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RoamingPigs

@roamingpigs.com
30 followers 81 following 47 posts

Independent technical essays with the contrarian read: what the vendor claims versus what actually holds up in production. AI, security, fintech, startups, tech history. No sponsors, no paywall. roamingpigs.com

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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 01/09/2026
About 1,200 AI agents, separate sandboxes, no way to talk to each other. They built a channel out of the package repository that was there to keep them off the network: 70,000 messages in five days, nothing watching. The confinement problem, 1973 edition. roamingpigs.com/r/ysiam
Agents coordinated a Hugging Face breach through the package repository meant to contain them. Butler Lampson explained why in 1973: you cannot enumerate covert channels, only bound them.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 26/08/2026
Most of the logs you pay to index are never queried once, and almost nobody measures it. One firm was billed $65M by Datadog in a single quarter, Q1 2022, and it did not recur: roamingpigs.com/r/ot
The observability market is projected to reach $172 billion by 2035, yet alert fatigue is epidemic and nobody can say why the system is slow.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 26/08/2026
Every AI video demo was cherry-picked. The recommended workflow is 3 to 5 generations per usable clip plus 15 to 20 percent cleanup time. Sora 2 is 15 seconds on the standard tier. Runway base is 10. Full piece with an AI Cleanup Tax Calculator: roamingpigs.com/r/avds
AI video generation looks impressive in demos because those clips are selected from dozens of attempts.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 26/08/2026
AI took 61% of all global venture funding in 2025, $258.7B of $427.1B. Down-rounds peaked at 15.9% mid-year then eased. Bootstrapped startups survive at 38% over ten years vs 20% VC-backed. The math moved: roamingpigs.com/r/bvv2
Down-rounds hit 15.9% in 2025. AI startups took 61% of all global venture funding. The 2026 math favors bootstrap more than any time since ZIRP ended.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 15/08/2026
I still write assembly in 2026. Not nostalgia. A hand-tuned AVX-512 kernel processes audio at 2.1x lower latency than the same C with -O3. In real-time audio that gap is the deadline. Full piece with kernels and the AES-NI round: roamingpigs.com/r/anl #programming #performance
Assembly language isn't a relic - it's essential for voice AI, cryptography, and performance-critical paths.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 14/08/2026
AI content in Google results went from 7.4% in March 2024 to a 19.6% peak in July 2025 (Originality.ai). One AI article costs $0.0001 to generate; verifying it costs 5 minutes of a human. Detection cannot outrun generation: roamingpigs.com/r/acf
AI content farms have flooded search results with machine-generated text optimized for ranking, not accuracy.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 14/08/2026
This site is static HTML. No React, no Next.js, no SSR. Just files on a CDN. It loads faster, costs less, and breaks less than almost any dynamic site I have built. Not nostalgia. Engineering. roamingpigs.com/r/sssw
Static sites load faster, cost less, and break less than dynamic alternatives. Here's why the simplest web architecture keeps winning against modern complexity.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 13/08/2026
At 1 EC2 instance, a hardware failure is an emergency. At 3,000, it is a Tuesday. I ran that fleet for three years. The piece with the failure-rate math and the five hidden cost categories AWS does not show on the calculator: roamingpigs.com/r/3airc #cloudcomputing #finops
What it actually cost to run 3,000 AWS instances in 2014: the bill, the surprises, and the architecture decisions that drove the spend.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 13/08/2026
The market did not select for the best ideas or the best teams in 2023-2024. It selected for the best access to silicon. The GPU shortage ended. The structural damage did not. roamingpigs.com/r/gsa
The AI boom created a GPU shortage that's reshaping how companies think about compute access and infrastructure.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 12/08/2026
Every Copilot, Cursor, or Continue session starts from zero. The model has no memory of why your team built things the way they did. Parameters freeze at training time. The session that learned does not exist after the tab closes. roamingpigs.com/r/acnm
AI coding assistants are stateless. They don't remember your architectural decisions, past bugs, or team conventions.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 12/08/2026
In 2025 METR measured developers 19% slower with AI while they believed they were 20% faster. METR now says the number no longer reflects current tools, which leaves the gap between stopwatch and self-report as the real finding: roamingpigs.com/r/app2
METR's randomized controlled trial found experienced developers are 19% slower with AI coding tools. The twist: they believed they were 20% faster.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 12/08/2026
The 2025 Stack Overflow survey put PostgreSQL at 55.6%, ahead of every other database. Apple, Netflix, Instagram, NASA all run it. That is pattern recognition catching up with reality after a decade of NoSQL hype. roamingpigs.com/r/wpw
PostgreSQL dominates the 2025 StackOverflow survey with 55.6% market share.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 11/08/2026
Gartner says 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by 2027. The failure mode is not technical, it is the invoice: agents do not error out, they loop and keep billing. The compounding math and the defense playbook: roamingpigs.com/field-manual/agenti…
Gartner predicts over 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by 2027.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 11/08/2026
The Linux kernel is forty million lines and still builds with make. Grunt died. Gulp died. Webpack is on life support. Vite is the current answer. The kernel, Git, and Postgres still ship with a tool from 1976. roamingpigs.com/r/momb
