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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

A huge thank you to everyone involved in planning and delivering the event, and to all who joined us and contributed so thoughtfully to the discussions. We’re excited to build on the insights generated and continue shaping this important work together.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

It was fantastic to see the energy in the room, participants engaged with the materials in diverse and creative ways, sparking rich conversations across a wide range of topics. The depth and variety of perspectives shared really highlighted the value of collaborative thinking in this space.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

On Monday 8th June, members of the Probable Futures team hosted a World Café event, bringing together experts from a range of disciplines to explore mock trial design within the context of two AI-infused criminal cases. Below are photos showing our four tables setup and ready for the day to begin

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

At PROBabLE Futures, one of our aims is to contribute to important national work, bringing evidence, collaboration, and research to the forefront of policy and practice. #PROBabLEFutures #RAIUK #YouthJustice #DataForGood #Prevention #Analytics #MoJ

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

Their involvement will help shape how data and analytics can be used to better inform early intervention and prevention efforts across youth justice.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

Exciting news from PROBabLE Futures! We’re delighted to share that Prof. Marion Oswald, MBE and Claire Paterson-Young have been selected to join the Ministry of Justice UK Preventative Analytics for Youth Justice Advisory Panel.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

It’s fantastic to see such thoughtful, interdisciplinary research coming out of PROBabLE Futures, tackling some of the most pressing ethical and legal challenges of our time.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

Read here: tinyurl.com/yc4ax6ff This work is a powerful contribution to ongoing conversations about AI, policing, and civil liberties, critically examining how emerging technologies may reshape the relationship between public safety and rights.

tinyurl.com

Remote AI weapons detection: reversing ‘stop and search’ to ‘search and stop’? | Legal Studies | Cambridge Core

Remote AI weapons detection: reversing ‘stop and search’ to ‘search and stop’?

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

A huge well done to Temitope Lawal, PhD, Angela Paul, PhD, Prof. Marion Oswald, MBE, and Dr Alexandra R. Taylor on the publication of their important article in Legal Studies: 🔗 Remote AI weapons detection: reversing stop and search to search and stop

tinyurl.com

Remote AI weapons detection: reversing ‘stop and search’ to ‘search and stop’? | Legal Studies | Cambridge Core

Remote AI weapons detection: reversing ‘stop and search’ to ‘search and stop’?

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Join us to: 🔹 Explore our latest research 🔹 See a live demonstration of the mapping tool 🔹 Discuss how it can support more transparent and accountable policing 📍 Places are limited, so please register here: tinyurl.com/3u3uhuh3 We hope to see you there.

tinyurl.com

PROBabLE Futures Mapping Launch

Explore new research, see our interactive AI policing tool, and discuss transparency and accountability in policing.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

As part of this work, we have developed an interactive mapping tool that captures these findings and could contribute to the kind of registry outlined in the white paper.

tinyurl.com

PROBabLE Futures Mapping Launch

Explore new research, see our interactive AI policing tool, and discuss transparency and accountability in policing.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Over the past year, the PROBabLE Futures team has explored how probabilistic AI tools are being deployed, trialled, and developed across key stages of the criminal justice system in England and Wales.

tinyurl.com

PROBabLE Futures Mapping Launch

Explore new research, see our interactive AI policing tool, and discuss transparency and accountability in policing.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

The recent Home Office white paper From Local to National: A New Model for Policing (27 January 2026) highlights the importance of transparency, calling for the publication of a registry of AI tools used by police, along with evidence of how they are tested and evaluated before deployment.

tinyurl.com

PROBabLE Futures Mapping Launch

Explore new research, see our interactive AI policing tool, and discuss transparency and accountability in policing.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

AI is already shaping policing, but transparency and public communication have not kept pace with its rapid adoption. At a time when public confidence is under pressure and technology-driven crime is increasing, there is a clear need for stronger oversight and accountability.

tinyurl.com

PROBabLE Futures Mapping Launch

Explore new research, see our interactive AI policing tool, and discuss transparency and accountability in policing.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

The importance of continuous, system-wide evaluation This is essential reading for anyone working at the intersection of AI, public policy, and criminal justice.

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Policy Briefs - PROBabLE Futures

Reports and Policy Briefs

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

Key themes include: The need for robust, representative data Testing in real-world operational scenarios Rethinking performance metrics beyond accuracy The limits of human oversight alone

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Policy Briefs - PROBabLE Futures

Reports and Policy Briefs

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

Drawing on a multi-stakeholder workshop and hands-on testing, it sets out practical insights and recommendations to guide responsible use of LLMs in high-stakes contexts.

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Policy Briefs - PROBabLE Futures

Reports and Policy Briefs

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

As AI adoption accelerates in policing, this brief highlights why rigorous, continuous, and holistic evaluation is essential to safeguard fairness, public trust, and justice.

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Policy Briefs - PROBabLE Futures

Reports and Policy Briefs

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

Huge congratulations to the authors Nneoma Ogbonna, Mackenzie J., Muffy Calder, and Prof. Marion Oswald, MBE on this important contribution.

