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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Great afternoon at the #EconomicFutures Careers Fair at @UniStrathclyde. It was a pleasure to meet students interested in economics, forecasting and public finance and share more about the work of the Scottish Fiscal Commission. Thanks to @EconomicFutures_ for a great event.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

This Insight discusses key aspects of the @scotgov efficiency and workforce plans, summarises the latest information on progress, and highlights where further updates on progress would help improve transparency. Read it here: bit.ly/4yiTjwR

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Following our appearance at the Social Justice, Housing and Local Government Committee today, our Chair @graemeroy.bsky.social will be giving evidence at the Climate Action Committee tomorrow at 10am. 📺You can watch along at www.scottishparliament.tv

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

We're looking forward to appearing before the Social Justice, Housing and Local Government Committee tomorrow at 09:30. Watch the meeting live on Scottish Parliament TV: 📺 www.scottishparliament.tv

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

The @scotgov publishes its Autumn Budget Revision 2026-27 on Thursday. This Insight discusses the improved funding position for 2026-27, the tighter outlook for 2027-28, and ongoing pressures on spending. Read it here: bit.ly/4iHOgkK

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

📢We’ve just published an Insight with the @OBR_UK on Income Tax reconciliations. These happen when actual Income Tax revenues collected differ to forecasts made in Budgets. Read it here 🔗https://bit.ly/4gWUoEu

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

The Deputy First Minister has written to our Chair to confirm the Scottish Government plans to present its 2027-28 Budget on Thursday 3 December 2026. We will publish our next forecasts at the same time. You can read the letter here: bit.ly/4ciN7w8

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

📢Watch us live this morning at 9.30 giving evidence in Parliament 🔗https://www.scottishparliament.tv

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Join us tomorrow at 9:30am as the Scottish Fiscal Commission appears before the Finance and Public Administration Committee. Watch live on Scottish Parliament TV: scottishparliament.tv

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

REMINDER: We are hosting a public webinar on our latest publications today Wednesday 26 August from 12:00 to 13:00. You can register for this online event here: bit.ly/4zBiY51

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

We are hosting a public webinar on our latest publications tomorrow Wednesday 26 August from 12:00 to 13:00. You can register for this online event here: bit.ly/4zBiY51

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Tomorrow at 9:30 we’ll publish three reports, our Forecast Evaluation Report, Statement of Data Needs and a Fiscal Update considering the economic and fiscal outlook and implications for the Scottish Budget. Follow us here to get the key messages.

Image of calendar page for 25 August and text “Tomorrow morning, we publish our two reports: Fiscal Update, Forecast Evaluation Report, Statement of Data Needs”

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

A week today we are publishing three reports, our Forecast Evaluation Report, Statement of Data Needs, and a Fiscal Update considering the economic and fiscal outlook and implications for the Scottish Budget. Follow us here to get the key messages.

Image of calendar page for August 25 and text “A week today, we publish three reports: Fiscal Update, Forecast Evaluation Report, Statement of Data Needs”

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

We are looking to appoint a new Commissioner. Find our more and apply here: bit.ly/454OOcz Deadline: 7 September 2026, 17:00

Scottish Fiscal Commission recruitment graphic announcing a vacancy for one Commissioner, with an application deadline of Monday 7 September and the organisation’s social media and website details.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Today we began the process of recruiting a new Commissioner. We asked our two most recently appointed Commissioners to share their experiences of the role. Read their reflections here: bit.ly/4fS3wZk Apply here: bit.ly/454OOcz

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

HMRC’s 2024-25 Income Tax data, published today, points to a £728m reduction in Scottish Government funding in 2027-28. Our latest Insight explains the figures and what they mean for Scotland’s budget outlook. Read more: bit.ly/44gwrRs

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

As we approach the Scottish Parliament’s summer recess, this Insight summarises the fiscal publications, events and parliamentary scrutiny taking place before the Scottish Budget is published this winter. Read it here: bit.ly/4vfEeKt

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

On 9 July, HMRC publishes how much Income Tax raised across the UK nations in 2024-25. This allows comparisons of forecasts with money raised and a ‘reconciliation’ to the Scottish Budget. This Insight explains this technical but important process. Read it here: bit.ly/4vmvJOp

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

This Insight considers two challenging economic issues influencing the Scottish outlook: 1) the increase in people not working due to ill-health and 2) weak productivity. Both these factors impact living standards and public finances. Read it here: bit.ly/43yreEh

