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Peter Conti-Brown

@petercontibrown.bsky.social
1.6K followers 153 following 104 posts

Associate Professor of Financial Regulation, Wharton; Banking, central banking, financial history. Petercontibrown.substack.com

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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
My thoughts on Trump's resurrected war on Fed independence (and the personal legal peril that Lisa Cook faces) at PCB Central, link below. petercontibrown.substack.com/p/trump-cont...
petercontibrown.substack.com
Trump continues his war against Fed independence
After a brief reprieve, Trump is back with his pretextual war against Lisa Cook, which is in fact a war against the Federal Reserve
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Why does Fed Chair Kevin Warsh seem like he is perpetually running for student body president? On whether his pure sizzle, no steak approach to Fed communications makes his goal to set markets free harder, not easier, plus more thoughts in today’s PCB central. Link: open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
PCB Links: Kevin Warsh had a rough day
Thoughts on the Fed Chair's disastrous press conference, the logic to his reticence (and the WSJ's flip on discretionary central banking), Texas as a business Mecca, and more on mentoring young people
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
It's peak Fed Task Force, but one of these things is not like the other. Plus thoughts on Open USD, Better Markets, the institution of the Latter-day Saint YW Camp and the need for mentors, and my review of Haberman & Swan's Regime Change. Take a look! open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
PCB Links: The Fed has reached peak task force
Plus thoughts on Better Markets, Open USD, a review of Regime Change, the LDS institution of YW camp, and a plea on Swiss Epic
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
The more I think about it, the less I like Trump v. Cook, even as I celebrate the (narrow) outcome that Governor Cook will retain her seat pending this litigation. Here is why and what the Supreme Court should have done instead. open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
What the Supreme Court should have done in Trump v. Cook
The Court's opinion exposes it -- rightly, in my view, even as I celebrate the outcome -- to searing critique of playing politics. There was a better way.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
My analysis of the Court's blockbuster -- and surprisingly troubling -- opinion in Trump v. Cook. open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
Lisa Cook prevails...barely
As widely expected. But much else about the opinion surprised me
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Are we ever going to get this cursed SCOTUS opinion?
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
Twenty thoughts in no particular order
Downloading with my readers about what is on my mind
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
One of the most interesting questions each of us faces is who are "my people." The problem? Sometimes we define those communities so narrowly that we reduce or eliminate opportunities to express the full dynamism of our lives. /1
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Republicans of conscience should be (and, from what I am hearing, indeed are) deeply troubled by the appointment of Bill Pulte as Acting Director of National Intelligence. /1
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
I loved Belle Burden’s new memoir Strangers, despite the brewing pushback. On this plus some thoughts on Warsh’s new commitments to opacity, supervisory risk, and why two flats on my last ride can’t get me down, check out the latest at PCB Central. open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
Monday Links: The Perils of Fed Opacity
Thoughts on the Kevin Warsh era, plus supervisory risks, Belle Burden's marriage memoir, and rides/gear of the week
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
With Fed Chair Jay Powell reaching the end of his eight-year leadership, it’s time to assess his legacy. I take up the challenge in today’s PCB Central — the good, the bad, the ugly. Link below.
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Reposted by Peter Conti-Brown
David Beckworth @davidbeckworth.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Cohosted the podcast with @petercontibrown.bsky.social this week! We were live at the 2026 @Wharton FinReg conference and discussed how 2008 reshaped FinReg, bank supervision debates, AI risk to fin stability, the growing overlap between Finreg & monetary policy, and more! youtu.be/Goq7M0aQ9dI?...
youtu.be
Peter Conti-Brown and David Beckworth on All Things Financial Regulation | Macro Musings
YouTube video by Macro Musings with David Beckworth
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Q&A time at PCB Central I talk about the Fed’s balance sheet, what I would change about bank supervision, whether Kevin Warsh is going to survive the Trump gauntlet, why Latter-day Saints don’t have godparents, whether I actually truly love triathlon training, and how I use AI. Link below!
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
We are closer to the conditions for stagflation than at any time since the term became ubiquitous in the 1970s. Plus thoughts on bank liquidity, crypto, teaching business ethics to executives, and my affection for toe warmers. Take a look! open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
Monday Links: Will the Iran War Lead to Stagflation?
