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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 22h

Yes, I have looked at everything I can find to explain it and nothing explains it.

Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

And something almost nobody knows is that Canadians spend a little less than half as much per person a year as we do and have a life expectancy 3.3 years longer than we do.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

My wife and I are getting the same shots at 11:00 this morning, are we getting ours ahead of you?

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

People should be looking at measures of death rates to know how well their economy and government are treating them. Here are four displays people should look at. Non-Hispanics white data are presented because Republicans are trained to ignore others.🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Politics #Health

When you look at your state's dot, if it is at the lower left you are doing fairly well, if your state's dot is at the upper right, too many of the babies in your state die too early.

I haven't figured out how to label these by party so here are the states grouped by how they vote. When I look at them I see the Democrat voting states dominating the lower left, low Trump vote and death rates, of the graph and the Republican voting states, high Trump vote and high death rates, dominating the upper right part of the graph.
Dem Mix Rep
CA AZ AL
CO GA AK
CT IA AR
DE MI FL
DC MN ID
HI NH IN
IL NC KS
ME OH KY
MD PA LA
MA TX MS
NV WI MO
NJ MT
NM NE
NY ND
OR OK
RI SC
VT SD
VA TN
WA UT
WV
WY

Here we look at a different age group, 20-64, and show the state percent supporting Trump and this age group's death rates by state for 2024. Notice that a death rate of 500 is a little more than twice as high as Hawaii. Also note where the states that provide the strongest support for Trump politically show high death rates again.

Here is a look at what I consider one of the worst causes of death, it takes most of these death in very early adulthood, being shot by gun! Here we can see an increase in state gun death rates as states voted more for Trump. The odds are that the people who shot them were in the same state that counts their death as one of theirs. This is the third analysis I have presented here that shows a specific undesirable death and how states that voted more for Trump suffer more gun deaths. I find gun deaths more disturbing because they kill people after society has spent so much time, effort and money raising them only to have them die when they are getting ready to contribute to society.
Again here is the party grouping:
Dem Mix Rep
CA AZ AL
CO GA AK
CT IA AR
DE MI FL
DC MN ID
HI NH IN
IL NC KS
ME OH KY
MD PA LA
MA TX MS
NV WI MO
NJ MT
NM NE
NY ND
OR OK
RI SC
VT SD
VA TN
WA UT
WV
WY

The thing I find strange about this graph is the the two high gun death states are so different. Wyoming is about the most Republican voting state while New Mexico is a solid Democratic voting state. New Mexico has shown this odd trait in dozens of graphs I have produced and I still haven't figured out what is going on.

A crude definition of life expectancy is it is the age by which half the people die. I have a couple of problems with this graph, the first is that the dark color shows the good trait, living longer, while I feel the opposite shading makes more sense to me. The second problem is the small New England states don't get labeled. So, here they are:
CT 79.4
DE 76.5
DC 76.6
MA 79.8
NH 78.7
RI 79.2
VT 78.3

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Your intuitive sense of time has not adjusted to your new time zone. How did it go out of adjustment? You moved to a different time zone.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

This graph displays the correlations, r's between age 20-64 death rates and the number of Southern Baptist churches listed in the current Yellow Pages per 100,000 people from 1999 through 2024. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Mortality #Religion

The relationship between Southern Baptist and people handling the possibility of death is so complex that I don't have room to describe it here but a good description is here:

https://encyclopediaofalabama.org/article/southern-baptists-in-alabama/

Essentially the above cited article describes how Fundamentalist, adopted avoiding science based health care. Above I show how a major portion, Southern Baptist, are the major source of the higher death rates seen in the Fundamentalist population. Correlation is the statistic produced in regression analysis, I am going to go ahead and show graphs for the other two: Regression coefficients, b and intercepts, a. in the next two graps

This display of the regression coefficients, b's, showing the amount of change in death rates each additional baptist church per 100,000 had on the death rates. Since this shows the same pattern as the total effect, the increase in the number of Southern Baptist deaths is due to increase in this so called religion's effect on he number of deaths is due to is due to Something in Southern Baptism causing more deaths instead of the usual cause in a number of deaths. This is due to an increase in the effect of X not the number of cases moving into this X. And it seems to be interacting with the introduction of COVID to reduce the huge increase at the end of this graph.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Not that I have seen. I think a buyer should be able to special order but they would have to find a dealer to place the order.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