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

With a new Scottish Parliament and 64 new MSPs, and a new Scottish Government in place, this Insight explains our role as Scotland’s official, independent fiscal forecaster. Read it here: bit.ly/4ubpX0D

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

Today’s Insight discusses the potential economic and fiscal impacts of recent events in Middle East. These remain highly uncertain and we will say more when we publish our next Fiscal Update on 25 August. Read it here: bit.ly/4urOgIL

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

Welcome back following the election. As the new government takes shape, we’re using our first Insight of this parliamentary session as a reminder of the fiscal and economic challenges facing the Scottish Government. Read it here: bit.ly/4frxMeU

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

🔊Reminder that we are currently recruiting for a Governance Manager bit.ly/412i55E Deadline for the applications is today 27 April at 23:59

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 09/04/2026

📢 We are hiring a Governance Manager 🔗 To apply ➡️ bit.ly/4tCouAH Deadline is 27 April 2026, 23:59

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

📢We are currently recruiting fiscal analysts! You can find out more here 🔗https://bit.ly/48vWlTw We are hosting an online information session on 9 April, where you can learn more about what these roles involve. You can register your interest here 🔗https://bit.ly/4ts9KnJ

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 30/03/2026

🔊We are currently recruiting for a Governance Manager 🔗https://bit.ly/412i55E Deadline for the applications is 27 April at 23:59

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

We are currently recruiting for a fiscal analyst. 🔗Fiscal Analyst bit.ly/4uS0wmj We are also recruiting for an experienced fiscal analyst. 🔗Experienced Fiscal Analyst bit.ly/4bv7QwL Deadline for both applications is 19 April at 23:59

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

Our latest Insight signposts where you can find details of our recent work and explains how to get in touch with any technical questions over the upcoming Scottish Parliamentary election period. We won't be publishing any new work during the next six weeks. Read it here: bit.ly/4rQX6NW

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

Social security payments are increased every April in line with inflation. This Insight looks at how this ‘uprating’ affects both our spending forecasts and the funding received by the Scottish Government. fiscalcommission.scot/19-march-202...

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

The share of the population receiving disability payments in the UK has increased across all ages between 2020 and 2025, but has increased more in Scotland. This Insight discusses these trends and possible reasons why. Read it here: bit.ly/4bp81IE

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

🔊Our webinar is taking place at 11am today Last chance to sign up 👉https://eventbrite.co.uk/e/1983777402613?aff=oddtdtcreator

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

⏰Reminder: Our webinar is tomorrow at 11am Spaces are filling up, join us via this link: www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1983777402...

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

‘Capital’ spending is investment in public infrastructure like roads, schools and hospitals. We explain why this is important for the economy and public services, and the outlook for capital spending in our new Insight. Read it here: bit.ly/4u6k861

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 04/03/2026

🔊One week today we will be hosting our webinar on what Scotland's finances mean for the next parliament Join us by registering here: www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/public-web...

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

📢 We look forward to giving evidence to the Finance and Public Administration Committee tomorrow at 09:30am Watch live via the Scottish Parliament website: www.scottishparliament.tv

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 26/02/2026

Thank you to everyone who joined us at our in person event today — great discussion & questions. Next up: our public webinar on 11th March - What Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament. 🎟️ Book your place here: bit.ly/3P4M9uk

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

🎉 Join us in person tomorrow! Spaces are filling up but there’s still time to book for our Fiscal Sustainability Perspectives event — What Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament. 💼📊🏛️ Register now: bit.ly/4c3nsbv

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

The next parliament will follow on from 17 years of relatively weak growth in living standards and an outlook where living standards are only expected to improve slowly over the next parliamentary term. (4/4)

Bar chart titled “Living standards, real disposable income per person, per cent growth”, showing that Scottish living standards are forecast to grow by less than 1% over the next five years. Historical averages show growth of around 3% per year between 1999–2000 and 2007–08, and around 0.8% between 2008–09 and 2024–25. Growth in 2025–26 is close to zero. Dashed bars show the January 2026 forecast, with annual growth gradually increasing but remaining below 1%, reaching around 0.7% by 2030–31.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

Paying for the devolved public sector workforce takes up over half of day-to-day spending. The workforce has grown since the pandemic but the Scottish Government now wants to manage its pay costs and reduce its workforce. This would reverse recent trends. (3/4)

