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nooilfpl.bsky.social

@nooilfpl.bsky.social
44 followers 71 following 134 posts

California resident. Obsessive Brighton & Hove Albion fan and finally got to attend a match at the Amex. Now also a big Caxton Arms fan.

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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
static.klipy.com
Nicolas Cage's Iconic 'You' Scene
ALT: Nicolas Cage's Iconic 'You' Scene
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
I keep seeing references to the craziness of this race, but I don’t know what’s been going on. What’s the deal?
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
The Art of Fielding. It’s outside the 5-year window, but it should be at the top of your list if you haven’t read it.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
I think we just have to face it that Blue Co have no idea what they’re doing. There’s no grand strategy, no tactics, no nothing. They’re just morons.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Yeah, he’s definitely pushing the envelope, but I’m thinking nah, there’s no amount of sh*t that is too large for Gianni to eat. Can’t wait to find out! The magic of the Cup.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Dunno if this is foil hat territory, but maybe this is why China did it: They thought the Hormuz closure would cause such a massive shock that it could threaten to bring down Trump. And they like having Trump in office, because he’s weakening the US in so many ways. So they jumped in to save him.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
But if Spain/Uruguay draw and CV beat KSA . . . I can dream, can’t I?
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
We need Cape Verde path analysis
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
A very silly man www.thebulwark.com/p/meet-kevin...
thebulwark.com
Meet Kevin Hassett: Conservatism’s Invincible Ignoramus
Trump's director of the National Economic Council is a silly man.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
But if I own a commercial building with its own parking lot and I don’t own a field somewhere, isn’t it good to put up solar canopies in my lot?
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Is anyone ever going to track down the other guys from his unit and ask them? Her story is they all got this BECAUSE it was a Nazi symbol and they were into that. Shouldn’t some journalist try to check out that story?
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Nope. It’s supposed to produce moderation by forcing candidates to run to the center. @leedrutman.bsky.social has looked at studies in multiple jurisdictions. It doesn’t work. So it looked dumb ex ante and it’s even dumber ex post.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Huge fan of your work btw. I read Doom Loop years ago and have been following you ever since.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
If you want to use the cost of ruling as an argument for PR, it might be worth mentioning that the cost turns out to be much lower in countries with PR. I know you mention it in the article, but it’s buried at the end. Without it, the argument looks like a non sequitur.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
You are a leading cause of the growth of my reading list. Thanks.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Alito: Plaintiffs must show that Jews engage in religious bloc voting that cannot be explained by membership in the anti-Nazi party.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
FWIW I think it’s also worth mentioning that PR is an objectively better form of representation. In our current system, R voters in a D district (or vice versa) have no representation in Congress. They just have to hope some other district will elect someone they like. It’s dumb.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Have you read anything by Piero Gleijeses? Shattered Hope, Conflicting Missions, and Visions of Freedom are all just insanely good. Plus he’s married to Yoko Ono’s sister.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Dave Roberts had a good episode about this recently: www.volts.wtf/p/the-fate-o...
volts.wtf
The fate of fossil fuel systems in the "mid-transition"
I talk with Emily Grubert about the hidden dangers of letting the free market manage the decline of our legacy energy infrastructure.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
I hope you’re right, and I wish I shared your confidence.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Agree 💯 it’s so f’ing stupid but is it so easy to fix? Iran leadership seems really sick of Israel bombing Iran whenever they feel like it. If they’re serious about security guarantees, I’m not sure it’s easy to solve. Bibi gonna Bibi.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
And a third thing is true: Republicans have repeatedly blocked Democrats from passing a nationwide ban on gerrymandering.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Doesn’t the blockade hurt the US/world more and faster than it hurts Iran? Keeps reminding me of Sheriff Bart pointing the gun at himself in Blazing Saddles.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
It’s kinda like the scene in Blazing Saddles where Sheriff Bart points his gun at himself.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Some chud who kinda thinks he’s Hunter S. Thompson. Which ain’t DJT.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Great piece. Impossible to have a functioning two-party democracy if one of the parties is actively hostile to democracy. So we need more parties, so we need PR & fusion. And key point at the end: thermostatic effects are muted in multiparty systems. So important.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Excellent piece. One way of sharpening the point: It is impossible to have a functioning two-party democracy if one of the parties is actively hostile to democracy. So we MUST create a multi-party system. PR (& fusion where necessary) is the way to get there.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Fatigue from the midweek game surely played a role. But I don’t mind!
