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Robin Mills

@robinmills.bsky.social
1.4K followers 599 following 322 posts

Middle East energy guru. CEO of Qamar Energy, fellow Columbia Center on Global Energy Policy, author 'The Myth of the Oil Crisis' & 'Capturing Carbon'; columnist The National, weekly newsletter www.thenationalnews.com/newsletters…

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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
As Xi Jinping and Masoud Pezeshkian visit US, China is the big winner from the US's Iran war. Beijing doesn't want total oil cut-off or economic disaster, but "warm war" & curtailed supplies & US distraction suit it fine. #energysky @thenationalnews.com www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene...
thenationalnews.com
Why the US-Iran war is working in China’s favour | The National
Beijing has much to gain from US distraction, but needs to keep the conflict contained enough to protect its interests
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
In the top 10 of bad energy policy...but it looks like a US diesel export ban is on the table...
thenationalnews.com
Why a US diesel export ban would only make the global fuel crisis worse | The National
Restricting shipments may offer political appeal as prices surge, but risks driving up costs and undermining Washington’s energy ambitions
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Energy enters a new age of disorder How does the energy industry redesign itself where 80 years of rules don't apply any more? #energsky @thenationalnews.com www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene...
thenationalnews.com
Energy enters a new age of disorder | The National
Geopolitical tension is fracturing the systems that once underpinned global energy security and co-operation
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Saudi oil between the Houthi Charybdis and the six-headed Iranian Scylla...for now, like Odysseus, they are choosing Scylla #energysky www.agbi.com/opinion/oil-...
agbi.com
Saudi oil is caught between a modern Scylla and Charybdis
At risk from both the Houthis and Iranian attacks, Saudi Arabia faces an impossible decision over what to do with its oil exports
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
A "worthless piece of water?" Lots of focus on the Hormuz/Red Sea oil story - but for LNG, the situation around Hormuz definitely isn't getting better Storage only 66% full. A warm winter will probably save Europe, but it's going to be expensive & uncomfortable #energysky @thenationalnews.com
thenationalnews.com
Winter is coming: The LNG crisis Europe cannot afford to ignore | The National
Given limited storage, Europe will probably still need to import more LNG this winter than it did last year
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
The Venezuela-US oil venture...a great deal, if you ignore the whole history of Latin American petroleum #energysky @thenationalnews.com www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene...
thenationalnews.com
US claim on Venezuelan oil reserves is a deliberate red cape to a bull | The National
Granting foreign ownership of oil reserves is contrary to Venezuela's constitution
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Like the cricketer's scoop shot, the unconventional becomes conventional - shale oil & gas development arrives in the Gulf #energysky www.agbi.com/opinion/oil-...
agbi.com
Gulf oil and gas industries embrace the unconventional
Gulf countries are enthusiastically following the champion in adopting unconventional hydrocarbon techniques, says Robin Mills
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
The first casualty of war is the truth; the last victim is often the environment. How conflict and oil spills threaten fragile Gulf ecosystems @thenationalnews.com #energysky www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene...
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Are new US conditions going to blow up the Saudi civil nuclear cooperation deal? But as China and Russia watch, the US is not the only critical player www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... #energysky @thenationalnews.com
thenationalnews.com
How US conditions on Saudi nuclear accord could torpedo the deal | The National
Washington needs to resolve the fissure between its goals in business, geopolitics and non-proliferation
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Reposted by Robin Mills
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
TODAY at 10 AM ET: Beyond the Strait: The Future of Global Energy Security with Carole Nakhle, @robinmills.bsky.social, Adnan Shihab-Eldin, moderated by Kate Dourian. Join us! agsi.org/events/beyon...
agsi.org
Beyond the Strait: The Future of Global Energy Security - AGSI
On August 11, AGSI will host a discussion on global energy markets.
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Reposted by Robin Mills
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Tomorrow: “Beyond the Strait: The Future of Global Energy Security” with Carole Nakhle, @robinmills.bsky.social, Adnan Shihab-Eldin, moderated by Kate Dourian. Join us! agsi.org/events/beyon...
agsi.org
Beyond the Strait: The Future of Global Energy Security - AGSI
On August 11, AGSI will host a discussion on global energy markets.
