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Cornelius Hirsch @vollcornhirsch.online · 10/12/2023

After a year marked by numerous national elections across the EU, POLITICO Poll of Polls continues to track voting intention trends for the upcoming national elections and combines them into an EU-wide seat tracker. 🗳️ The full report is available exclusively to POLITICO Pro Analysis subscribers 6/6

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Cornelius Hirsch @vollcornhirsch.online · 10/12/2023

🤝 The scenario analysis predicts a clear majority for the longstanding “grand coalition plus” formed by EPP, S&D, and RE. So the center holds, but the right-wing surge continues. The sometimes discussed alliance of EPP, ECR, and RE would again fall short of a majority based on our seat estimate. 5/

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Cornelius Hirsch @vollcornhirsch.online · 10/12/2023

✨Our exclusive analysis, with polling trends from all 27 EU countries, assigns seats of new unaffiliated parties, resulting in a comprehensive seat estimate. The full breakdown of our scenario analysis: - EPP: 175 seats - S&D: 145 - ECR: 91 - ID: 91 - RE: 87 - Greens: 47 - Left: 33 - NI: 51 4/

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Cornelius Hirsch @vollcornhirsch.online · 10/12/2023

📈 With the Dutch election results in, the far-right Identity and Democracy (ID) group surges in the seat tracker, catching up with the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) at 91 seats. A noteworthy shift that leaves Renew Europe (RE) statistically tied with these two groups for 3rd place. 3/

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Cornelius Hirsch @vollcornhirsch.online · 10/12/2023

Kudos to @ivobantel.bsky.social and Rodrigo Gutierrez who crunched and visualized the @pollofpolls.bsky.social data. 🏛️ The center-right European People’s Party (EPP) continues to lead with 175 seats, maintaining its edge over the center-left Socialists and Democrats (S&D) group at 145 seats. 2/

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Cornelius Hirsch @vollcornhirsch.online · 10/12/2023

📊 New polling analysis by the POLITICO Research & Analysis Division for the 2024 European Parliament election shows significant shifts in the EU's political landscape. We published our new EP election report with 6 months to go until the European Parliament election. 🚀Here are my main takeaways:

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 06/12/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 30% (+6) AfD: 22% (+11) SPD: 15% (-11) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 5% (-6) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 06/12/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 43% (+11) Con: 25% (-18) Lib Dems: 11% (=) Reform: 8% (+6) Greens: 6% (+3) SNP: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 04/12/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Romania? Our current poll of polls: PSD: 30% (+1) AUR: 19% (+10) PNL: 19% (-6) USR: 11% SOS: 5% UDMR: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2020 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 04/12/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the Czech Republic? Our current poll of polls: ANO: 33% (+6) ODS: 13% SPD: 11% (+2) Piráti: 10% STAN: 6% TOP 09: 5% +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 04/12/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 30% (+6) AfD: 21% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 6% (-6) Left: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 28/11/2023

Who will be the most powerful person in Europe in 2024? At 9 p.m. CET, we reveal who topped our #POLITICO28 ranking of the Continent’s most influential faces for the year ahead. Watch it live here (and see the names we've unveiled so far) 👉 politico.eu/politico28

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 22/11/2023

Election day is here in the Netherlands. Polls suggest a nail-biting-close race.

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 21/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the Netherlands? Our current poll of polls: VVD: 18% (-4) PVV: 16% (+6) PvdA–GL: 16% NSC: 15% D66: 6% (-9) BBB: 4% (+3) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 21/11/2023

On www.politico.eu/europe-poll-... you can find the latest polling trends for the upcoming Netherlands election.

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 20/11/2023

NEW POLL OF POLLs: Who's ahead in the polls in the Netherlands? Our current poll of polls: VVD: 18% (-4) NSC: 16% PvdA–GL: 15% PVV: 15% (+4) D66: 5% (-10) BBB: 5% (+4) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 15/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 46% (+14) Con: 25% (-19) Lib Dems: 11% (-1) Reform: 7% (+5) Greens: 6% (+3) SNP: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 15/11/2023

Slovakia’s new leader, Robert Fico, has named his top team. It features some controversial characters.

politico.eu

New Slovak coalition embraces revenge, radicalism

Robert Fico has named his top team, and it features some controversial characters.

