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ozziegooen.bsky.social

@ozziegooen.bsky.social

672 followers 320 following 14 posts

Reposted by @ozziegooen.bsky.social

Scott McGrath @smcgrath.phd · 03/12/2024

🧪 An AI model outperformed experts in predicting neuroscience study outcomes, per Nature Human Behaviour. BrainGPT lead with 86% accuracy, surpassing human accuracy of 63.4% 🩺🖥️ 🧠

psychologytoday.com

AI Predicts Neuroscience Study Results Better Than Experts

New study shows AI large language models (LLMs) outperform human neuroscientists in predicting neuroscience study outcomes.

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ozziegooen.bsky.social @ozziegooen.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

Heavy automation (self-driving cars, humanoid robots) would increase cyber-risk, but I assume it could greatly reduce bio-risk and other critical risks. In theory, it could be fairly low-cost to ensure that most humans are highly isolated into discrete clusters.

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ozziegooen.bsky.social @ozziegooen.bsky.social · 20/11/2024

I think prediction markets aren't really about prediction. They're about good epistemics. The `prediction` part is a way of forcing researchers to be meritocratic, honest, candid, and truth-seeking.

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ozziegooen.bsky.social @ozziegooen.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

I feel like one better-than-internal-forecasting platform, very soon, would be a system that uses AI forecasts but allows individuals to give opinions+information. The AI forecasts would respond accordingly. People could then be provided with a score for how valuable the information is.

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ozziegooen.bsky.social @ozziegooen.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Do people have favorite apps to post semi-long-form to Bluesky? Sad that messages have a limited length. Really don't like the interface for writing long messages by splitting them up into a bunch of tweets. Would prefer something that at least automates this.

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ozziegooen.bsky.social @ozziegooen.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Happy that more effective altruists are joining BlueSky. I really want to use BlueSky, but previously my colleagues weren't on it (it still seems slow). And when I searched for "effective altruism" here... I wasn't very impressed.

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