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Adam Simpson

@simpsonaj.bsky.social
254 followers 226 following 60 posts

Academic with an interest in authoritarian regimes, democratisation, conflict, genocide and environmental politics particularly in Myanmar, Thailand and the Russia-Ukraine conflict

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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My article on the Greens policy on Ukraine in Age/SMH: Simpson said: “The Greens oppose Russia’s invasion & support sanctions, but on the defining geopolitical question of this decade–arming a democracy under attack by an authoritarian aggressor–they have squibbed it” www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
smh.com.au
‘Shameful, repugnant’: Greens under fire over opposition to Ukraine military aid
Australia would be handing Vladimir Putin a gift by cutting off military aid to Ukraine, both major parties and the Ukrainian diaspora say.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
My latest for @lowyinstitute.bsky.social on the Greens policy on #Ukraine: ‘Nonviolence only works when the antagonist has respect for human life, a characteristic that neither Myanmar’s generals nor the Kremlin have exhibited. Against such regimes, slotting flowers into gun barrels does not work.’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
My latest for @lowyinstitute.bsky.social on Myanmar’s increasingly close relationship with Russia - both militarily and strategically: ‘For Myanmar, this is not preparation for a war between states. It is counter-insurgency training for a military that bombs its own population.’
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Reposted by Adam Simpson
The Lowy Institute @lowyinstitute.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Myanmar’s junta finds a second patron in Moscow | Adam Simpson
lowyinstitute.org
Myanmar’s junta finds a second patron in Moscow
Russia is now Naypyidaw’s business partner as well as its arms dealer.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
My latest in Australian Outlook: ‘While Russia maintains strong structural advantages, events suggest that it is struggling to impose its will on the battlefield in Ukraine & Europe is becoming more adept at containing evolving Russian hybrid threats.’ www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianou...
internationalaffairs.org.au
Armenia's Election Deals Another Blow to Putin as EU Accession Talks Begin for Ukraine and Moldova - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Earlier this month the pro-EU Prime Minister Nikol ⁠Pashinyan and his Civil Contract party won a landslide election victory in Armenia. The result was a significant setback for Vladimir Putin [...]
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
I was interviewed by The Straits Times on MAH’s visit to Beijing: “[China] are willing to throw in their lot with the military junta ... However, they also recognise that powerful ethnic opposition groups are unlikely to be removed from their core regions.” www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-as...
straitstimes.com
Political recognition is top prize for Myanmar leader’s China visit
Myanmar's former junta chief Min Aung Hlaing gains crucial political validation from China's President Xi Jinping. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
I was interviewed by the Guardian for this article on another far right group trying to foment US-style abortion dynamics in Australia: Dr Adam Simpson says cost-of-living pressures since Covid have driven people to unite on a range of grievances … www.theguardian.com/world/2026/j...
theguardian.com
A shadowy overseas group is trying to influence Australian abortion policy. Who are CitizenGo and what do they want?
CitizenGo is hitching its wagon to Joanna Howe’s crusade, and the former Nationals MP George Christensen is on board
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
I was interviewed by South China Morning Post for this great article on China’s Myitsone Dam in Myanmar. Great in-depth coverage on Myanmar by SCMP yet again: “The dam construction site would provide an ideal target for asymmetric attacks and drone strikes.” www.scmp.com/week-asia/po...
scmp.com
Myanmar’s China-backed mega dam revival risks Kachin rebel backlash
Restarting the shelved US$3.6 billion Myitsone Dam project could ultimately come down to Beijing’s ‘risk tolerance’.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
‘… exactly what Putin is holding out for.’ My latest in The Conversation on right wing populism in France, Germany and Europe theconversation.com/the-far-righ...
theconversation.com
The far right is surging in France, Germany and parts of Europe. What will this mean for Ukraine?
