The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Put simply: Bad results for LVMH. #earnings #Stocks #LVMH 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Ok, just this: Weekly Rini analysis on the VIX results in a bear but first it predicts a huge increase. The latter means a negative shock is imminent which resolves by the end of the week. Perhaps the US CPI data on Wednesday? Trying to put everything together because we got plenty of signals. 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 11/10/2026In order to prevent web scraping and reverse engineering we will keep silent on signals this week. We must. 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 11/10/2026signal for opening prices can help predict reversals and timely positioning. Sometimes the index opens very high or very low, and, thus can harvest that move by entering the day before. 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 11/10/2026It produces certain valid signals; thus, we will run this code on a daily basis and trade the rare valid ones. For tomorrow it predicts a negative opening price for OMXS30 but the signal is NOT valid. The other 3 Rini models predict a positive opening price. We bother because a valid bull / bear 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Reached above 1%. Correction: The bear probability was 80% and not 75%. After imposing conditions, it was 50% but the bear was a shock day, i.e. bull in the absence of a shock. We realized when the index hit .40% and was wrong not to trade it - an easy 8%. Next time. 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 09/10/2026ASTS -15% right now as SpaceX seems to take over business. #Stocks 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 09/10/2026This looks like an HT+ meaning it only goes up after the opening. Might reach +.90% to 1%. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Please notice that the current intraday high for OMXS30 is 3265.29, i.e. +1.96%. Amazing, no? :) 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 09/10/2026But where does it stop today? The Rini absolute max is at 1.97% but before that 1.71% is plausible for a reversal. 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Daily bear signal for Dow Jones. It is 75% correct. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Indeed. We got an upward move yesterday close to 0 but then a negative close below the opening. Today we get the reversal. This analysis works. Again 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Currently running a simulation to see how the M3 model, an econometric specification designed to predict bulls (some bears), works for opening prices as a dependent variable. Due to omitted variables bias, not satisfied with current open-price models. #econometrics #data #QuantFinance 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026The reason tech is selling off. Also, higher oil prices again today. US treasury auctions had strong demand btw. Notice that Walmart is doing well in this context (Walmart is one of the individual stocks we analyze). 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026So far, the index reached -1.09%. What is the predicted loss with leverage x20 if we enter long there? -8%. Can we handle an 8% loss? Yes (we can actually handle a 10% loss but we prefer a 6% - we double down). The index is currently at -.45%, 3212. ;) 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026On the contrary, we risk losing capital and not only profits by holding a position after the signal has realized. Also, the more you hold a position, the more you expose your capital to adverse shocks. We use the same concept for the weekly signals: Intraweek instead of end-of-week. 010
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Has the signal realized already? Yes. Are the returns plausible? For instance, a move of 1.3% for LVMH is good because the position has leverage x3 or x5. Yes. Sell. Adios. See you tomorrow! Perhaps the price declines more but due to the leverage we do not lose anything not holding it longer. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Exemplifies the importance of the "intraday" concept. We assume that a signal will realize some time during the trading day and look for a good entry point comparing to the threshold. We do not assume that the signal has to realize at the end of the day and this has resulted in increased returns. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026This is how we know when to enter and how much the predicted loss can be if the index declines further than the Rini absolute min and add there if we assess there is no shock. Of course, the analysis holds in the absence of a shock. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026satisfied along with the Rini absolute condition. Therefore, we know it can continue declining but it is close to the bottom. Today's Rini absolute min is at -1.19% (3189) but the Rini range as well as the OMXS30 rate of moving in one direction, point at -1.3% or even -1.5% as *plausible*. