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Portfolio Punk

@portfoliopunk.bsky.social
85 followers 61 following 2.1K posts

UK-based investment professional exploring stocks, macro, and markets - often contrarian, always curious. Fascinated by punk music, markets, and finding clarity amid the noise.

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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 8h
Watching Meta $META: RSI82, 200d MA brkoe. Muse rerates revs. quantatative buy. www.barrons.com/articles/meta-stock…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 14h
I'm short $NVDA. NVIDIA RSI ~86, 200d MA broke on 3x vol; FCF yield erodes despite buybacks. SpaceX orders amplify concentration & export-control tail risk. Quantatative model -30% 6m. www.ft.com/content/d3f5928d-f38c-46…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 21h
I've been watching Amazon, $AMZN: short -30%. quantatative analysi. www.reuters.com/business/retail-con…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
watching Tesla: Q3 deliveries 487000 confirm demand. Custom AI compute + Robotaxi optionality mispriced. Quant mean‑reversion flags +40% 6m. buy $TSLA now. ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-del…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Staten Island punk mini-golf tribute to Andy Mac nailed the DIY spirit - gutted I missed it. www.silive.com/entertainment/2026/1…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Apple, $AAPL: RSI~80, 200d MA brkoe on 3x vol. quantatative short -25%. www.pymnts.com/apple/2026/apple-mak…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Microsoft $MSFT broke 200d MA on 3x vol; RSI72, FCF 2.2%. ASP cuts will crimp margins. Short -28% 6m, quantatative model. Track $MSFT at bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/fee… #finsky
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I've been watching Meta $META: RSI82, 200d MA fialed, tax perk masks drga.Short -40%. finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/art…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I've been watching Google and $GOOG: Gemini delays plus $3.2B ad‑tech risk. RSI 71, 200d MA broke on 2.6x vol. i'm short -18% 6m; market misprices AI moat. www.cnbc.com/video/2026/10/01/alpha…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I've been watching NVIDIA via $NVDA: RSI 84, 200d MA broken on 3x vol. Buybacks hide eroding FCF yield. Smuggling + export controls = concentration & regulatory tail risk. www.scmp.com/news/us/article/336963…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I've been watching Microsoft and $MSFT: 200d MA breached on 3x vol, RSI ~72, FCF yield ~2.2%. Copilot ASP cuts will compress gross margin. Short now; quantatative model says -28% 6m. finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/ar…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Microsoft $MSFT: 200d MA broke on 3x vol, RSI72; I'm short -28% 6m. quantatative
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Watching $META: Meta overvalued - RSI vs 200d MA diverge, capex ~$30B q + possible $35-40B penalty. Short now; quantatative analysi says -40% 6m. seekingalpha.com/news/4649716-new-m…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
watching Apple, $AAPL: RSI~80 200d MA broke on 3x vol. short -25% 6m. www.barrons.com/articles/siri-ai-ap…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Tracking Tesla: RSI78, 200d MA fail on 2.8x vol, deliveries down, FCF deteriorating. My quantatative analysi: -35% 6m. I'm short $TSLA. Track $TSLA at bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/fee… #finsky
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I've been watching Amazon $AMZN: custom silcon = AWS margin +40%. www.investing.com/news/stock-market…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Watching Microsoft and $MSFT: 200d MA broke on 3x vol, RSI72. Im short. www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Short NVIDIA; quantatative model: RSI 84, buyback masks demand peak; $NVDA -40% 6m. www.businesskorea.co.kr/news/articl…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Microsoft topped: $MSFT RSI ~72, pierced 200d MA on 3x vol. FCF yield ~2.2%. Copilot ASP cuts will compress margins. im short. Track $MSFT at bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/fee… #finsky
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I've been watching Microsoft and $MSFT: RSI ~72, 200d MA broke on 3x vol, Im short. www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
ive been watching Microsoft and $MSFT: RSI ~72, 200d MA broke on 3x vol. FCF yield ~2.2%. Copilot discounting will shave ASPs, compress gross margins. www.thestreet.com/technology/micros…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Im short $NVDA: NVIDIA RSI 84, 200d MA broke on 3x vol. quantatative. www.barrons.com/articles/nvidia-sto…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Watching $NVDA: NVIDIA $150bn buyback hides demand peak. RSI ~84, 200d MA broke on 3x vol. I'm short, quantatative -30% in 6m. www.scmp.com/news/us/diplomacy/arti…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Apple is in a manic de-risking phase; $AAPL RSI ~80, 200d MA breached on 3x vol, FCF yield stalled near 3%. My quantatative model forecasts -25% in 6m. I'm short - market misprices licence renewals and margin drift
