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notayesmansecon.bsky.social

@notayesmansecon.bsky.social
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 15h
Thank you to the ladies of Battersea Park Zumba who were in fine form earlier 💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃
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Reposted by @notayesmansecon.bsky.social
notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Red Alert Klaxon. Le Spread exceeds 150 bps. Question for today. What happens now or will the ECB wait until it reaches 200 bps? #podcast soundcloud.com/shaun-richar...
soundcloud.com
Notayesmanspodcast398
This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on:- Red Alert Klaxon. Le Spread exceeds 150 b
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 23h
Only recently the UK government was pushing plug-in Solar. Best of luck if you are trying ti use it this morning.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 23h
It looks like the Bloomberg story that there is an £85 billion Black Hole in the UK public finances is true then...
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 23h
UK Wind Power has rallied to 6.1GW this morning. With 0.9GW of Solar we are burning 6.5GW of Gas as well as importing 5GW. Hydro is 0.4GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 2.5GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £152 per MWh. #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 23h
Good Morning All
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Red Alert Klaxon. Le Spread exceeds 150 bps. Question for today. What happens now or will the ECB wait until it reaches 200 bps? #podcast soundcloud.com/shaun-richar...
soundcloud.com
Notayesmanspodcast398
This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on:- Red Alert Klaxon. Le Spread exceeds 150 b
011
notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
UK GDP growth rather fades when you look at the detail Earlier this week the UK received some better economic news which is welcome in these strained times. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 0.5% in Quarter 2 (Apr to Jun) 2026, following a 0.6% growth in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2026.…
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
UK GDP growth rather fades when you look at the detail
Earlier this week the UK received some better economic news which is welcome in these strained times. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 0.5% in Quarter 2 (Apr to Jun) 2026, following a 0.6% growth in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2026. Real GDP was 1.4% higher than a year earlier. There was an upwards revision of 0.1% meaning that the UK has had a relatively strong start to 2026.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
If you have a question for my weekly economics and financial markets podcast then please let me know.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
For those wanting to know more about the rise in bond yields and the economic consequences we can expect now...
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The UK Gilt or government bond future has rallied a point since the lows of yesterday and the ten-year yield is now 5.37%.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
UK Wind Power has rallied to 10.8GW this morning. With 1.2GW of Solar we are burning 12.2GW of Gas as well as exporting 1.6GW. Hydro is 0.6GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 2.6GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £159 per MWh #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Good Morning All
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
What are the consequences of the bond market rout? Today there is only one story in the economic  world and it was something I warned about on social media just under a week ago. For younger people who have never lived through a bond market crisis. Well you are about to....... There had been a…
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
What are the consequences of the bond market rout?
Today there is only one story in the economic  world and it was something I warned about on social media just under a week ago. For younger people who have never lived through a bond market crisis. Well you are about to....... There had been a steady drip drip but it just felt that we were on the edge and so it has proven to be.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Remember when I suggested that the UK should issue some one hundred year or century bonds at around 1%.How much money would I have saved UK taxpayers? notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2019/06/27/t...
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
The UK should issue a 100 year bond (Gilt)
Sometimes ideas come to fruition at the time but others have a much longer gestation period. My subject of today is an example of the latter as it was back in March 2012 that Chancellor George Osbo…
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
UK government bonds have a 6 handle as the yield on the thirty year passes 6% At what level is this what Rachel Reeves used to call "crashing the economy"? #Askingforafrriend
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
If you follow me you will know that I have been warning about the economic situation in France for some time now. Well with the ten-year yield at 4.94% this is a bit of a rout now. notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/09/30/t...
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
The bond vigilantes are putting France under ever more pressure
It was only on the 21st of this month that I looked across La Manche to France and we were right to be concerned because to coin a phrase the heat is on. …it’s continuing to widen on th…
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The UK ten-year yield has risen to 5.5% Klaxon.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
UK Wind Power has rallied to 15.5GW this morning. With 0.3GW of Solar we are burning 7.6GW of Gas as well as importing 1GW. Hydro is 0.5GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 1.3GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £120 per MWh. #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Good Morning All
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The bond vigilantes are putting France under ever more pressure It was only on the 21st of this month that I looked across La Manche to France and we were right to be concerned because to coin a phrase the heat is on. ...it's continuing to widen on the OAT-Bund spread We're approaching 115 bps…
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
The bond vigilantes are putting France under ever more pressure
It was only on the 21st of this month that I looked across La Manche to France and we were right to be concerned because to coin a phrase the heat is on. ...it's continuing to widen on the OAT-Bund spread We're approaching 115 bps (1.15%)  (Alexandre Baradez ) He also produced a rather revealing chart. So back to the levels of the Euro area crisis and the days when the then ECB President Mario Draghi said this.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
More bad economic news for France this morning. Year-on-year, the harmonized index of consumer prices is projected to rise by 3.4% in September 2026, following a 2.6% increase in August. #inflation
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Some better news for the UK economy this morning. UK gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have grown by 0.5% in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2026 (revised up by 0.1 percentage points from the previous estimate),
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
UK Wind Power has rallied to 15.5GW this morning. With 0.3GW of Solar we are burning 7.6GW of Gas as well as importing 1GW. Hydro is 0.5GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 1.3GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £120 per MWh. #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Both the UK government and Bank of England support policies driving our energy prices higher Yesterday Bank of England policymaker Swati Dhingra wrrote an opinion piece in the Financial Times. This is another example of low standards at the Bank of England because public servants like her have a…
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
Both the UK government and Bank of England support policies driving our energy prices higher
Yesterday Bank of England policymaker Swati Dhingra wrrote an opinion piece in the Financial Times. This is another example of low standards at the Bank of England because public servants like her have a duty to make sure that policy relevant work is freely available and not behind a paywall. But via TU news we can see that on the subject of energy policy she is not only out of touch but encouraging another policy error.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
A little bit of relief this morning as the UK ten-year yield declines to 5.39%.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
UK Wind Power has rallied to 14.2GW this morning. With 0.7GW of Solar we are burning 6.6GW of Gas as well as importing 3.4GW. Hydro is 0.6GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 2.4GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £161 per MWh. #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Good Morning All
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The UK five-year yield which is my leading indicator for fixed-rate mortgages has risen to 5% this afternoon.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has played Andy Burnham and John Healey like a piano on QT and Help to Buy....