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Reposted by Robin Mills
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
On August 11, AGSI will host a discussion on global energy markets with Carole Nakhle, @robinmills.bsky.social, Adnan Shihab-Eldin, moderated by Kate Dourian. Register today. agsi.org/events/beyon...
agsi.org
Beyond the Strait: The Future of Global Energy Security - AGSI
On August 11, AGSI will host a discussion on global energy markets.
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
After the death of Sir Ian Wood & bp's decision to exit the UK offshore, @andyburnham.bsky.social can take a political, environmental & economic win: revive the North Sea, get jobs & tax, neutralise Reform & Con, help pay for net-zero #energysky www.energyconnects.com/opinion/thou...
energyconnects.com
The North Sea: reclaiming Britain’s offshore legacy before the lights go out
The death of Sir Ian Wood on 26 July, and bp’s announcement on 31 July that it will sell its North Sea assets, mark the end of an era. In 1967, Sir Ian took
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
What do you do when the Strait of Hormuz is blocked and you can't export gas? Bypass pipelines don't work, so... LNG outside the Strait Chemicals by train & truck to port Gas by wire (electricity) Gas by cable (data) #energysky
thenationalnews.com
How UAE's Adnoc is building a gas strategy beyond the Strait of Hormuz | The National
While there's hope the waterway will soon reopen to normal commerce, the perception of threat remains
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
Iran & Oman are talking about a plan to re-open the Strait of Hormuz. The Sultanate has been the big economic gainer from the war. How did it do that? Is that going to continue? @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social #energysky agsi.org/analysis/oma...
agsi.org
Oman in the War - AGSI
Oman has benefitted from the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, but continued conflict and Oman’s highwire neutrality balancing act mean that the sultanate’s economic windfall is still in danger.
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
New strait problem: US playing wrong moves on Gulf chessboard again www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
thenationalnews.com
New strait problem: US playing wrong moves on Gulf chessboard again | The National
The war around Hormuz is still far from checkmate for either side
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Gulf oil & LNG shipping fleets are a key asset, have become an essential strategic tool during the war - but also a target With the renewed threat in the Bab Al Mandab, will the Gulf NOC tankers keep sailing? www.agbi.com/opinion/ship...
agbi.com
The high-stakes tanker trade that keeps oil flowing through Hormuz
Strategic control of ships – especially oil tankers – is a critical factor in the next phase of the struggle for the Strait of Hormuz
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
The deaths of Emir Hamad & Abdullah Al Attiyah mark the end of Qatar LNG's golden era. Expansion plans and market oversupply already meant change and challenge for Qatar's LNG sector. Now it contends with physical danger agsi.org/analysis/qat... #energysky @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social
agsi.org
Qatar LNG Past & Future - AGSI
As Qatar looks to the future, it will have to assess the battered landscape of the global LNG industry, reassure its customer base, and rethink its approach for a very different market.
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
No VAR reviews: Argentina, the Falkland Islands and oil wins www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
thenationalnews.com
No VAR reviews: Argentina, the Falkland Islands and oil wins | The National
Falklands’ tortuous road to crude may be nearing fulfilment
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Ukraine's refinery offensive is draining the Russian war machine - 90% of Russia's pre-war refining capacity now within range of Ukrainian drones & missiles - July refining output more than 40% below pre-war levels
thenationalnews.com
Ukraine's refinery offensive is draining the Russian war machine | The National
The latest phase of the war is disrupting fuel supplies at home while tightening refined product markets abroad
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
The US at 250 - the ageing energy champion faces a new challenger www.energyconnects.com/opinion/thou... #energysky
energyconnects.com
The United States at 250: what next for its energy sector?
