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Dobby Does Doom

@sonofscience.bsky.social
1.5K followers 790 following 1.7K posts

Discussing responses to climate change and the collapse of global industrial civilisation due to ecological overshoot. Doomer. Permaculture designer. adriandobby.substack.com

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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
When you want to make an AI video of a unicorn eating ice cream with Peppa Pig but the noise of the cooling system from the Microsoft data centre next door is keeping you awake at night. #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
My favourite..
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
Humans run their own Red Queen race through technology: agriculture, fossil fuels, fertilisers, antibiotics. Each innovation keeps us moving, but never gets us anywhere. The trouble is, our race isn’t just with other species, but with the living systems we depend on. 2/4
RANDOMNESS/BAD LUCK: Statistical analysis on empires suggests that collapse is random and independent of age. Evolutionary biologist and data scientist Indre Zliobaite and her colleagues have observed a similar pattern in the evolutionary record of species. A common explanation of this apparent randomness is the “Red Queen Effect”: if species are constantly fighting for survival in a changing environment with numerous competitors, extinction is a consistent possibility. Luke Kemp BBC
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
The Red Queen tells Alice she must run as fast as she can just to stay in the same place. Biologists use the Red Queen hypothesis to describe co-evolution: predator and prey, parasite and host, locked in a race where standing still means falling behind - and more rapid extinction. 1/4 #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 30/08/2025
Better?
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 30/08/2025
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
Are we in ecological overshoot? Yes. Can civilisation be made sustainable on its resource base? No. Can we support biodiversity on the way down? Locally, yes. Will this be the first civilisation not to collapse? No. #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 17/08/2025
Legendary collapsologist Sid Smith once said: “Civilisations are a particular type of thing. And like all particular types of things, they have all the defects of their qualities.” This is a really important observation, that I think about often. Let me explain why. 1/6 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Cities cover 2% of Earth yet produce 70% of emissions. Like human feedlots, they pull in food, water, and energy to sustain vast numbers. Fossil fuels have driven population growth, leaving just 4% of mammal biomass in the wild. Without the inflow, cities would empty in days #collapse #overshoot
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
Collapse is not coming - it’s already here. Four systems (climate, energy, food, and economy) are breaking down together, each amplifying the weaknesses of the others. This is not a prediction - the #collapse of these systems is well underway, and already changing our lives. 1/10 #overshoot
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
We grow up thinking of ourselves as individuals, with jobs, opinions, and plans. Inside all of us is something older. We are animals, shaped by wind and soil, attuned to weather, and to the sound of birds. Our ecological identity is something we would do well to remember in a time of #collapse 1/5
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
I fed a few birds at the train station this morning, and a guard told me off! I said, 'It’s their planet too.' He remained unmoved. Industrial systems don’t know what to do with care that isn’t transactional - even a small gesture toward the more-than-human can feel like dissent. #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Supply chains increasingly falter, States fracture, and systems fail. This process is uneven, yet accelerating - drought‑induced migration, conflict over resources, infrastructure breakdown, and heat‑driven social stress are multiplying. 8/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Climate chaos raises the energy cost of everything - food, water, cooling, rebuilding - just as our available high‑EROI energy base narrows. Systems face rising demand and falling returns simultaneously. The narrowing energy ceiling meets the rising ecological floor. 7/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
We’re now seeing annual climate shocks: crop failures, infrastructure collapse, and heat‑driven migration and conflict. Arctic regions have shifted from carbon sinks to net carbon sources; global surface temperature averaged 1.6 °C above pre‑industrial in 2024, breaking the 1.5 °C threshold. 6/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Industrial civilisation isn’t collapsing from a single cause. It’s collapsing from a confluence of two forces - energy decline and climate change. Together, they form a feedback loop that industrial civilisation cannot survive - it is a simple matter of physics. 1/10 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
What we’re witnessing isn’t random. It’s the logic of overshoot resolving itself - through the collapse of ecological integrity and civilisational complexity. We can’t fix it, but we can decide how to live inside it - with clarity, attention, and integrity. 10/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
These aren’t isolated crises, they’re symptoms of ecological overshoot - a global condition where human demand exceeds the planet’s capacity to regenerate. What looks like chaos is actually correction - industrial civilisation, and the biosphere, are shedding complexity to regain balance. 9/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Collapse isn’t coming. It’s already unfolding - and we’re nearing inflection points that will reshape how we live. These 7 mainstream news stories aren’t flukes or isolated failures. They’re system-level signals of a civilisation deep in ecological overshoot. 1/10 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 27/07/2025
Collapse isn’t just a systems event. For humans living in biophysical reality, collapse is an onto-evolutionary process - one that reshapes how we perceive, relate, and exist. This thread is about collapse as ontological transmutation - a shift in human form. 1/10 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
There are two realities. One is human constructed and built from stories. The other is biophysical and built from physics. This thread is about where they no longer align, and what that mismatch reveals about our future 1/10 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
Collapse-aware folk often talk about emissions, feedback loops, and biodiversity loss, but thermal equilibrium is the core mechanic behind why collapse is inevitable. The damage is baked in, not just ongoing. This is committed warming. 6/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
