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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Same with Labour, not quite at a historic low but its close

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Worth noting that the Tories are begining to drop noticeably lower then their previous low points, they're currently on 18.9% which is a point lower then their previous historic low during the election

Conservative party polling average 1943-2025

020

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Fair to say Reform have opened up a fairly clear lead against Labour now. First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.

040

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Tbh I'd be intrigued to see polling on a hypothetical new left party, putting aside my own veiws I do think it's one of the most interesting variables of this parliament and just something worth gauging. Also know it's a bit old but in 2016 there was about 14% of the electorate open to suporting one

130

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Didn't realise how much Reform has gained traction on Tiktok over the past while and compared even to Corbyn or Sultana he's got a hell of a presence. Tbh those two should up their game there, they have contacts with Linke and should take notes from them about their election campaign.

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

Really concerned by how much I've returned to being a total Corbyn dead ender, like I've gone from the "oh well I kinda liked him but yeah his leadership had issues and maybe it's time to move on" to nostalgically watching that fucking Glastonbury video

200

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

Non zero chance the next election ends up with looking like this and tbh i feel like it'd be unimaginably stupid

110

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

Just separated the post local election polls and yeah.....

1177

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

Despite it being near my patch i don't really know Skircoat too well, get the vibe its slightly more affuent then the rest of Halifax but its got an interesting voting history. Traditionally a Tory stronghold it had swung to Labour over the past decade, didn't have too strong a UKIP presence either.

120

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 08/05/2025

Kinda stuff Jeeza be up to instead of setting up a new party 😭

210

Reposted by Liv

Dylan Difford @dylandifford.bsky.social · 02/03/2025

How has partisan opinion shifted in the eight months since the election? Most notable is Reform's surge, which is actually quite flat in regional terms, with the most notable core differentiator being age - with Reform gaining more among older Britons, contrary to some assumptions.

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 30/11/2024

The issue with Bluesky is that I get no engagement here and unfortunately I love attention

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

Badly need Fine Gael to be utterly embarrassed at this election, loathsome party

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

Learning that Paul Mescal did the backing vocals for this has genuinely ruined my evening

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Things are bad, but they can always get worse, so much more worse

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

I have nothing thoughtful to say, this is carrying on my longstanding commitment to saying nothing of any remote importance

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Assessment of Bluesky, mediocre app, however its not run by a fascist, which is nice I guess

010

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

At least if Sinn Fein shit the bed there might be a bit of a reorganisation of the left

110

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Increasing thinking I might need to join some niche left wing party with like 3 members and agrees with all of my politics just to get it out of my system

010

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

John Fetterman is such a prick, putting aside the fact he's utterly vacuous and clearly has issues, he's just an annoying fuck

120

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

I love Tiramisu, it's the single most important thing in my life and frankly I'd do near to anything to have some

010

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 21/03/2024

After careful consideration and consultations with Friends, family and colleagues I am announcing that I will not be running for Leader of Fine Gael. While I am overwhelmed by the support, I do not feel that it would be right for me to seek this office at this time

110

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 31/12/2023

-Sources: Morning consult, Yougov, Ipsos, Archive of Market and Social Research's NOP archive and Gallup for approval rating's. @markpackuk.bsky.social polling database for voting intentions and electoral calculas for the seat calculations

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 31/12/2023

-Government Approval Rating: Approve: 12% (-1) Disapprove: 82% (+2) Net Approval: -70 (-3) The governments rating drops to a low of -70, this is the lowest rating Ipsos has recorded since June 2019 and it's the lowest recorded rating for any government 11 Months from an election

010

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 31/12/2023

-Liberal Democrat Leader Approval Rating: Approve: 19% (-4%) Disapprove: 33% (+2%) Net Approval: -14 (-6) Ipsos recorded a slight down-tick for Davey but once again considering he's relatively unknown its mostly noise

020

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 31/12/2023

-LOTO Approval Rating: Approve: 32 (=) Disapprove: 50 (=) Net Approval: -18 (-1) All quite this month for Starmers ratings despite a slight drop in his net approval rating (Due to rounding)

000

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 31/12/2023

-PM Approval Rating: Approve: 23 (-1) Disapprove: 66 (+2) Net Approval: -43 (-3) Sunaks personal ratings continue to decline for the second month in a row to -43 the lowest of his premiership so for

000

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 31/12/2023

Polling Update: Dec 2023: -Voting Intentions Lab: 42.1% (+9.1%) Con: 25.9% (-18.8%) Lib Dem: 11.0% (-0.8%) Ref: 8.8% (+6.7%) Grn: 6.0% (+3.2%) # SNP: 2.9% (-1.1%) Despite a slight drop this months Labour end the year with a lead of 17 points, similar to where they were in Jan

010

Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 28/09/2023

Polling Update: Sep 2023 PM Approval Rating After a summer attempting to reset and re-invigorate his leadership Sunaks approval ratings are at the lowest they've ever been at -40, ratings which tend to be terminal for PM's Approve: 24 (-2) Disapprove: 65 (+3)

Prime minister approval rates (1938-Present) (vertical lines show change in PM)

Net approval ratings of prime ministers (1938-Present)

Prime Minister Approval Rating by prime minister 11 months into office

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Liv @realliv04.bsky.social · 28/07/2023

The haters say I have no personality outside of my silly little graphs and to Honest, I'm beginning to suspect there right

Prime ministerial approval rating (1938-Present)

130