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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 23/09/2026

Just because voters identify as “moderate” does not mean they are clamoring for conventional centrism. Most want candidates who will challenge billionaires and the political establishment. New op-ed from our Executive Director @rodonnell.bsky.social: thehill.com/opinion/camp...

thehill.com

Don’t assume moderate Democrats crave centrism

A voter can call themselves moderate and still want candidates who champion economic populism and challenge the political establishment.

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

hey wanna see a chart that people have very strong feelings about

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 17/07/2026

NEW DFP Insights from @rodonnell.bsky.social: Unity and enthusiasm in 2026 and 2028 require the Dem establishment to accept primary wins by DSA-aligned candidates, not treat them as problems to manage. Rejecting the DSA would be yet another sign the status quo is misaligned with Dem voters.

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

the swing voters who will decide the midterms do not want democrats to sound more like republicans

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

public opinion is still divided on trans issues, but research can help us find paths to fight back. when you name the government overreach, voters are not supportive of blanket bans on gender-related care:

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Way to Win @waytowinus.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

The politics we have as Americans ultimately is up to us. We can choose for our democracy to be a dreary march to the drab center or running over groups of people with a metaphorical bus. Or we can choose an imagination battle that realigns the center so we can fight and build on favorable terrain.

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

zohran's election wasn't just a quirk of NYC — his policies are popular nationwide. voters want to see moral conviction and concrete plans to lower costs

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

I’m deeply honored to lead Data for Progress into our next chapter. The point of our research is not to determine what our values should be, but how to fight for our values most effectively. Excited to keep working with our amazing, dedicated team to sharpen our strategy.

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 16/10/2025

NEW: The government shutdown and ceasefire in Gaza were the top stories breaking through to voters from Oct. 10-13. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/10...

Horizontal bar chart titled “Most Heard News Story: Oct. 10–13, 2025.” It shows the results of an open-ended survey question asking U.S. likely voters what news story they heard about most recently. The top responses are:

Government shutdown — 25%

Ceasefire in Gaza — 22%

[All other items] — 11%

Immigration / Deportations — 6%

Nothing — 5%

National Guard / Chicago / Portland — 5%

Tariffs — 4%

Crime — 4%

Charlie Kirk assassination — 3%

Nobel Prize — 2%

General comments about Trump administration — 2%

Blank / Unintelligible — 2%

Don’t know — 2%

Tennessee explosion — 1%

Weather / Climate — 1%

James Comey / Letitia James indictments — 1%

Foreign policy (not Israel / Gaza) — 1%

Epstein — 1%.
Survey conducted October 10–13, 2025, among 1,217 likely voters by Data for Progress.

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Zeteo @zeteo.com · 07/08/2025

“Voters across party lines oppose Israel blocking food & medical aid in Gaza, & want Trump to demand that Israel let aid into Gaza.” @rodonnell.bsky.social, interim executive director of @dataforprogress.org, writes about American voters growing critical of Israel. Read: zeteo.com/p/poll-ameri...

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 03/07/2025

surprise! we too find the republican budget bill is *incredibly unpopular* — truly wild to watch so many house republicans willing to torch their own seats for trump’s ego, all while stripping their constituents of health coverage to fund tax cuts for billionaires

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 27/06/2025

New DFP Insights from @rodonnell.bsky.social: "Mamdani’s campaign showcased how Democrats can reach disaffected voters by acknowledging our political and economic systems are broken and demonstrating that they will actually fight to help fix them." www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...

dataforprogress.org

Zohran Mamdani’s Victory Shows That Economic Populism Is a Winner

By running on economic populism, Democrats can show voters that they are offering bold solutions that will make life easier and create a more just economy.

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

lots of good stuff in the new poll with zeteo — we also ran a conjoint test (iykyk) and the most favored profile for the 2028 dem nominee: a 47-year-old Black woman who’s governed a state and is an economic populist. if only this person existed

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

we also tested favorables for a wide range of democrats — obama has the highest fav at 92%. fetterman has the highest unfav at 36%

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

we tested a whole lot of names for the 2028 democratic primary with zeteo — considering vs not considering tells you way more than an early ballot test: cory booker currently leads at +68. stephen a smith finishes last at -18

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 11/04/2025

i was surprised when we asked voters what news story stood out most during peak “signalgate” coverage — at best, it was tied with tariffs and losing to “nothing” this week, though, trump’s tariffs were overwhelmingly the top story

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

after the shutdown vote, we asked voters how democrats in washington handle political fights. the most common response? "weak"

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 12/03/2025

voters often say they support mass deportations in theory—until they have to think about the actual people being deported. our research keeps proving it: cruelty only polls well in the abstract. make it real, and support crumbles

