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Refa

@refahagtag25.bsky.social
196 followers 245 following 713 posts

Preparing for a huge 2026 following the master trainer William Haggas . Diary updated daily night before racing.

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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
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Sumptuous Paris 2026 and KFC to erase bad taste of 2025 for Haggas.
The big weekend started well with the win of Infraad in the listed race at Ascot. Although the big gambles on Princling and Rhapsody in St Cloud didn’t come off. Luckily I chose just to watch…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
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Haggas Autumn Newcastle raids not to ignored.
Whether its 2yo maidens or nurseries, 3yo novice stakes or handicaps and even the older horses the Somerville Lodge record at Newcastle in the Autumn months, produces a 30-40% strike rate with fanc…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
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All systems go for Haggas in Arc week-Weds 3pt Bet Update
On Wednesday the 6f Class 2 conditions stakes at Kempton, sees the reappearance of the stable stalwart Montassib who runs in preparation for another tilt at Ascot’s Champions Sprint where he …
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Hardly any rain now forecast in Paris this week - nothing of any account Monday -they will water but expect ground to be 3.2 or 3.3 Good or Good to Firm for Arc
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
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All systems go for Haggas in Arc week.
A good start to the week on Sunday for Somerville Lodge in the build up to the bid of Maltese Cross in the Arc De Triomphe. The fact that Haggas sent 4 runners to Epsom on Sunday was a tip in itsel…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
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A big tick in the box for Maltese Cross.
Maltese Cross – Assessing His Arc Chance The realistic chance that Maltese Cross has of winning this year’s Arc de Triomphe will not be fully known until after the draw is revealed on Thu…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
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Haggas bids for success in 3 countries on Sunday
A very busy Sunday for the yard with Dubai Honour running in the Group 1 Prix Von Europa in Cologne for a third consecutive year, Valiancy bidding to bounce back to form in the Irish Ceserawitch at…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
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Haggas Haydock High on Saturday…
The lots for the Tattersalls Autumn Sales are released next Wednesday and it will be very interesting to see how many of the 4/5yo handicappers specifically kept in training this season are put up …
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
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Haggas Royal Ascot winner bids to bounce back to form Friday.
Given the poor Autumn record of the yard on the Rowley Mile course backing a horse from Somerville Lodge requires a great deal of deliberation. The surprise win of Zooming at 22/1 on Thursday was n…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Zooming for Haggas drifts and wins at 22/1 . Drawn in Stall 1 could be big advantage for Minzelle in the Nursery at 2.25.
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
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Negative Trends – with one possible exception on Thursday
Regular readers will be well aware that part of my obsession with Somerville Lodge horses is the trackable data and recurring patterns that can provide significant indicators of the chances of the …
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
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‘Annual Haggas Goodwood target on Wednesday
The our words ‘Not Totally Straight Forward’ suggest minor caution when backing horses with this caveat however, recent experience indicates to me that when applied to a possible bettin…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
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Scottish recompense for Haggas on Sunday.
The drift on Binhareer close to the off indicated that confidence was not as high as anticipated in the Ayr Gold Cup. He seemed to get trapped on the rail but more significantly once extracted did …
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
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Binhareer to deliver 12 month plan and win Ayr Gold Cup.
The weekend at Ayr got off to a very good start for the yard when Diplomata defied a huge drift to win at 5/2. Had I thought for a moment that would be her price she would have been a recommended a…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
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Haggas Friday Refresh
The busy week has taken Williams Haggas followers on a roller coaster journey that began with a 4 timer on Monday followed by 14 consecutive losers on Tuesday and Wednesday and then 2 winners on Th…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Big ban coming for Oisin after nearly wiping out Billy - title all done and dusted
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Far side draw in 2 for Binhareer. Low numbers always to the fore in soft ground Ayr Gold Cups - Stratusnine pace angle in 6 - All things in place just needs to get job done . Next stop Group 1 Champions Sprint.
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Thunder Call and Coul Angel not declared for Ayr Gold Cup - 3/1 Binhareer?
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
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Haggas Six Shots on Thursday.
After 10 Blanks on Wednesday. !! A woeful Wednesday when the 3yo fillies couldn’t cope with tacky drying ground facing stiff up hill finishes. It was an error on my part as it was perfectly p…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
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Haggas targets ‘best ever’ month with team of ten on Wednesday.
I distinctly remember at the end of September 2016 commenting that Somerville Lodge would never better the total of 36 winners in the month. They certainly haven’t come close yet with the tot…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
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Somerville Lodge Target September Yarmouth Festival.
The next seven days will almost certainly see Somerville Lodge dispatch their highest volume of runners in a single week this season. Following six entries on Monday, William Haggas’ yard sad…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
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‘Bred to be a Superstar’- Debuts for Haggas on Monday.
By Frankel out of the dam of Waldgeist the Arc winner Crown of Crowns must be one of the most valuable fillies to be in training at Somerville Lodge. That pedigree suggests that she is going to nee…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
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‘Bred to be a Superstar’- Debuts for Haggas on Monday.
By Frankel out of the dam of Waldgeist the Arc winner Crown of Crowns must be one of the most valuable fillies to be in training at Somerville Lodge. That pedigree suggests that she is going to nee…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
The expected move for High Degree at the Curragh today 5/1-8/1, has occured, after the Scoville touch yesterday and first time blinkers. It's well fancied but far more exposed than Scoville. He is a 'cliff horse' and I will watch!! No surprise if he wins.
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
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Sunday outside chances as focus moves to Big Value Ante-Post Bet at Ayr next week.
