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Nuclear Wire

@nuclear-wire.bsky.social
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Rapid response monitoring of nuclear risk-relevant developments. Brought to you by the Office for Monitoring and Assessment at Open Nuclear Network @paxsapiens.bsky.social

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Reposted by Nuclear Wire
Linus Höller @linus-at.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Nuclear weapons free zones are ambitious, but also tried and proven. But actions like China's latest missile launch put them under growing pressure. Read my article: www.defensenews.com/global/asia-...
defensenews.com
Chinese ballistic missile test is said to undermine nuclear weapons-free zone in South Pacific
China has repeatedly called out the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal between Australia, the U.S. and the U.K. as violating the treaty.
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Reposted by Nuclear Wire
Linus Höller @linus-at.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Trump has promised Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles domestically. Russia has previously tried to paint the move as reckless. Read my article: www.defensenews.com/global/europ...
defensenews.com
Ukraine to get ‘license’ for making Patriot interceptors, Trump pledges
"It’s a defensive weapon, which I like better than an offensive weapon,” Trump said. Russian media quickly picked up on the announcement.
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Reposted by Nuclear Wire
Linus Höller @linus-at.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
In fact, a Russian tanker is visible on fire in Copernicus satellite imagery taken today
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Reposted by Nuclear Wire
Linus Höller @linus-at.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Imagery taken by @planet yesterday shows the aftermath of Ukrainian attacks on oil tankers on their way to supply Crimea. Oil slicks extend for many kilometers. FIRMS (NASA's space-based fire detection) also indicates at least one ship was ablaze.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
MBDA UK has test-fired an 800-km range cruise missile, continuing Europe's push for long-range strike capabilities versus Russia and independent of the U.S. This changes the balance of power in Europe and will likely be seen negatively in Moscow. -lbh www.mbda-systems.com/mbdas-crossb...
mbda-systems.com
MBDA’s CROSSBOW completes successful first firings
© MBDA MBDA has announced successful firings of the CROSSBOW, as the latest milestone in the rapid development of a market ready ground launched deep strike capability.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
France has officially started work on a hypersonic missile for its nuclear forces, to be carried by the Rafale F5 fighter jet. It's expected to be in service by 2035. www.defense.gouv.fr/dga/actualit...
defense.gouv.fr
La DGA commande le développement du missile hypersonique ASN4G à MBDA
La Direction générale de l’armement (DGA) a notifié, le 2 juin 2026 à MBDA, l’accord cadre de réalisation et le marché de développement du missile Air-Sol nucléaire de quatrième génération (ASN4G). Sa...
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
The board of the IAEA have demanded that Iran report their uranium stocks. It comes after a week of escalating language from the Iranians on how the IAEA has been instrumentalized toward US aims, and as the nuclear deal all but stalled as the two return to open conflict. t.co/59AzrXRxyK
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Zelenskyy publishes an open letter to Putin proposing a direct face-to-face meeting to end the war. The proposal includes a full ceasefire during talks, an "all-for-all" prisoner exchange, and international security guarantors (US + Europe). www.president.gov.ua/en/news/vidk...
president.gov.ua
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
The IAEA's first report since Iran war began has said that there's been no "major changes" to Iran nuclear program, despite "new nuclear dilemmas". The report comes as Iran allows the IAEA to inspect Bushehr, though stonewalls over uranium. Both bits of news presents an opening for more inspections.
reuters.com
First IAEA report on Iran's nuclear programme since February shows little change despite war
The U.N. nuclear watchdog sent a report to member states on Thursday with no major changes to its assessment of Iran's nuclear programme, despite three months of U.S.-Israeli war ​with the stated aim ...