There are long-term questions regarding support for Ukraine if far-right populists win more power in the EU’s most powerful states.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
South Australian election and predictable patterns: ‘Education levels were the strongest single predictor of where the One Nation surge was largest.’ open.substack.com/pub/redbridg...
open.substack.com
The Party That Finished Fourth
Displaced, Not Defeated: What the SA Result Really Means for the Liberal Party
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Our latest article in @eastasiaforum.bsky.social on the #ICJ #Rohingya #genocide case ‘The case has clarified that all state parties share an obligation to enforce the Genocide Convention, expanded opportunities for rights-based legal action and strengthened the Court’s use of provisional measures’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
New Open Access article in @environmentalpol.bsky.social with my fantastic collaborators Tom Kean and Susan Park looking at Myanmar’s environment movement over the last quarter of a century through the prism of assemblages doi.org/10.1080/0964...
doi.org
Environmental activism and authoritarianism in Myanmar: interrogating assemblages across three political epochs
After a decade of semi-democracy, the 2021 coup returned much of Myanmar to military rule. This development provides an opportunity to understand the (re-)configuration of environmental activism as...
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
New Open Access article in @environmentalpol.bsky.social with my fantastic collaborators Tom Kean and Susan Park looking at Myanmar’s environment movement over the last quarter of a century through the prism of assemblages
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
My new article on the disappointing Thai election results: ‘In a small silver lining for progressive forces, a referendum on amending the constitution passed easily. But Anutin and the conservatives are now in control of the drafting and approval process, which they could draw out for years.’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
My article on Takaichi’s election win in Japan: ‘voters will now expect to see a return on their investment … Improving living standards in a country with a rapidly shrinking workforce and ageing population without mass immigration will test her political skills much more than winning an election.’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Our new article on the fifth anniversary of the Myanmar coup
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
My latest in the Conversation with Nich Farrelly on the 5th anniversary of the coup in Myanmar. Elections just held are ‘devoid of meaningful democratic practice. They will entrench the junta … and … major powers will further normalise relations’ theconversation.com/5-years-on-f...
theconversation.com
5 years on from the junta’s coup, Myanmar’s flawed elections can’t unite a country at risk of breaking apart
Far from being free and fair, the elections lack any meaningful resemblance to democratic practice.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
I was interviewed for this great long-form article in the Age/SMH on new Japanese PM: ‘The sight of a woman leading a government for the first time offers some hope for younger women that they may be able to make an impact in Japanese politics, and Japanese society’ www.smh.com.au/world/asia/b...
smh.com.au
Born to be a little wild: Who is Japan’s first female PM?
She plays drums for fun, barely sleeps – and is popular right now. What challenges does Sanae Takaichi face in the top job?
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
Just had this article on Myanmar published in EAF: ‘[Opposition forces] are likely to retain control over most of the de jure and de facto autonomous regions they have carved out … The permanent Balkanisation of Myanmar into predominantly ethnic statelets now looks inevitable.’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
My thoughts on the new Japanese PM - she might be more pragmatic once in office but with a conservative coalition partner there will be pressure to toe the right-wing populist line theconversation.com/japans-econo...
theconversation.com
Japan’s economy needs foreign workers, not the nationalist approach pushed by its new leader
Sanae Takaichi has voiced anti-immigrant policies at a time when Japan’s population continues to fall, threatening economic stagnation.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Thailand has a new PM, again. Here’s my analysis in @aunz.theconversation.com published a few minutes after the parliamentary vote on Friday. It took around 47 different drafts last week following the usual twists and turns of Thai politics
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
I’m currently in Seoul. My new article in the Conversation has just come out: ‘These developments mean #SouthKorea & its allies will need to deal with a much more battle-hardened and technologically advanced #NorthKorea military … its antiquated systems are being rapidly transformed’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
My article just published in the Conversation on latest shenanigans regarding #Myanmar’s deeply flawed elections, its rare earths and the (no real) options for extraction by the #Trump administration
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
My thoughts for the Conversation on Sunday’s result in #Poland’s presidential vote: ‘As in other recent global elections, women and those with higher formal education voted progressive (#Trzaskowski), while men and those with less formal education voted conservative (#Nawrocki)’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
I gave a short interview for The Wire radio program on the #Coalition’s #nuclear policy - the party room is moving regional and conservative. ‘Unelectable’ would be another word for it. www.thewire.org.au/story/the-fu...
thewire.org.au
The future of nuclear after Coalition's election loss - The Wire
Labor’s opposition to nuclear energy, and push to renewables, was one defining policy of the election, reflecting broader shifts in...