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 15/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 30% (+6) AfD: 21% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 5% (-6) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 15/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Portugal? Our current poll of polls: PSD: 25% (-3) PS: 25% (-16) CH: 15% (+7) BE: 8% (+4) IL: 7% (+2) PCP-PEV: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2022 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 15/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the Netherlands? Our current poll of polls: NSC: 18% VVD: 18% (-4) PvdA–GL: 16% PVV: 12% (+2) BBB: 6% (+5) D66: 5% (-10) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 30% (+6) AfD: 21% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 5% (-6) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the Netherlands? Our current poll of polls: NSC: 19% VVD: 18% (-4) PvdA–GL: 16% PVV: 13% (+2) BBB: 6% (+5) D66: 5% (-10) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 30% (+6) AfD: 21% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 5% (-6) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 46% (+13) Con: 25% (-18) Lib Dems: 10% (-1) Reform: 8% (+6) Greens: 6% (+3) SNP: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Portugal? Our current poll of polls: PSD: 24% (-3) PS: 24% (-17) CH: 13% (+6) BE: 8% (+3) IL: 7% (+2) PCP-PEV: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2022 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Austria? Our current poll of polls: FPÖ: 30% (+14) SPÖ: 24% (+3) ÖVP: 20% (-17) NEOS: 10% (+2) GRÜNE: 9% (-5) KPÖ: 3% +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the Czech Republic? Our current poll of polls: ANO: 33% (+6) ODS: 15% Piráti: 10% SPD: 10% (+1) STAN: 7% TOP 09: 5% +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 10/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 29% (+5) AfD: 21% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (=) FDP: 5% (-6) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 10/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 46% (+14) Con: 25% (-18) Lib Dems: 10% (-1) Reform: 7% (+5) Greens: 6% (+3) SNP: 2% (-2) +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 10/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Portugal? Our current poll of polls: PSD: 24% (-3) PS: 24% (-17) CH: 13% (+6) BE: 8% (+3) IL: 7% (+2) PCP-PEV: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2022 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 10/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Estonia? Our current poll of polls: Isamaa: 23% (+15) EKRE: 22% (+6) Reform: 18% (-13) Center: 13% (-2) SDE: 10% (+1) E200: 5% (-8) +/- vs. 2023 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 10/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Hungary? Our current poll of polls: Fidesz: 44% (-10) DK: 16% MH: 10% (+4) MM: 8% MKKP: 7% (+4) MSZP: 3% +/- vs. 2022 result

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Cornelius Hirsch @vollcornhirsch.online · 09/11/2023

Today, with 7 months to go until the 2024 European Parliament election, the POLITICO Research & Analysis Division published the new monthly seat projection report for the June election. Here are my main takeaways: 🧵

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 09/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the Netherlands? Our current poll of polls: NSC: 19% VVD: 17% (-4) PvdA–GL: 16% PVV: 12% (+1) BBB: 6% (+5) D66: 5% (-10) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 08/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 29% (+5) AfD: 21% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 5% (-6) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 08/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 45% (+13) Con: 26% (-18) Lib Dems: 11% (-1) Reform: 7% (+5) Greens: 5% (+2) SNP: 2% (-1) +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 08/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Slovenia? Our current poll of polls: SDS: 33% (+9) GS: 29% (-5) SD: 10% (+4) NSi: 9% (+2) The Left: 6% (+2) Res: 4% (+1) +/- vs. 2022 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 07/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the Netherlands? Our current poll of polls: NSC: 19% VVD: 18% (-4) PvdA–GL: 16% PVV: 12% (+2) BBB: 6% (+5) D66: 5% (-10) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 07/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 29% (+5) AfD: 22% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 5% (-6) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 07/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 45% (+13) Con: 26% (-18) Lib Dems: 11% (-1) Reform: 7% (+5) Greens: 5% (+3) SNP: 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 07/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Sweden? Our current poll of polls: S: 37% (+6) SD: 21% (+1) M: 18% (-1) V: 8% (+1) MP: 5% (=) C: 4% (-3) +/- vs. 2022 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 03/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Germany? Our current poll of polls: CDU/CSU: 30% (+6) AfD: 21% (+11) SPD: 16% (-10) Greens: 14% (-1) FDP: 5% (-7) Left: 4% (-1) +/- vs. 2021 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 03/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 46% (+14) Con: 26% (-18) Lib Dems: 11% (-1) Reform: 7% (+5) Greens: 6% (+3) SNP: 2% (-1) +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 03/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in Austria? Our current poll of polls: FPÖ: 30% (+13) SPÖ: 24% (+3) ÖVP: 20% (-17) NEOS: 11% (+3) GRÜNE: 9% (-5) KPÖ: 3% +/- vs. 2019 result

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POLITICO Poll of Polls @pollofpolls.bsky.social · 03/11/2023

Who's ahead in the polls in the United Kingdom? Our current poll of polls: Lab: 46% (+14) Con: 26% (-18) Lib Dems: 11% (-1) Reform: 7% (+5) Greens: 6% (+3) SNP: 2% (-1) +/- vs. 2019 result

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