Plus thoughts on liquidity reform, crypto over banking, the Atlanta Fed search, toe warmers, and the Securities Industry Institute
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
My thoughts on Bessent's recent critiques of Powell, the proposed 10% cap on credit card rates, the Trump lawsuit against JPMC, whether I would support a government shutdown over the murder of Alex Pretti, and more. Take a look petercontibrown.substack.com/p/monday-lin...
petercontibrown.substack.com
Monday Links: The Pultification of Scott Bessent?
My thoughts on Treasury Secretary's critiques of Jay Powell, the 10% cap on credit card rates, the Trump lawsuit against JPMorgan Chase, the eternal debate on lifting heavy, and our dark moment in MN
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
What just happened at the Supreme Court? It was a fascinating and strange argument about Fed independence, writs of mandamus, for cause removal, and much else. My deep dive at the link below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
What does MLK Day mean to me? A legacy, but nothing promised. Also why Jay Powell is the savviest politician in America, the long-term risks of all this stimulus, and why the lightest titanium bike in production looks delicious to me.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
I have ten questions — and ten answers — about the Trump Administration’s attack on the Federal Reserve. Link below
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
This week I had a bike ride that changed me. And I fell short as a dad. This week’s personal post connects these experiences in a quest to live deliberately. Take a look.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
Today’s personal post is about a mentor whose deft correction of me, a cocky kid with authority issues, taught me a lot about parenting and leadership. Take a look!
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 29/12/2025
What are the FHLBs good for? Also, resilience in supervision, Flowers for Algernon, and why Train Dreams is the best movie of the 2020s. open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
Monday Links: What are the FHLBs good for?
Thoughts on the Federal Home Loan Banks, supervisory resilience, SoFi's new stablecoin, Flowers for Algernon, Train Dreams, and 29 Day
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
A special multimedia post for today, the top 10 moments of Christmas 2025 featuring some original music, plenty of pictures, and a mandolin and classical guitar performance of O Come, O Come Emanuel, + some 6-year-old blue humored Mad Libs Take a look! petercontibrown.substack.com/p/the-conti-...
petercontibrown.substack.com
The Conti-Brown Christmas Top 10
Merry Christmas from the Conti-Browns! We had a wonderful day, perhaps the best I can remember. Herewith, some of the top memories that made it so special.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
My father, Charlie Brown, lived a short and troubled life, leaving pain and trauma in his wake. In today’s Christmas Eve post, I describe coming to terms with his legacy.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
Monday links on Scott Bessent’s changes to the FSOC, debanking good and bad, biking through wind chill, and a recent narrated podcast for Faith Matters. Take a look: petercontibrown.substack.com/p/monday-lin...
petercontibrown.substack.com
Monday Links: Not all debanking is created equal
Some thoughts on the new Financial Growth Oversight Council, the Fed's reversed hostility to novel banking, the OCC's unserious debanking report, lessons on cycling in the wind, and a guest podcast.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
In 2025 I changed my party affiliation from Democrat to independent. Today’s post explains why open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
Declarations of Independence
In 2025, I changed my party affiliation from Democrat to independent, even though I have never been more alienated by the Republican Party. Today I declare that independence and explain it.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
As the Fed chair sweepstakes enters its final days, the question for those of us who want to see a narrow conception of Fed independence survive is this: What do the Kevins believe about the macroeconomy? Are they part of the Magic Beans Coalition? See below for the context and how we can know.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
What should we make of Miran's "inflation outlook"? I think the only real way to describe his views is to call it the Magic Beans Coalition in monetary policy. More on this and much else at the link below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
This time of year I am thinking about goals and resolutions. Today’s personal post is about what I hope to accomplish in 2026 after a marvelous 2025. Link below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
We’re heading into a potentially wild #FOMC meeting, plus thoughts on a recent Q&A on supervision with Randy Quarles, the digital euro, the scandal of Larry Summers, and Radiohead in Berlin. Take a look!👇
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
My Newsletter has been a source of great joy and engagement over the past year. Today I describe some changes and reflections as I seek to ramp it up. I hope you’ll join me for the ride – we’re going to start cooking with gas. Link 👇
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
What should we make of Sec Bessent’s proposal for a residency requirement for Reserve Bank Presidents? I’m sympathetic to the idea, but very skeptical of it in the present context. More below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
Can Kevin Hassett lead the Fed? What is up at the BIS Innovation Hub? Should we be worried about a collapse in American religiosity? And more at today’s Monday roundup. Link 👇
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
It’s the food holiday. My kids were playing the game “what is your last meal before they kill you” and asked me mine. Today’s post tells the stories behind my choices.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
I’m grateful for a lot this Thanksgiving. I write my list — about my research, my students, my health, my people — at the link below.