Stacked area chart titled “Devolved public sector workforce (full-time equivalent)”, showing that the devolved public sector workforce in Scotland has generally increased since 1999–2000 and has been on an upward trajectory since the COVID-19 pandemic. Total employment rises from around 380,000 in 1999–2000 to about 470,000 in 2024–25. The chart breaks the public sector workforce down into three groups: NHS Scotland, the wider Scottish Government workforce, and local government, with local government being the largest component throughout. A vertical dotted line in 2013–14 indicates police and fire centralisation. NHS Scotland employment increases steadily over the period, while the wider Scottish Government workforce and local government show fluctuations but also rise overall after 2020.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

There have been large increases in social security spending over this parliament, more than in any other part of the Scottish Budget. Based on current policies, we forecast social security spending will continue to increase. (2/4)

Bar chart titled “Spending in this parliament: Social security spending has grown the most over this parliament”, showing percentage changes in Scottish Government spending between 2022–23 and 2025–26. Social protection (covering social security benefits) has increased the most, by around 35%. Smaller increases are shown for “Others” (about 7%) and Health (about 6%). Education and General public services show little or no change. Transport and Public order and safety show small decreases. Economic affairs shows the largest decrease, at around minus 10%.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

We have published our Fiscal Sustainability Perspectives report exploring what Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament. Read it here: bit.ly/3MsZlZr A quick thread on some of the headline messages below 🧵 (1/4)

The words “We have published our report on what Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament” alongside the cover page for our publication.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

Tomorrow at 9:30am we publish our Fiscal Sustainability Perspectives report exploring what Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament. Follow us on social media to see our key charts and register for our in person event on Thursday 26 February here: bit.ly/4c3nsbv

The words “Tomorrow we will publish our report on what Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament” alongside a picture of a calendar showing Wednesday 25 February.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

Last week the Scottish Parliament agreed rates and bands for Scottish income tax in 2026-27 ahead of tomorrow’s final Budget Bill vote. Our Insight explains how the Scottish tax system differs to the rest of UK and raises extra funding for the Scottish Budget. Read it here: bit.ly/3MpeaMA

Line chart showing the percentage share of all Scottish and UK income taxpayers paying higher rate tax or above over time. In 2016-17, the UK starts higher at about 15%, while Scotland begins at around 12%. Over the next few years the trends shift, with Scotland’s rate rising and overtaking the UK around 2019-20. Scotland's rate then increases more quickly after 2021-22, reaching about 20% by 2023–24 and set to continue rising to around 30% by 2030–31. The rest of the UK is projected to grow more slowly, reaching about 24% by 2030-31, so the gap widens over time with Scotland higher in later years.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

One week today! 🎉 Join us in person for our upcoming Fiscal Sustainability Perspectives report event — What Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament. 💼📊🏛️ Register here: bit.ly/4c3nsbv

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 18/02/2026

We’ll publish our Fiscal Sustainability Perspectives report exploring what Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament on Wednesday 25 February. Follow us on social media to see our key charts and register for our in person event on 26 February here: bit.ly/4c3nsbv

The words “In a week’s time, we will publish our report on what Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament” alongside a picture of a calendar showing Wednesday 25 February.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Today, the Finance and Public Administration Committee considers the 2026-27 Budget Bill at stage 2. But what about spending beyond next year? This Insight considers the medium-term day-to-day spending priorities set out in the Scottish Government's Spending Review. Read it here: bit.ly/4rmB9qN

Bar chart titled “Percentage share of day-to-day spending by portfolio,” comparing four portfolios across three years (2026–27, 2027–28, 2028–29). Health and Social Care has the largest share, rising slightly from about 38% to 40%. Local Government (including NDR) is the second largest but gradually declines from around 26% to 25%. Social Justice increases slightly from about 14% to 15%. Other portfolios combined remain stable at around 20% across the period.

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

This afternoon, @scotparl.bsky.social considers the 26-27 Budget Bill in its Stage 1 debate. An emerging issue is how comparisons to the Government’s spending plans in previous years are made. This Insight considers the issue fiscalcommission.scot/12-february-...

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

📅 3 weeks today! 🎉 Join us in person for our upcoming Fiscal Sustainability Perspectives report event — What Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament. 💼📊🏛️ 👉 Register here: www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/what-scotl... 🔗✨

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Scottish Fiscal Commission @scotfisccomm.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

Come along to our upcoming in person event exploring "What Scotland’s finances mean for the next parliament" 💬📊 👉Register now to secure your place: www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/what-scotl...

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