Thermal equilibrium is coming, and it doesn't care what we do now. We focus on current emissions, but the Earth system is still catching up with what we did decades ago. This is the brutal reality of thermal inertia, and why thermal equilibrium is the real #collapse trigger few are ready for. 1/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
Rewatching Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles in 2025, collapse-aware, it does not feel like sci-fi. It's prophetic, a quiet meditation on resistance, systems, and what it means to stay human when the machine has already won. If you haven't seen it, give it a punt. #extinction
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
Not your strongest argument bro. You're wasting your life on activism - engaging with the system on its own terms is futile. You need a brand new paradigm - doom.
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
...and we've accelerated it, genius 🤯
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
This is in no way about individual blame. I'm recognising that in late-stage capitalist systems, pathology becomes profitable (just look at the USA). The treatment is never to change the system. It’s to adapt the body to the system’s demands. 5/6
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
Drugs like Mounjaro and Ozempic are one of the clearest signals that modern human civilisation is on its way out. A culture that needs widespread pharmaceutical appetite suppression to maintain normality is not healthy - it’s collapsing in real time. 1/6 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 05/07/2025
Many beliefs that underpin what we call 'reality' (growth, markets, progress) are social constructions. These stories are reinforced through culture, habit, language, and institutions until they feel inevitable. A thread exploring socially constructed, and biophysical reality, and #collapse. 1/12
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
One of the most dangerous patterns in late-stage civilisation is that the people with the most power genuinely believe they are the solution. Not the problem, not a symptom - the solution. This is one way collapse accelerates unnoticed. A thread 1/6 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
I can now prove with 100% certainty that humanity will go extinct this century. It’s not a provocative claim - I’ve crunched the numbers and drawn a conclusion from converging data using a systems-based risk aggregation approach based on my work as an epidemiologist. Here’s the evidence. 1/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
Recently, I've found myself engaging with the world around me again - not with modernity itself, but with the people still scurrying around inside it. Still collapse-aware, but re-oriented and more empathic I think. 1/4 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
We're in a liminal space; suspended between the world we knew and the one that’s coming, masked by the illusions of continuity - even as the feedbacks of ecological overshoot are ramping up in the background. 1/5 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
Though harder to find a simple 3‑year metric, persistent CO₂ increases and ice loss imply strong planetary energy imbalance. Verdict: Heating locked in. 8/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
I’ve been a committed doomer for three years, and the world hasn’t ended - yet. Was I wrong, or just early? Will global industrial civilisation transcend limits and morph into Star Trek? Or are we still quietly circling the drain? Let’s look at the last 3 years. A thread 1/10 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
If justice means everyone finally getting what they deserve, then extinction is the most just thing left! No billionaires in bunkers, no tech saviours, no chosen ones - just atmosphere, biosphere, thermodynamics, and the blank stares of the damned. #JustExtinction #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
After taking some time out, I've been wondering - do I doomscroll to drown out the siren song of modernity? I often feel it calling me back into its embrace, promising comfort, normality, and numbness. But I can't forget what it cost. #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
This is because our entire global system - urban infrastructure, industrial farming, global supply chains - is thermodynamically costly. Global industrial civilisation requires vast amounts of energy to build, maintain, and grow. No amount of fairness makes it sustainable. 5/9
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
Inequality does skew consumption. Yes, a rich minority uses more, but even if we redistributed all wealth equally, the total energy draw of 8.2 billion humans living even modest modern lives still exceeds planetary limits. Overshoot would persist. 4/9
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
In human systems, overshoot is primarily driven by total energy and material throughput. What matters is how much is extracted, processed, consumed, and dumped, regardless of who is doing it. The biosphere doesn’t care whether the emissions come from rich or poor. 3/9
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
Overshoot happens when a species exceeds the carrying capacity of its environment - consuming resources faster than they can be regenerated, and producing waste faster than it can be absorbed. It's a physical process, not an ethical one. 2/9
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
I'd like to analyse a popular belief that says that inequality is the main driver of environmental collapse. Could this be true? Let’s test the idea through the lens of thermodynamics. A thread 1/9 #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
I acknowledge that I'm not a black hat #doomer - I talk about responses in the short and medium term - but I do admire those guys. They make me think of Rorschach from Watchmen. #overshoot #collapse
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Prof, I admire and respect you - but we're stuffed, and deserve to be so.
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Human overpopulation through exploitation of fossil energy and ecosystem services (aka ecological overshoot) is killing off life on Earth. #collapse #overshoot
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
I’ve been thinking a lot about the overlap between neurodivergence and collapse awareness. Many collapse-aware people I connect with show traits linked to autism or other forms of divergence. Does neurodivergence make #collapse easier to see? Does it shape how we experience it? A thread 1/10
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Dobby Does Doom @sonofscience.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
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