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
FWIW I think your original post is spot on. I've never been antivax. But when I was a new parent (22yrs ago), I heard some stuff on Pacifica Radio about vaccines/thimerosal/mercury/autism. I later learned it's all bs. But it made me nervous at the time. Our pediatrician explained it very nicely.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Fantastic performance from the lads! I loved it. A point would have been nice (and deserved), but can’t fault the performance. Absolutely brilliant. A joy to watch.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Got it. Thank you. I still haven’t seen it. Based on the descriptions I wrongly assumed it was inadvertent. That and I am always eager to plug no pen for inadvertent handball! Crazy huge punishment for a nothing foul imo.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Wouldn’t be this way if inadvertent handball in the box wasn’t a pen. Change the rule to make it an ifk. Problem solved.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
I must be missing something. What primary? I thought Golden announced he wasn’t running, citing threats against his family.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I’m not sure I know what you mean by “the platform must be…” Do you mean Ds must *run on* institutional reform? I’m not sure that’s a winning electoral strategy. If you mean: Ds must do whatever it takes to win a trifecta & then immediately enact sweeping institutional reform, then I agree 100%.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Really good. Thank you. Some of the points seem similar to things Isabella Weber has been saying for a while.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
What do you make of this? He seems to say the reason the Dem brand is toxic in the heartland is Carter appointed Volcker, whose policies killed the heartland’s economy. Is that the most plausible causal story? I read Ferguson’s Golden Rule years ago but never read Right Turn. Would that help?
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Violence in apartheid South Africa was pretty dangerous, & the folks who recorded it were seen as courageous & heroic by everyone except…um…the white racists. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bang-Ba...
en.wikipedia.org
Bang-Bang Club - Wikipedia
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
Is it possible there was one broadcaster who wouldn’t have gotten any Boxing Day games and held out in order to screw everyone else? Presumably all parties have to agree to modify the contract. It’s the only answer I can think of. I too find the situation baffling.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
FWIW according to the Guardian "Bloom is one of a handful of club owners who was given in 2014 a 'carve-out' to allow him to carry on gambling, but not on any of his own teams or competitions they take part in." But maybe the Guardian is wrong. www.theguardian.com/football/202...
theguardian.com
Brighton owner Tony Bloom faces questions over allegations he bet on his own teams
Exclusive: Billionaire is claimed to be anonymous figure behind $70m of wins in US legal case. He denies betting on his own teams
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
Thanks very much.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
Got it. So it's uncomfortable because Benham/Bloom can bet on football, just not on teams they own or competitions they're in, but players are prohibited from betting on any football at all. Is that it? Not trying to be difficult. Just genuinely trying to understand the issue.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
What’s the potential scandal or uncomfortable juxtaposition? My understanding is that Bloom is banned from betting on teams he owns & competitions they’re in, and Starlizard is regularly audited. Is the worry that the ban might be easy to evade anyway?
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
If you know what fusion voting is, and you know they have fusion voting in NYC mayor elections, then you know more than Elon Musk. centerforballotfreedom.substack.com/p/elon-v-han...
centerforballotfreedom.substack.com
Elon v. Hannah: You Make The Call
The text messages started mid-morning on Election Day.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Actually it’s a lot more rigorous than that. When gerrymandering was before SCOTUS in Rucho, statisticians/poli sci scholars proposed various statistical tests for it. One of them was used in HR1. The issue is basically if the map produces way more “wasted votes” for one party than another.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
How about this: Elizabeth Warren couldn’t win a senate race is Nebraska. But Dan Osborn running as an independent might. But Dan Osborn running as a Dem would be toast.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 26/10/2025
Very clear and totally devastating. Thank you.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 26/10/2025
This is very helpful. Thanks.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Thank you. That’s very helpful.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Thanks. I can’t access the article. And this isn’t my field. Just a nonexpert trying to understand what the finding is and what the basis for it is. Found this piece, but it didn’t really help. news.stanford.edu/stories/2016...
news.stanford.edu
Bitter primaries hurt high-profile candidates' chances in the general election, Stanford research shows
Stanford political scientist Andrew Hall found that contentious primaries that receive heavy media coverage and voter attention tend to produce nominees who do less well in the general election.
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nooilfpl.bsky.social @nooilfpl.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Thank you. I found the abstract kinda unclear. But if that’s what it means, then we know Platner v Mills won’t be a “divisive primary,” because Maine does not have runoff primaries. So maybe Jake’s claim is correct, but it’s not supported by the research he cited.
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