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Had it closed at the intraday min on Tuesday as well, we would have a reversal today because the rule is that OMXS30 reverses when it finishes close to the intraday min(max) for two consecutive trading days and at or below(above) the Rini absolute min(max) the day before. Today only one min was 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Ferrari, Tesla, Inditex and Evolution have realized intraweek. We traded the Ferrari bull signal only. 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Dogecoin fell 5% below the threshold. It was not a bad price to enter long. Let's see what happens. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Silver now below 60 USD, i.e. below the threshold. Problem with silver (and precious metals generally) is the connection with the US dollar and the US treasury yields, which rised again today. #Silver 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026It closed at about the Rini absolute min. Reversal is close. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026It completed an upward move, higher than the downward move! So, correct only intraday, not end of day. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026The Rini absolute min for OMXS30 is very low but according to the range econometric model, -1.21% is the next plausible value. Right now it sits at the average predicted range. Range is the difference between intraday high and low prices (the Y, dependent variable, in the econometric model). 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026We posted on reversals from Rini absolutes. So, here it is: When the Rini absolute lies below 1%, it can deviate .30%. When it lies between 1% and 1.3%, it can deviate .20%. Above that we expect it to deviate .10%. These are approximate and hold in the absence of a shock. 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Correct already. First, the price moved up 1% to 0 and then down to -1.30%. Dominant move is downwards, i.e. a 🐻. We traded. #LVMH #Stocks #trading 110
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Yesterday the intraday high for OMXS30 was .10% above the Rini absolute max. Have posted before that's how much we expect the index to deviate above 1%. Will find the post and repost. #FinTech 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Correct. Closed above the threshold. Also closed green. #Stocks #DowJones #trading 000
Reposted by The RiniFinancial Times @financialtimes.com · 05/10/2026Saudi Aramco chief warns world’s oil stockpiles are ‘scarily thin’ ft.trib.al/kwX9IRYft.trib.alSaudi Aramco chief warns world’s oil stockpiles are ‘scarily thin’Amin Nasser says inventories depleted by Middle East conflict could take up to two years to rebuild 53414
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Spot silver has a bull alert at 60.39 USD. OMXS30 as well (opening and closing prices are the same almost). 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 05/10/2026For bull signals, the threshold is the minimum between Friday's closing price and today's opening price. We go long below that minimum taking into account the Rini intervals as well. Don't have to keep it until the end of the week as we use leverage. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Also for Ferrari, Google (Alphabet), Tesla, Zara (Inditex) and swedish Evolution. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 04/10/2026So far, the Rini produces weekly bull alerts for Amazon, ASTS and Dogecoin. Still a lot of assets to run the Rini. Let's see. 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 04/10/2026You must have seen the debacle in Nike's stock price. Good news is the Rini hasn't produced a bull signal which protects us from losses. The bad news is we still haven't recovered the losses from the last two negative shocks. #Nike #Stocks #Fintech 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 02/10/2026OMXS30 closed at its intraday min, which coincided with the Rini absolute min. Reversal. Happening. A classic. #EconSky #Data #QuantFinance #FinTech #FinTwit #StockMarket #Trading 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Added September for OMXS30. Above average performance. As posted before, the Rini prediction success will not change much because of the shocks. #Data #QuantFinance #FinTech 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Harvested +16% from the Nasdaq bear so far. Might re-enter. OMXS30 reached -1.29% and reversed more than .50%. To be on the safe side, we assume a .30% reversal, which is 6% with leverage x20. Not bad. #EconSky #Data #QuantFinance #FinTech #FinTwit #StockMarket #Trading 010
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Furthermore, European stock markets are very sensitive to increases in the price of oil. #EconSky #Data #QuantFinance #FinTech #FinTwit #StockMarket #Trading 000
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026RM attributes the decline to the rapid increase in US treasury yields. They do not matter anymore when the yields stabilize at a higher level. What matters is the transition and its speed to that higher level. #EconSky #Data #QuantFinance #FinTech #FinTwit #StockMarket #Trading 100
The Rini @rinimetrics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Posted the above when US Tech 100 futures were 1.2% and now they are +.42%. The Rini works. The OMXS30 Rini absolute min is at -1.32%. Just FYI. #EconSky #Data #QuantFinance #FinTech #FinTwit #StockMarket #Trading 100