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 08/03/2025

one funny thing about being part of an openly progressive polling outfit: plenty of center/right folks assume every poll we release skews left. but bad data isn’t just wrong—it’s useless. cooking numbers would hurt the movement, not help it

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 07/03/2025

new @dataforprogress.org data confirms what you’ve always felt: democrats criticize their own party way more than republicans do

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 06/03/2025

most voters have a sense of what oligarchy means — and it’s probably good bernie is helping teach the rest, since a plurality thinks we're becoming one

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

whenever you highlight real people affected by trump's immigration policies, voters consistently choose compassion over cruelty

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 24/02/2025

NEW: When asked about the nuances of immigration policy, voters prefer more humane approaches. For example, a majority of voters think ICE should not be allowed to make arrests at sensitive locations like schools and churches. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/2/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Do Not Approve of ICE Arrests at Most Sensitive Locations.
Description: Below are locations where undocumented immigrants might be arrested by agents from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). For each location, please state whether you believe arrests should be allowed.
The site of a funeral, wedding, or other public religious ceremony — ICE should not be allowed to make arrests in this location: 56%, Not sure: 13%, ICE should be allowed to make arrests in this location: 31%
Churches, synagogues, mosques, or other institutions of worship — ICE should not be allowed to make arrests in this location: 56%, Not sure: 13%, ICE should be allowed to make arrests in this location: 31%
Schools — ICE should not be allowed to make arrests in this location: 54%, Not sure: 11%, ICE should be allowed to make arrests in this location: 34%
Places where children gather, such as playgrounds, recreation centers, or school bus stops — ICE should not be allowed to make arrests in this location: 54%, Not sure: 12%, ICE should be allowed to make arrests in this location: 34%
Hospitals — ICE should not be allowed to make arrests in this location: 50%, Not sure: 13%, ICE should be allowed to make arrests in this location: 37%
Social services establishments, such as domestic violence shelters, victim services centers, and food pantries — ICE should not be allowed to make arrests in this location: 48%, Not sure: 13%, ICE should be allowed to make arrests in this location: 39%
The site of a public demonstration like a march or parade — ICE should not be allowed to make arrests in this location: 32%, Not sure: 15%, ICE should be allowed to make arrests in this location: 53%

February 14–15, 2025 survey of 1,215 U.S. likely voters.

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 19/02/2025

NEW: Forty-five percent of voters say that Elon Musk has made them less likely to buy a Tesla, while only 17% say that they are more likely to purchase one. www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Democrats and Independents Say Elon Musk Has Made Them Less Likely to Buy a Tesla.
Description: Has Elon Musk made you more or less likely to buy or lease a Tesla?
All likely voters — More likely: 17%, Less likely: 45%
Democrat — More likely: 13%, Less likely: 66%
Independent / Third party — More likely: 12%, Less likely: 50%
Republican — More likely: 23%, Less likely: 21%

February 14–15, 2025 survey of 1,215 likely voters.

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 18/02/2025

NEW: A majority of Democratic voters (65%), and an even larger majority of Independents who lean Democratic (80%), say the party is not doing enough and needs to fight harder against the Trump administration. www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Democrats and Independents Who Lean Democratic Want the Party to Fight Harder Against Trump.
Description: Which of the following comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
Response Options:
A) The Democratic Party is not doing enough to stand up to Donald Trump and his administration and needs to fight harder.
B) Don't know
C) The Democratic Party could do a better job resisting Donald Trump and his administration, but overall is doing a decent job.
All likely voters — 67% chose A, 4% chose B, 29% chose C
Democrat — 65% chose A, 4% chose B, 31% chose C
Democratic-leaning Independent — 80% chose A, 4% chose B, 16% chose C

February 8–9, 2025 survey of 542 likely Democratic voters and Independent voters who lean towards Democrats.

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Catherine Fraser @cathfraser.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

Americans against ethnic cleansing. @dataforprogress.org's @rodonnell.bsky.social in @zeteo.com today: zeteo.com/p/trump-gaza...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Oppose Trump's Proposal to Take Over and Own Gaza and Forcibly Resettle Its Residents.
Description: This week, President Trump called for the U.S. to "take over" and "own" Gaza, and transform it from a "demolition site" into the "Riviera of the Middle East." This would require forcibly resettling the roughly 1.8 million Palestinians who live in Gaza into neighboring countries. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
All likely voters — Support: 28%, Oppose: 64%
Democrat — Support: 10%, Oppose: 86%
Independent / Third party — Support: 23%, Oppose: 63%
Republican — Support: 46%, Oppose: 43%

February 8–9, 2025 survey of 1,201 U.S. likely voters.