If you go to a dealer and look at the price tag on a new electric you will see that everyone of them has every possible option added on. This produces such high prices that most people cannot aford them.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Trump sets the standard for what should happen to everything with his name on it after he loses power.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

I have been failing to look at Canada's changing death rates by age. I have shown the United States middle age increasing while assuming it is not happening in Canada. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Canada #USA #Mortality

For a few years I have been posting the fact that the younger middle age death rates have been going up in the United States. My problem has been I have assumed it was unique to the United States. This graph shows this effect is almost as strong in Canada as it is in the United States. Clearly I have been wrong to blame this increase on unique United State's middle aged health insurance.

In a ranking of country life expectancy at:
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/life-expectancy-by-country The United States life expectancy of 79.8 ranks 62 among countries compared to Canada ranking 25th at 83.

That comparison in ranking simply ignores that Canada shares the United State's major high death rate problem, but not quite as badly.

I need to look for age composition death rates for some other countries and see if I can find out what is going on.

If any of you are Canadians reading this and have ideas about what is going on to cause this, I would like to hear from you.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

It is done by Trump by using the repeated lie propaganda technique first used by Hitler against Jews. Much of what Trump says is simply repeating lies and even our progressive media does not tell people it is another case of him using Hitler's repeated lie technique.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

This would just have difficult cases to cure to be denied care .

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Just calculated state vote for president percent for Trump in last election related to total COVID deaths.A hypothetical 100% Republican voting State was 3.99 times as high as the hypothetical 0 % Republican. Actual stats and graphs later. 💡🧪☠️ #Sociology #Population #Politics #COVID

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

This may be a second reply, if so, read it too. The major new finding here is Canada’s middle aged has experienced increases in death rates much like the United States. My problem is I have been blaming this on the USA imposing capitalist health care on our middle aged. But it hits Canada too.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

I forgot to post the previously posted graph. I will try to fix that by posting it here:

After looking at this, I am ready to move to the bar-graft way in all future post of this kind of data.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Here is a second way to display the effect of age by country effects on Canada's and the USA's age grouped death rates.🧪💡☠️ #population #politics #sociology #Canada

In the second window here I will re-display the graph that I posted yesterday. If you want to tell me how you feel about the difference, please do. To let you compare the two ways of displaying the differences my old way of displaying is posted below.

The main thing this graph shows is that Canada suffered the increases in middle aged death rates much like the United States does. I have been blaming the USA increases in middle aged death rates on how our middle aged having health care paid for by capitalist health insurance. As it is, I am at a total loss in trying to explain the difference as a capitalist health insurance denying care effect. In general this tells me that I goofed when making explanations by comparing differences in total death rates.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Part of it is a major limitation in Canada data, their published death rate is deaths per 1,000, the rest of the world uses deaths per 100,000, this makes measuring change at younger ages less precise. I have to calculate n per 1,000 USA data to make it comparable.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Here is the percent change in the compatible Canada and USA age group death rates from 1999 to 2024. The surprising thing is the Canada's middle age death rates went up very much like the United States.🧪💡☠️ #Canada #USA #Population #Demography

I have been comparing Canada's and the USA's death rates for quite a while. This is the first time I have compared changes in age groups. This measure of change covers a quarter of a century and the changes by age surprises me more than anything I have seen while playing with mortality data for a long time. I came into producing this graph believing that Canada did a much better job than the United
States at bringing death rates down. The Canadians experiencing such similar increases in middle age death rates in this graph just surprised me more than anything else has in a long time. I have long believed that the increase in younger middle aged death rates in the United States was unique. Here I see Canada is imitating what I have long seen as the United States unique increase in the middle aged death rates.

I will do more with this to see what I can find out.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

The longer diagonal cut exposes more cheese to the air which puts more cheese to the air. The smell enhances taste.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

West Virginia has the highest death rate of all the states. This graph shows the percent change from the combined 1999-2000 county death rates and the single year, 2020, death rates. See text for details on why these years. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Politics

The numbers in each state, Pleasants County, WV is missing it's 13.8 in he graph, shows the percent change in the county's total death rates from 1999 and 2000 combined and the single year 2020. The first two years are combined to eliminate missing data for one County. The data for the single year 2020 is used instead of later dater because it is the last our Bureau of Vital Statistics have made available,.

