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OS

@osactual.bsky.social
169 followers 206 following 116 posts

CHamoru 🇬🇺, Army Officer, 11th Airborne Lynchpin enjoyer, USAFA ‘23, NatSec and Climate Nerd, Thoughts my own.

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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Thinking about this again today.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
The reality is quite a bit more complicated and the concerning part is that ADM Mitch Bradley has been implicated in exceedingly questionable activity before. He was deputy to Vic Hyder, the DEVGRU SEAL, implicated in war crimes allegations post Takur Ghar.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Fucking send it.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Buttar is fantastic. His Red Army series is easily equivalent with the contemporary histories of the Pacific like McManus and Toll, which is no small feat considering the language barrier and the opacity of the Nazi and Soviet regimes.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
Want to share the hard work that the people at University of Guam are doing in tracking the current situation in the Second Island Chain. These folks are doing this with very little money and very little support from the wider security research community. msm.pacificcenterforislandsecurity.com/map
msm.pacificcenterforislandsecurity.com
Map • Micronesia Security Monitor
An interactive map highlights baseline military infrastructure and tracks military, maritime, and diplomatic activities across Micronesia.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
Did you forget you’re the Party’s Army, Tongzhi?
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
It absolutely does and I am frankly more disappointed that we are choosing not to address it. It tells me that more people agree with him than we’re willing to let on or that we’ve decided that our institutional values aren’t worth defending anymore. I don’t like either of those outcomes.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
I am very appreciative of people like @bradduplessis.bsky.social modeling what our Officer Corps should actually be like, for what it’s worth!
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
The fighting on the other site is really disheartening, to be quite frank. The open harassment of fellow officers by other officers really shows how far we’ve fallen into culture war bullshit. We’re not going to win a war like this.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
I do actually appreciate that they’ve decided BF3/BF4 are canon and the reason RU/PRC aren’t in it is because they lost in 2020. Battlefield really got the good timeline
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Also no!
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
When are you publishing the full book?
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
When that Philippine Navy SEAL had his hand cut off, I was pretty sure it was on tbh. Still not sure how that did not end in gunfire
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
The 1988 clashes between Vietnam and the PLA were the last and most serious fight, but I think the PRC is historically more willing to act against Vietnam, knowing full well that they don’t have a mutual defense treaty with Washington
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
I think both sides are largely aware that shots in anger mean that it’s on and that there’s no turning back after that point. However, I do wonder about the consequences of a China Coast Guard cutter having another accident during a confrontation with the AFP during a comms interruption…
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
I am becoming concerned this may well be where we are headed. How we have not had such an incident thus far staggers the mind, quite frankly
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Reposted by OS
Dan Kim (김명준) @danielmkim.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
🧵 (lifts hand above head, waves in a horizontal circle) Huddle up, make a school circle, & take a knee, #CookingForLieutenants is in session. Task: cook Boeuf Bourguignon Conditions: your kitchen Standards: see the gif
media.tenor.com
a man wearing sunglasses and a scarf is saying but did you die
ALT: a man wearing sunglasses and a scarf is saying but did you die
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
And the fact that we presume that we will be given the opportunity to decide the dynamics of escalation is the height of hubris, frankly!
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
This kind of discourse is exactly why I am so exceedingly frustrated by the conversation re: the PRC. They have already decided to hold my home (a U.S. Territory) at risk. What makes these people think they won’t hold Alaska, Washington, Cali, and Hawaii at risk if given the opportunity? What then?
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 17/08/2025
I am pretty sure DOD is going to have to disarm DHS in January of 2029.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 16/08/2025
Trying to set up a PLA watching server on Discord, please feel free to shoot me a DM if you have an academic interest in the PLA or PRC’s security structure and would like to participate!
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
It’s pretty clear to me that Colby et al in the GOP foreign policy sphere have worked really hard to frame the PRC as an racially otherized enemy (a “Yellow peril”) rather than ideological one. I don’t think that approach will end in our favor.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
I really cannot understate how important it is for Mil and NatSec folks to be reading Bridge Colby’s book right now, if only for the purpose of knowing what exactly to disagree with.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
Carl maybe has a 2.4 GPA, he’s definitely not getting into college
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
They’re not trying to win your heart or your mind. They’re aiming for Carl Cornfed, 17, who is currently the star linebacker on Wahlert Catholic High School’s Dubuque, Iowa 4A winning championship team.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
I think the most incomprehensibly funny part is they left as soon as they were confronted by the notorious libs of the LAPD
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
I hate how right you were.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
