Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Excited that our paper on "Varieties of Risk Pluralism" is out. It was a lot of fun to work with Nikolaj Pedersen on this project that we initiated in 2020 with the start of our Varieties of Risk Project. Its more a framework paper and aimed at shape more debates. academic.oup.com/mind/article...academic.oup.comVarieties of Risk PluralismAbstract. The dominant approach in the literature on risk is to adopt a monist stance by taking the probabilistic notion of risk to be the only proper noti 0101
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Over the years, I’ve engaged a lot with avalanche forecasters, communicators, and mountain guides about their decision-making. It has always struck me how philosophically rich that field is — full of decision points laden with philosophical assumptions and challenges. 020
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 10/07/2026New paper: you could call it my first attempt at branching out into the ethics of risk communication, or even my attempt at bringing avalanche risk communication to the philosophical masses ;-) link.springer.com/article/10.1...link.springer.comThe ethics of communicating voluntary and personal risk - SyntheseRisk communication raises ethical and theoretical challenges about when and how communicators may go beyond merely informing individuals about the risks they face. While these issues have been widely ... 180
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 08/04/2026Ha that’s exactly what happened to me last week!! So annoying and I had to wait close to 10 min for my approval to mail. Super annoying 010
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Did you control for the date of publication? Maybe back in the days shorter titles where more common and give their age there is more potential for it being cited, while long titles tend to be more recent with less opportunity to be cited? 100
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 16/01/2026Hi Sarah (thanks @danielelstein.bsky.social and @bweatherson.bsky.social - I work on rare and severe event forecasting and its communication with a focus on natural hazards (avalanches). Much of it is transferable to landslides, tornadoes, hurricanes, etc. Not sure if that is what you are after… 020
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 10/01/2026I guess given the base rate one should not be surprised it is mostly ChatGPT. Their share was over 90% and is now down to 80% with Gemini being the main competitor at 10-15%. I doubt Grok sits higher than 3% and probably much less a year ago. So just wait and see… 020
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 04/12/2025DeepL would probably do the job. It’s pretty good as a first take at translating. Got a pro account and can send you a translated pdf. 010
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 10/11/2025Title of a talk (joint work with Frank Techel): “Fundamentals of ordinal natural hazard danger level forecast verification” discussing Brunswick’s Lens Model and introducing our own expansion of the lens model to apply to ordinal danger level forecasting. 000
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 10/11/2025Looking forward to be participating at a workshop entitled “Forecasting Rare and Severe Events: Behaviour, Verification, and Judgment” at St Andrews organised by Ian Durbach from the Stats Department—wildly interdisciplinary event. This will be fun 131
Reposted by Philip EbertBrian Weatherson @bweatherson.bsky.social · 27/10/2025Fourteen excellent new papers up at Imprint, including this paper by Anthony Reeves on the moral importance of due process, as well as papers by @neilwwilliams.bsky.social, @devinsanchezcurry.com, @frankphilosophy.bsky.social, @andrewyuanlee.bsky.social and many more. 084
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 18/10/2025Might be of interest to you @bweatherson.bsky.social 020
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 18/10/2025Great paper by Xintong Wei a former Postdoc on our varieties of risk project on the symmetry thesis in a reason-based normative framework. link.springer.com/article/10.1...link.springer.comWhy Normative Risk Matters for What We Should Do Morally - ErkenntnisWhen we deliberate about what to do morally, we often run two types of risk. One type of risk results from having incomplete or false information about empirical facts, such as the effectiveness of do... 130
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 08/10/2025Professional Update: I have decided to accept an offer ('Ruf') from the @unisalzburg.bsky.social starting 02/2026. I’m really 'chuffed’ and grateful having been offered the opportunity to join such a great department and also excited to relocate to this beautiful area of Austria 391
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 13/09/2025Had a great three days in Lisbon with great talks at the Commemorating #Frege conference. Huge thanks to the organisers Bruno and Joan who managed to host the event in the beautiful Academy ofScience building. I have to come back. 090
Reposted by Philip EbertAnna Alexandrova @annaalexandrova.bsky.social · 17/07/2025Two permanent Lecturer posts at Birkbeck (equivalent of Assistant Professor). Area of specialisation is open but with teaching needs in ethics & phil of AI, ethics and poli phil, ancient, gender, continental, engaged. Closing date August 28th, start in Jan 2026 'a significant advantage' #philskycis7.bbk.ac.ukLecturer in Philosophy (2216) - Birkbeck, University of LondonBirkbeck 14951
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 17/07/2025Problem solved and sense prevailed and we can travel with the dog. 020
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 16/07/2025Do I know anyone in Amsterdam who could take our dog for 21 days. No joke. Somewhat desperate situation. 101
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 25/06/2025Finished with my talk at the General Assembly of the European Avalanche Warning Services. Time to address my swim-work balance at Hotel Seggauberg in Styria… 040
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 02/05/2025Congratulations, Aidan, that’s a great accomplishment! 140
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 30/04/2025Is anyone using LeChat and how does it compare to ChatGPT? 000
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 30/04/2025It be amazing if the EU and individual European countries would invest now more into education. It is a very opportune time. 040
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 09/04/2025For philosophers and interdisciplinary researchers working on #risk, this CfP for a collection with the journal Synthese might be of interest: link.springer.com/collections/...link.springer.comPhilosophy of Risk: Beliefs, Values, and DecisionsIn a world characterized by the challenges of climate change, new technologies, globalisation, and growing instabilities, risk is increasingly relevant both ... 052
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 05/04/2025Though this is up there too: ‘Insisting on balanced trade with every trading partner individually is bonkers—like suggesting that Texas would be richer if it insisted on balanced trade with each of the other 49 states, or asking a company to ensure that each of its suppliers is also a customer’ 000
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 05/04/2025A good quote from the economist: ‘officials set the tariffs using a formula that takes America’s bilateral trade deficit as a share of goods imported from each country and halves it—which is almost as random as taxing you on the number of vowels in your name.’ 100
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 11/03/2025Agreed I think frequency is more suitable at the end of the percentage chance scale (close to 0 or 100) — you too easily round it 030
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 11/03/2025I also want to give a huge shout out to reviewer 2 -- the most amazingly valuable, charitable and extensive set of comments I have ever received. Thank you whoever you are! 010
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 11/03/2025Perhaps some folks will find it interesting, in particular our more general finding that end users give generally lower probability assessments in a frequency format compared to a percentage chance format. 110
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 11/03/2025Really excited to see this paper published (and in such a cool journal). The research was “triggered” by a conversation with avalanche forecasters and evolved into a cool interdisciplinary project. #avalanche #riskcommunication onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...onlinelibrary.wiley.comEnd user and forecaster interpretations of the European Avalanche Danger Scale: A study of avalanche probability judgments in ScotlandWe investigate Scottish end users' and professional forecasters' risk perception in relation to the 5-point European Avalanche Danger Scale by eliciting numerical estimates of the probability of trig.... 261
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 03/03/2025A great and challenging paper by @dariomortini.bsky.social identifying a “folk conceptual gap between the subject matter of these experimental studies and the conceptual repertoire we can reasonably expect lay people to possess" — a (supposed) gap that applies to my earlier work. go.shr.lc/41naOx1go.shr.lcEpistemic justification and the folk conceptual gap | Episteme | Cambridge CoreEpistemic justification and the folk conceptual gap 121
Philip Ebert @philipaebert.bsky.social · 26/02/2025Just went to a talk about REF2029. It was suggested that REF 2029 is an exercise that presents itself as channeling the spirit of Ted Lasso but in fact is just a form of Hunger Games. Not far off in my view. 030
