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Ryan Dawkins

@ryan-dawkins.bsky.social
408 followers 350 following 87 posts

Assistant Professor at Carleton College. Pol psych, Congress, parties/elections, REP, and urban politics. Native Coloradoan turned Minnesotan. Bad TV takes emphatically my own. He/him. www.ryancdawkins.com

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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
The Health of Democracy Survey tracks support for anti-democratic norms. Since 2022, support for democracy has polarized between the two parties. While support among Democrats has remained stable (even declined slightly), Republicans are increasingly skeptical of liberal democracy. #polisky
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
🚨 New Publication Alert 🚨 My new co-authored paper, entitled "Affective Representation in Congress," with @acayton.bsky.social and Carey Stapleton, is now online at @polbehavior.bsky.social! #polisky link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Affective Representation in Congress - Political Behavior
Drawing on theories of affective intelligence and intergroup emotions, we develop a theory of affective representation in Congress in which lawmakers vary the emotional tone of their communications to...
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Has there been any chatter anywhere on this site or elsewhere about how much the topline results in the 2024 ANES are off? It shows Harris winning by 11 points. That seems bad.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
I want to state publicly that toddlers on leashes are hilarious!
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
“Federal job applicants will soon be quizzed on their favorite Trump administration policy as part of the hiring process, according to the Office of Personnel Management’s new ‘merit hiring plan.’” www.govexec.com/workforce/20...
govexec.com
OPM ‘merit’ hiring plan includes bipartisan reforms, politicized new test
The federal government’s HR agency on Thursday instructed agencies to cease collecting data on the demographic makeup of their workforces.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
My flight to Chicago was just canceled for unknown reasons. I’m not even sure if I’ll be able to make it to #MPSA25
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
I wish the Democrats would realize that Trump's approval rating is as high as it is because of a total lack of unified messaging on their part. The Party needs to engage in a full court press against this administration. People will only believe this is a constitutional crisis if they see RESISTANCE
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
This EO dictates what faculty at service academies can and cannot teach in the classroom. This executive order, titled, "Restoring America's Fighting Force" is both unabashedly unconstitutional, running afoul of the First Amendment, and violates accreditation rules. Where's AAUP and the ACLU?!
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
I don’t have the emotional energy to do this for another four years.
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Miriam Golden @mgoldenprof.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Are you interested in U.S. legislative history? Newly-available complete dataset on all persons serving as legislators in the 50 state houses between 1900 and 2016: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
dataverse.harvard.edu
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
It speaks to the asymmetry in the party coalitions. Democrats have a programmatic agenda built around equal rights protection and Democrats see Biden’s move as a cop out, while Republicans place a high premium on identity and in-group loyalty, so they fall in line around their party leader.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Trump's approval rating in his first term hovered in the high 30s to low 40s during his entire term. He never saw an approval rating above 50%. Today, support for his presidential transition is around 60%. This is what Skowronek's "politics of reconstruction" looks like.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Is it just me or does Matt Gaetz looks like he could play the villain in a straight to video sequel of 101 Dalmatians
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 19/08/2024
I read this book last week. It’s great!
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 12/06/2024
I am teaching campaigns & elections for the first time since 2016. What are some great readings I can assign to undergrads? Shameless self-promotion is strongly encouraged. #polisky
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 17/04/2024
It turns out the Nick ‘Alpha Male’ Adams is the real deal. He’s not a parody account. He loves watch his butcher, Mario, handle his meat
apple.news
The deeply silly, extremely serious rise of ‘Alpha Male’ Nick Adams
Meet the Trump-backed raconteur who is teaching America’s young men the art of being hard to deal with
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 09/03/2024
Would anyone who has recently taught a course for the U.S. Congress OR the Presidency be willing to share their syllabus? #Polisky
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 21/01/2024
The new show, Ted, on Peacock is fantastic. It uses the conceits of a 90s sitcom, albeit with an eye to the 70s great, All in the Family, for inspiration. Seth McFarlane is more than a raunchy jokester. His shows are as much an homage to series’ past as they are subversions of the genre.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 24/12/2023
