Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 11/05/2026Catherine West being the face of the rebellion is doing serious damage to any Rayner/Burnham campaign. I've never seen such a incompetent attempt at a coup in my entire life 041
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/05/2026The main reason I still favour Starmer to stay on is because the alternatives are highly incompetent. 030
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 08/05/2026And Blair not only won the next election but won in a landslide. The same thing happened with Thatcher in her first term as well. 050
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 21/04/2026They also fail to acknowledge that Trump had just become president in January and so obviously there would be pressure to get the ambassador in place as soon as possible. 010
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 16/04/2026Looks like he was due to update the house of commons on the situation and plans to address it before the guardian leaks. To me, it seems like his biggest mistake was nominating him in the first place (can't just blame McSweeney) which lead to officials taking it on themselves to push it through. 010
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 30/03/2026100% agree. Politics is all about momentum and probably for the first time since the election I'm starting to see Starmer build some with his stance against Trump. All it takes is a 10 point swing to completely change the electoral calculus, which is nothing in the grand scheme of things. 150
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 18/03/2026The most interesting thing about the speech for me is towards the end when she talks about media regulation. She recognises the public demand for it, and that press standards have been falling and chasing clickbait. Makes me think that an overhaul of Ofcom is coming. 160
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 02/03/2026I don't have high expectations from the other political leaders and commentators, but Davey and the Lib Dems giving a kneejerk response is deeply disappointing. There was a time in British politics when national security was a point of unity not division. 2160
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/02/2026All he has achieved is somehow made his leadership more untenable than Starmer's despite everything. 110
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/02/2026Very amateurish strategy from Sarwar. Seems like he was acting out of frustration because his own campaign is faltering. The smarter approach would've been to see how May goes, and then turn on Starmer to save his position if it goes badly. 210
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/02/2026Even tactically it makes no sense. All hes done is alienate the section of the party that wanted unity. If he gets what he wants, the chaos and economic fallout + attack lines pointing out blatant hypocrisy will destroy whatever small chance he had of taking holyrood this time round. 030
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/02/2026Think the calculation is Starmer without McSweeney is vulnerable to a leadership election. Although not sure who would actually beat him in one at this moment. 020
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/02/2026Blows my mind that he thinks a leadership election and throwing the country into chaos just before the Scottish election will win him Holyrood 020
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/02/2026In his statement he said he stepped down to allow a new number 10 team to be built. Not sure whether its the right move, but it's clear the direction is from Starmer. 000
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 08/02/2026No chance he brings Rayner back until her HMRC investigation has concluded 030
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 06/02/2026My view has always been that the risks to inflation are to the downside, and we'll see rates settle in the 2.5-2.75% neutral range, and that current estimates are too high. 010
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 06/02/2026The only opinion that matters at these next few meetings is Andrew Bailey's as he is the swing vote in the MPC. As he is no longer worried about inflation, as long as the data backs up further reductions in inflation, you can expect more cuts. 100
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 03/02/2026His job was to schmooze Trump and feed information back to the UK, which to be fair he was pretty good at. It just turns out that the people that get along with Trump the best are also some of the scummiest people around. 131
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 30/01/2026Don't get why he's anymore toast this week than he was last week or 3 months ago. His approval ratings bottomed in October, and is up 7% since the start of the year. I think the media is starting to get scared that he's survived all of their attempts to get him out. 130
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Also characterising it as a U-turn is incredibly stupid. Labours policy was to provide relief to soften the blow of business rates revaluation and COVID relief running out. Now they're providing further support + wider reform. It's a extension of the policy, not a u-turn. 020
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 24/01/2026Don't think Neville would go into politics now. He has a big sky contract and podcast deals that he would have to give up to become a MP/mayor 200
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 24/01/2026If Reform ended up winning the Manchester mayoral by-election this would end up being one of the biggest betrayals I've seen. Not to mention that spreading party resources to fight it would hurt the party in Wales and Scotland. 2112
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 24/01/2026Worry for me is he wins the by-election due to personal support, but then labour loses the manchester mayoral by-election. Party resources would be spread thin and Reform could put loads into winning Manchester. 010
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 22/01/2026Regardless, not convinced it happens. Burnham would have to: 1. Convince the party to let him step down 2. Win selection to run in the by-election 3. Win the by-election (not guaranteed) 4. Win the leadership challenge (previously came 4th when Corbyn was elected leader) 180
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 22/01/2026Very dumb idea to waste party resources fighting a uneccessary mayoral by-election in Manchester as well when there's important local elections around the corner. 150
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 08/01/2026Oh no we could've used that money to run the NHS for like 5 seconds, what a huge scandal 020
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 23/12/2025It's crazy that media outlets are doing seat projections when Reforms lead is only 5 points and we're 4 years out from a general election. If Labour come back and win, it wouldn't even register in the top 1000 political comebacks. 120
