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Chris

@nnracinghq.bsky.social

🏇 UK & Irish racing analytics — built by a fan, backed by data 📊 Colour-coded race-cards • Trainer & jockey stats • Going analysis • Bet calculators nigelsnotebook.com

Posts Replies Media

Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

@simonnott.bsky.social very kindly took time out of his busy schedule to interview me. www.simonnott.co.uk/blog-racing/...

simonnott.co.uk

Chris Ness - Value Betting Analyst - Simon Nott Zooms-In #41

Chris Ness - Value Betting Analyst talks about finding the value in horseracing markets

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Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

Horse racing has a problem gambling rate of 2.8%, identical to the National Lottery. Scratchcard users? Around four times higher than racing. That's on the parliamentary record. Affordability checks apply to racing bets. Not lottery players.

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Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 21/03/2026

Aintree is a fortnight away. The 'horse racing is barbaric' takes are being drafted as we speak. Before they land — here's a piece that actually engages with the ethics rather than shouting past them nigelsnotebook.com/articles/rac...

nigelsnotebook.com

Nigel's Notebook

Free horse racing tools — going bias, trainer heatmaps, pace maps, bet calculator and more.

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Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

My tissue pinpointed the 20/1 winner of the Irish Lincoln yesterday, and ignoring the O'Brien shorty that was no value at all you'd have had the 16/1 in the next as well

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Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Nice to see the tissue beat the market in the first, 1-4 2nd and 3rd wrong order but I'll take that on the chin

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Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Today's the day 🟩🟨🟥 Free full colour-coded race cards are live on Nigel's Notebook — tissue prices, trainer & jockey stats, Going Bias and more, all in one place. Do your homework. Find the value: 👉 nigelsnotebook.com

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Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

Mighty Park is a good example of a data tissue limitation. Lack of form data means the model underweights him. That probability doesn't vanish — it spreads across the field and makes everything else look artificially attractive. Always sanity check the obvious horse first.

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Chris @nnracinghq.bsky.social · 08/03/2026

Hello Bluesky 👋 I'm Chris — lifelong racing fan who got obsessed with the data side of things. I built Nigel's Notebook — free tools for UK/Irish racing: value assessment, going bias, trainer & jockey stats etc. Named after a good friend who loved the sport. 🏇

nigelsnotebook.com

Nigel's Notebook

Free horse racing tools — going bias, trainer heatmaps, pace maps, bet calculator and more.

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