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

a plurality of independents say trump's admin is "chaotic" (45%) — with "effective" a distant second at 19%

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

the only thing worse for eric adams than being under indictment during the nyc democratic primary is getting bailed out by donald trump’s justice department

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

feels like we’re going to be using this chart a lot

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 18/12/2024

NEW: Voters strongly support major health care reforms, from expanding Medicare and Medicaid to a public option and Medicare for All — and they remain supportive even after being told they’d pay more in taxes. www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/sup...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Support Serious Reform to Health Care Policy, Even if They Have to Pay More in Taxes.

Read the full poll at: https://www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/support-for-health-care-reforms

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 17/12/2024

NEW: Our comprehensive post-election report examines the factors that led to Trump's win, using longitudinal data collected throughout 2024. Primarily, we find that voters were upset with the economy and the status quo.

Trump Voters Say They Voted for Him Because He Is a Change From the Biden-Harris Administration and Will Secure the Border.
Description: Which of the following best describes why you voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election?
Response Options:
A) He is a much-needed change from the current Biden-Harris administration
B) He will secure the border and deport illegal immigrants
C) He will lower costs
D) He will keep jobs in America
E) He will stop extremism around gender, race, and sexuality in our culture
F) He will lower my taxes
G) Other
H) None of these
2024 Trump voters — 36% chose A, 26% chose B, 14% chose C, 10% chose D, 5% chose E, 3% chose F, 5% chose G, 1% chose H
Independent / Third party — 46% chose A, 21% chose B, 10% chose C, 9% chose D, 3% chose E, 2% chose F, 8% chose G, 0% chose H
Republican — 34% chose A, 28% chose B, 15% chose C, 9% chose D, 5% chose E, 4% chose F, 4% chose G, 1% chose H

November 15–18, 2024 survey of 612 likely voters who voted for Trump

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 16/12/2024

the closest i get to his thinking here is that AP votecast shows a 31% *increase* in his 18-29 support (36% in 2020 → 47% in 2024). trump just doesn’t understand the difference between percent and percentage points—and on top of that forgot the actual number

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

i remember hearing barack obama talk about rejecting corporate PAC money during the 2007 primary — i didn't know much yet back then but it really drew me in

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

reminder of what voters actually mean here

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

this stuff is important to note — seeing it in our polling now too: despite massive polarization, some voters still give new leaders a honeymoon, hoping they’ll do well even if they didn’t vote for them. it usually ends with the first big move in office voters don’t like

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 23/11/2024

feels like it’s gonna end up being my thing to keep reminding people that young men aren’t all suddenly ultra conservative now

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

progressive populist economic policy is incredibly popular across the board—even with trump voters new from @dataforprogress.org: www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/11...

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

our survey showing that democrats supporting israel’s actions in gaza lost them four points on the GCB is one i think about a lot split-ticket.org/2024/07/10/w...

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

and harris' support drops with less news consumption, whether you have a college degree or not

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 13/11/2024

am i the only one who expected more of the hegseths and less of the rubios this term

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 12/11/2024

if i’m reading this CAIR data correctly, they estimate ~2.5 million muslim voters in the U.S. — if you assume 65% turnout and 53% voted for jill stein, that would mean over 860k votes for her from muslims alone? she’s currently at 718k total

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 11/11/2024

this is not dismissing very real economic concerns but still very excited to see how much these numbers perfectly flip in late january

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Reposted by Ryan O'Donnell

Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 08/11/2024

Hi Bluesky! Glad to be here. In the wake of the election, it's disheartening to see some Democrats throw the transgender community under the bus. The data shows that's the wrong approach — voters actually want the government to be less involved in regulating transgender people's lives.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Reject Candidates Who Support Anti-Trans Legislation.
Description: Which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Response Options:
A) A candidate who says that the government should stay out of people's private lives and that there is too much legislation targeting a small minority of the population
B) Don't know
C) A candidate who says that we need new laws that restrict access to transgender health care and keep "biological boys" out of girls' sports
All likely voters — 57% chose A, 9% chose B, 34% chose C
Democrat — 79% chose A, 7% chose B, 14% chose C
Independent / Third party — 54% chose A, 12% chose B, 33% chose C
Republican — 33% chose A, 9% chose B, 58% chose C

October 18–21, 2024 survey of 1,216 likely voters.

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 08/11/2024

looking at some unweighted dfp data by how much attention voters pay to political news -a great deal: harris +8 -a lot: harris +5 -a moderate amount: trump +1 -a little: trump +8 -none at all: trump +15

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 11/07/2024

when you tell voters the democrat and republican agree with israel's current stance, the democrat *loses* four points in the GCB t.co/JJXJyVwUC1

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 16/06/2024

worm ate the part that understands pluralities

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 17/05/2024

we tested question order affecting horse race and found RFK jr at 9% in both directions www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/202...

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Ryan O'Donnell @rodonnell.bsky.social · 05/10/2023

Democrats in NJ are not interested in re-electing Senator Menendez www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2023/10...

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