Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 09/06/2026Handing the Iranians a tactical victory and putting American service people where the Iranians can kill them: medals for the IRGC. I'd call this an unforced error, but I can't believe CENTCOM thought this op was a good idea. 060
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 09/06/2026Let me say for clarity's sake: I'm pleased beyond measure that the American aviators were rescued; but this was a tremendous stroke of luck (good preparation and planning), and it coykd have been a tragedy. 050
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 09/06/2026Someone just wrote off an Apache crew by flying it into Iranian air defence cover. The crew was priceless. The Apache was pricey. The munition that took it down was dirt cheap by comparison. Retaliation won't erase this waste of blood, never mind the asset. 140
Reposted by Lynette NusbacherHelena Fitzgerald @hellafitzgerald.bsky.social · 04/05/2026this probably doesn’t even count as controversial but I think it’s hilarious that George Lucas made a movie in the late 70s from the principles of “whee hee hee woo hoo hoo spaceship” and consequently spent the rest of his life as the author of The King James Bible 15805134
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 28/04/2026Someone wants you to sign up to be an Iranian spy. It might even be the Iranians! Link in comments 230
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 26/04/2026Our Chernobyl documentary is apparently on Discovery! Outside the UK is it on your Discovery schedule? 181
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 26/04/2026The Suez documentary on (UK) Channel 4 is very sharp, and I'm proud to have worked on it with Voltage TV and @channel4.bsky.social ! It's streaming on the @channel4tv.bsky.social website, which is where I caught it. I'm fairly certain that I wasn't swearing in this screenshot. 2103
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 22/04/2026The level of support we had, shooting at the brilliant Pacific War Museum here in Fredericksburg was astonishing, especially Nicole Bagley sharing the research they'd commissioned into this little submarine! She and Haley helped me, Olivia and Alex SO MUCH on this project for @natgeotv.bsky.social 290
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 19/04/2026Will the Chinese government can put as much pressure on Iran today as they could two weeks ago. You know who won't be chilled about a resumption of rocketing? KSA, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar and Kuwait, that's who. 010
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 19/04/2026Not predicting! Never predicting! But here's the scenario I offered Matthew Wright on @lbc.co.uk just now: POTUS extends the cease-fire, says that Qalibaf and Aragchi are nobody, and now General Vahidi is in charge, is listening to him and Vahidi can get the Strait opened. #irgc #iran 160
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 18/04/2026Me on Friday: wow, the sanctions are back on! It wasn't keeping prices down anyway. The Ukrainians' engagement with the White House is rewarded! The trade is all going into the shadows and settled in RMB! Me today: I guess Russia made a phone call. 041
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 18/04/2026Someone is going to say that the disconnect between Qalibaf/Aragchi and the #IRGC is a sign of cracks in the #Iran regime. It isn't. It's a sign that Qalibaf and Aragchi aren't the last word. They can now go back to Islamabad and say they need the USA to be more conciliatory. 141
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 17/04/2026The people in this trailer (like @rory-stewart.bsky.social and @alexvont.bsky.social) are really first-rate, so I’m really pleased that they’ll be drawing people in to watch this documentary on Monday and Tuesday nights 9pm on @channel4.bsky.social @channel4docs.bsky.social @voltagetv.bsky.social 2237
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 29/03/2026If I were to pull out a couple of key words from discussing likely #American land component operations in #Iran with @darrylmorris.bsky.social on Times Radio they'd be RAID and DENY. Raiding Iranian locations to rob them of launching and mining capabilities, and denying operating locations to them. 131
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 27/03/2026You can't tell how cold it is on this beach in March! 2182
Reposted by Lynette NusbacherEvergreen Intel @vcdgf555.bsky.social · 19/03/2026The war of the refineries 1017543
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 21/03/2026I'm not a British government spokeswoman,but if a presenter asks me to thunder that Iran isn't the world’s war crimes police force, and shooting missiles at Diego Garcia isn't punishing Britain's imagined sins, I'm ready to thunder. 172
