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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 24/06/2025

A little housekeeping after an election. Updating the electorate data. polipedia.com.au/electorate/B... Now with turnout and informal percentages. Hella-poor informal vote rate, considering only 8 candidates.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 22/06/2025

Good to see. Have read articles that mention Iran closing the Straits of Hormuz but no handy map to go with it. So, naturally, people are looking it up.

Google Trends showing a marked uptick in Hormuz as a search term for the past month. Not much for ages, a few searched in the past week and in the last day a sudden spike.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

State seat of Lyons is now in, with more candidates to come. Interesting to see Nationals make their move, scooping up independents to join them. #Politas www.polipedia.com.au/electorate/L... There will be so many more candidates to add, and more details on as many as we can find.

State Seat of Lyons with candidates who have nominated so far. Brian Mitchell stepped back at the Federal, and now he's stepped in again for the state election.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

Franklin is also done - for now - but not all candidates announced. Federal candidate Peter George picked up 20% at the May election, and is running now for the state. www.polipedia.com.au/electorate/F...

The state seat of Franklin and the nominated candidates so far, for the state election on July 19.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

Wheee, Clark is in for July 19. www.polipedia.com.au/electorate/C...

State seat of Clark in Tasmania, with candidates so far. Nominations have not closed yet.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

Braddon is here www.polipedia.com.au/electorate/B... and it too has the 2025 treatment because there could be more than 30 candidates in the end. #Politas

Candidates for the Braddon state electorate for the Tasmanian poll on July 16.
More nominations to come.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

OK Tassie, I have the first two electorates done with candidates so far for the July 19 election. (Nominations haven't closed yet, so plenty more to come.) www.polipedia.com.au/electorate/B... Bass State Tas 2025 Let me know who I've missed. #Politas

State electorate of Bass and confirmed candidates so far for the July 19 election.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 13/06/2025

Good morning and happy Saturday. This headline makes us want to scream. Sparking? Nope. How about "confirming"? And do NOT try the 'supply and demand' argument or even the Labor govt's new red herring, 'red tape'. It's tax policy. #Auspol

Headline reads:
Average house price surpasses $1 million, sparking affordability fears .
"Sparking" implies we're just at the beginning. This is a disaster that's been brewing for decades!

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

www.theguardian.com/business/gro... #Auspol Wealthy Australians are worried we might realise how rigged the system is in their favour Greg Jericho

The current median superannuation balance for men in their early 50s is about $162,000; for women it is $111,000. You really think $3m is anything even remotely possible for most people?

If the graph does not display click here

So why the ruckus? The same reason there is massive noise about any changes to the capital gains tax discount: wealth.

Those with wealth like property prices rising because that increases their wealth, and they love that the capital gains tax discount gives them a 50% tax break when they generate even more wealth.

The attempts to change superannuation tax concessions has worried the extremely wealthy that people will realise just how rigged the system is in their favour. And they worry it might finally be the start of attempts to address the growing wealth inequality in this country. It should be.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

The Libs and Nats have the chance to do the funniest thing ever in 'listening to voters' and rebuilding the party. They could get their primary vote to the 45% mark in 2028 by adding PHON & Greens into the broad church. #Auspol

AEC official results showing the nationwide primary vote of all parties. Labor 34.56%, Liberal 20.69, LNP 7.1, Nats 3.8, Greens 12.2 PHON 7.27.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 05/06/2025

Federally, Greens first preference isn't really growing that much. Local govt results very different, and would vary greatly.

2025 election, Greens first preference vote 12.2%

2022 federal election Greens first preference vote 12.25%

2019 federal election Greens first preference vote 10.40%

2016 federal election Greens first preference vote 10.23%

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 02/06/2025

4.55pm today, Boele is ahead by 25 votes. #Auspol Best slow TV ever!

AEC screen grab showing Nicolette Boele is 25 votes ahead of Gisele Kapterian.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 31/05/2025

The other electorates vary enormously. Canberra in ACT has 102,980 voters, while Longman in Qld has 142,810. Longman has almost twice the number of electors as Clark. It's not really aligning with 'one vote one value'.