My best shows of 2023: 1 The Bear (Hulu) 2 Succession (HBO) 3 Beef ( Netflix) 4 Shrinking ( Apple+) 5 Daisy Jones and the Six (Amazon) 6 The Last of Us (HBO) 7 Jury Duty (Freeve) 8 Reservation Dogs (FX) 9 For All Man Kind (Apple+) 10 Dave (Hulu)
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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 16/11/2023
This story is important and horrifying. Includes graphic imagery.
washingtonpost.com
Terror on repeat: A rare look at the devastation caused by AR-15 shootings
Photos, videos and personal accounts show how the AR-15 has given assailants the power to instantly turn everyday gathering places into zones of gruesome violence.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 20/10/2023
President Biden’s problem is that his older, soft spoken nature doesn’t serve him well in a country looking for charismatic leadership. His style seemed attractive after four years of chaos cause by the Trump presidency. Now, it works against him. We could use some Obama energy right now.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 14/10/2023
Lessons in Chemistry on AppleTV+ is a really good show!
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 14/10/2023
Hot take: Matthew Broderick is not a particularly good actor. Hot take #2: The Cable Guy, whatever its flaws, has a solid soundtrack!
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 03/10/2023
What is the going rate that people are paying participants for online survey experiments using Lucid, prolific, and mTurk these days? #Polisky
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 28/09/2023
🚨 New Publication Alert 🚨 My new co-authored entitled, "Place, Race, and the Geographic Politics of White Grievance," with @ZoeNemerever, @KalMunis, and Fran Verville is now online at @PolBehavior! #polisky link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Place, Race, and the Geographic Politics of White Grievance - Political Behavior
Rural resentment is a form of place-based grievance politics that scholars have used to explain the growing urban-rural divide in American politics. However, whereas extant theory assumes that rural r...
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Risa Brooks @risabrooks12.bsky.social · 27/09/2023
At the time, when I wrote this piece in Nov. 2022 I wondered if maybe I was pushing the envelope just a bit too far. I only wish that had been the case . . . So, how does this effort to politicize the military work? 1/
foreignaffairs.com
The Right Wing’s Loyalty Test for the U.S. Military
A dangerous turn in civil-military relations.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 27/09/2023
Oh, God! I’ve become an alarming statistic.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 22/09/2023
Will @goodauth.bsky.social eventually allow submissions from other academics again like the Monkey Cage did, or is that format gone completely? #polisky
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 16/09/2023
For the life of me, I can not figure out why pennies still exist, except to sit in a jar at my grandmother’s house.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 11/09/2023
Much of mainstream media believes its job heading into the 2024 election cycle is to make this chart balance out. Only then can the parties be presented as equal and opposite. To media, the fact that there's a lot more objectively negative news about Trump is a challenge for them to overcome.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 09/09/2023
Me retraining my pup, Uly, after a year apart and him reverting back to a feral state: youtu.be/7kLsjvHzpa0?...
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 07/09/2023
polisky I am running the job market information slack this year, so if you are not currently a member of the slack but want to be either to pass along updates because you're on a committee or to track them because you are on the market, please send me an email at rdawkins@carleton.edu. Cheers!
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 06/09/2023
Polisky friends! What are some of your favorite podcast episodes that you have assigned for an intro to American politics class?
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 06/09/2023
Day 1 on the tenure-track at Carleton College is in the books. The number of brilliant people I met at the faculty retreat today was incredible. The cross-pollination of ideas one gets across departments at a SLAC is unparalleled. I love breaking down disciplinary barriers!
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 06/09/2023
I can't wait to hate watch season 3 of The Morning Show on Apple+
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 04/09/2023
Grad methods should teach: -Gelman & Stern 2006 (below) -Heinmueller et al. on interactions -Data Colada on power -Gelman on interaction power -Jacob/me on post-treatment bias -Franco et al. on dropping conditions/outcomes (still common in "preregistered" work) So many of my reviews are about these
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 04/09/2023
This is what giving up looks like
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 02/09/2023
Yep
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 30/08/2023
🚨 New Publication Alert 🚨 My paper with Zoe Nemerever and Kal Munis entitled, "Race, Place, and the Geographic Politics of White Grievance" has been officially accepted at Political Behavior! In it, we show that place-based attitudes and racial attitudes are intimately linked in complex ways.
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Ryan Dawkins @ryan-dawkins.bsky.social · 30/08/2023
Below Deck: Down Under is the best of the below deck franchises.
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