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Yesterday's communique between the EU and Pakistan details a comparison between Russia's invasion of Ukraine and Kashmir. By stressing "dialogue and diplomacy" the EU appears to have sided with the Pak position, who want Kashmir sorted via UN, over India, who won't entertain third party mediation.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
In its strikes overnight to Jun 2, Russia launched a record 8 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles. This is a modern, nuclear-capable weapon that entered service in 2023. This should be read as signaling and field testing. -lbh english.nv.ua/russian-war/...
english.nv.ua
Russia uses record number of Zircon missiles in attack on Ukraine
Russian forces used a record number of Zircon missiles during a massive combined attack on Ukraine, launching eight of them at once, Yuriy Ihnat, head of communications at Ukraine’s Air Force, told Ar...
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
In an interview with Al Jazeera, IAEA's Rafael Grossi said that it's 'difficult but not impossible' to transfer uranium out of Iran. This would mark a major U-turn on Iranian position which sees its stockpile as 'a national asset'. www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/li...
middleeasteye.net
IAEA chief says moving Iran’s enriched uranium is ‘difficult but not impossible’
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
U.S. is in talks about potentially expanding nuclear sharing in Europe, with Poland and the Baltic States singled out as top candidates by today's FT. Even discussions about this are a major doctrinal shift. -lbh www.ft.com/content/1a32...
ft.com
US in talks to expand nuclear weapons deployments in Europe
Washington has signalled openness to additional countries hosting nuclear-capable bombers
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Poland activated its air force overnight during a major Russian drone & missile strike on Ukraine, the Operational Command said. While this is a normal defensive action, heightened tensions and increased activity can lead to false alerts, misinterpretation and nuclear risks. -lbh
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Medvedev, former president and current deputy chairman of Russia's security council, has threatened strikes on NATO nuclear power plants if there is a major attack on Zaporizhzhia. Blackmail with the release of radioactive substances must be avoided by all. -lbh www.kommersant.ru/doc/8708049?tg
kommersant.ru
Медведев пригрозил ударом по АЭС на Украине и в странах НАТО после атаки на ЗАЭС
Подробнее на сайте
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Norway becomes the 9th country to join French forward deterrence, reshaping European nuclear doctrine. The French initiative still has a lot of uncertainties, but may increase the risk of nuclear confrontation and miscalculation. -lbh www.defensenews.com/global/europ...
defensenews.com
Norway becomes ninth country to sign up for French nuclear deterrence as trust in US falters
Meanwhile, Germany will participate in French nuclear exercises as soon as September, joining them in an observer role.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Ukraine is receiving Gripen jets and Meteor long-range air-to-air missiles from Sweden. This allows Ukraine to better defend itself, but it also poses a challenge to the survivability & operations of Russian strategic (nuclear) bombers. -lbh www.defensenews.com/global/europ...
defensenews.com
Ukraine would gain advantage over Russian glide bombs with Gripen-Meteor combo
Moscow has been launching record numbers of glide bombs in 2026, according to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence, grinding down frontline positions.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
German public broadcasters cite NATO intelligence report that Russia is working on basing nuclear missiles in silos on the ocean floor. This would have a major impact on the strategic balance due to survivability and second-strike abilities. -lbh www.tagesschau.de/investigativ...
tagesschau.de
Geheimprojekt "Skythen": Plant Russland die Stationierung von Atomraketen am Meeresgrund?
Ein russisches Militärprojekt wird von der NATO mit Sorge betrachtet. Nach Recherchen von WDR und NDR geht es dabei um die Stationierung von Atomraketen am Meeresgrund. Von Florian Flade und Antonius ...
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
NATO air policing has shot down what Estonia believes to be a Ukrainian drone in Estonian airspace. This is a first after several similar airspace violations. High-pressure kill decisions raise the risk of miscalculation. www.defensenews.com/global/europ...
defensenews.com
NATO jet shoots down Ukrainian drone over Estonia in escalation of airspace violations
The drone was shot down by a Romanian F-16 fighter jet stationed in Šiauliai, Lithuania, Estonian media reported.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Belarus has restricted access to forests along its borders with Ukraine, Poland and Lithuania. While an imminent invasion is assessed as unlikely, this still heightens a sense of insecurity and is an escalatory step. Insecurity can breed nuclear miscalculation. -lbh ua.news/en/world/bil...
