weeks ago 100
startria.bsky.social @startria.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Possible they waited too long though and the economic malaise is entirely too baked in 020
