sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Africa Watch - #America lends @AfricellGroup nearly $100 million to counter @Huawei , as #DRC backs a minerals task force and a record budget. 🇺🇸🇨🇩🇨🇳 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/washington... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Analysis: Atiku does the maths nobody wanted done sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/atiku-does... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 21/09/2026#NigeriaDecides2027 has narrowed. NDC 42.2%, APC 25.5% — down from 57.4% vs ~11% in May. Turnout is no longer the opposition's lever. Geography and petrol now decide it. Full VST Wave 2. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-sbm-vo...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe SBM Voter Sentiment Tracker: A Narrower RaceNigeria's 2027 race narrowed: NDC leads 42.2% to APC's 25.5%. Turnout no longer decides it; geography and petrol now do. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Ghana locks $2 billion for a highway. US arms Nigeria & Congo in same week. Guinea wants Glencore beyond bauxite. Terra guards lithium with drones. Nigeria imports from China and exports staff to the NHS. Diversification is the new national sport. 🇬🇭🇳🇬🇨🇩🇬🇳 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - The new national sportGhana funds a road, the US arms Nigeria and Congo, Guinea courts Glencore, and Nigeria exports talent while importing China. 001
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 16/09/2026Golden but fragile: #Ghana's gold earnings rose 49% to $12.5 billion in H1 2026, while bank profits fell 1.3% to GH¢7.1 billion. 🇬🇭🪙 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/gold-shine... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Chart of the week: #Nigeria's rising trade surplus 🇳🇬™️ 010
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 14/09/2026#Kenya orders foreign businesses to close, then offers amnesty to undocumented East Africans. Register via embassies; stay legally present. 16,000 Burundians watching. A crackdown with a grace period – that's one way to do immigration policy. 🇰🇪 🇧🇮 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/kenya-says...sbmintelligence.substack.comKenya says register now, arrest laterKenya offers temporary amnesty to undocumented East African nationals after Ruto orders the closure of foreign businesses without work permits. 010
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 11/09/2026#Kenya tells migrants to register. #BurkinaFaso's diaspora buys bonds. #CôtedIvoire buries electoral commission. #Ghana's gold shines but banks sag. #Nigeria's surplus doubles & Dangote preps a float. DHQ stays silent on #BokoHaram ceasefire. 🇧🇫🇨🇮🇬🇭🇳🇬 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - Some things sell better unauditedKenya registers migrants, Burkina Faso sells diaspora bonds, Ivory Coast buries its electoral commission, Ghana's gold booms, and Dangote readies a $5 billion float. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Video: The capture of #Nigeria's kidnap economy 🇳🇬🦹youtu.beThe Capture of the Kidnap EconomyYouTube video by SBM Intelligence 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Chart of the week: Mixed signals on growth 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 04/09/2026#Nigeria's economy grew, yet slipped in the poverty rankings. FTSE Russel says investable; Uber and #US troops say goodbye. Vigilantes kill hundreds of Fulani. #Niger's mutiny fails. Cocoa prices drop. The numbers say one thing, the streets another. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - Not on speaking termsNigeria's Q2 GDP grew 4.43% but poverty ranking slipped, as FTSE upgraded, Uber and US troops left, and killings spread. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 02/09/202680% of Nigerians would relocate for a good job; 20% would do so without hesitation. Six Zones, One Crisis surveyed 1,180 people across all six zones to show exactly who is leaving, which region is bleeding talent fastest, and why. www.sbmintel.com/2026/08/six-... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 31/08/2026#Nigeria lifts onion export suspension to #Ghana after talks. Harassment & truck seizures at Kotoku Market had cost traders $854,000. Nigeria exports 100k tonnes of onions to Ghana annually. NOPPMAN calls for a permanent trade framework. 🇳🇬🇬🇭 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-onions...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe onions may now cross the borderNigeria lifts onion export suspension to Ghana after diplomatic talks, resuming annual exports of 100,000 metric tonnes. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 28/08/20264.2% GDP growth sounds great – until you factor in ghost workers, fake agencies, and Borno under siege. Onions flow to #Ghana again, #Tanzania's VP quits without a word, and West Africa stocks hit a record. A week of drama. 🎢🇳🇬🇬🇭🇹🇿 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - Drama always around the cornerNigeria's 4.2% GDP growth collides with ghost workers, fake agencies, Borno strikes, and pre-election jitters. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 27/08/2026🦹♂️🇳🇬A single terrorist group collected 90% of all ransom paid in #Nigeria this year. Our new report tracks how 7,825 abductions and ₦7.8 billion in ransom reshaped the kidnap industry. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-econom... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 24/08/2026Africa Watch: #Algeria rebuilds ties with Sahel states and mediates the release of 82 Malian soldiers held since April. 🇩🇿🇧🇫🇲🇱🇳🇪 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/algeria-me... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 21/08/2026Stocks up 60%, but investors won't bite. Opposition can't agree on 2027. Food inflation hits record. #America lifts port restrictions. #IvoryCoast gets drones. #Algeria plays peacemaker. Reform looks like chaos with a better PR team. 🇳🇬🇬🇭🇨🇮🇩🇿🇺🇸 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - Chaos with better brandingNigeria's stock market soars but tax uncertainty scares investors. Opposition fractures, food inflation spikes, US lifts port curbs. 001
