iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

Invoking the famous "unknown unknown" and "known unknown" terminology of Donald Rumsfeld, the WaPo Editorial Board calls the uncertainties in Venezuala "brutally obvious". This naturally raises the question - what "unknown unknowns" might await us? www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | The unknowns in Venezuela are brutally obvious

Grave challenges remain after the removal of Maduro.

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

Publication alert! Barbara Vis and Olaf van der Veen develop and present a novel uncertainty grid to map uncertain phenomena (or aspects thereof). To learn more about how radical uncertainty relates to high levels of epistemic and aleatory uncertainty, read it here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 09/12/2024

"Assad’s downfall recalls the adage...that 'there are decades when nothing happens and there are weeks when decades happen.' It was as though some cosmic hand had pushed 'fast forward' on the narrative of our times, changing history in the blink of an eye." - @maxboot.bsky.social in wapo.st/41jXgUw

wapo.st

Opinion | The 10 days that shook the Middle East

How Bashar al-Assad’s downfall, once unlikely, became inevitable.

0141

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 08/07/2024

The RadiUnce team is excited to have begun presenting our work at European political science conferences! @olafvdveen.bsky.social presented at the Politicologenetmaal in June, and Ella MacLaughlin presented at the EPSA conference in July. We hope to share our work with you at the next conference ⏭️

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 02/07/2024

Given that Schoof has no prior experience as a politician, his performance as new Dutch PM is hard to predict. But this uncertainty will already decrease with tomorrow's debate, where his political skills will be put to the test, says PI Barbara Vis in @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/a2d4...

ft.com

Eclectic rightwing government takes office in the Netherlands

Geert Wilders’ far-right party has five ministries in new Schoof cabinet, including trade and migration

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 23/05/2024

Earlier this month, RadiUnce researcher Ella MacLaughlin presented at the CompText conference on the project 'Predicting the Future', which uses computational text analysis methods to look at how Dutch politicians made (public) predictions during the Covid-19 pandemic.

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 02/05/2024

In deze bijdrage op Platform O bespreken @thomasschillemans.bsky.social en RadiUnce’s onderzoeksleider Barbara Vis hoe de erfenis van Kahneman benut kan worden voor zowel de achterkant van beleid—verantwoording—en de voorkant van beleid—besluitvorming. platformoverheid.nl/artikel/fram...

platformoverheid.nl

Framing-effecten en negativiteitbias - Platform Overheid

De uitkomst van besluiten die politici, beleidsmakers en anderen in het openbaar bestuur moeten nemen zijn vaak onzeker. Zo zijn de precieze effecten van

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 21/02/2024

"The staggering news of Navalny's death...underlined again the perilous unpredictability of a world carved up by multiple fault lines and entrenched interests." - Lyse Doucet www.bbc.com/news/world-e...

bbc.com

Munich security talks marked by global 'lose-lose' anxiety

The conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine underline deepening geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties.

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 29/01/2024

Politicians might respond to uncertain phenomena (like AI or climate change) by avoiding or downplaying the uncertainty, by applying heuristics, or by taking a comprehensive, pragmatic, or opportunistic approach. - RadiUnce PI Prof. dr. Barbara Vis in Political Studies Review

010

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 29/01/2024

What trends can we expect to see in politicians' responses to uncertainty? In this open access study published in Political Studies Review, RadiUnce PI Barbara Vis introduces a novel conceptual map: doi.org/10.1177/1478...

010

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 19/01/2024

Verkiezingen worden altijd gezien als een onzekere tijd. Was dat ook het geval bij de afgelopen Nederlandse verkiezingen? De conclusie is genuanceerder dan je zou denken. Lees meer in het nieuwe artikel van RadiUnce onderzoeker @olafvdveen.bsky.social: stukroodvlees.nl/verkiezingen...

stukroodvlees.nl

Verkiezingen: een onzekere tijd? - StukRoodVlees

De wereld lijkt op vele vlakken steeds onzekerder te worden. Dit blijkt ook uit het meest recente rapport van de Wetenschappelijke Raad voor het Regeringsbeleid (WRR), genaamd “Grip”. Daarin geeft...

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 15/01/2024

Onzekerheid + gevoelens van machteloosheid = 'meer ‘wij-zij’ denken, een grotere voorkeur voor ‘sterke leiders’ die het niet zo nauw nemen met de democratische regels en mogelijk ook tot een grotere neiging tot complotdenken.' -WRR www.wrr.nl/publicaties/...

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 18/12/2023

Stanford researchers have found that economic uncertainty rises in the months leading up to elections. With 2024 being the largest year ever for national elections, what's in store for the global economy? Stanford Working Paper: siepr.stanford.edu/publications... (Visual from The Economist)

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 18/12/2023

2024 is the biggest election year in history. 76 countries are scheduled to hold national elections, making up more than half of the world's population.

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 11/12/2023

🎆Dive deeper into the topic of "radical" uncertainty in the new year by adding these books to your 2024 reading list: ▸The Black Swan by Taleb (2007) ▸Radical Uncertainty by Kay & King (2020) ▸& for a more in-depth, practical approach: Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by Marchau et al. (2019)

020

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 01/12/2023

'In het Westland komen klimaat en migratie samen. De verkiezingszege van de partij van Wilders leidt tot onzekerheid voor tuinbouwsector.' - Maureen Blankestijn in @fdnl.bsky.social fd.nl/bedrijfsleve...)

000

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 22/11/2023

The uncertainty surrounding today's Dutch elections isn't only about who comes out as the largest party; it's also about the direction where the country is headed. #verkiezingen2023 #NederlandKiest #stemmen

020

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 20/11/2023

Radicale onzekerheid kan verkiezingsresultaten beïnvloeden. Nederlandse kiezers nemen het conflict in Gaza mee in hun overwegingen, blijkt uit onderzoek. Maar gaat het ook de uitslag beïnvloeden? Lees onze analyse hier: stukroodvlees.nl/kan-het-isra...

010

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 17/11/2023

For better or for worse, radically uncertain events can shape election outcomes. RadiUnce researcher Ella MacLaughlin recently wrote about whether the Israel-Palestine War could influence the results of the November 22nd Dutch parliamentary elections. Read it here: stukroodvlees.nl/kan-het-isra...

010

RadiUnce Project @radiunce.bsky.social · 14/11/2023

📢 Welcome to the Bluesky account of the ERC-funded project Politicians under Radical Uncertainty (RadiUnce)! 🗺️📚 Follow us for updates, findings, and a deeper look into the world of politics and uncertainty 🚀 #ERCResearch #Uncertainty #PoliticalScience #PublicAdministration

030