The numbers now show Reform are on the slide and the party is going to get stuffed by tactical voting

Mega poll reveals which voters are on the move – and where they are going

So many parties have similar vote shares, even a tiny swing could give Reform an outright majority. The deluge of crypto money into Reform’s coffers could tip the balance

If Burnham manages to hold the seat, it will be a colossal victory for the new PM – but it doesn’t look likely

It is suffering through a period of recrimination and retribution

Why the polls differ - and new data that should cheer the Tory leader

A new poll shows Reform slipping to third place. What is going on?

Lessons from Britain’s biggest ever by-election

Reform’s slump is just as important as Labour's vote share

Few of us believe we benefit from our contract with the state

Andy Burnham’s fate will be decided by how well he does, not by forces he can’t control

She relies on dud facts to make her case

New polling evidence reveals the challenges facing Farage and Burnham

First-past-the-post used to be defensible. Now it’s dangerous

Tactical voting has increased his lead – IF the latest poll is right

The 50-year experiment of giving the vote to grassroot members has failed

The first poll says Burnham is 3% ahead. His true lead may be greater

YouGov's latest poll suggests how Labour can settle its squabbles over rejoining the EU

Survation's figures are striking. Are they right?

Reform UK has peaked, right and left have diverged—and Labour must settle its leadership question once and for all

Wales, Scotland, English local councils—here’s what to watch in next week’s votes

Ministers should heed St Paul's warning about trumpets giving an uncertain sound

We need more than new rules for vetting ambassadors - as I discovered 48 years ago

The Assisted Dying Bill has huge public support. Its opponents are trying to pretend otherwise

The Assisted Dying Bill has huge public support. Its opponents are trying to pretend otherwise

For Trump to stand a chance at the mid-terms, he needs to win over independents. But they hate him – and their dislike is only growing

Prime minister Farage? The danger has receded… for the moment.

What the polls say, what the president might try, and the chances of stopping him

A new poll on Labour’s leadership should be handled with care – so should another on tax-and-spend.

Their differences matter and need to be explained. Here’s a start

This 22nd book in the series lacks something that made its predecessors so compelling—an understanding of the people involved in the campaign, not jus...

Voters on Main Street accuse him of having the anti-Midas touch

…and why they are likely to be disappointed

Needed: a fair, affordable plan for pensions. It will take guts, but might be on the way

Resign, be removed, or find the "wow" factor

Today’s party leaders face the same basic challenge as Mr Whippy

Productivity remains a headache. Blame big tech, not just the Tories

Ministers need courage to keep it that way

It won’t be easy. The attempt might fail. How could the party maximise its chances of success?

Progressives, and not just her fans, have much to learn from her electoral victories

A decision that passed unnoticed at last year’s Labour conference spells danger for the prime minister

To become prime minister, Farage must defy history.

Flawed polling and flawed journalism are distorting the debate over assisted dying

New research uncovers the gap between what politicians say and what voters notice

Yes – for populists. Parties like Reform rely on voters overstating the scale of today’s problems