With up to 50mm of rain forecast for the Ayrshire coast next week there is a high expectation of a Soft or possibly Heavy ground Ayr Gold Cup meeting which will be the focus of attention for Somerv…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
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Haggas 4 timer Saturday- but can older handicappers revive at Donny?
Silver Lake’s effortless victory at Doncaster marked her fourth consecutive triumph, securing yet another winning major festival for our selections. The momentum is firmly with us as we turn to Sat…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Silver Lake 4 on the bounce and we have been on every time since she won off 75. Now 92 and not stopped yet . 👏👏👏👏
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
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Silver set for more Gold
Frustratingly on Thursday unless you had a SkyBet account Gods Given Talent just missed out on the places in the big sales race finishing 5th. King of Earth as predicted again lacked focus on racin…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
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Donny Day 1 – 14/1 bet great value for Haggas.
On Wednesday Fast Performer completely lost the plot at Carlisle and he faces the unkindest cut of all very shortly. It was confirmed that already suffering this fete was Saber Strike who following…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
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Haggas Market Merry Go Round- spinning punters on Wednesday…
As I suggested in the Tuesday evening blog the 5 Somerville Lodge runners on Wednesday have all been cut and are now drifting, a pattern that is likely to continue back and forth until the off time…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
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Haggas Super September to continue on Wednesday
Somerville Lodge sends out 5 runners on Wednesday, 3 at Kempton and a couple at Carlisle. All 5 have clear chances to maintain or improve the current strike rate in September. in the first 7 days t…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
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King Haggas to rule at Donny…
The Haggas 260/1 – 100% treble on Sunday, of course generates a feeling of what if and thoughts of ‘should I have taken greater risks’ and maybe backed more than just the 2yo winn…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Mezzo Forte 6/1-10/3 lands the opener at York our only recommendation on the day. Somerville Lodge hitting top form now on rain softened ground.
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
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Top Form Haggas sends three to York on Sunday.
The summer of inconsistency seemed determined to get the last dregs out of August with the performance of Divine Knight on Monday 31st. The change of month and move to the Autumn campaign has seen …
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
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Stellar Weekend for Haggas followers.
The first weekend in September featuring meetings at Haydock, Ascot and York has a big circle ringed around the Calendar in Somerville Lodge. Since 2021 over this weekend there have been 29 Class 1…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
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Friday – hold on for Super Saturday.
Thursday’s 10 runners ran with great credit and provided more than enough evidence to suggest that Saturday and Sunday can be very successful. The Haydock runners all handled the conditions r…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
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Frances Ethel bid for Black Type
With numerous runners today I omitted to mention Frances Ethel is running at Longchamp in the 14f Listed contest at 15.50. Two minutes before the well regarded brother in Binhareer – Sharaad …
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Sharadd 3.52H - 6/4 fav Take Care! WH- FTO 2yo's sent off fav last 5 years 6-26 LSP - (12.25) 4 odds on 1 winner. #wealthwarning
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Move for Albaydaa 4.49 S 9/2 into 11/4. If you're joining in I suggest waiting until how she is the prelim's She can get worked up and it will cause a drift If she does. She is likely to be slowly away especially over 6f. Will need a strong pace -then get the gaps.
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
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Busy September as usual for Haggas
The first week of September is traditionally one of the busiest periods for the yard. In 2025, there were 34 runners. From eight runners in Class 2 and Class 3 handicaps at Ascot, Haydock and York …
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
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Haggas in September: Not the Time to Ignore 2026 Realities.
No runners on Tuesday and no bets on Wednesday – Hardys Hero in the 20.00 at Kempton and Pierian 17.02 Bath both took big backward steps on their last outings and it is a guesswork to know if…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
One to note Cairdeas 5.00 Southwell attempts to add another win for ex Haggas trained horses 5.00 Southwell today. Cut from 25/1 - 9/1.
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
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Monday Divine Intervention for Haggas.
Haggas followers on Sunday experienced a dramatic raceday. Firstly Masked Warrior who was supported on the off from 15/2 into 5/1 got upset in the stall and was withdrawn. Then the 2yo Extragalacti…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
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Sunday Haggas Annual Selling Race Touch..
The tenacity of Tenabilty rescued the day on Saturday after a below par performance from Bulletsnap another extremely well fancied 2yo after Pure Majesty and Lady Rosalind to go…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
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Haggas Saturday morning update..
The forecast rain has arrived and with 10mm plus expected in the London area the going at Windsor and Sandown will surely ride Soft. This is excellent news for the Somerville Lodge runners. n the A…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
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3 Stand Outs from 19 Haggas entries on Saturday.
Plus 20/1 Ante Post Recommendation. The uncertainty over the amount of rainfall expected over the next 72 hours makes betting over the Bank Holiday weekend precarious. On Saturday possibly due to l…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
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Haggas 4 handed on Friday
Thursday – Desert Treasure ran much better but lack of AW experience proved her undoing and she narrowly failed to get back into the winners enclosure. Our decision not to bet this week has p…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
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Haggas Treading Water Waiting for Rain…
As predicted the early part of the week has not produced any winners for Somerville Lodge. It was baffling why Perfect Strike was heavily backed to be the market leader in the 2yo Novice at Newbury…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
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Has Haggas ‘Skeltonesque’ strategy worked? and 9/1 Ante Post Gamble.
At the start of the current season William Haggas described his strategic change of keeping more older horses in training as making him ‘more like a National Hunt trainer’. Six months i…
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Refa @refahagtag25.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
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Haggas movers clean up..
No runners on Tuesday after Mondays rather strange entries, which as expected were not betting opportunities. Haggas has entered 30 horses on Saturday and Sunday with the expectation that the forec…
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