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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

@businesspost.bsky.social latest RED C research poll for business post sees SF lead, but also records highs for Social Dems. Red C Poll: Fianna Fáil in Soc Dems’ crosshairs as party’s relentless rise makes it kingmaker www.businesspost.ie/politics/red...

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 26/04/2026

That’s why we track. It’s not about moe from one poll to another but the trend that is important. They are up 3% in last 2 months, having gained 1% in March and 2% in April. This has also almost doubled their support among the population. Don’t get caught up in moe poll to poll analysis.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

Latest RED C tracking poll for @businesspost.bsky.social sees lowest share for two largest government parties since tracking began. SF lead all other parties increasing share by 1%, but largest gains seen for Independent Ireland +2%

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

All our reports clearly show the weighting steps and the impact they have. This is from last months report which can be found on our website. redcresearch.com/news-and-thi... The current months report can be downloaded on the @businesspost.bsky.social website now, and on ours later in the week.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

Why would this overestimate future intentions? You clearly don’t understand past vote weighting. All it does is look at claimed past vote and weight to the actual past vote at the last election. This weight has very small impact on future vote intention.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

Latest @redcresearch.bsky.social for the @businesspost.bsky.social results see no St Patrick’s day bounce for government parties, as cost of living concerns increase.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

Latest RED C @businesspost poll sees FF fall again, as SF & Soc. Dems make gains. Sinn Féin 24% +2 Fine Gael 18% +1 Fianna Fáil 15% -3 Independent 13% -1 Soc. Dems 10% +2 Labour 5% +1 Aontú 5% -1 Ind. Ireland 4% = PBP-Solidarity 3% = Green Party 2% -1 Net: Other 1%

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

@businesspost.bsky.social our final presidential poll for @businesspost.bsky.social will be released tonight at 8pm.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 05/10/2025

Well that this weekends poll fieldwork messed up 😂

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 02/05/2025

UK well on its way to follow the US to loony politics after those local election results.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 26/04/2025

Oh David. From someone who loves polling, that is a very strange comment. Understanding the publics political leanings and trends in support for parties over the longer term is always useful. I’m sure you have used these trends in the past to understand voter sentiment between elections.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 26/04/2025

Hers is my article on those gains for SF. Look great, but also very similar to the gains seen post the 2020 election. Can they translate this into real votes at an election?

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 26/04/2025

Latest @businesspost.bsky.social poll out today sees SF extend their lead in first preference vote to 4% ahead of other parties.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 22/02/2025

Latest @businessposthq poll sees signs of “buyers remorse” as FF loses share, and opposition parties make small gains. businesspost.ie/api/oc-post/?u…

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 03/12/2024

RED C are very proud of how close our final @businessposthq pre election poll was, matching our success at the last GE in 2020. With an average error of just 0.8%, we predicted Fianna Fail as the largest party & that they would be most transfer friendly. redcresearch.com/red-c-accuracy…

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

@REDCResearch & @businessposthq last poll vs. exit poll. Average error of just 0.9%. Plenty of votes still to be counted. But suggests very accurate polling from all the Irish polling industry. Putting to bed the view that polls are always wrong AND that online polls don’t work!

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

@businesspost poll 27th Nov (vs. 10th Nov) Fianna Fáil 21% (=) Fine Gael 20% (-2%) Sinn Fein 20% (+2%) Ind. Cand. 14% (-1%) Soc Dems 6% (=) Ind. Ireland 4% (+1%) Green 4% (=) Labour 4% (+1%) Aontú 4% (-1%) PBP-Solidarity 2% (=) Others 1% (=) Moe +\- 3% FW 20th-26th

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Is it just me or is the @irishtimes.bsky.social poll only adding up to at best 98% with other parties. Understand this can happen due to rounding, but unusual to be 2% off the total.

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Reposted by Richard Colwell

Prof David Farrell, UCD @davidfarrell-ucd.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

Here’s one for those wanting to know how their policy positions compare with the parties www.independent.ie/irish-news/e... VoteSmart: Take our online election test – now including Independent candidates

independent.ie

VoteSmart: Take our online election test – now including Independent candidates

Phase two of the Irish Independent’s election tool ‘VoteSmart’ has gone live.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

Great if you want help trying to decide who to vote for

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

Was there a “moment” of the week? 😂

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Anyone else think Mary Lou just seems a little out of sorts tonight? Not her usual assured self, and appears caught slightly off guard each time she is asked a question. #ge24 #upfront

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

A lot more time for larger parties in this 10 party debate as expected and probably tight. Yet have to feel sorry for some of the smaller parties. Think Joan Collins has had about 20 seconds speaking time so far.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Can I have a yes or a no - will be a constant refrain me thinks #GE24 #Leadersdebate

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 17/11/2024

Not sure we are going to see much change tbh. Baked in already maybe? SF will do better ham at locals, but that already in the numbers. Big question is who of FF or FG gets more seats.

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Reposted by Richard Colwell

Seth Abramson @sethabramson.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

To be clear, he won—I've seen zero evidence suggesting fraud. My point is that a 128,000-vote swing in 3 states would have led to a Harris administration. We remain a closely divided nation where informed voters voted for Harris and uninformed voters are about to be wildly surprised at what happens.

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Reposted by Richard Colwell

Tríona Cunnane @trionac.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

go.bsky.app/6jV8qvJ This starter pack of Irish Media Personalities & Outlets has reached 100. These are suggestions not endorsements.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Thanks @stefanmueller.bsky.social Also worth noting that the upward trend in support for SF went in a similar way. Youngest age groups grew support first, then support for grew for SF among mid age groups and only after that the oldest age groups (The growth among oldest age groups was the least)

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

Only 2 polls so far this GE campaign. Face to face by Ipsos polling seems to show FG with a greater lead. But FF historically outperforms polls. FF currently higher share in the online polls, that they gave out about 3-4 months ago! Very tight among the top 3 tbh. Key to see any momentum in next wk.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

Lucky enough to be in Venice today, visiting amazing sights and eating amazing food, but glued to rugby. Seems to be going much better for Ireland tonight.

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

Latest update from Nate Silver in vote share in US election Harris 75.0m votes (48.3%) Trump 77.4m votes (49.8%) other 2.9m votes (1.9%) Trump margin +1.6% (with rounding) You can win a “landslide” but still be within margin of error of many of the polls!

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Richard Colwell @redcceo.bsky.social · 15/11/2024