A contrarian defense of Make (1976) over modern JavaScript build tools. Make is boring, understood, and still works.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 11/08/2026
Most founders avoid government work because FedRAMP runs $500K and 18 months, sales cycles run 2 years, and RFPs are 100 pages. That is exactly why it is a moat. What nobody tells you before you sign the contract. roamingpigs.com/r/bfg
Government procurement is maddening. Security requirements are exhaustive. The pace is glacial.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 10/08/2026
I have watched the pendulum swing three times in 45 years of writing software. 1970s mainframes, 1990s PCs, 2010s cloud. The next swing back to the edge has already started: roamingpigs.com/r/4yit
From programming at age 7, to seeing the world in the Navy, to running 3,000+ AWS instances.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 10/08/2026
High test coverage does not mean your system is safe. It means you are good at satisfying a metric. ICSE 2014 settled it: the correlation drops to zero once you control for suite size. The Goodhart trap, the assertion-density fix, the better metrics: roamingpigs.com/r/tcl
Test coverage is a lying metric. 95% coverage with no behavior checks is theater. What to measure instead if you actually care about correctness.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 10/08/2026
You cannot become a senior engineer without first being a junior one. Junior employment fell 7.7% against non-adopters within six quarters of adopting AI, while senior hiring kept rising. The 2031 salary bill will be brutal: roamingpigs.com/r/jde
Entry-level software engineering positions have dropped 60% since 2022. A Harvard study found companies cut junior hiring before AI can replace those roles.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 09/08/2026
If your entire value proposition is "GPT-4 plus domain knowledge," you do not have a moat. You have a prompt that will be irrelevant in six months. VCs poured over $200B into AI in 2025. Most of it evaporates by 2027. roamingpigs.com/r/asc2
Why a wave of AI startups will collapse in 2027: unsustainable unit economics, model commoditization, and the venture math that no longer works.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 09/08/2026
The dangerous founder burnout isn't the visible kind. It's the one where revenue is up, the team is growing, investors are happy, and the founder can barely get out of bed. 72% of entrepreneurs report mental health concerns (Freeman, UCSF). roamingpigs.com/r/fbs
Research shows nearly three-quarters of founders experience 'shadow burnout' while exceeding business targets.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 09/08/2026
Microservices are a tax, not a trophy. Only 54% of adoptions are "mostly successful" per O'Reilly, and a decision framework for the other half lives here: roamingpigs.com/r/mdg #softwarearchitecture #microservices
Should you use microservices or a monolith? This canonical guide provides a decision matrix, extraction checklist, and honest evaluation criteria based on team.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 08/08/2026
For every 1 dollar you spend on the AI model, plan to spend 4 dollars on the glue that keeps stochastic outputs from breaking deterministic systems. Nobody budgets the 4. That is why 42% of companies now scrap most AI initiatives before production: roamingpigs.com/r/tdtpg
42% of companies abandon AI initiatives before production. MIT research shows 95% of AI pilots fail. The demo-to-production gap is systematic and predictable.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 08/08/2026
Debugging a fine-tuned model is archaeology. Debugging RAG is grep. Fine-tune fix: 3-5 days and $500-5,000 of compute, regression risk every retrain. RAG fix: edit the source doc, 30 minutes, zero compute. roamingpigs.com/r/rvfte
Fine-tuning creates models that know things. RAG creates systems that look things up.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 07/08/2026
METR measured developers 19 percent slower with AI while they felt 20 percent faster, and now says that result no longer reflects current tools. The gap between measured and felt is the real finding: roamingpigs.com/r/acac
AI coding assistants promised 55% productivity gains but METR found developers are 19% slower.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 07/08/2026
The first meeting used to happen on a call. Then on your website. Now it happens in a ChatGPT window you will never see. 50% of B2B buyers now begin research in an AI chatbot. Up 71% in four months. roamingpigs.com/r/crfm
Prospects now research with AI before talking to sales. Your digital presence is your first impression.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 06/08/2026
Full-stack is still in thousands of job postings. The skill it once described no longer fits in one head. Each layer is now its own specialty, and the profile that wins in 2026 is T-shaped, not flat across everything: roamingpigs.com/field-manual/death-… #programming #careers
The full-stack developer myth is dying. Modern systems require deep specialization that generalists can't provide.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 06/08/2026
California always becomes the floor. CCPA, CARB, now AI. The state patchwork costs 50-150k a year. Building 50 product versions costs 2-5M. So nobody pays the patchwork bill, they build to California and ship everywhere. The federal preemption order is noise: roamingpigs.com/r/arw
California, Texas, and 36 other states passed AI legislation. Now a federal executive order threatens preemption. What happens next defines AI governance in America.
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RoamingPigs @roamingpigs.com · 06/08/2026
The fintech winter wasn't death. It was a reset. Global fintech funding hit $51.8B in 2025, up 27% YoY. Deal count dropped 23% even as dollars rose. Fewer companies, larger checks. The flight to quality finally showed up in the data. roamingpigs.com/r/fwt
The fintech funding winter wasn
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