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 15/03/2026The first episode in the UK is about the Supermarine Spitfire, a platform about which I was uncharacteristically silent. I think I had plenty to say in all the other episodes, though! 085
Reposted by Lynette Nusbacherauonsson @auonsson.bsky.social · 12/03/2026A clear majority (eyeball: 80-90%?) of tankers present in and around Hormuz strait are sanctioned ones. Probably not news to insiders, like @TankerTrackers who got me the sanctions-list, but it was to me. 12323136
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 10/03/2026Looking towards the firming-up of the converging US-#Israel narrative: the strategic aim has been to degrade Iranian offensive capability. Any continuing dominance of the #Iran regime is now framed as the fault of Iran's citizens who didn't try hard enough or want freedom enough. 150
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 07/03/2026youtu.be/zA9TQD9LALw?...youtu.beThe real cost of weapons in the Iran warYouTube video by ITV News 031
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 26/02/2026Zelenskiy said the UK pledged 5000 people to deploy to Ukraine after a ceasefire. How could we commit that? Hint: VV Putin. 272
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 18/02/2026As Gerry Ford moves into theatre to join the Abe Lincoln, If you were commander CENTCOM, what Iranian targets would you hit? Spoiler: my choice is to send the entire IRGC Navy to Davy Jones. Thomas Harding in The National (UAE) www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/20...thenationalnews.com'Locked and loaded': The targets the US could strike in Iran | The NationalSinking IRGC navy, hitting air defences, special forces operations and striking nuclear sites would all be in US playbook, experts tell The National 340
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 16/02/2026Won’t someone make the Iranian theocracy go away? (A trailer from my substack) 030
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 14/02/2026A trailer of some of my comments from last night, from a substack video on the sort-of un-proscription of Palestine Action 020
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 14/02/2026The proscription of Palestine Action as a terrorist group is unlawful but the group is still proscribed. Starmer hasn’t got the political capital to make rational adjustments to terrorism legislation. My money quote: go damage Egyptian Air Force planes and see what that gets you. 030
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 13/02/2026For the past 18 months or so I’ve been talking about a gap between Israeli security requirements and US action in the Middle East. I think it’s getting harder for Netanyahu to leap back and forth across this gap. This is a trailer for a freebie video on my substack. 110
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 09/02/2026I've written this, and I want to make sure I haven't plagiarised it. It is definitely my conclusion from available open source, and I think it's common knowledge, but I wouldn't like to discover that someone whom I should acknowledge has published this. Thoughts? 230
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 08/02/2026I hope it doesn’t sound judgmental when I say that the US isn’t going to overthrow the Iranian government using a carrier battle group. If there were a regime change button they might push it, but America’s playing for a nuclear deal which they’ll spin as bringing ‘peace’ to the region. 120
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 03/02/2026This is a short clip with one reason why the UK hasn't proscribed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Apologies for the AI's difficulty with the word 'proscribe'. open.substack.com/pub/nusbacher 030
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 30/01/2026The Lion and the unicorn unleashed on the dragon. A reset with China, a head-of-government visit, a reduction in China's tax on British whisky, and the promise of visa-free travel for Brits in China. Only Starmer could go to China, I guess. 110
Reposted by Lynette NusbacherSomerville College, Oxford @somervillecollege.bsky.social · 27/01/2026Today is Holocaust Memorial Day, when we commemorate the six million Jewish people murdered during the Holocaust, and the victims of subsequent genocides. For last year's Holocaust Memorial Day, we shared a piece by our History student, Lucy Pollock, whose family were killed in the Holocaust.buff.lyHolocaust Memorial Day 2025: Reflections on Sanctuary - Somerville College OxfordThis year’s Holocaust Memorial Day marks 80 years since the liberation of Auschwitz-Birkenau. Today we remember the six million Jews killed in the Holocaust, all victims of the Nazis, and the victims… 011
Reposted by Lynette NusbacherSurrey Heartlands Health and Care Partnership @surreyheartlands.bsky.social · 27/01/2026Today, on Holocaust Memorial Day, we remember the millions of lives lost and reaffirm our commitment to stand against hatred and prejudice. #HolocaustMemorialDay #HMD2026 011