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 18/12/2025Lobby journalists are the most entitled group of people in the country imo. They pretend like they have the most important job ever, even though all they do is twist everything to fit whatever narrative they want to push. They're a net negative to society and dont deserve their influence. 160
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 18/12/2025Feel like my prediction from a month ago was pretty accurate. There's now a 50/50 chance of a Feb cut. I think with lower oil/gas prices and softening food inflation, we could see both a Feb and April cut. Still think the bank is putting too much emphasis on inflation and not enough on unemployment 000
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 17/12/2025The opinion of a former MPC member does not matter. Out of the 9 current MPC memebers, 4 are predicted to vote for a cut, 4 for a hold, with Andrew Bailey (the governor of the BOE) as the swing vote. As Bailey has indicated that he favours lowering rates, you should expect a cut tommorow. 110
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 13/12/2025Think its pretty clear that the disinformation is Russian funded considering the scale at which it is pushed on social media. This, alongside things such as the arson attack on Starmer's family home, shows how serious the threat is and needs the media to take a stand against reposting these lies. 071
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 11/12/2025I mean you can look at Wes Streeting's recent comments about the BMA RDC chair and you can see that the BMA is being anything but neutral. She has shown me the correspondence from the BMA and they are definitely pushing members to vote no - even if their official position is to be neutral. 220
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 11/12/2025Interesting that the supposedly now neutral chair of Ofcom Michael Grade is voting along party lines. Surely no issue to see there. 120
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Maybe officially they aren't, but she told me that through the email with the offer and messaging since, the BMA said that because there is no movement on pay, members should vote no. 110
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Important to note that the BMA are recommending its members to vote no on friday. Source: my sister is a BMA member 130
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/12/2025I would assume there's a ton of bureaucracy involved with every new account that is set up/managed which is why this process is taking so long. Despite that, I think think Tim Allan is doing a good job as his new comms director and hopefully the improvements keep on coming. 000
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 01/12/2025The most frustrating thing is the media could make these charts themselves, its not like they're lacking in resources to do so. Yet they will cover small boats extensively but cherry pick data and completely change their methodology in order to fit editorial lines. Drives me insane. 130
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 01/12/2025Ever since Reform started dropping in the polls in the past few weeks the hysteria from the media and opposition parties has gone into overdrive. They can see what I see as well, which is lower rates and lower inflation over the next few years, which means higher consumer confidence and growth. 030
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 28/11/2025They could've redone their productivity modelling at the start of last year and it would've stopped Hunt from putting in last minute massive NI tax cuts which left a massive hole for Labour to fill at the next budget. 130
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 27/11/2025They can only forecast current plans. As of right now there is no pip reforms that can be sent to the OBR because the Timms review concludes next summer. Also the government has other labour market reforms that should be coming out soon that will probably be in the next OBR forecast 000
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 26/11/2025I'm not sure, I was busy so I missed the last bit of her speech. Again she might have announced it, in which case just ignore my previous comment 010
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 26/11/2025I noticed that the Chancellor didn't announce any OBR reforms (unless I missed it) such as moving to 1 fiscal forecast a year. Makes me think she wants that spring forecast just before the May elections because she thinks we can beat the current forecast. 100
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 13/11/2025This is because inflation was higher in the UK this year because of measures like employer NI that came into place at the start of this tax year. The new inflation cutting measures would come in at the start of the next tax year, leading to a big drop in YoY inflation from April 2026 onwards. 020
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 13/11/2025I would say maybe a 10-20% chance, much more likely they just increase the pace of 25bp cuts. If theres big energy price cutting measures in the budget as they've been suggesting, we could see 2-3 cuts before the May elections (including December). 120
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 13/11/2025This along with the unemployment data guarantees a december interest rate cut. Also think the BOE might accelerate rate cuts going into next year, potentially bringing us to the neutral rate of 2.5% by the end of 2026/early 2027 100
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/11/2025Don't think they can, I think the appointment has to be led by the boards nomination committee as under the terms of the royal charter. Only silver lining is whoever is put forward knows they wont be protected by the government anymore, or the board, as for most of them, their days are numbered. 010
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 09/11/2025Thats what the BBC charter is for - It lasts a decade and is due to run out on December 31 2027. Thats why the government has been quiet on the BBC so far, they were hoping to replace Gibb and co from the board by then and with a new charter could start to fix it. 110
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 07/11/2025At that point to raise funds you're better off just increasing income tax by 1p instead of trying to cut NI at the same time 000
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 07/11/2025If you tried to exclude the 50k-125k tax band then you would have to raise the top rate tax band to something like 60%+ I believe. With rates at that level it would have other distorting effects to the economy which is not advisable 110
Rohit @rohitchak.bsky.social · 07/11/2025Would require a significant increase if you applied it to only the higher rates of income tax. Would have to look up the numbers to figure out how much exactly. The biggest losers would probably be young professionals like doctors who would have to pay thousands more in income tax. 100
