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Philipp Mendoza

@philippmendoza.com

1.5K followers 343 following 26 posts

PostDoc @LMU | @Chair for Digitalization & Political Behavior • #DemocraticPersuasion • #NegCampaign • #AffectivePolarization • #Populism • #CCS • 🟥

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Philipp Mendoza @philippmendoza.com · 20/11/2024

5️⃣ This effect is especially emphasized among respondents that follow the election campaigns more closely.

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Philipp Mendoza @philippmendoza.com · 20/11/2024

However, 4️⃣ Voters lend less political support to parties leading harsher campaigns when they have an at least equally attractive alternative to choose from! Parties lose any “negativity bonus” among voters that are ideologically at least equally close to their competition.

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Philipp Mendoza @philippmendoza.com · 20/11/2024

3️⃣ The campaigning party's ideological proximity to other competing parties also has little impact (no significant interaction).

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Philipp Mendoza @philippmendoza.com · 20/11/2024

2️⃣ These differences are not due to the differing number of parties available to voters across contexts (no sig. interaction). Note: Previously negative baseline effects render positive after inclusion of covariates such as parties' euroskepticism.

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Philipp Mendoza @philippmendoza.com · 20/11/2024

1️⃣ Parties with harsher campaigns (expert-judged) receive lower political support (PTV) on average, but this relationship varies by context. Note: Model contains fixed effect + random slopes without other covariates.

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Philipp Mendoza @philippmendoza.com · 20/11/2024

To test this, we combine expert's campaign ratings with voter's political support for parties (propensity to vote, PTV) for 28 cntr & >270 parties surrounding the 2019 🇪🇺 European Parliament elections 🗳️.

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Philipp Mendoza @philippmendoza.com · 16/10/2023

Want to sweeten the start of your week? www.bbc.com/news/world-e... A win for liberal dem. & the safety LGBTQi+ community in Poland: Exit polls projecting the incumbent PRR PiS to lose parliamentary majority, & opening the possib. of the first left-wing government participation in the past 18 years.

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