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 18/08/2026#DRC's #Ebola outbreak is the second-largest on record: 4,000+ cases, 1,850 deaths across five provinces. Conflict, weak surveillance, and now prisoners released to M23 rebels are complicating the fight. 🇨🇩🦠 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/congos-ebo...sbmintelligence.substack.comCongo's Ebola fight meets peace dealThe DRC battles its second-largest Ebola outbreak with over 4,000 cases, worsened by conflict and weak surveillance. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 17/08/2026#Cameroon's president has been absent for 64 days – governing from a hotel suite in Geneva. A vice presidency sits empty. The military has been reshuffled. Wars grind on. The Lion has not left, but the succession struggle has begun. 🇨🇲 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-lion-h...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe Lion has not left: Paul Biya's long goodbyeCameroon is being governed from a Geneva hotel suite. Biya has been absent for 64 days, leaving a leadership vacuum and unfinished wars. 011
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 14/08/2026Ebola🦠 surges in 🇨🇩#DRC. 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast & 🇧🇫#BurkinaFaso drink together. 🇬🇭#Ghana's gold loss is a masterclass in losing money. 🇳🇬#Nigeria's security and energy drama continues. Dangote saves 🇪🇺#Europe's jet fuel crisis. Therapy is needed sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - Needing therapyEbola spreads in DRC, Ghana loses $1.7bn on gold, Nigeria's chaos continues, Dangote saves Europe's jet fuel. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 13/08/2026#Nigeria has 6 job crises as each region tells a different story: South-South graduates are most likely to relocate. Southeast households report the highest strain. Northeast demands construction skills. The data is precise enough to act on. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/six-zones-...sbmintelligence.substack.comSix Zones, One Crisis: What Nigerians say about jobs, skills and the risk of leavingNigeria has not one jobs crisis, but six. A survey across 21 cities reveals regional fractures that national policy keeps missing. SBM Intelligence. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 11/08/2026Chart of the week: Soldiers get big pay rise 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 10/08/2026#Sudan's RSF flew in weapons and mercenaries from #Colombia – a United Nations report. #Russia's Africa Corps killed 8 civilians in #Mali, whose ex-PM, Moussa Mara walks free. Africa's week in three acts: war, impunity, and a sigh of relief. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/shifting-s...sbmintelligence.substack.comShifting sands in the Sahel?A UN report links Boeing 727s to RSF weapons and Colombian mercenaries; HRW accuses Russia's Africa Corps of killing eight Mali civilians. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 07/08/2026#Nigeria's Catholic Bishops take @officialABAT to task as Osun events question our democracy Soldiers get a pay rise. #Ghana's economy sends mixed signals. #IvoryCoast faces a corruption scandal. Sahel sends a warning. A week on the line. 🇳🇬🇬🇭🇨🇮🇲🇱🇸🇩 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 31/07/2026#Nigeria awards oil blocks, exposes ghost workers, jails kidnappers, and snubs #RSA's envoys. 🍫Cocoa gets a makeover, #Chad leaves the International Criminal Court, and 5 parties get a second life. Providence? 🇳🇬🇿🇦🇹🇩 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - ProvidenceNigeria's oil blocks and ghost workers dominate, Tinubu snubs SA envoys, cocoa reforms, and Chad quits the ICC. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 27/07/2026#Nigeria repatriates 1,490 citizens from #SouthAfrica after fresh xenophobic attacks – 7 flights in 5 weeks. Nigeria's House of Representatives has now launched a probe into losses suffered since 2008. 🇳🇬🇿🇦 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/nigeria-br...sbmintelligence.substack.comNigeria brings 1,490 citizens homeNigeria has repatriated 1,490 citizens from South Africa after xenophobic attacks, as lawmakers launched a probe into losses since 2008. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 24/07/2026#America threatens aid to #Nigeria. Nigeria does VAT, fake agencies, and brings 1,490 home from #SouthAfrica. #Ghana jails Wontumi, #IvoryCoast gets US military training, #DRC sends lithium to #China. 🇳🇬🇬🇭🇨🇮🇨🇩🇿🇦🇺🇸🇨🇳 The compass always points to cash. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - Compass pointNigeria faces US aid threats, VAT billions, fake agencies, and repatriations. Ghana jails Wontumi, Ivory Coast and DRC make moves. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 23/07/2026Video: AI threatens #Nigeria's 2027 election youtu.be/ZXw9rjSl9AU 64.9% of Nigerians are already alarmed about AI deepfakes.youtu.beAI threatens Nigeria's 2027 electionYouTube video by SBM Intelligence 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 22/07/2026The SBM #JollofIndex: a decade of rising costs: #Nigeria's jollof pot has surged 624% since 2016. #Ghana's is next. 🇳🇬🇬🇭🍛 Read how households are coping. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-sbm-jo... 010