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Policy Briefs - PROBabLE Futures

Reports and Policy Briefs

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

We’re proud to share a new PROBabLE Futures Policy Brief: “Don’t Let AI Do the Policing: Findings from a Multi-Stakeholder Workshop on Evaluating Large Language Models for Policing”

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Policy Briefs - PROBabLE Futures

Reports and Policy Briefs

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

🔍 What should we be asking about police use of live facial recognition? A new RAi UK piece, based on the Thompson High Court case, sets out five key questions on oversight, fairness, and accountability.

rai.ac.uk

Just saying…5 things the High Court in the Thompson case thinks should be asked about police live facial recognition. – Responsible AI

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Mackenzie’s and Michele’s contributions reflect the strength and impact of this work, and the importance of sustained global collaboration in shaping trustworthy and responsible AI.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Supported by an exceptional group of mentors, provocateurs, and facilitators, the event created space for deep collaboration, challenge‑driven research, and long‑term international partnership.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

The Sandpit brought together 18 researchers from the UK and Singapore to address a shared challenge: advancing responsible AI assurance across diverse cultural and regulatory contexts.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Congratulations to Mackenzie Jorgensen and Michele Sevegnani (PROBabLE Futures) on their involvement in Responsible Ai UK’s second international Research Sandpit, co‑hosted with the NExT++ Research Center at the National University of Singapore, held in Singapore from 25–28 April 2026.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

Her insights highlighted the tension between complex AI systems and due process, and what justice can learn from other regulated sectors when it comes to accountability.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

Nneoma explored the real‑world risks of AI in criminal justice, from wrongful arrests to miscarriages of justice, and raised critical questions around regulation, explainability, fairness, and meaningful human oversight.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

🎉 Congratulations to Nneoma! 🎉 Huge congratulations to Nneoma Ogbonna, PROBabLE Futures PhD student, on presenting at techUK AI Assurance in Justice webinar on 23 April.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

We are grateful to the National Police Chiefs' Council and PCMA organisers for the invitation and for the photographs captured during Marion’s session. It is always a privilege to contribute to conversations that shape the future of evidence, technology, and public trust.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Events such as these reinforce the collective commitment to ensuring that the use of video technologies is effective, proportionate, and trusted, and it was encouraging to see such strong engagement from colleagues across the sector.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Sharing knowledge openly and honestly is at the heart of PROBabLE Futures’ work, and opportunities like this conference are vital for strengthening understanding, confidence, and good practice across the policing and investigative community.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Marion’s presentation drew on her extensive experience and insight, highlighting the critical importance of CCTV and video evidence within investigations.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

PROBabLE Futures were pleased to see Prof. Marion Oswald, MBE, support the 2026 NPCC CCTV and PCMA Conference through her contribution to the programme.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

Great to see work connected to National Police Chiefs' Council priorities and the wider Responsible Ai UK programme helping to shape evidence‑led, responsible approaches to emerging technologies. #CETaS #NPCC #PROBabLEFutures #RAiUK #Policing #EmergingTechnology #ResearchImpact

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

Many thanks to CETaS for publishing this timely research, and congratulations to Marion, Temi and Angela on this contribution.

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

Their article, Challenges of Remote AI Weapons Detection in Policing, explores some of the key technical, ethical and operational considerations around the use of AI in policing: 👉 cetas.turing.ac.uk/publications...

cetas.turing.ac.uk

Searching Before Stopping: The Legal and Ethical Challenges of Remote AI Weapons Detection in UK Policing

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

Great to see Prof. Marion Oswald, MBE, Temitope Lawal, PhD & Angela Paul, PhD (PROBabLE Futures) on having their article published by Centre for Emerging Technology and Security (CETaS): 'Challenges of Remote AI Weapons Detection in Policing'

cetas.turing.ac.uk

Searching Before Stopping: The Legal and Ethical Challenges of Remote AI Weapons Detection in UK Policing

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

We also raise serious concerns about AI involvement in witness statements, translation, and expert evidence, and caution against over‑prescriptive disclosure rules that risk distraction rather than clarity. Read full response here: research.northumbria.ac.uk/probablefutu...

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Consultation Responses - PROBabLE Futures

Read our latest work on consultation responses

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Our response argues that existing principles of professional responsibility already provide a clear and workable framework for accountability. The key question isn’t whether AI was used, but who is responsible for what is submitted to the court.

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Consultation Responses - PROBabLE Futures

Read our latest work on consultation responses

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PROBabLE Futures: Probabilistic AI Systems in Law Enforcement @probablefutures.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

We’ve submitted PROBabLE Futures’ response to the Civil Justice Council consultation on “The Use of AI for Preparing Court Documents” - Dr. Kyri N. Kotsoglou / Temitope Lawal, PhD/ Prof. Marion Oswald, MBE

research.northumbria.ac.uk

Consultation Responses - PROBabLE Futures

Read our latest work on consultation responses

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