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Reposted by Robert Griffin, Phd

Robert Griffin, Phd @rpgriffin.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

New piece from me @chriswarshaw.bsky.social , @devincaughey.bsky.social , and Bernard Fraga. Story: though we've entered a high turnout era, turnout gaps between racial groups have reemerged. Nerdy story: Using publicly available data, we've generated new, reliable turnout estimates over time.

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Robert Griffin, Phd @rpgriffin.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

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Reposted by Robert Griffin, Phd

Chris Warshaw @chriswarshaw.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

In recent years, white turnout has spiked. But turnout among Black and other non-white Americans has stagnated. @devincaughey.bsky.social, Bernard Fraga, @rpgriffin.bsky.social & I have a summary in @goodauth.bsky.social of our work on turnout in U.S. elections. goodauthority.org/news/2024-br...

goodauthority.org

2024 brought high voter turnout – but a growing racial gap

New data shows that while white turnout has spiked, turnout among Black and other non-white Americans has stagnated.

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Robert Griffin, Phd @rpgriffin.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

Be cautious if... -different polls are telling you different things -results are really surprising -results are about a ~hard to survey population I'd say "Trump unfavorables dropped 20pts in two weeks with young voters" matches about 2.3/3.0 of those statements. today.yougov.com/topics/polit...

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Robert Griffin, Phd @rpgriffin.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

What I find frustrating about this particular topic is the number of "researcher degrees of freedom". The party closer to median voters varies not only by topic (immigration vs healthcare) but even varies within topic like immigration (which is one of the foci of this piece).

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Robert Griffin, Phd @rpgriffin.bsky.social · 11/11/2024

As the power turns, So do their concerns, Economy's the best, Or it's in distress, Based on party lines.

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