ua.news
Belarus has restricted access to forests near the border with Ukraine
The Belarusian authorities have officially imposed restrictions on visiting forests in 19 districts, particularly near the border with Ukraine.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Russia and Belarus are launching joint nuclear drills for the first time since the deployment of the new Oreshnik missile there. Drills like these can heighten nuclear tensions and raise the risk for miscommunication and accidents. -lbh www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/18/r...
themoscowtimes.com
Russia and Belarus Launch Joint Nuclear Drills - The Moscow Times
Russia and Belarus launched joint military exercises on Monday to practice the combat deployment of tactical nuclear weapons, marking the first such drills since Moscow deployed its Oreshnik hypersoni...
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
A Russian drone briefly entered Romanian NATO airspace during an attack on Ukraine, Al Jazeera reports. Incidents like this - deliberate or not - significantly raise the chance of escalation between two nuclear-armed opponents. -lbh
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Ukraine launched a massive drone strike against Russia overnight, with RUAF reporting 347 drones intercepted across 20 regions. Air strikes are escalating after dueling unilateral ceasefires for Victory Day failed. Escalation carries the risk of miscalculation. -lbh www.kyivpost.com/post/75590
kyivpost.com
Military Logistics Hub Near Moscow Hit in Massive 347-Drone Blitz on Russia
The reported strike comes as Moscow tightens security ahead of the Victory Day celebrations, with authorities planning internet shutdowns, airport closures, and restrictions across the capital.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
The French Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier group is being repositioned to the Red Sea/Gulf of Aden, France's military said. -lbh www.reuters.com/world/middle...
reuters.com
French aircraft carrier group moving into Red Sea and Gulf of Aden
France's Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier group is moving into the Red ​Sea and Gulf of Aden as ​part of efforts by France and Britain ⁠to prepare for a future mission ​to help freedom of navigation...
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Ukraine has rejected Russia's Victory Day ceasefire after Russia violated a Ukrainian ceasefire today, Kyiv Independent reports. Russia has previously threatened a massive missile strike on central Kyiv should there be strikes against Russia on Victory Day. -lbh kyivindependent.com/ukraine-reje...
kyivindependent.com
Breaking: Ukraine rejects Russia's 'Victory Day' truce after Moscow violates Kyiv's ceasefire
"We just don't see the point (to follow it) for the parade," a senior Ukrainian official told the Kyiv Independent.
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Aircraft carrier USS Gerald Ford has been photographed passing Gibraltar to the west, leaving the Mediterranean for the open Atlantic. Some of the accompanying vessels are also visible on AIS. -lbh
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
A leaked intel report by an EU gov't describes the Kremlin on high alert over internal coup and drone assassination fears; Shoigu named destabilizing; tensions among security agencies are rising. Instability may foster bold, unpredictable and dangerous actions. -lbh istories.media/en/stories/2...
istories.media
Vladimir Putin fears an assassination attempt and a coup, tensions among security services are rising, an EU intelligence agency says
Независимое медиа. Расследования, репортажи, интервью и истории о том, что важно
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
The Russian MoD has threatened a "massive missile attack on the center of Kyiv" if a unilaterally-declared ceasefire is broken by Ukraine on May 8/9. It warned "the population of Kyiv and ... foreign diplomatic missions ... to leave the city in a timely manner." -lbh Source: t.me/mod_russia/6...
t.me
Минобороны России
В соответствии с решением Верховного Главнокомандующего Вооруженными Силами Российской Федерации В.В.Путина, 8 – 9 мая 2026 г. объявляется перемирие в честь празднования Победы Советского народа в Вел...
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Nuclear Wire @nuclear-wire.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Ukraine claims to have hit a Russian Kalibr missile-carrying ship in Primorsk. Kalibr missiles can carry either conventional or nuclear warheads. Russian media has not confirmed independently, but satellite-based fire detection shows fires in the water at the port of Primorsk. -lh
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