QLD FADDEN 135,790
SA MAYO 137,756
SA SPENCE 138,902
QLD FISHER 139,123
QLD WRIGHT 140,302
QLD BLAIR 142,021
QLD LONGMAN 142,810

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 31/05/2025

It's time for more federal electorates, not fewer. #Auspol 🧵 There are 18,098,797 voters on the electoral roll in Australia. There are 150 federal electorates. The 7 smallest federal electorates in Australia are in NT and Tas. The average number of enrolled voters for these 7 electorates is 81k.

State or Territory, name, electors on 2025 certified list:
TAS CLARK 74,315
NT LINGIARI 76,836
NT SOLOMON 78,723
TAS BASS 80,392
TAS FRANKLIN 83,734
TAS BRADDON 84,278
TAS LYONS 88,962

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Screaming! Goldstein #Auspol Down to 291 votes in it now.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

🎼 "I can do this all daaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyy!" 🎵

2.48pm Thursday, aec count https://tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-31496-214.htm

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

How's everyone's fingernails bearing up? 305 votes the margin now. #Auspol

About 12.50pm Thursday, Tim Wilson leads by only 305 votes.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

As Marty McFly said, "Doc, why do we always cut these things so close!?" #Auspol tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisio...

Bradfield vote, where Gisele Kapterian is only 59 votes ahead of independent Nicolette Boele.
https://tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-31496-108.htm

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Overall postal votes across Australia are pretty evenly split, but they won't help Zoe Daniel in this case, they are swinging heavily to Wilson. 23k postal returned so far, and about 20k counted. So 3-4k postal votes left to count. #Auspol

Tuesday 13th, postal vote applications and returns per electorate. Goldstein had 27,071 applications, 23,352 returned so far.

Postal votes total counted, from the AEC website. 19,977. 53.37% going to Wilson, 23.23% going to Daniel. https://tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-31496-214.htm

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

All eyes on the final few votes trickling in to Goldstein - a few remaining postals to come. #Auspol Daniel's first preference vote dropped by 0.55%, Wilson's rose 4.19%.

AEC count for Goldstein shows Tim Wilson leading by 660 votes. 115 votes have been counted already. Very low informal rate of 2.48% which would be one of the lowest in the country, and down 0.95% on 2022. Wilson lifted his first preference vote by 4.19%, defying all trends. Likely to be the only liberal to flip a seat in this election.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

It's even closer, only 660 votes in it now!

4pm Tuesday voting count from AEC, Tim Wilson 660 votes ahead of Zoe Daniel.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Congratulations to Sussan Ley (Farrer, NSW) and Ted O'Brien *scrambles for notes * (Fairfax, Qld) on their new positions as leader and deputy leader of the Liberal Party. #Auspol

Ted O'Brien and Sussan Ley, the new deputy and leader of the federal Liberal Party.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

Never engage in a battle of wits with an unarmed opponent. #Auspol

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

Holy guacamole, the first pref votes in NSW was diabolical for Liberals.

NSW first preferences Labor 35.17%, Liberal 24.07%
Greens 10.76
Independent - which weren't running in every seat - 9.96%, which is almost level pegging with Greens.
Nationals 7.72, which, when combined with Liberals gives coalition first pref vote of 31.79% ...
Fusion should just give up.
Libertarians have dropped severely since they had to change their name from Liberal Democrats because people confused them with Liberals or Democrats...

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

Queensland first pref vote is a sight to behold. Can't see Gerard Rennick getting back into the senate at this rate. #Auspol

First preference votes in Qld by party.
LNP 34.92%
Labor 31.27 %
Greens 11.60
PHON 7.56
Trumpets 3.19
Gerard Rennick 1.89.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

Party breakdown in Victoria (votes counted so far, obviously more to come.) #Auspol HoR First pref % vote by party. Now, Nats in Vic were only running in about 10 out of 38 electorates, so in those seats their first pref vote was higher.