The 4th of July this year marked the US’s 250th birthday. For almost exactly half that time, it has been the champion of global energy. With a bold shift toward
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Syria’s solar boom is redefining Middle East’s energy model www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
thenationalnews.com
Syria’s solar boom is redefining Middle East’s energy model | The National
It reflects a wider trend in crisis-hit countries such as Lebanon, Yemen and Pakistan, where unreliable grids have fuelled rooftop solar adoption
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Iran got what it wanted from the US deal. Can it grasp its chance for economic recovery? www.thenationalnews.com/business/eco... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
thenationalnews.com
Iran got what it wanted from the US deal. Will it squander its chance for economic recovery? | The National
Tehran's needs are enormous, with ageing oilfields needing recovery and new explorations waiting
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Start your engines? Hormuz may not be all-clear yet www.agbi.com/opinion/oil-...
agbi.com
Markets should not assume the danger in Hormuz has passed
The reopening of Hormuz may prove to be a genuine peace or simply a pause. Energy markets are remaining cautious
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
The Hormuz war has bent the global metals industry out of shape #energysky @thenationalnews.com www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene...
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
The Strait of Hormuz may be about to reopen - but Gulf countries want to make sure it doesn't matter again. The great rerouting and the new spaghetti junction of pipelines, roads and rail gulfif.org/rerouting-th... #energysky
gulfif.org
Rerouting the Gulf Economy - Gulf International Forum
One simple maritime channel is being transformed into a spaghetti junction. Expanded and new pipelines, roads, railways, and ports are sprouting across the Gulf in...
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
What would Abdullah bin Hamad Al Attiyah, architect of Qatar's LNG industry, who died last month, have thought of the current crisis and the impending glut? www.energyconnects.com/opinion/thou... #energysky
energyconnects.com
The Ras Laffan reckoning: the reshuffling of the global LNG map
In his latest column, Robin Mills examines the impact of recent attacks on Qatar’s LNG infrastructure and the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz on
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
How the Gulf crisis and a hot year are changing the energy debate www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
thenationalnews.com
How the Gulf crisis and a hot year are changing the energy debate | The National
Climate extremes and war-driven disruption in the region are exposing the weaknesses of Europe's energy strategy
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
The Beijing way: China is quietly calming global oil markets - for now www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
thenationalnews.com
The Beijing way: China is quietly calming global oil markets | The National
Strict mandates, pricing and guidance to balance economic growth and energy security are part of mix
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
What has Julius Caesar's victory at Alesia in 52 BCE got to do with the Gulf blockades? (hint: not the strategic acumen of the combatants)
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Al Zaidi takes PM hot seat as blockaded Iraq faces its worst times in over a decade www.agbi.com/opinion/oil-... #energysky
agbi.com
Al-Zaidi takes power as Iraq's crisis deepens
Iraq's new prime minister has a lot on his plate: oil exports shut down, electricity about to go off, the budget in peril
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
The OPEC of 1973 or even 1982 is gone After the UAE's exit, time for the organisation to set a more modern and realistic goal www.energyconnects.com/opinion/thou... #energysky
energyconnects.com
Beyond the quota: OPEC and the quest for balancing the oil market
Modern commentators think of OPEC entirely as a market management mechanism, often referring to it as a cartel. But for the first 22 years of its existence
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
The world's oldest pearl testifies to 8000 years of Gulf trade Now Strait of Hormuz disruption is forcing Gulf transit towards pipelines and rail Maritime trade routes are re-orienting towards land The land routes are more expensive and not always practical, but the Strait's importance is eroding
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky Why is oil so cheap? - Unpublicised release of China strategic stocks - Petrochem & aviation demand destruction - Refiners cutting back runs (but have to buy eventually) - Overly optimistic views of rapid re-opening of Hormuz
thenationalnews.com
Don't be fooled by cheap oil | The National
During the Iran war, Brent crude averaged $101 in March, $118 in April and under $106 so far this month
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Opec’s future in question as the UAE builds its own energy system www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
thenationalnews.com
Opec’s future in question as the UAE builds its own energy system | The National
The oil cartel has a chance where it wants to be at the end of the war. It could reinvent or fade
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Opec’s future in question as the UAE builds its own energy system www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com
thenationalnews.com
Opec’s future in question as the UAE builds its own energy system | The National
The oil cartel has a chance where it wants to be at the end of the war. It could reinvent or fade
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
- The UAE’s departure demonstrates a different view of the future of oil, and how to respond. - OPEC kept strict production cuts in place for too long - UAE wants to bring hydrocarbons to market ahead of weakening long-term demand www.agbi.com/opinion/ener...
agbi.com
Why the UAE left Opec
War and political tensions are not the reason for the UAE’s decision to leave Opec – its price and output goals are now in its own hands
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Are Iran's oil wells going to "explode" because of the US blockade? Is it going to lose production capacity permanently from shutting in fields? www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/irans-oil-se... @columbiauenergy.bsky.social @qamarenergy.bsky.social #energysky
energypolicy.columbia.edu
Iran's Oil Sector Can Likely Weather Production Shut-ins, but Gas Fields Are at Risk - Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University SIPA | CGEP %
Get the latest as our experts share their insights on global energy policy.
