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Paul Mitchell

@paulmitche11.bsky.social
848 followers 49 following 17 posts

Owner of Redistricting Partners, Vice President of Political Data, Cat 3 cyclist, Cat 1 dad. First Partner of CA Planned Parenthood.

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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
I remember when we first got cable in my neighborhood. I was in 7th grade and since my dad was on the news I was a news junkie. Other kids were excited about MTV (which I watched my fair share of!) but I was really stoked about getting CNN! So now it’s really cool to be on a few times. :)
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KQED Forum @kqedforum.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
🎙️ON AIR We're talking to Political Data's @paulmitche11.bsky.social, @politico.com's @melmason.bsky.social and @kqednews.kqed.org's Marisa Lagos and Guy Marzorati about the state of the governor's race and the issues that matter most to California voters. ❓What issues matter most to you? 📻Listen:
kqed.org
Still Undecided in California Governor's Primary? Here's Where the Race Stands | KQED
We look at the issues that matter most to California voters and find out what polls say about the state of the race. Have you decided yet about who you’ll vote for?
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Who will it be? And could it be two Republicans? It’s the most intense parlor game in Sacramento. So I made a game out of it. Real polling, real campaign finance and betting market data, and 5,000+ campaign simulations, but take it all with a pinch of salt. twins-production-9381.up.railway.app
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Capitol Weekly @capitolweekly.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
CAPITOL WEEKLY PODCAST: Prop 50 will decide whether or not CA will adopt new congressional district maps to offset Texas and other red states' mid-decade redistricting. We spoke with @paulmitche11.bsky.social, the CA data guru who drew the state's new proposed maps capitolweekly.net/mapmaker-pau...
capitolweekly.net
Mapmaker Paul Mitchell on California's emergency redistricting proposal - Capitol Weekly
CAPITOL WEEKLY PODCAST: Governor Newsom and Democratic allies announced Thursday that they will propose a constitutional amendment — The Election Rigging Response Act — to counter Texas and other Red ...
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
With the @nytimes and @ShaneGoldmacher writing about the downfall of the Democratic party, it's important to note that in CA we are seeing a big bounce back since January, both with ALL voter registrations, and even more with first-time registrations.
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Capitol Weekly @capitolweekly.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
In just 90 minutes last week, the bromance between President Trump & Elon Musk imploded in a barrage of X posts, Truth Social rants & public jabs, shattering their so-called Co-Presidency. @paulmitche11.bsky.social polled Republican views on the feud. capitolweekly.net/california-r...
capitolweekly.net
CA120: California Republicans definitively choose Trump over Musk - Capitol Weekly
In just 90 minutes last week, the storied bromance between President Donald Trump and Elon Musk imploded in a barrage of X posts, Truth Social rants, and public jabs, shattering their so-called Co-Pre...
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Capitol Weekly @capitolweekly.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
This weekend @cademocrats.bsky.social are holding their annual convention in Orange County. With just over a year before the 2026 Primary & about 18 months out from the General Election, pollster/data guru @paulmitche11.bsky.social takes the temperature of CA Dems capitolweekly.net/for-californ...
capitolweekly.net
CA 120: For California Dems, will the past be prologue? - Capitol Weekly
This weekend Democrats are meeting at their annual convention in Orange County. With just over a year before the 2026 Primary, and short of 18 months before the General Election, we wanted to take the...
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Folks suggesting that the Oakland Mayor's Race is decided, with @barbaraleeformayor.bsky.social a couple percentage points short of @lorenmtaylor.bsky.social - but it's not over yet. Oakland shows 52,352 ballots returned (per PDI) but total cast is only 48,452. There will be more to count!
media.tenor.com
a man in a purple suit and top hat is saying `` please , tell us more '' .
ALT: a man in a purple suit and top hat is saying `` please , tell us more '' .
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Nicole Nixon @nicolenixon.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Trump’s order to ban ballot counting post-Election Day is like “fanfiction” for a third term, says @paulmitche11.bsky.social. “If you were writing out the fan-fiction for that, it would start with him fighting states about the administration of elections.” www.sacbee.com/news/politic...
sacbee.com
What Donald Trump’s order to change election requirements means for California
President Donald Trump signed an executive order Tuesday to require proof of citizenship to vote and to prohibit ballot counting after Election Day.
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Capitol Weekly @capitolweekly.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Who would go through the trouble of poll-testing the “This is Gavin Newsom” interview with @charliekirk1111.bsky.social? @paulmitche11.bsky.social, of course capitolweekly.net/ca-120-gavin...
capitolweekly.net
CA 120: Gavin's podcast - Presidential run or empire building? - Capitol Weekly
Gov. Gavin Newsom's new podcast has sent shockwaves through California's political world. But is there more to Newsom's efforts than meets the eye?
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Want better local redistrictings? How about we let city and county redistrictings to be appealed to the state redistricting commission. They’re not doing anything! open.substack.com/pub/paulmitc...
open.substack.com
Inbox | Substack
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
For anyone here interested in a little redistricting / elections nerdy tale, I’m stirring the pot a bit in the city of Irvine. substack.com/@paulmitche1...
substack.com
Home | Substack
Discover and discuss great writing with the world’s smartest readers on Substack.
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
Wonder what the algorithms are on a recommend I read in 2025! No fiction at all this year - except for books on tape when I’m riding. For some reason when I sit down with a cup of tea I’m drawn to serious books and biographies.
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Capitol Weekly @capitolweekly.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
"The final result in Congressional District 13, with Democrat @adamgrayca.bsky.social winning by just 187 votes over incumbent Republican John Duarte could have been determined by their ballot curing operation." - @paulmitche11.bsky.social capitolweekly.net/ca120-curing...
capitolweekly.net
CA120: Curing California’s ‘extra innings’ elections - Capitol Weekly
While in other states, they’re packing up the campaign office in mid-November, in California races are still being won and lost through organized field programs doing ballot signature “curing” that wa...
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
media.tenor.com
a young man in a white robe stands in front of a cloudy sky
ALT: a young man in a white robe stands in front of a cloudy sky
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
When I tell a reporter “well, you’re not gonna be able to use that quote” and she says “watch me!” Like they say on the internets… read to the end. www.latimes.com/politics/new...
latimes.com
The Trump landslide that wasn't
Since the election, Trump's percentage of the national vote has been dropping. Turns out his victory was slim, not a landslide.
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Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Just want to communicate with friends and colleagues and keep up with news, without having to do so on a nazi porn bar site like x.
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