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Shaun Newkirk

@shauncore.bsky.social
294 followers 97 following 593 posts

Mostly NFL and MLB stats, finance, films, occasionally dogs. Seriously, don't listen to me I am almost certainly wrong. CFA. Sabermetric friendly.

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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Stood up in my living room and clapped when those drums first started playing man. An all time TV moment for me.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Yeah this would have been an absolute disaster for Baltimore if so. Two firsts, bad knee, new deal and a raise... mercy
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
With FanGraphs projections now being pretty fully baked, looking at which players make up the highest percentage of both their side of the team and their total team projected WAR. Highlighted blue players who account for 20%+ of their team's pitching/hitting WAR projection
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
How is AI a person? How could that be half of the people on a planet when they aren't people? Are autonomous cars people?
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
media.tenor.com
a man wearing a black hoodie that says devils on it
ALT: a man wearing a black hoodie that says devils on it
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
*guy poking object with a stick meme and the object is NFL data sites* c'mon do something
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
While I haven't done annual updates on the "state of public NFL analytics" I still keep track of things and I think this is going to be the first year that no provider launched anything new or an enhancement? At least, haven't seen anything from anywhere. Somebody drop something neat!
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Ended up reading both The Road and No Country in a week. Road was just okay, but No Country is probably now my favorite book of all time (tied with White Noise). On to Blood Meridian first then Suttree.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
October Sky. Like 50 times.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Pretty neat to see a scatterplot this clean. It's barrel% and xwOBACON for every batter since 2015 (min. 300 PA season) (and yes all five of the top right bubbles are Aaron Judge)
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
If I only did my favorites, it would be something this
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
I think this is my ballot if I'm considering the best (not just my favorites)
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Jfc look at some of these names
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Caglianone has a 16 wRC+ including tonight, 4th lowest for a Royals rookie (min. 40 PA). But on a positive spin, the best player in Royals franchise history had the worst rookie hitting season in franchise history.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
Daniel Murphy when he sees the Mets pride shirts:
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
(was making a joke about the playoffs)
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
The WHAT?
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
This is actually a funny point raised here: the Royals catchers are so good at preventing steals when they happen, it prevents them from having opportunities to throw out runners (and turn a hit/walk into an out) and thus, not add the value other teams have with lower rates!
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Am I crazy or did NFL Pro add new split filters?
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Honestly an hour commute ain't that bad!
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
No joke, Rich Hill is only 4 degrees of separation from Babe Ruth. Rich Hill -> Greg Maddux -> Goose Gossage -> Hank Sauer -> Billy Werber -> Babe Ruth
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
With a stick. While he slept. But on a field, with a pass rush? That man is unbeatable.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 04/05/2025
Salute big dog, thanks. Too many people (especially on the other place) just steal the link. Don't even have the courtesy to just download the video and re-upload it.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Lmaaaooo. I read one of the Harry Potter books in like 8 hours according to the entry logs.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Here is the what I would do mock draft, based off team needs (per PFF), the consensus big board rankings, and how I think about positional value mostly in the draft
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/04/2025
Called out, challenge not given
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Nugget from Dane Brugler's AMA. Looking at some various trackers, Ruben Hyppolite has had a top 30 visit to the Lions and a private workout with the Patriots.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
DK thinks Jalen Milroe is more likely to go in the first round than Luther Burden
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
How can that be profitable for 7Up?
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Royals lineup every night is Bob Witt Jr turning a single into a double and then a prayer that the rest of the lineup can put together four consecutive singles off of 80 MPH exit velo batted balls
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
Basically the easiest way to know if a player is good or not is how quickly they get extended. Getting an 8-year extension 20 plate appearances into your career pretty much is star level talent.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
2020 election scrolling
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Oh yeah QB Heat Maps too and combine metric percentiles
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Begging PFF to make stable metric percentiles more accessible.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
The PFF Draft Guide is out. Last year it sadly was only really half finished, but this year it's the full thing. Full of scouting profiles, traditional stats, advanced stats, and the always necessary player comps.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Obviously a comically small sample size, but here is the reported list of torpedo bat users and their hitting so far. Combined for a .284/.365/.537 (148 wRC+) line
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
People say "what for the guarantees" when an NFL contract gets announced, but I'm proposing we say "wait for Jason's breakdown at OTC" instead overthecap.com/thoughts-on-...
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
HOU - probably too early on Zabel but could perhaps play at any spot on the OL and they need help all over it BAL - worries me to take another ED with no production (Oweh) but... KC - Loveland I know seems way too low but do you like TEs for what a TE can do or for WR receivers?
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
CHI - Jeanty "slide" stops. I don't typically advocate for an RB in the early-1st but I think this would be fine at 1.10 given the other options and needs DEN - I know reports are that Broncos like their WR room but it needs helps IMO LAC - they have to take a WR if there
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Notes: TEN - Ward isn't a particularly great QB prospect, TEN is a bad roster, okay to punt on the position and take the freak ED NYG - I'm about to be fired at GM, this is my hail mary LV - you need defense (or WR), not the time for a RB this early NO - Carr is gone in 2026
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Here is my mock drafted based off *what I would do* in each spot, balancing team need, aggregate boards, and just my personal preference for some positional value/players.
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Watched some Tyler Warren last night and...he's just insane? Likely comically big and dominant. Give me him over Loveland. (note: I'm consistently wrong on these things so ignore me))
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Chiefs playing Joe Thuney at left tackle somehow made it into a bit on Last Week Tonight...
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
Nets to be something like a mid-6th pickup for Buffao plus they get the $2.6M cap savings when they are pretty tight against the cap. Doesn't quite recoup what they net paid for Elam but it's not that far off (ignoring the value they lost with the pick itself)
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
Looking at Joey Bosa's numbers, his get off time has stayed the same, but his time to pressure, pressure rate, and sack rate have all gone down. Could it be his reaction skill has stayed the same, but his physical movements have been reduced due to injury?
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Here are the teams that roughly have done well in free agency so far
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Seen some valid chatter that the Chiefs signing Fulton allows McDuffie to play in the slot more, which makes me think that when it comes time to extend McDuffie, you can't pay him like an elite outside corner ($25M APY)? Maybe closer to nickel DB or free safety?
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Shaun Newkirk @shauncore.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
TF is he going to do with the car? He doesn't drive.
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