iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

mred53 @notnothing.net · 29/07/2026

My 2026 FBS football tiebreakers are now up and running. So far, only the ACC has officially announced their 2026 tiebreak logic, so I'm using 2025 logic for the rest, other than the Pac 12 (I'm using 2023 logic for them).

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 09/03/2026

I've completed checking my results against official brackets, and other than some date/time issues and one case where I didn't mark an ineligible team ineligible, the Sun Belt and SoCon issues are the only ones that needed fixing. I neglected to put the Sun Belt issue on BlueSky. Here's the recap:

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 09/03/2026

Since Jan 1, around 448k basketball tiebreak scenarios were generated at the site. This is virtually the same as each of the past two seasons have had. By conference: (1/2)

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 08/03/2026

I'm not sure why the site was offline for a while there. The moment I realized it and tried to do something about it, it was back online.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 01/03/2026

Of the conferences that finished up yesterday, the one mismatch I saw compared to my site was SoCon MBB. I haven't seen a published SoCon tiebreaker in a few years, but apparently they break h2h ties first before going on to other tiebreakers. This is now fixed.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 26/02/2026

My code is set up to ignore round-robin comparisons that aren't full round robins. A code issue meant this wasn't always working correctly in the code, but I think it's fixed now. This impacts conferences that don't have every team play every other team (e.g. Sun Belt).

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 18/02/2026

A note on the Big 10 tiebreakers: I discovered today that the MBB and WBB tiebreakers are not identical in the Big 10. WBB says: "Once a seed is awarded, all remaining tied teams shall restart the tiebreak process at the first criteria". img.boostsport.ai/boost-cms/20...

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 16/02/2026

Based on some inside info, I have updated the Atlantic 10 tiebreaker to reflect how the conference believes it's tiebreaker should be interpreted:

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 04/02/2026

I've removed the auto-refreshing the game selection page on my site used to do. The initial purpose was to fix a problem where some browsers would stubbornly maintain old game selections even after game results updated, so completed games would have wrong results selected. (1/2)

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 01/12/2025

Football season roundup: For the season (Oct 1 through Nov 30) there were around 878k user scenarios generated. This was around 12% less than last season. SEC was way down but still #1, while ACC was WAY up.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 26/11/2025

My changes to CUSA didn't get saved earlier today, but it should be good now.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 25/11/2025

It was pointed out that the CUSA tiebreaker apparently changed this season. The "Modified" date in the pdf properties is 11/16, so it was likely uploaded on or after that date. I've updated my CUSA logic to match.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 25/11/2025

The MAC removed the tiebreaker document from their site (from 2024) and released tiebreaker scenarios. It's clear from the scenarios that they changed the tiebreaker logic in 2025 without publicly releasing it. getsomemaction.com/news/2025/11... (1/ )

getsomemaction.com

2025 MAC Football Championship Game Tiebreakers

Potential 2025 MAC Football Championship Game Scenarios

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 25/11/2025

I forgot to post this yesterday: There is a discrepancy between my tiebreaker and the scenarios released by the conference. According to the conference, if Tech and BYU lose, and Utah and ASU win, BYU is in the championship game. My site was saying ASU and Tech would be. (1/ )

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 12/11/2025

2025-2026 basketball (MBB and WBB) is up and running. I haven't checked for any tiebreaker rule changes, but I have updated tournament bracket formats for each conference (or my best guess at it for conferences who haven't released them yet). (1/2)

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 10/11/2025

I've made a correction to my Pac 12 tiebreaker, believe it or not. A twitter user pointed out that the Nov 1 game between OSU and WSU was NOT technically a conference game. The Nov 29 game is the only Pac 12 conference game. This has been fixed.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 07/11/2025

There was an issue where in some cases people going to bball.notnothing.net were getting a default placeholder page instead of the actual website. I think this is now fixed, but let me know if there are any issues accessing the site.

bball.notnothing.net

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 06/11/2025

I've made a small change to the ACC logic: If teams A, B, C, and D are all tied, my old logic had the tiebreaker running until the top team was determined, and then the tiebreaker would restart for all remaining teams. The ACC tiebreaker document is not clear ... (1/)

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 06/11/2025

bball.notnothing.net had some brief outages while I tried to get everything set up with DNS/SSL to run off a new server. I think it's all working now -- if it is down for you, it might just need some more time to propagate the changes through the DNS servers.

bball.notnothing.net

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 03/11/2025

My primary server crashed this morning even with the tiebreaker logic offloaded, so now I've offloaded most of the logic that creates the schedule page as well. I'm hoping this fixes things, but let me know if there's any weirdness (or another server crash).

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 30/10/2025

Small fix: Future games with TBD times were showing up under the day before the actual game date -- the time became pre-midnight when UTC was converted to an American time zone. This did not affect anything other than display dates.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 28/10/2025

I've migrated the actual tiebreaker logic code for bball.notnothing.net to a scalable cloud platform, which will hopefully mitigate the crashes when things get busy (which they will in about 12 days based on past patterns). Let me know if anyone notices any weirdness.

bball.notnothing.net

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 22/10/2025

So close, AI. So close.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 22/09/2025

An emailer pointed out a game that was complete but not showing up as complete on my website. This turned out to be a bug affecting OT games. This is now fixed.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 05/06/2025

My 2025 NCAA football tiebreaker is up and running. I haven't looked at any tiebreaker changes (and if there are any, they are probably not public yet) but the schedules/teams are up-to-date.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 02/05/2025

