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Next year, I really hope they give the Peace Prize to a border collie or something. Or to Jon Ossoff. That would work too.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 1h

I mean, feel free to do a Carrie reaction channel on Youtube like anyone else.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 1h

Yo, we haven't all gotten to Carrie yet. No spoilers.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 1h

Trump also went back in time and settled: --the Norman Conquest --the Hundred Years' War --the Mongol Invasion --The Trojan War That's on top of WW1, WW2 and WWZ

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 19h

postpostpost-steampunk

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 19h

To be clear: 300k tons is nothing vis-a-vis our need. At the same time, Ru clearly can't spare that when they're importing diesel right now from India, S. Korea, elsewhere. This deal is meaningless.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 19h

Uk will absolutely not be constrained. Trump's been asking them to lay off these attacks for months. Uk has zero interest in doing so, except as part of an "energy ceasefire" with Russia, which, no. Even per the stated terms, this agreement was to start at 300k tons next month. That's nothing.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 20h

It's likely that no "sain person" has ever answered a poll question at all.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 20h

By that logic, about half of our current pharma & other chemicals, & most of our plastics & other polymers, are also Nazi. Which is kinda Thomas Pynchon's point in Gravity's Rainbow. So maybe MAGA turn out to be Pynchon fans.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 20h

Heh. Read the piece; figured something like this. The Zyklon B company was part-owned by IG Farben, like pretty much all western chemical companies of the day. Farben of course survived the war, and after 80 yrs & many iterations a portion of it became Sanofi, which now makes mifepristone.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 21h

In this TED Talk, I will explain to you why the National Socialists themselves were not really Fascists, in the Mussolini sense.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Obvious pancake makeup. Covering what is probably a dark-purple bruise now, from the IVs. Which means (among other things) that they can't find or use any other veins. Yeah, let's get it over with already...

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Yeah--my sense is that "papering" usually means *over*-documenting, in a CYA or lawfare way. Stringer Bell was gently suggesting no paper at all.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Exactly. I've heard that the more energy drinks you consume, the safer you are. You can also just inject pure cortisol into your veins; that is usually the safest prep for a firefight.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Damn -- that would be like 680k US jobs. I think the 2-century era of the Polite Canadian may be over.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

And if what you needed wasn't in your library (e.g. MA/PhD work), it was Inter-Library Loan & waiting 3 weeks. Also, there were 150 of us living in a shoebox in the middle of the road. Cardboard box? Luxury! We had to go live in the lake...

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

BA 85, MA 89, PhD 93. BA & MA theses were hand-written, & BA thesis then typed out on a Selectric. And of course, that was only after walking 8 miles thru the snow each day to get to campus...

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Before the end of Trump's term it will be execution by NASCAR. Firing squad is way too humane, though doubtless it will make good teevee.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

really striking alignment among CNN, NYT/Siena, Fox and other quality pollsters lately -- hopefully they're not "herding" too much. OH looks pretty solid; IA is essentially a tie in all the polls. I'll take it. And yes: the specific questions here are great.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I'm looking at a Cornell Master's diploma right now, from 1989, and wondering if I can return it. Doctorate is from Northwestern. I haven't heard anything especially effed-up abt them recently, but maybe its there if I really looked.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

lol. That geometry *should* be impossible if the three bowls are in a row. But in any case the two flanking cats seem hilariously patient, or just really focused.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Do you watch *any* Youtube content? PSA's ad mix is completely standard for political outlets of their size. What's funny here is that the main bsky knock on PSA these days is that they're *too* "establishment". I'd be curious to know what "reputable" means to you.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I wish Ossoff would say what he really thinks.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I mean, it's generally better to get some reasonable exposure to anyone's content before assessing them. I do think Favs stuck w/Platner longer than he should have, though not as long as ME Democrats. But if that's PSA's biggest sin, I...do not think that makes them "reactionary centrists".

