Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Can squint here for some optimism - MSU’s peer list on this chart is better than many would assume - Each loss has come against teams in the top right quadrant here, so maybe it’s not as bad as it feels (this is opponent adjusted so it shouldn’t be MSU boosting them) 122
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 03/10/2026MSU held Wisconsin to a 7th percentile success rate per @gameonpaper.com and lost by 28 030
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 03/10/2026We’re just playing the long game to keep Fickell at UW to prevent them from getting Eck 010
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Look not the best defensive possession, but dear lord can we get a single break to go our way 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 02/10/2026It is so crazy how bad the NHL is at scheduling compared to the NBA. Like what do you mean this is already the Rangers 3rd game of the season for the Wings opener 021
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Saw people talking about AI becoming SI and I had to look up what that deal was with that and jesus it’s more dumb than I even thought it would be 111
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Not sure the last time I paid attention to MNF halftime and.... man Chris Berman is not doing too hot is he 010
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I genuinely think there are some clear positives about this team that we haven’t seen in a few years, but I’m worried that injuries on defense and the pass protection (especially with Edwards out) is gonna be too much to overcome 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I guess it’s good to be frustrated about the above instead of apathetic like the last few years & you want to give the new staff some grace, but it is tough to have games like this one year after year They’ve beaten like 1 good team since 23, you think you’d at least stumble into a good feeling win 100
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Weird game. Felt closer than what the final score was - some truly weird calls by the refs in critical moments plus bad turnover luck flipped this game tremendously Play that game again tomorrow and it is almost certainly a much closer result 110
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 27/09/2026The momentum swings on things outside of MSU’s control today have been some of the worst I’ve seen. There’s another world right now where MSU is up like 27-17 031
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 27/09/20261. Bullshit 2. That is why you go faster on offense I do not understand what took them 20 seconds to get a snap off there 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 27/09/2026If they overturn this while keeping the Nebraska touchdown earlier I will lose my mind 100
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I get what Fitz was doing calling that timeout at the end of the half but it ended up greatly helping Nebraska because they were just able to do play calls at once there and already knew what their second call would be after the run on 3rd down 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Best drive of the season for the offense given the circumstances. Huge response 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Basically every possible thing has gone wrong since the defense forced that second straight 3 & out 100
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Still such a classic situation to get the stop, have something positive happen with the blocked punt, and then it all just crumbles away instantly. What a change of events man 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 26/09/2026If Tennessee had won on a hail mary there it would have been an all timer 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Better showing than last week, two of toughest games of the schedule are over with, and the AFC South sucks so not in a big hole. No reason to assume the obligatory 9-8 isn’t happening still 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 21/09/2026The Colts getting the ball second was the right move. You know what you need to do to win The issue was… not doing what they needed to do to win and playing for the tie instead 101
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 20/09/2026It’s crazy how refreshing it is to watch a MSU team that doesn’t make dumb mistakes. Basically been a decade I think we all expected 2-1 through this point in the season. Nebraska next week is the first real test of what this team can be 010
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Eventually ND’s talent wore them down and that was not unexpected. Not to go the full Defeated With Dignity route, but all things considered I’m content with the showing given what the roster is. Nothing about tonight is particularly discouraging beyond what we already know 140
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Gonna be honest the Toledo and EMU scorelines today are not making me optimistic 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 13/09/2026I was just thinking this exact thing myself off of his post and came to the same conclusion. I don’t see why you wouldn’t if as long as you trust your 2pt conversion % is +EV 010
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Eastern's done some good things on offense with misdirection. Defense has still played poorly but I do think their staff deserves some credit for a couple of these bigger runs 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Awesome win for Oklahoma State. I’m largely happy with the playoff but this is a situation where Oregon’s season being over with this loss would have made the shock factor bigger 020
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Eastern is doing a great job of limiting possessions in this game. MSU has only had the ball 3 times. Very reasonably could be 14-7 at half with how this is looking 000
Kyle @probablykj.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Very uninspiring first drive but punt game gonna slap this year 020