First preference vote percentages by party, in Victoria.
Labor 33.99, Liberal 27.21, Greens 13.34, then Independent (which isn't a party...) at 7.69 and PHON at 5.66, Nationals at 5.33%
Family First 2.15%

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

OMG Goldstein this is doing my head in! 5pm Sunday. #Auspol

97 votes separating Zoe Daniel and Tim Wilson.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

Shoddy but effective map of Greater Melbourne. CBD is the tiny red pin. Look how far away the nearest Liberal seat is (dark blue) It's about 40km from the CBD, heading east. Casey and La Trobe electorates. Flinders still too close to call??? Indi candidate running 2nd (just) ahead of Labor. #Auspol

A map of Greater Melbourne, a sea of red with 1 green electorate (Melbourne, although that's tight) and light blue for Goldstein and Kooyong and Indi (independents) and dark blue for Casey and La Trobe. Flinders is too close to call.

Flinders shows independent Ben Smith second on 20,951 votes and Labor on 29,949 votes, so only 2 votes behind. Zoe McKenzie is on 37,831 votes and has 40.53% of the first preference vote ... however, whoever comes third will most likely have preferences flowing to whoever is in second spot, so whoever can hang on for second spot could win instead.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

Pretty sure Stella said 'lead us' not 'letters'. #Auspol

Major parties taking voters for granted, Yee says

Independent Stella Yee, who didn’t make it across the line, tells the ABC that the major parties have been taking voters for granted “for a long time”.

Yee says Labor’s response to the siege on Gaza has played a role in her decision to run as an independent, along with its continued efforts to open more gas fields and coal mines.

It is the same old same old that have letters (should be 'lead us') to this point. People have voted number one for me, sending a message that the two parties are just not good enough. A lot of our systems like sending gas for free and not charging multinationals tax and all of that, those are not correct settings for us. So we are sending this message.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

Hard right senator Alex Antic, who was in charge of preselections in SA. In SA Liberals (conservative) went backwards and lost Sturt instead of gaining Boothby. #Auspol

Liberal senator says Coalition 'sent the troops into battle without ammunition'. image of Alex Antic, Liberal senator for SA.
In Australia, Liberal = conservatives.

Liberal senator says Coalition 'sent the troops into battle without ammunition'
Dan Jervis-Bardy
Dan Jervis-Bardy
The rightwing SA Liberal senator Alex Antic has ripped into the Coalition’s campaign in an interview on Sky News.

Antic said:

It think it simply didn’t have policy that resonated.

Many of the policies were, in my mind, reminiscent of a mobile phone contract – you know, for the first 12 months, you’ll get something free.

I mean, in many cases, I feel very sorry for some of our excellent candidates, particularly here in South Australia, who’ve done a power of work trying to get real people back into politics.

But unfortunately, we’ve sent the troops into battle without ammunition.

Asked about the future direction of the party, Antic said the Liberal branch in SA – of which he exerts enormous influence – was a template for a nationwide revival.

He said the party must “make the Liberal party great again”, echoing Donald Trump’s campaign slogan.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

OK, yes but ... The 'biggest national vote in our history' for Greens ... looks as if it's stagnating. (Plenty of votes still to come, obviously) And the Greens vote dropped badly in Dickson, Dutton's seat. #Auspol

Greens vote in Dickson had earned only 7.32% of the vote and had a 5.68% swing against. Ali France earned a 2.51% swing to take 34.34% of the first preference vote and Independent Ellie Smith took 12.9%.

AEC national results so far show Greens overall vote at 12.5% and a swing of -0.10 . Yes, these are not the total numbers as votes are still coming in.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Senator Alex Antic in SA was in charge of preselections for the Libs there. He's hard right, his pre-selections were hard right. SA voters said 'hard no'. #Auspol

South Australia's 10 federal electorates. 7 Labor (extra gain of Sturt), 1 independent (Mayo) and only 2 Liberal, Grey and Barker, which are the two large regional seats.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

I barely got bingo in the end (eating too much cheese and channel flicking) . Decided to stamp the 'It's the economy stupid' square with the way Dutton didn't stay on message about cost of living. #Auspol

A filled in Bingo sheet with stars over various political canards.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Have I mentioned lately how much I love preferential voting? #Goldstein #Auspol

Results still coming in for Goldstein, Zoe Daniel 33.04% of the first preference vote, an increase of 1.75%.
Tim Wilson earned 42.82% of the vote, and increase of 3.25%.
Counting is still underway and these percentage swings are based on the count so far, so will change as final results are released.