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

The "PodSave guys" have been 100% positive about Ossoff; and more generally I'd challenge anyone to find an instance where they've advocated playing to white supremacists for votes. If you put them in the same camp as Yglesias you are truly not paying attention to either.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

He went back in time and stopped the Hundred Years' War. "Most people don't know about that one, it was really nasty. But now they're calling it the 13 Years' War. I also stopped the Mongol Invasion, also known as the Wrath of Khan. I spoke to Khan on the phone, told him to knock it off"

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I will say that I've used GIMP forever & would never buy Photoshop; and for vid editing I usually use Shotcut & that's my gold standard for open-source on Windows.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Ok -- I just downloaded the 'portable' versions of FilmCraft and PhotoCraft for Windows10. No actual install; just unzip the package & run the .exe. I'll play around. FilmCraft...looks pretty much like any other full-featured vid editor; we'll see how well it works.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

of course they did. I love those German words. Gestern habe Ich du fahren gesehen, und du bist direkt ein Knäckebrottelefonierer.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I notice nobody even asks what the duck was wearing. Or how old it was. Ducks may have a different age of consent.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Obviously I'd be happier with better MI numbers, between this and NYT and Fox. But we're about +8 in the MI Gov race and, in a big wave, you'd expect that to pull us over. Everything else in this YouGov release is pretty great.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

More crosstabs: 41% approve of R party vs 35 D party. But Trump is at 34/56! That seems fairly low for the TX electorate. I dunno. Party ID is 26/41/28 D/R/I; does that seem about right for TX?

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

I almost always use it in speaker mode, since i never use it around other people. 15 years ago I found the whole idea of holding a glass-faced electronic slab to your face to be gross, and I've never stopped feeling that way.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Hmm. Walking Dead long before it ended. Westworld. I also hated the GoT finale, but I never really trusted that show.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

man, the wikipedia entry on Bakker is quite a read. I hadn't known some of this and forgotten the rest (and of course I'd tuned out before his reinvention as a survivalist preacher). Hope he enjoys hell.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Actually, I just looked at my Android more closely, and...the microphone is also at the bottom. Huh. So I guess apologies to the slice-of-pizza phone users.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

still trying to understand why people do that. Do they not grasp that the mic is at the TOP of the phone? Some very weird theory of acoustics happening. Or else they're actually on a vid call and pretending to be looking at road at the same time. Cool, cool.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Happens all the time. I especially noticed it reading Pynchon a few months ago; but really any kind of distinctive stylist.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

wait, no, my bad -- my check was for more like $180. I'd have happily taken 1200. Either way, I was happy that DJT's magic-marker sig wasn't scrawled on it.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

I got an ACA rebate check two weeks ago, for ~1200. I live in entirely-uncompetitive MO. There was absolutely no Trump branding or language on the check; it was just from the IRS and written in IRS-ese.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

"Cost of Living Concerns" are a point *higher* among Rs than Ds. Um. So I assume that D/I/R here is about long-time self-ID, not present voting intention? I'd def need to understand more about cost-of-living voters voting R...

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

I mean, surely Bolsonaro winning outright would be worse news. Pretty tight spread, and I'd like to know who the third party/parties are.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Pssst: that guy only TOLD you he was Jesus. I don't suppose he let you touch his wounds?

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

heh -- at 1st I read that as Sand by 1, and I was like, um. But 11 is pretty meaty. RCP avg is 7.2 and that includes some fairly crap polls which are lower in every case. Fox is 9, Marist is 12, YouGov is 11. I think the only Q now is whether Sand drags Turek across. The same Siena has him @ -1.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Most bsky thread of the day so far.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Do we have the Gov results for IA? I'd love to see what those are in this sample (but I think this is probably broadly correct -- IA is definitely going to be a stretch for Sen)

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

well -- i respect the craft here, but, seriously, what have the Romans ever done for us?

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

This is kinda a real thing: I just got a $118 check frm Anthem for overpayment on my MO ACA plan in 2025. I ran the cover letter by GPT & it seemed entirely legit. There was zero "Trump" or Admin branding anywhere. W/a more expensive fam plan this could easily be 500. Not gonna change any minds.

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Mathew @realmatrobnew.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Two minutes early? In THIS economy?!

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