I wouldn’t put it past DHS at this rate tbh. They seem to love LARPing as a DoD entity.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
My sole criticism with FD2030 isn’t the focus on the PRC. It’s the lack of bayonet strength and Engineer/protection support within the MLRs tbh. They keep wanting the MLRs to duke it out in the FIC without much mass or survivability to do that with. It’s like boxing without any blocking
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
While Washington is asleep, the PRC is slowly and more aggressively showing its willingness to take Taiwan by force. Attempting to attack the Taiwanese Vice President in Europe. www.newsweek.com/china-planne...
newsweek.com
Czech intelligence reveals China plan to crash into Taiwan VP-elect
Czech miltary intelligence slammed the plot as "unprecedented" and a violation of diplomatic relations.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
It’s genuinely not just the grant money, it’s a real issue with *waves hands* everything!
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Reposted by OS
Rich Raho @richraho.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Bishop Seitz: “People are afraid to go out for groceries. They’re afraid to go to church. I really don’t believe fear adequately describes it. It’s terror…. I don’t think I’m speaking about politics. I’m speaking about faith. Politicians are messing with my faith.” www.ktep.org/2025-06-26/f...
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Sir, you might be able to speak more authoritatively on this because I am a post-GWOT officer, but I sincerely doubt that the U.S. Army would ever seek out someone in a high intensity daylight raid who got into a fender bender with us in Baghdad or Kabul!
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Further, this was a reportedly warrant issued as a result of a fender bender between a CBP vehicle and this family’s vehicle with a police report filed at the scene and the driver released. On what planet does a fender bender without an arrest necessitate this action?
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
and dangerously positioned to do irreparable harm to the Rule of Law and the Constitution. I fear we have created an American KGB with a large paramilitary arm, a pseudo law enforcement mission, and an exceedingly large intelligence apparatus.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
of kidnapping in warrantless detentions and arrests. They further do not have a culture of open toleration and defiance of Presidential authority demonstrated by the Border Patrol Union under the last two Democratic Administrations. Yes, these other agencies have flaws, but DHS is uniquely
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Say what you will about the ATF, Marshals, or DEA, but they don’t have the same broad power to conduct warrantless searches of phones, vehicles, and persons that is held by the DHS. They have similarly not acquired a large fleet of armored vehicles, and unmanned systems. Similarly no recent history
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
BZ, sir! Good luck with the next chapter
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
DHS has acquired paramilitary capabilities and authorities without the same institutional standards and limitations of the DoD and DoJ. You cannot convince me that this is healthy for the Constitutional order.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
My concerns over a DHS-led coup d’etat and the need to violently disarm them in 2029 remain.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Liddell Hart cooked here ngl
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Feel like I’m screaming into the void regarding PRC activity in the SIC and Compact of Free Association states. America is absolutely asleep at the wheel in the region and it’s going to cost us dearly. Kilcullen’s “liminal envelopment” seems more applicable than ever.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Sources: www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/C... www.mvariety.com/news/regiona... www.fdd.org/analysis/op_...
airuniversity.af.edu
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
The PLA’s role in the development on Woleai is currently unclear, but the positioning of “emergency supplies”, proximity to Guam, and potential for action in alignment with their doctrine should be concerning to most observers. /thread
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
in the defense are specifically instructed to deploy an “advanced guard…along the enemy’s most likely avenue of approach”. Such an action is designed to slow an opponent’s advance and force him to commit to an earlier contingency before facing the main PLA force. Such actions increase uncertainty.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
allow the PRC with the ability to breakout or get behind US and Allied forces in the FIC and SIC and provide disrupt US Sea Lines of Communication heading into the Western Pacific. Such an action would be commensurate with the PLA’s doctrine in the Science of Military Strategy (2020). Commanders
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
and is reportedly repositioning “disaster relief supplies” onto the island. Woleai’s position less than 400 miles from Guam and well into the Second Island Chain raises an interesting set of strategic implications. Potential militarization of the facility, particularly in a Taiwan contingency, could
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
However, recently, a Chinese state-owned enterprise has inexplicably decided to revitalize the Woleai Airfield after other rumored development efforts were rejected by other Yapese islands. Ostensibly for “tourism”, the PRC SOE is reportedly investing close 1 billion USD into building up the airport
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
the island in the early 2000s, but infrastructure and air service remained solely limited to Pacific Air Missions, a Christian missionary group. U.S. investment and development primary went to the other islands in the state and Woleai is likely one of the least developed islands in the region.
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OS @osactual.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Administered as a UN Trust Territory by the U.S. until 1979, Woleai became a part of Yap state of the Federated States of Micronesia upon independence. The island’s runway saw limited commercial flights and limited development, falling into disrepair in 1992. My Dad flew a number of flights into
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