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
I was interviewed by SBS News on the #Coalition’s #nuclear policy: if they keep a pro-nuclear policy for 2028 I argued ‘it would cause "further devastation" within its remaining metropolitan seats and push the Coalition into the "electoral wilderness" for a generation’ www.sbs.com.au/news/article...
sbs.com.au
Is nuclear dead? Signs Coalition's policy isn't buried despite election loss
The Liberals and Nationals will review their policy platforms as they assess their sweeping election defeat, which resulted in Labor claiming a majority government.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
A nice republish of my post-election nuclear policy article by The New Daily www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/politic...
thenewdaily.com.au
Nuclear should be dead after the Coalition loss. But it might live on
If conservative Nationals prevail, we may well see nuclear policy survive the election post-mortem and be resurrected for the next poll.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Here’s my analysis in the Conversation on the wash up after the Australian election. The final point is that ‘given the new power of the Nationals and regional Liberals in the party room, we may not have seen the last of nuclear fantasies in Australia.’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
My latest for the Conversation on academic freedom under attack in Thailand and the links to Trumpland: ‘In the future, universities in Thailand, as in the US, will find it harder to attract international talent. Universities – and the broader society – in both countries will be worse off for it’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
I was interviewed by ABC News on the impact of #USAID cuts and US response to the #Myanmar earthquake: Dr Simpson said the US would remain a major global power and economy 4 some time “but the evidence of its trajectory towards isolation and diminution is irrefutable” www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
abc.net.au
'Puny': US sends three-person disaster team to Myanmar after USAID gutted
The United States is sending a three-person disaster response team to earthquake-stricken Myanmar, days after much larger contingents from China and Russia began pulling people out of the rubble.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
Just had this published analysing the disastrous earthquake that hit #Myanmar and its neighbours. We all know that Trump’s #USAID cuts mean more people will die. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar theconversation.com/thousands-ar...
theconversation.com
Thousands are feared dead in Myanmar’s quake. Trump’s USAID cuts will cause even more unnecessary deaths
USAID accounted for a third of Myanmar’s foreign aid last year. Now, this funding is gone as the country grapples with a devastating earthquake.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
Here’s the full version of my recent interview on #Myanmar which played on 4ZZZ. It allowed more time to delve into the details of the current conflict as well as the historical background, e.g. British colonialism and democracy 4zzz.org.au/news/four-ye...
4zzz.org.au
Four years Post Coup, Myanmar's Opposition Forces score Strategic Victories
As Myanmar’s civil war continues, new reports reveal opposition forces have scored major territorial victories over the military junta. Coupled with a full-blown economic and humanitarian crisis, the...
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Brilliant work by the Trump administration supporting free speech and democracy www.theguardian.com/world/2025/f...
theguardian.com
‘We have nothing now’: Myanmar’s exiled media face existential crisis after Trump severs aid
Organisations that take extreme risks to document atrocities, corruption and war crimes fear for their future after USAid cuts
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
I was recently interviewed by The Wire current affairs radio program for this episode on the 4th anniversary of the Myanmar coup. The program is available to more than 200 radio stations around Australia www.thewire.org.au/story/four-y...
thewire.org.au
Four years after the coup, Myanmar still in the grips of civil war - The Wire
As Myanmar’s civil war continues, new reports reveal opposition forces have scored territorial victories over the military junta. Coupled with...
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Some good exposure for my earlier article eviscerating #Dutton’s #nuclear policy which has a full page spread in the Conversation’s Quarterly Impact Report after a follow up interview with AAP and use by GetUp! in their social media campaign
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Consequences: Tesla's sales plummet across Europe Registrations in Germany fall 59% amid consumer backlash against Musk's political activism Tesla’s drop came as the German EV market in January grew more than 50 per cent YoY, pushing its market share down from 14 to 4%
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Go Zoe! 🤗
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
My latest on the 4th anniversary of the #Myanmar coup: ‘Even if the junta can be ousted, creating a workable federal system that involves power-sharing among the complex patchwork of ethnic groups will be a difficult task. How to reintegrate nearly a million Rohingya is another daunting challenge.’
task.how
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
I was interviewed by AAP about the Coalition’s #nuclear power policy and gave it the treatment it deserved, arguing the plan is unlikely to "ever see the light of day in Australia". The article was published in the Canberra Times & 75 regional outlets. www.canberratimes.com.au/story/886965...
canberratimes.com.au
Nuclear tactics pitch politics over policy, say experts
With the coalition's nuclear policy facing staunch opposition from the scientific community and state governments, experts debate its...