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Reposted by Peter Conti-Brown
Michael Derby @michaelsderby.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Historian @petercontibrown.bsky.social on Warsh as Fed chair after recent op-ed praising Trump, pushing for rate cuts: "Warsh’s op-ed in the Wall Street Journal is hard to read. I mean that quite literally. I really don’t quite know what his point is."
petercontibrown.substack.com
Monday links: Does the Fed have "Broken Leadership?"
Thoughts on arguments that no one should take seriously from Kevin Warsh, the debates about bank supervision, the abuse of US sanctions, and a preliminary report on the Philadelphia Marathon
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Kevin Warsh, a leading Fed Chair candidate, wrote a strange op-ed. I comment on it, on changes in bank supervision, the abuse of financial sanctions, and my preliminary report on my successful (er, mostly; I still can't walk right) completion of the Philadelphia marathon. Take a look!
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
It’s race day! And a chilly one for my first marathon in my beautiful home town of Philadelphia Wish me luck, I probably won’t die.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
It’s Q&A time at the blog. I talk about conspiracy theories, how to find good bikes without blowing up your budget, the most critical factor in protecting a marriage (including an homage to my beloved NCB), and more. Take a look and let me know what you think!
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Reposted by Peter Conti-Brown
EconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
i think @petercontibrown.bsky.social has previously mentioned his opinion on this, and i am glad that he now write that out thoroughly I increasingly agree with this sentiment
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
I think the Biden Administration’s record at the Fed is abysmal. Today’s post explains their former president’s legacy of failure.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Here’s what’s on my mind as we start the week, from a new paper on the efficacy of bank supervision to sudden resignations at the Fed to a love affair with my race bike to my decidedly not love affair with my first upcoming marathon.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
The emotional and rhetorical posture of our day is exhausted, frenzied anxiety. In today’s personal post, I respectfully dissent. Link in the comments below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
There is a debate underway about whether supervisors should criticize bank managerial competence. History supports that very long tradition. See more ar open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
Supervising Banker Competence: A View from History
There is a debate about whether bank supervisors should evaluate bankers’ managerial competence, versus focus on more "quantitative" measures. History is on the side of qualitative supervision
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
It's time for the monthly AMA -- send me your questions, it's my favorite post of the month.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
In this week's links, I discuss the divided FOMC, a new paper on when businesses sue their regulators, thoughts on bank robberies, a movie review movie, & reflections on why my bpm spikes so hard at elevation. Link below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
In today’s personal post I write about mentorship and the ways I have sometimes mismanaged it. Take a look, link in comments.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Last week the Tenth Circuit issued its long-awaited decision in Custodia Bank vs the Federal Reserve. Custodia lost in a 2-1 decision. I think the Fed — through its behavior throughout the process — has lost far more. Today’s deep dive looks at why, link below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
What is happening in bank supervision at the Fed? And what should we make of the split dissents at the FOMC? Plus a mini review of Andrew Ross Sorkin’s marvelous new book, some thoughts on reversible bike stems, and (though you were not expecting this) a link to an essay on Burning Man. Link below!
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Earlier this month I wrote about my experiences with anti-Mormonism. What I didn’t expect was one of the people I mentioned, fully anonymized, would see himself in it and reach out to me to discuss. What followed was one of the most remarkable exchanges I have ever had. Link in the comments below.
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Peter Conti-Brown @petercontibrown.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
How should we think about the Fed chair sweepstakes? What does it mean when candidates say weird things on the path to nomination? How do you pronounce Bessent? All this and more in today’s newsletter: open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
open.substack.com
The Fed in the Trump Cinematic Universe
Links on the Fed Chair search led by Bessent (however you prounce that), debanking and antifa (whatever that is), the Strava vs Garmin lawsuit (that just went away), AML in UK, and Ride of the Week
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