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 24/01/2026Last days to apply for the International Women's Day fencing event in Oviedo, Asturias! 031
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 19/01/2026That was unclear. The punitive tariffs aren't trade sanctions; they're sales taxes for Americans. They make imports less competitive, but if required the UK and the EU can reply with countervailing tariffs that make US products less competitive overseas. In an election year! 142
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 19/01/2026‘Right now, somebody in the FCDO is deciding which knighthood to offer Donald Trump’. - Me Key point from my interview about #greenland on @bbcarabic.bsky.social today: If the US wants to tariff up US prices in advance of their Nov congressional elections, Europe will consider retaliation. 120
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 17/01/2026I had some good challenge this AM from @steffanpowell.bsky.social on @bbc5live.bsky.social just now when I said that Tony Blair has a track record in the Middle East of achieving the square root of Fanny Adams. Sum: with the support of the Foreign Service and the Civil Service Blair could achieve. 000
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 12/01/2026I've been staying in this room every time I've been to the castle for three years. I love the battlements outside the window, but I particularly love the heraldic weathercock. 281
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 11/01/2026It's dark. It's cold. It's raining. Of course I'm out in Windsor Castle talking to my phone camera!open.substack.comSoft power isn't soft, and it's a damfool nameAlmost the first thing I ever did on social media was live tweet a lecture by Joe Nye. His concept of ‘soft power’ was in almost every way brilliant. The name, however is rubbish. 061
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 10/01/2026I’ve just spent some of my evening creating a brief video to add to the new short-short General Offensive! General Uprising! podcast on my Substack. This is all fairly rough-n-ready, and when I saw a bit of glare off my big screen I just slung Bill the Cat up there to block it. Bill by Kes Smith. 150
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 09/01/2026I went on a bit longer this time: what do you think? Also, what do you think my next short video should be about?open.substack.comAmerica First in Strategic ContextI'm going to name-check Halford Mackinder and Alfred Thayer Mahan, but really I'm going to talk about the rough outlines of an American sphere of influence in the Western Hemisphere. 111
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 08/01/2026I'm starting to record some short current affairs videos, mostly looking at strategy, and mostly trying to keep it fairly large scale. First one off the blocks: Greenland.substack.comLynette Nusbacher (@nusbacher)The putative American takeover of Greenland has gone from a bit of a snicker to dominating the news cycle. Who even remembers Venezuela or Ukraine or the expiring health subsidies or that guy with th... 162
Reposted by Lynette NusbacherHenry Riley @henryriley1.bsky.social · 06/01/2026With you on @lbc from 10pm - Trump discussing how to acquire Greenland, says White House with @rufusgifford.bsky.social & @nusbacher.bsky.social - Drink drive limit set to be cut in road safety - Pensioners could lose ticket to ride Tube for free Plus @winmc01.bsky.social on Jan 6th anniversary 131
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 07/01/2026Venezuela was a proof of concept: you can put a leader in the bag and put him on ice while you hand his successor a list of demands. Could work in Greenland, right? Could also be the beginning of Marco Rubio’s presidential campaign against … what was that guy’s name again? Vance! That was the guy. 121
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 06/01/2026I was going to put text on this photo to make a meme. I realised that if you don't recognise the still, it would take too much text to explain the joke. If you do recognise the still, you don't need text. 231
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 03/01/2026If the US government is going to ‘run’ #Venezuela for the foreseeable future, it’s going to be devoting a lot of civil affairs capability and nation-building resource to the task. After dropping the post-conflict reconstruction ball in Iraq, it’s going to be quite an opportunity. 240
Lynette Nusbacher @nusbacher.bsky.social · 03/01/2026The US signalled that it is willing to be cavalier about use of force in its sphere of influence; unhappy to see other acknowledged major powers (China and Russia) coming in without permission. This also signals to China and Russia that they can do likewise in their spheres. 251