In general West Virginia has the highest mortality and largest increase over the last two decades of any state. I am keeping this short so I can present the data with county name.

Here are the data:
County Pct chg 1999-2000 to 1020
Barbour County, WV 30.0
Berkeley County, WV 33.1
Boone County, WV 48.1
Braxton County, WV 27.7
Brooke County, WV 38.6
Cabell County, WV 27.1
Calhoun County, WV 15.9
Clay County, WV 54.2
Doddridge County, WV -15.1
Fayette County, WV 33.2
Gilmer County, WV 5.4
Grant County, WV 31.5
Greenbrier County, WV 28.5
Hampshire County, WV 50.9
Hancock County, WV 46.1
Hardy County, WV 46.0
Harrison County, WV 1.5
Jackson County, WV 15.9
Jefferson County, WV 20.0
Kanawha County, WV 36.4
Lewis County, WV 47.2
Lincoln County, WV 50.0
Logan County, WV 55.7
McDowell County, WV 60.2
Marion County, WV 7.7
Marshall County, WV 34.5
Mason County, WV 23.9
Mercer County, WV 37.2
Mineral County, WV 33.7
Mingo County, WV 71.0
Monongalia County, WV -4.9
Monroe County, WV 35.8
Morgan County, WV 38.5
Nicholas County, WV 30.6
Ohio County, WV 22.4
Pendleton County, WV 48.2
Pleasants County, WV 13.8
Pocahontas County, WV 45.1
Preston County, WV 11.4
Putnam County, WV 34.4
Raleigh County, WV 45.5
Randolph County, WV 39.8
Ritchie County, WV 18.9
Roane County, WV 44.3
Summers County, WV 42.4
Taylor County, WV 26.7
Tucker County, WV 45.3
Tyler County, WV -11.7
Upshur County, WV 18.7
Wayne County, WV 59.1
Webster County, WV 30.3
Wetzel County, WV 27.3
Wirt County, WV 106.2
Wood County, WV 33.3
Wyoming County, WV 63.0

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Here is a post that shows the percent change in single year age death rates from 1999-2000 to 2023-2024 separately by the party their state votes for.🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Republicans #Democrats

This is a modified version of a graph I have shown several of over the past couple of years. The big change is I used two years of data in the early and late date. The big thing that it does is substantially reduce the bouncing around in the younger ages. The single year age data for the younger ages has so few cases that their bouncing around due to small numbers is made to look too important in the single year age data.

The main thing it shows again is from about age 15 to about age 30 declining about 25 percent to increasing about 40 percent.

The next most important thing it shows is that after age 30, showing these percentages by the party the state votes for shows that Republican voting states have higher death rates than Mixed Party voting states who have higher death rates than Mixed Party voting states for all the age groups but 85+ where the mixed party is higher than the Republicans who are still higher than Democrats.

I could say a lot more about this but I have decided to keep it simple to see if that increases readership.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

This more complex graph shows the single year age for ages 0-84 and the grouped data for 85+ from 1999 to 2024 for Non-Hispanic Whites, Hispanics and Black. The big thing it shows is that our middle age death rates have been going up. #Sociology #Population #Hispanics #Blacks

I will keep this description short and simple to make it easier to remember. First, the major difference is by age group. In the United States age determines how health care is paid for. The young primarily have capitalist health care backed up in most states by socialist care for the uninsured. The middle are health care is dominated by capitalist health care and the elderly have the most socialist, Medicare, mostly copies by a capitalist wanting to show there are equivalent.

The two things I most notice among the young is how much higher Black death rates are among the older young. I need to look at that in more detail sometime in the future. and second they are almost all showing declines.

The major thing I see as I look at the middle aged is that moving into the middle age shows a very consistent shift into increasing death rates. But that shift stops going up before the other two. Their death rate is not lower but already so high that the height limits their going up more, in other words, it is not a good sign.

The next major thing I see is both Black and Hispanic death rates go down quicker from the early middle age peak than the Non-Hispanic Whites.