2022 results, showing the huge swing against Tim Wilson (the biggest of any Liberal MP in Victoria in 2022) of 12.29% He earned 40.38% of the first preference vote. Zoe Daniel earned 34.47% of the first preference vote and was then elected with preferences from Greens and Labor votes.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

The audacity of men who think they can fulfil a role, even when they don't have the most basic qualifications. #Auspol

An AI image of Donald Trump dressed up as the pope, which he apparently shared on social media.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Oh ... Dutton doesn't live in the electorate of Dickson? (Which is fine, some candidates don't.) Pic shows him casting his vote at a booth in Dickson, but is putting his vote in the 'Declaration' tub. #Auspol LOL, you'd think with all his properties he'd have one in the electorate of Dickson.

Dutton voted at the Albany Creek state school in Brisbane with his wife Kirilly and sons Harry and Tom.

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton casts his vote with his wife Kirilly and sons Harry and Tom, at the Albany Creek state school on May 03, 2025 in Brisbane, Australia.
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton casts his vote with his wife Kirilly and sons Harry and Tom, at the Albany Creek state school on May 03, 2025 in Brisbane, Australia. Photograph: Dan Peled/Getty Images

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

17 petrol stations! Which is basically a station every second day of the campaign. #Auspol

Dutton makes 17th campaign visit to a petrol station

Opposition leader Peter Dutton has dropped into a petrol station with senator James Patterson as he visits Melbourne swing seats this election morning.

(Looks like the 17th petrol station he has made an appearance at during his election campaign.)

Here he is, pictured holding a “25 cents off petrol” sign:

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton with Senator James Patterson visits a petrol station in the electorate of Gorton on May 03, 2025 in the outer western suburbs in Melbourne, Australia.
View image in fullscreen
Opposition leader Peter Dutton with senator James Patterson at a petrol station in the Melbourne electorate of Gorton on 3 May, 2025. Photograph: Dan Peled/Getty Images

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

For those watching Antony Green's last election broadcast tonight, I made us a Bingo Sheet. #AUSPOL

Farewell to Antony Green calling the election on ABC TV BINGO sheet

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

I'm sorry to upset you but the food isn't free, it's usually that the polling booths are at primary schools, so the schools put on sausage sizzles and hold cake stalls etc as a fundraiser for the school. The prices are super reasonable.

Burger with bacon, onion, lettuce and cheese, also a can of soft drink, $8.50. Bargain!

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

The primary school where I was on the parents/fundraising committee for two state and two federal elections is carrying on in excellent style. Bacon and egg rolls, sausages in bread and beef burgers with cheese, lettuce, onion and bacon. They also have veggie burger options. #Auspol #Alt

This is democracy manifest. Bacon, onion, cheese and a beef burger (the lettuce was underneath) in a fluffy white bread roll.
The cake stall had cupcakes and also gluten free options, and heaps of slices and also a bucket full of limes from someone's tree... I just ate a pear and white chocolate with MISO cookie and I am currently in heaven waving down to you all.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Total postal votes returned so far 1,685,203. With an average return of 11.2k per electorate ... Calwell is really showing up this time. #Auspol

AEC data showing the total number of postal votes returned so far (still 2 weeks for postals to arrive and be counted.)
1,685,203. The average is 11.2k per electorate.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Postal votes are also amazing to watch. Calwell - full disclosure, Polipedia supplied stacks of data to Independent Samim Moslih, and would you look at that? Third highest number of postal votes returned so far. (This will change as more postals arrive.) #Auspol

Top 12 electorates for Postal votes received, 10 are Victorian, 2 are Queensland, in order are:
Dunkley, Aston, Calwell, Deakin, Gorton, Chisholm, Menzies, Bonner, Casey, Flinders, Dickson.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

So many more people pre-poll voted at this election the AEC had to add a 7 million line on the Y axis. #Auspol

AEC official graph showing 6,778, 467 people voted at pre-poll centres. This does not include postal votes which will still be arriving in the next two weeks.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

WHOA!!!!! #Auspol Pre poll votes data just dropped and 6,778,467 people voted at early voting centres as of yesterday 6pm.

sum 6,778,467 total number of pre-poll votes cast across Australia.

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Polipedia.com.au @polipedia.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

This is a super basic one that we could fill in before 7pm. #Auspol

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