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The UK government decides to try to pump up house prices one more time If you were around Princes Street this morning you may have seen a young research student skip their way from Bank tube station to the Bank of England with a beaming smile on their face. Being able to stand in front of Governor…
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
The UK government decides to try to pump up house prices one more time
If you were around Princes Street this morning you may have seen a young research student skip their way from Bank tube station to the Bank of England with a beaming smile on their face. Being able to stand in front of Governor Andrew Bailey with news like this is this sort of thing that gets your contract renewed on improved terms.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The UK ten-year yield is 5.4% this morning which provides an awful backdrop to the speech later by Chancellor John Healey.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
UK Wind Power has plunged to 3.5GW this morning. With 1.3GW of Solar we are burning 8.6GW of Gas as well as importing 3.5GW. Hydro is 0.6GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 3GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £99 per MWh. #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Good Morning All
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
This is good news for anyone planning to sell their house as these schemes boost UK house prices. It is bad news for UK taxpayers who Andy Burnham is making liable for a very risky punt (only 2.5% deposit)
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Good luck to those from Battersea Park running the Berlin Marathon today especially those coached by my friend Phil Kissi 🏃‍♂️🏃‍♀️
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
UK Wind Power has rallied to 14GW this morning. With 1.2GW of Solar we are burning 3.8GW of Gas as well as exporting 0.8GW. Hydro is 0.3GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 2.3GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £119 per MWh. #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Good Morning All
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Thank you to the ladies of Battersea Park Zumba who were in fine form earlier 💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Another facet of the bond market crisis is France. "I am just wondering how high bond yields in France and Italy need to get in order to trigger a QE style response from the ECB and its system of national banks?" #Podcast soundcloud.com/shaun-richar...
soundcloud.com
Notayesmanspodcast397
This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on:- Q for today. Is the rumoured change in CG
020
notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
UK Wind Power has fallen to 7.5GW this morning. With 1.8GW of Solar we are burning 4.4GW of Gas as well as importing 5GW. Hydro is 0.4GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 3GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £154 per MWh. #renewables
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Good Morning All
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
For younger people who have never lived through a bond market crisis. Well you are about to.......
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The UK ten-year yield has risen to 5.4% Klaxon.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
How high do you think the UK 10yr and 30yr could go, when might they reach those highs, and by then will it be too late for government to do anything about it? soundcloud.com/shaun-richar...
soundcloud.com
Notayesmanspodcast397
This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on:- Q for today. Is the rumoured change in CG
101
notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Can the UK raise £30 billion on more a year by stopping paying interest on bank reserves? We live in times where the truth is an increasingly precious commodity and jet me start via some nonsense about the Bank of England from Dale Vince. Britain’s banks are super successful at making money. That…
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
Can the UK raise £30 billion on more a year by stopping paying interest on bank reserves?
We live in times where the truth is an increasingly precious commodity and jet me start via some nonsense about the Bank of England from Dale Vince. Britain’s banks are super successful at making money. That makes them a target every now and then for a windfall tax. But their success is built on subsidies, massive taxpayer subsidies running to the tune of £30billion a year, paid by the Bank of England - as interest on their cash piles.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
If you have a question for my weekly economics and financial markets podcast then please let me know.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The UK political class has been both negligent and incompetent in forcing our oil refineries to close with their Net Zero fantasies. But don't worry as Plug-in Solar fixes this (in winter) apparently......
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The UK ten-year yield has risen to 5.36% this morning further raising pressure on the Budget plans of Chancellor John Healey.
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notayesmansecon.bsky.social @notayesmansecon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
UK Wind Power has rallied to 7.6GW this morning. With 1.5GW of Solar we are burning 9.8GW of Gas as well as importing 3.1GW. Hydro is 0.4GW. Nuclear is 4GW and the awful Biomass 2.9GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £165 per MWh. #renewables
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