The Cavalcanti et al. paper was the first effort to measure this, estimating 4.5 million under-5 deaths would result by 2030. But it didn’t explicitly take into account morbidity or loss of DHS and other services that support global public health practice. www.thelancet.com/article/S014...
thelancet.com
Evaluating the impact of two decades of USAID interventions and projecting the effects of defunding on mortality up to 2030: a retrospective impact evaluation and forecasting analysis
USAID funding has significantly contributed to the reduction in adult and child mortality
across low-income and middle-income countries over the past two decades. Our estimates
show that, unless the a...