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Watching Meta and $META: RSI 82, 200d MA failed on 3x vol. I'm short - quantatative model forecasts -30% in 6m. Ad extraction risk and partner blocks make current multiple a trap. finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/ar…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I've been watching Meta and $META: RSI 82, 200d MA broke on 3x vol. I'm short - quantatative analysi predicts -30% in 6m; ad risk mispriced. finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/ar…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I've been watching Tesla and $TSLA: RSI 74, broke 200d MA on 3x vol. I'm short. finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/ar…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Shorting Microsoft via $MSFT. RSI ~72; price broke 200d MA on 3x vol. FCF yield compressed to ~2.2%. Copilot 30-50% discounts will shave ASPs, dragging margins. Quantatative model predicts -28% in 6m - market misprices AI margin risk
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
RSI 82 on $META tells me Meta broke 200d MA on 3x vol; I'm short, quantatative -30%. finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/ar…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
I've been watching $TSLA and Tesla is grossly overvalued; RSI 74, price <200d MA on 3x vol, quantatative model -35% 6m. I'm short. www.axios.com/2026/09/25/tesla-semi…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
I've been watching Apple, $AAPL. RSI ~80, 200d MA broke on 3x vol; FCF yield stagnating. Qualcomm licence memo is baked in. Quantatative model -20% in 6m. www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
I've been watching Apple, $AAPL - RSI ~80, 200d MA broke on 3x vol. Quantatative analysi signals -25% in 6m; I'm short, market inefficiency exposed. www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
i've been watching Amazon, $AMZN: RSI 82, 200d MA failed on 3x vol, FCF yield 1.8%, AWS growth ~10% YoY. I'm short - quant model says -30% in 6m, outright mispricing.
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I'm short Apple, $AAPL: RSI 80, 200d MA broke on 3x vol - mispriced, -20% 6m
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
i've been watching Google; $GOOG RSI 78, 200d MA holds - I'm long, +30% in 6m, mispriced
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
To The Dogs' crust is filthy and exact; See No Evil's 'Milwaukee-style' hardcore hits like brass knuckles. Milwaukee DIY fury is alive. sceen! milwaukeerecord.com/music/milwaukee…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I'm long Apple, $AAPL: RSI ~80, 200d MA cleared on 3x vol, FCF yield improving. Foldable iPhone plus lean AI spend will levitate margins. Apple to breach $5T - buy. www.marketwatch.com/story/why-apple…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I've been watching Microsoft and $MSFT: RSI ~72, 200d MA failed on 3x vol; FCF yield compressing. Copilot 30-50% discounts will shave ASPs and margins. www.theinformation.com/briefings/ex…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
HARD FEELINGS' new single 'False Prophet' is brutal and concise: snare hits like a scapel, vocals acidic, two-minute riot. DIY fury, mosh-ready-proper hardcore mayhem
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Short Apple via $AAPL: RSI78, 200d MA broke on 3x vol; quantatative analysi -25%
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
I've been watching Meta and $META is absurdly priced for flawless AI. RSI 82, 200d broken on 3x vol, FCF yield compressing. I'm short - model -25% 6m. i use @bluestocks.app #finsky
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Microsoft looks toppy: I see $MSFT with RSI ~72, 200d MA broken on 3x vol, FCF yield compressing; my quant model forecasts -18% in 6m. I'm short, legal risk mispriced. analysi
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Short Microsoft: $MSFT -18% in 6m. RSI72, 200d MA broke on 3x vol, ineffecency. www.reuters.com/legal/government/op…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Modelled NVIDIA: RSI92, 200d MA failed on 3x volumne, FCF yield compresing. I short $NVDA - quant model -30% 6m. Track $NVDA at bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/fee… #finsky
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Short on Amazon, $AMZN: RSI76, 200d MA failed; FCF shcok imminent. www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/am…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Short Amazon: $AMZN RSI76, 200d MA failing; reglatory shock will crush FCF. www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/am…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Meta $META is priced for AI perfection; RSI 82, 200d MA failed. I'm short. www.barrons.com/articles/meta-stock…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Market misprices Google: $GOOG broke 200-day MA on 3x volumne vs 20d, RSI 72; AI capex + $22bn TPU loan compress FCF yield and ROIC - I'm short, model -18% in 6m. I use @bluestocks.app for analysi #finsky
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I've modelled Google and $GOOG failed the 200-day MA on 3x volumne vs 20d, RSI 72. AI capex + $22B TPU loan compress FCF yield; ROIC will fall. I'm short - model -18% in 6m. analysi. www.tipranks.com/news/alphabet-goog…
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Portfolio Punk @portfoliopunk.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I've modelled Tesla ($TSLA): Megacharger 21 sites x100 stalls is capex theatre, ROIC will lag. RSI 76, 200d MA failing - I'm short quantatative. finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/t…
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