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
UAE leaves OPEC. As I discuss with @cnn.com - Reflects long-standing UAE aims to grow oil output - Good timing as no-one can produce at max now anyway - Sets up UAE for higher post-war production and inward investment @columbiauenergy.bsky.social @qamarenergy.bsky.social #energysky
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
No quick or easy answers to the global refining crisis as Hormuz blockade continues www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com @qamarenergy.bsky.social #energysky
thenationalnews.com
No quick or easy answers to the global refining crisis as Hormuz blockade continues | The National
As summer approaches, holidaymakers will face an uncomfortable choice between paying more to fly, drive or staying at home
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Is the Iran war a strategic threat or an opportunity for China? www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com @qamarenergy.bsky.social #energysky
thenationalnews.com
Is the Iran war a strategic threat or an opportunity for China? | The National
Beyond restatements of routine positions, Beijing has said and done little publicly
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Why Russia is the big winner from the US-Iran war - US sanctions waivers boost Russia's oil sales p.dw.com/p/5CRdv #energysky
p.dw.com
US waiver boosts Russian oil revenues amid Iran war
The US has issued a short‑term waiver enabling sales of sanctioned Russian oil at sea. Critics say the move lifts Russian revenues and weakens sanctions enforcement.
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
As the Revolutionary Guards close the Strait *again*, call it what it is: the War of Hormuz www.agbi.com/opinion/oil-... #energysky
agbi.com
Call it what it is: the War of Hormuz
The best title for this conflict focuses on its decisive point and the impacts thereof: the War of Hormuz, says Robin Mills
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
The Iran war has disrupted Eastern Mediterranean gas production, exports, and development, threatened regional energy infrastructure, and increased political and investment uncertainty. /1
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
The best way to make this energy crisis a short one is to plan for it to be a long one @energyconnects_ - Protect low-income consumers - Don't subsidise energy - Don't ban fuel exports - Boost EVs, public transport, renewables, nuclear restarts - Step up domestic E&P & storage
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Global gas industry needs to regroup and rethink its future, in and after the war www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com
thenationalnews.com
Global gas industry needs to regroup and rethink its future | The National
The gas market has endured three massive crises in the space of just six years
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Is the Iran ceasefire actually holding? My @columbiauenergy.bsky.social colleagues @professorkaren.bsky.social @richardmnephew.bsky.social and I make sense of a fast-moving situation—contested terms, a strait under Iranian control, and energy markets under serious strain #energysky
youtube.com
Five Weeks of Conflict with Iran: Trajectories, Risks, and Global Implications
YouTube video by Center on Global Energy Policy
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Five Weeks of Conflict with Iran: Trajectories, Risks, and Global Implications www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/events/five-... Thursday 9 April 11-12 EDT - Register here @columbiauenergy.bsky.social
energypolicy.columbia.edu
Five Weeks of Conflict with Iran: Trajectories, Risks, and Global Implications - Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University SIPA | CGEP
More than a month into the Iran conflict, the United States and Iran are at a critical inflection point.
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Strait of Hormuz is America's decisive moment – and Washington's blind spot www.thenationalnews.com/business/202... #energysky @thenationalnews.com
thenationalnews.com
Strait of Hormuz is America's decisive moment – and Washington's blind spot | The National
Every day ships cannot pass strait freely further damages world economy
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Robin Mills @robinmills.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
In this episode of the Iran Conflict Brief with @columbiauenergy.bsky.social , I speak with host Daniel Sternoff to provide a view from the ground in Dubai.
Image of the city of Tehran with mountains in the background and an Iranian flag flying over it
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