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
My latest with esteemed colleague Juliette McIntyre in @eastasiaforum on the ICC Prosecutor’s #Myanmar decision: ‘this case demonstrates that a measure of justice still might be achieved through international courts in a world increasingly driven by nationalism & the principle of ‘might is right’’
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
My latest article in @aunz.theconversation.com on #China private security companies in #Myanmar: As the recent fall of the Syria regime demonstrates authoritarian regimes facing widespread militant opposition can fall quickly .. backing a brutal regime can leave military and economic assets stranded
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Just reposting my recent article on elections in #Moldova and #Georgia since AusNZ @aunz.theconversation.com is now on BlueSky 😊
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Some good news
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Yes, true, but there are always strict word counts which limit what can be included so I was focusing on the big two who are supplying military hardware to massacre civilians. I mention India, Thailand and Bangladesh in my interview for this article just published 😊 amp.scmp.com/week-asia/po...
amp.scmp.com
Chinese security firms in Myanmar spark fears of escalating civil war
Analysts warn that Chinese personnel could be caught in the conflict, while the move further complicates efforts to secure control of key economic areas.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
This is the second of two articles I was invited to contribute to a special report on #Myanmar’s civil war for 360. 360info.org/the-countrie...
360info.org
The countries fuelling Myanmar's civil war - 360
China has the biggest influence on Myanmar’s civil strife but Russia also has sway, supplying arms to the military junta. As opposition forces continue to rack up battlefield victories over Myanmar’s ...
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
This is the first of two articles I was invited to contribute to a special report on #Myanmar’s civil war for 360. Good to see an outlet putting some effort into publicising this conflict. 360info.org/who-is-fight...
360info.org
Who is fighting the military junta in Myanmar and can they win? - 360
Myanmar’s ruling junta is currently vulnerable after sustained fighting by a range of dissident groups, so who are the groups behind the recent unrest? Since a military coup in 2021, Myanmar has desce...
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
I was interviewed by the South China Morning Post for this article looking at Chinese private military corporations being deployed in #Myanmar to protect Chinese assets and strategic interests. Potentially turning Myanmar into something of a quagmire for China. amp.scmp.com/week-asia/po...
amp.scmp.com
Chinese security firms in Myanmar spark fears of escalating civil war
Analysts warn that Chinese personnel could be caught in the conflict, while the move further complicates efforts to secure control of key economic areas.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
My latest article in @lowyinstitute Interpreter on the other presidential election this week in Moldova & parliamentary elections last week in Georgia: www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre...
lowyinstitute.org
Moldova and Georgia serve as geopolitical bellwethers
With the two countries on diverging paths after recent elections, the choice appears to be between Russia and the West.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 22/10/2024
My latest article for @theconversation.bsky.social on the important elections in Georgia and Moldova this week: ‘These elections in Georgia and Moldova are crucial for reinforcing democratic rights in vulnerable former Soviet states.’ theconversation.com/whats-at-sta...
theconversation.com
What’s at stake in elections in Georgia and Moldova this week: a stark choice between Russia and the West
While many people in Moldova and Georgia support closer integration with Europe, Russia’s efforts to interfere in the votes has the potential to destabilise both countries.
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Adam Simpson @simpsonaj.bsky.social · 07/08/2024
I was interviewed by @abcnews for the big news out of #Thailand today: ‘Dr Simpson said the court's decision "illustrates the abysmal state of democracy in Thailand and the perpetuation of the concentration of power in the monarchy-military complex"’ www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08...
abc.net.au
Thai court dissolves progressive Move Forward Party, orders 10-year ban on executives
Thailand's Constitutional Court has ruled to dissolve the opposition Move Forward Party (MFP). Here's why it is unlikely to signal the end of the popular group.
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