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 21/07/2026Chart of the week: Tax man wins, oil man sweats Read the full analysis: sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/tax-man-wi... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 20/07/2026The UN mission accuses #Sudan's RSF of genocide in Darfur, as the army links peace talks to full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. 🇸🇩🇺🇳 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/sudans-reb...sbmintelligence.substack.comSudan’s rebels get a very bad report cardA UN mission accuses Sudan's RSF of genocide in Darfur, as the army links peace talks to full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 18/07/2026#Nigeria: 🛢️⬆️ Dangote Refinery charges USD. ₦5tn bond debt, soldiers get ₦100k. 45 kids rescued, @peterobitweets.bsky.social fears for his life. UN: RSF genocide. #IvoryCoast gold crackdown. #Ghana fraud spike. What's the only thing not rising? 🇳🇬🇬🇭🇨🇮🇸🇩 🇺🇳 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - The only thing not risingUN says Sudan genocide, Ivory Coast and Ghana battle crises, Nigeria's debt and oil rise. Soldiers paid, kids rescued. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 14/07/2026🇬🇭 #Ghana's unemployment puzzle 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 13/07/2026#Maroc arrests 10 suspects linked to #ISIS's Sahel affiliate, foiling planned attacks. The group had pledged allegiance and received instructions to target sensitive sites. Extremism is spreading from the Sahel into North Africa. 🇲🇦🛡️ sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/morocco-bu...sbmintelligence.substack.comMorocco busts ISIS-linked cellMorocco arrests 10 suspects linked to Islamic State's Sahel affiliate, foiling planned attacks across several cities. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 10/07/2026#IvoryCoast finishes IMF programme, wants $18bn. #Maroc busts ISIS. #Ghana's job ads fall, but formal jobs grow. #Nigeria: Customs up, NNPC down, lithium shines, Big Tech chased, fake council scandal. 🇨🇮🇲🇦🇬🇭🇳🇬 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - TrafficCôte d'Ivoire seeks $18bn, Morocco foils a plot, Ghana's jobs puzzle, and Nigeria's week is a traffic jam. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Chart of the week: #WestAfrica's flood crisis 🌊 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 06/07/2026Thousands of migrants flee #SouthAfrica. #Malawi and others arrange buses and flights. Police patrol major cities amid protests. At least four foreigners have been killed in recent weeks. Fear and job losses drive departures. 🇿🇦🇲🇼🚫 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/fleeing-th...sbmintelligence.substack.comFleeing the rainbowThousands of migrants are leaving South Africa after an unofficial June 30 deadline for undocumented foreigners 111
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 03/07/2026IPO fever, debt fears and an equities selloff grip #Nigeria as floods wash coastal #WestAfrica and evacuation flights zip across the continent as #SouthAfrica chases migrants out. The only thing rising faster than debt? The water level. 🇳🇬🇿🇦🇬🇭🇨🇮🌍 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - The water levelIPO fever, debt fears and an equities selloff grip Nigeria as floods wash coastal West Africa and evacuation flights zip across the continent. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 01/07/2026Two-thirds of Nigerians fear AI election meddling in #NigeriaDecides2027. The zone most exposed to it is least concerned. 82.5% social media reliance. 42.7% non-verification. 38.9% AI concern. The most exposed voters are the least prepared. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-algori... 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 30/06/2026Yuan use is rising in Africa as #China removes tariffs on 53 countries. Banks are expanding their payment infrastructure. #Kenya & #Zambia are adopting it to cut costs. But analysts agree: it's a complement to the dollar, not a replacement. 🌍🇨🇳🇰🇪🇿🇲 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/dollar-sti...sbmintelligence.substack.comDollar still king for nowChina's tariff removal on African imports and growing trade are expected to boost yuan use, though not replace the dollar. 001
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 29/06/2026A timeline of #Nigeria's state police debate. 000
sbmintelligence.bsky.social @sbmintelligence.bsky.social · 26/06/2026State police passes. Diezani walks free. #America hits ISIS cash. Ekiti votes APC. #Ghana hikes utility bills. #IvoryCoast finds oil. #China's yuan inches in. The region is reforming, expanding, and dealing. 🇨🇳🇨🇮🇬🇭🇳🇬🇺🇸🌍 sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...sbmintelligence.substack.comThe week ahead - Reforming, expanding and dealingState police clears Senate, Diezani acquitted, US sanctions ISIS, Ekiti votes APC, Ghana hikes bills, Ivory Coast strikes oil. 000