The last thing I will mention is that the percentage change among the young and old is very similar. The young bounce around more but that could be a function of the much lower death rate among the young. small numbers simply bounce around more than large numbers.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

2024 data has been available for a while. Here is a comparison of Blacks and Hispanics single year age death rates with Non-Hispanic White same death rates for that year. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Blacks #Hispanics

This graph shows how single year age death rates of Blacks and Hispanics compares with the Non-Hispanic white death rates in the last year of available data, 2024.The major thing it does not show is how each group has changed in deaths per 100,000.

I don't think most people will be surprised to see Black death rates are higher than Whites but I suspect many will be surprised at how much higher and how much longer by age.

I suspect most will be surprised at how much lower and consistent Hispanic death rates are at the middle ages and older. After age 40 Hispanic death rates average only about 71 percent as high as Non-Hispanic Whites.

The there are two main things this graph does not show. The first is how our middle age death rates have been increasing since 1999. The second one is how ethnic differences have changed over time. I am working on a graph to show that and I will post it as soon as I finish.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

That is because it is human nature to want to put continuous variables into nominal categories. It is a failure with language, not nature.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Yes, you have it right. I suspect this may in an immeasurable part be high because they are the age of immigration and the measures of the size of the population may be low. Good to hear from you showing you are thinking about what I posted.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

The Non-Hispanic white death rate is 1 and 1/2 times as high as the Hispanic of all races. It is so unexpected that it is hard to believe. But at ages 15-25 the Non-Hispanic white death rate is lower than it is for Hispanics. Something else this is the age group with the most new immigrants.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

For non-Hispanic whites of that age 150 non-Hispanics whites die for every 100 Hispanics dying.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

My preferred way to compare death rates is to use a graph to show single year age death rates for the population with the higher death rate, here Non-Hispanic Whites, as a percent of the the population with the lower death rates, Hispanics. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #Population #Hispanics

This graph shows the single year age death rates of Non-Hispanic Whites as a percent of the Hispanics of all races of the same age. I feel this is a better way to show differences in death rates than the standard demographic way of showing differences, comparing life expectancy. The 2024 life expediencies for Hispanics is 81.8 and Non-Hispanic Whites is 78.8. In general I think this graph presents a lot more information than the two numbers and it does it in a way that more people are likely to understand. The main thing I think this shows is the Hispanic death rate is higher for age 15 through 25, I think this is just another effect of capitalist health care in the United States.

The major weakness I see in this graph is that it does not show the difference in the number of death by age. For Example among Hispanics the number of deaths at age 25 is 1,011 while the number at age 75 is 5,256. Then among Whites the number at age 25 is 26,222 and the number at at age 75 is 59,172. The age group ratios are very different because of differences in age composition of the two populations.

In general I think the main thing the graph shows is that the Non-Hispanic White death rates are about 45% higher that Hispanics for ages that most of the deaths occur in.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

But the age specific deaths per year tell us where people live longer in good places to live.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

And mixed party states are between the rate for Democrat and Republican voting states. Almost exactly half way between.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

When you don’t have the glasses you can take a piece of cardboard and cut about a quarter inch hole in it and when the eclipse starts hold the cardboard so the sun shines through the hole then watch where the sun shines through the hole and you can see the spot of sunlight, it will show the eclipse.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

The 2024 death data is out. The states not voting for Democrats experienced 367,184 age 20-64 deaths. If they had the Democrat states death rate that would have been 292,681. That is 94,503 or 24.4% fewer. 🧪💡☠️ #Sociology #politics A more detailed post will be made later.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

The 2024 mortality data is out. The states not voting consistently voting for Democrats had 367,184 age 20-64 deaths. If the had Democrat voting state death rates that would have been292,681 or 94,503, 24.9% fewer. 🧪💡

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

I think using regression predicting temperature from year on the fist trend then use that equation to calculate predicted temperatures for the rest of the graph. Then repeat that using data from the middle slope seen in the graph predicting again. Non-scientist can then understand.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

A web search for "Hearing a lie repeated" provides many links as to why Trump keeps repeating his lies. The simple fact is human come to believe a repeated lie. How often have you heard him say his goons invading the capital after his failure to win have been unfairly locked up? 🧪 #Republican

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

I assume it evolved, for me the question is: What caused it to evolve?

