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willy nilly

@rdb.bsky.social
182 followers 293 following 732 posts

I’m that guy

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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
on a volume-of-discourse-generated-weighted basis this is probably the single stupidest guy on twitter. there is literally only one interesting thing to say about him and fortunately for all of you its a terrible joke that i've already made three times
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
it is amazing how much a dogmatic belief in both-sides-dumbism can blind you to the fact that one of the parties has negatively polarized itself against the very ideas of competence, connection to reality, matching means to ends, etc
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
im not an ai welfare/rights guy and have even come to similar thoughts wrt anthropic/openai's beliefs about what an ai should be like having large unintended consequences on their models' behavior, but i'm definitely uncomfortable with the a priori rejection of those concerns
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
brave new world mustafa-suleyman.ai/a-warning-ab...
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
if burnham somehow managed to kill the triple lock, implement proportional representation, and get the uk back into the eu he goes down as possibly the greatest peacetime leader of a democracy in modern political history (my guess is he goes like .5/3)
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
hmm
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
not sure if it would matter for kamala given how low her neutral/never heard of number is but i do feel like the combined unfavorable numbers for kamala/newsom/aoc being >15% (~2-3x as high as buttigieg/ossoff/kelly) might end up being relevant once things start getting nasty
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
i love living in the future no babe the histories that end scare me
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
i saw that, and i respect his writing/intellectual abilities a ton, but i don't think i believe him. the passage you flagged and this one feel so like ai and so unlike his usual writing style. i dont have the credits to go deeper but nothing he wrote 6+ months ago set off my ai sense like this post
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
something is going wildly wrong here cause thats not a thought leader thats my mutual who i had to mute because he wouldnt stop tweeting about cum
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
excited for the brave new world where "humanism" transitions from a call to expand our circle of moral concern to one which calls for its restriction
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
yeah i definitely agree, though i think theres a lot of subcultural baggage keeping them from focusing on anything more immediate/practical like that. if you got into ai/alignment via ea they very heavily emphasize the x-risk/human extinction element as the reason its such a pressing issue
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
dangerously close to going back to twitter not because it'd be good for my stomach but because it might turn out i care more about engagement than little things like contributing to the network effects that help a literal nazi be the richest/one of the most powerful people in the world
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
they were talking about the guy who just resigned from anthropic on the local news today and now obamas tweeting about it
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
it really is amazing to me how many people look at this picture and say making the orange and blue lines touch again is some impossibly hopeless project
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
probably wouldve guessed like 1/5th that?
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
gut check vibe check
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
i think a "vibe shift" did occur and did help trump win the 2024 election, it just wasn't an object-level shift in favor of his policies, it was a meta-level shift against caring about kind of things which added up to a countless number of reasons electing him was obviously a terrible idea
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
shouldve been more explicit but this is exactly the kind of thing i was thinking when i posted this, agents hijacking some dead forum to communicate over the open internet. interesting that so far it keeps being agents given parallel tasks that end up swarming like this collusion.wiki
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
i remember watching marvel stuff ~10 years ago and thinking how all the holotech stuff would need crazy amounts of ai to interpret gestures, run analyses, etc to make it workable. was a little depressing cause i thought that level of ai was generations away, but now seems basically doable?
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
with more distance from my brief intrigued by behavioral-econ phase, im just confused why anyone would take seriously the idea that you could find generalizable insights about social class of all things from a participant pool that was 50% asian undergrads at berkeley
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
fun politically convenient result but jfc this paper set off every ariely/gino alarm i can think of. 4 studies of <200 berkeley undergrads playing lab games with p~=.05 results generalized to societal effects, im shocked the 2 orders of magnitude larger n replications found the opposite effect
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
like no i don't think we are "50% of the way to full AI takeover" and i don't think "ai takes over all of human civilization" is something that makes any sense as an extrapolation of the hf hack unless you basically already thought that's where things were heading
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
whether thats sustainable is the $40 Trillion question, but what markets have been saying lately is "not at those prices"
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
i don’t quite understand how the models were being scored here (or even why they would care what scores they get) but i think ostensibly they were trying to scoremax
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
was doing a little research on this and it seems like it was actually the kind folks at wells fargo doing the subsidizing here lol www.wsj.com/podcasts/the...
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
spot the difference
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
a bit self fulfilling ofc but this is one of the great called shots in world history (in the fairly short and very long terms, not so much the middle ones)
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
glad we sorted this one out
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
i uh dont think it quite nailed my voice
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
unfortunate to say but i’ve been on this beat for years
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
pretty sure this wasn’t a churchill original but that’s what google images gave me so it’s what you’re getting
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
if i’m reading this chart correctly both of our graciases use the a: sound while the american english grassy ass is two æs
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
this is wild. and we've already got millions (billions?) of claude etc agents running with access to the open internet, god only knows what they've already gotten up to x.com/sharongoldma...
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
counterpoint:
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
content warning: llm 'introspection', glazing also it's embarrassing how bad i've gotten at spelling
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
id like to see an ai do this in a 1+0 game tyvm
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
official willy nilly review of the odyssey (2026)
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
air quality so bad it skipped past first red all the way into second red
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
chess comparison is interesting bc modern ai is way way past the best humans, but has plateaued in the last few years. theres definitely low hanging fruit out there and you can go a long way just by grabbing it, but it doesn't unlock a new dynamic where everything becomes low hanging up to infinity
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
its like these people weren't even reading my 4 like 2 retweet tweets from 3 years ago
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
manmade horrors beyond comprehension
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
this is one of my favorite history books bc it makes it obvious how the crusades (middle eastern and northern), reconquista, ostseidlung, and early iberian colonization were all part of the same process of expansion, using the same tactics and often driven by the same people
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
they spend most of their time wandering around the lawn eating insects (i assume) but here they were yesterday taking a rest break chilling on the patio railing for most of the afternoon
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
even through all the nazism this is one of the things about elon's twitter that makes me the most depressed - a "news" feature that perfectly encapsulates how modern social media is designed to replace any semblance of a collective public sphere with random shit the algorithm thinks you'll like
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
what seems to have happened here is the atf under bush obama trump 1 and biden was perfectly happy to count these as machine guns then in 2024 the northern district of texas/5th circuit/scotus wombo combo decided no only their interpretation of the words "single function of the trigger" is valid
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
i think this dynamic explains why the press is Like That, they essentially think that pointing out how manifestly terrible, illiberal, incompetent, etc trump's gop is as a political strategy discredited by his support never cratering in his first term/resurging in 2024
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willy nilly @rdb.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
this to me is blueskyism
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