I just discovered Iowa State WBB was #1 in 24-25 DI WBB in assists per FGM (using @stathead.com). ISU assisted on 70.39% of made FG, just ahead of Kansas State's 70.32%.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 15/04/2025

I saw a question somewhere about why the WNBA expansion team doesn't automatically get the first pick. There's a pretty simple explanation -- it would penalize the current holder of the #1 pick way more than other teams. I pulled some data from @stathead.com to look at this.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 11/03/2025

I just realized WAC this season used the KenPom-influenced Resume Seeding System AFTER ordering teams by record and head-to-head results rather than doing all seeding with it. I've retroactively changed that in the WAC logic.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 10/03/2025

A little post-season analysis: On 2/28, I posted that I expected around 100k scenarios generated 2/28-3/4 and 200k additional scenarios 3/5-3/9. The actual numbers were ~102,600 and ~205,600, so that was pretty accurate. Overall there were ~446,700 scenarios generated 1/1-3/9.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 09/03/2025

My MAAC MBB results didn't agree with the conference and here's why: After determining the top team in a three way tie, the tiebreaker is restarted for the other teams. HOWEVER, the MAAC still uses the round robin record among the original tied teams, which I wasn't doing.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 06/03/2025

This was pointed out to me today by Ryan from Hammer and Rails regarding Big 10 MBB: there's a potential issue regarding a three-way tie if Purdue, Maryland, Wisconsin, and Michigan all win. If this happens, Purdue, Maryland, and Wisconsin are all tied for the #3 spot. (1/?)

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 02/03/2025

The official Atlantic 10 WBB seedings do not agree with mine, and I do not agree with their interpretation of their tiebreaker. The issue is the 12 vs 13 seeds -- they have GW over Loyola Chicago and I have the opposite. Here's what's going on:

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 01/03/2025

I've updated the Southland page with the current tiebreaker logic. There might be some edge cases that aren't working quite right, but it should be correct for the most part.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 01/03/2025

Sun Belt WBB is now fixed. I'm still shocked that Sun Belt doesn't have every team play each other at least once, but whatever. Now, for all conferences, round-robin record is ignored if not all the tied teams played each other at least once.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 01/03/2025

Looking at Sun Belt seeding, MBB matches what I have but WBB does not. I suspect it is related to the fact that Louisiana and Old Dominion did not play for some reason, so perhaps round robin record is skipped in the tie among those two + App State. I'll look into it tomorrow.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 28/02/2025

Since we're entering the last ten days of the regular season and everything is about to explode, here's a brief update on site traffic from Jan 1 through yesterday: There have been around 138.5k scenarios generated, which is pretty much on par with the last couple years.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 28/02/2025

Update to Patriot League MBB (and WBB) logic: Based on what other people have heard from the league, it sounds like they are NOT breaking H2H first like they did in 2020. For now, I have changed my Patriot League tiebreaker logic to reflect this.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 28/02/2025

tl;dr version of my @PatriotLeagueHQ MBB thread: Even though the tiebreak rules don't explicitly say it, they appear to break all H2H ties first before applying any other tiebreak logic. They did this in 2020 and the wording of the tiebreak rules hasn't changed much since.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 28/02/2025

There is an ambiguity in the Patriot League MBB tiebreaker, and it may come into play for the top seed. This thread explains the reason. (1/8)

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 24/02/2025

We're close enough to the end of the basketball regular season now that I'll post notification of any tiebreaker logic changes here and on twitter. There is a new one today: the Atlantic Sun does have very abbreviated tiebreaker logic posted on their MBB and WBB standings pages.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 05/02/2025

I added a link to the top of the results page to unhide all tiebreaker steps, which allows you to see the full tiebreaker logic and not just the final step separating teams. This is still a work in progress - I'll clean up text over the next few days. bball.notnothing.net

bball.notnothing.net

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 02/12/2024

Football season roundup: For the season (Oct 1 through Dec 1) there were just shy of a million user scenarios generated: 993,454 to be exact. Around 10% of those (~106k) were generated in a six-hour period the evening/night of November 23rd.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 02/12/2024

The issue with the MWC tiebreaker not using the CFP rankings is fixed: earlier I had changed the name of a variable in one location and missed it in another spot. This also could have affected AAC, C-USA, and Sun Belt, although it didn't come into play.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 01/12/2024

Outside of the Big 12, there ended up not being many interesting tiebreakers that ended up happening. As a result, for the most part it seems like the website handled everything ok, but it was like studying calculus the whole semester and the final exam being sixth grade math.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 25/11/2024

The past two days: Saturday: 191k pageviews, 39k unique hourly visitors. Sunday: 133k pageviews, 25k unique hourly visitors.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 25/11/2024

This has been posted elsewhere, but I just wanted to reiterate it here because it's just so completely insane: With one weekend left, no Big 12 team completely controls its own destiny to make the CCG. I wouldn't have thought it possible, but it's confirmed by the conference.

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 24/11/2024

Hint for my fellow Cyclones: if you use this link, Iowa State is always the #1 seed in the Big 12 regardless of silly things like "record" and "tiebreakers": bball.notnothing.net/big12.php?sp...

bball.notnothing.net

mred's Big 12 FB Standings Generator

Big 12 Conference Football Standings with Tiebreakers

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mred53 @notnothing.net · 24/11/2024

Normally when the site is down, it takes a minute or two for it to come back online. Tonight I'm keeping an eye on it and manually resetting it when I notice it's down to cut down on the downtime a bit.

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