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

Zooming in on the photo makes me almost feel like I am therel.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

When I see this I wonder how much it cost Ukraine to do it and how much all the stuff these misses cost Russia. I bet if you had a fraction with the cost to Russia over the cost to Ukrainian it would be a hell of a lot larger than toe fraction of the value of Russia over the value of Ukraine.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

I feel the important thing to show is the differences in the causes death when data are grouped by party. To find out which ones are important I need to be able to compare differences in change in detailed causes by party. Part of my problem is I suffered a brain infection that limits my ability.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

I just tried the method your comment stimulated me to think of. It required deleting unpatching sets of cells from the list I can produce so I have a final set of matching data. By the time I made it to the bottom of the sets of ten cells I ended up with un-matched cells. I may try again later.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

Thanks, you got my brain going and I just thought I could paste cause code and N columns from all three data sets into one next to each other and selectively delete the pairs of cells that do not have two matching pairs.l I will try that. Again thanks for loaning me your brain,.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

A note on how I read science postings is I decide if I find it interesting and if I do, I click recommend. I find that engaging in that judgement process makes me have more interest in what I read and remember more of them. ☠️🧪

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

the problem is I have to use the list of 113 causes and do that for all three political groups and manually trim all three lists down to the causes that all three have more than ten cases and I cannot display all three groups of causes next to each other on the same screen. I don't have 3 screens.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

This graph shows the non-Hispanic white age group 20-64 deaths per 100,000 in Democrat and Republican voting states as a percent of the same age group in mixed-party states ☠️ #Sociology #Population #politicalscience

In earlier graphs I produced, I made them too complex to make the main point I want to show with the data, that among the middle aged politics have a very major effect on death rates. Democrats have the lowest, mixed party next and Republicans the highest. This graph focuses on the death rates of non-Hispanic whites rather than the total population because party effects are so substantial and if Republican voters knew that their votes were killing them earlier, they might vote otherwise. And the main thing they show is that voting Republican is a major cause of our high middle aged death rates which is a major cause of the fact that the United States ranks 60th from the top of the list of countries ranked by life expectancy. And that is this shows that our paying the most of all the countries for health care we are not getting our money's worth.

Here are the states in each group:
Dem Mix Rep
CA AZ AL
CO GA AK
CT IA AR
DE MI FL
DC MN ID
HI NH IN
IL NC KS
ME OH KY
MD PA LA
MA TX MS
NV WI MO
NJ MT
NM NE
NY ND
OR OK
RI SC
VT SD
VA TN
WA UT
WV
WY
And here is something for data hounds, the dot making numbers:
Year Dem Rep
1999 98 117
2000 97 118
2001 100 118
2002 98 119
2003 98 121
2004 98 120
2005 95 119
2006 96 120
2007 95 119
2008 94 120
2009 93 120
2010 92 121
2011 91 119
2012 91 120
2013 90 119
2014 90 120
2015 88 119
2016 87 118
2017 86 117
2018 87 119
2019 87 119
2020 88 120
2021 82 123
2022 86 120
2023 88 120
2024 86 119

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

I am afraid I haven't looked at that yet. Sorry. The data that allows comparisons lists about 130 causes and making state group comparisons requires gets to be very tedious because I have to build matching data sets listing only the causes that each of the three groups of states have.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

The 2024 age grouped data is finally available for all the states so I can finally provide this graph that shows the comparison of single year age death rates for states grouped by which party they vote for. My main point is party differences are important.🧪☠️ #Sociology #population #politics

If you have been following my post for a while you have seen this graph for earlier years. This graph is very much like the earlier years. I can not find a comparison of death rates for states grouped by party they vote for anywhere else. Out of these 170 dots only one, six year olds in Mixed Party states, shows a lower death rate than the same age group in Democratic voting states. I also notice that the six year olds in non-Democrat voting states average close to the same as Democrat voting states. My guess is it has something to do with starting school, but it that is just a guess. The main thing I see here is we now have a data point showing a non-elderly single year age death rate among the mixed party states than the Democrat voting staters.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

The who states voted for are based on five competitive presidental elections, 4 or 5 for one party went to that party and close to a third of US population in each group. Precise definitions in posts with limited word count look mits clarity.

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Dr. James H. Gundlach @pecanjim.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

Also remover that using state data, there are a lot of Republicans living in states voting Democratic. We do not have any political identification in the mortality data.

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