Sign in

Nikki Ikani

@nikki-ikani.bsky.social
1.2K followers 770 following 20 posts

Assistant Prof Intel & Security ISGA | writer | NWO Veni Laureate | Research Fellow KCL | Snr Fellow NATO Defence College | researching warning | editor Poets Reading the News | @Kortschrijvers | she/her

PostsRepliesMedia
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Really enjoyed joining Wailin Wong from NPR’s The Indicator from @planetmoney.bsky.social to talk about NATO, and an increasingly pressing question: what happens when trust inside an alliance starts to erode? Listen to the episode here 👉 open.spotify.com/episode/4bEV...
open.spotify.com
Should NATO be pay-to-protect?
000
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I was interviewed by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, about emerging health threats and my crisis‑warning research. We spoke about bird flu, forgotten lessons from COVID-19, and how lessons from intelligence studies can be used to improve health warning systems. read it at: www.gavi.org/vaccineswork...
gavi.org
Have we already forgotten the lessons of COVID-19? We asked an expert in anticipating crises
Bureaucracy, politics and fraying trust in institutions could mean that warnings about the next health crisis fall on deaf ears, says a leading expert.
000
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Bird flu remains a low-probability threat to humans. The more revealing story is what it shows about how warning systems weaken long before a crisis becomes visible. Read my new piece in The Conversation UK theconversation.com/bird-flu-war...
theconversation.com
Bird flu warnings are being ignored. I’ve seen this pattern before
H5N1 has a 50% fatality rate in humans. Yet we’re dismantling the systems designed to catch it early.
010
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
The Commission’s new “intelligence cell” could backfire, pulling analysis into a political space and making EU states share less, not more. Our Euractiv piece explains why trust, not expansion, is the real bottleneck. @dvanp.bsky.social @evamichaels.bsky.social www.euractiv.com/opinion/von-...
euractiv.com
Von der Leyen’s 'intelligence cell' will only fuel fragmentation and mistrust | Euractiv
The need to improve intelligence capacity is undeniable. But von der Leyen’s chosen method reflects a familiar instinct: using crisis logic to expand the Commission’s authority
083
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
In my @volkskrant.nl op-ed I describe how warnings often vanish in rules, hierarchy, or fear. And I argue we need systems that remember not heroes that rescue. Relevant for anyone in safety, risk, or organizational resilience. www.volkskrant.nl/columns-opin...
volkskrant.nl
Opinie: Een goed systeem heeft geen helden nodig
Signalen over misstanden en rampen verdwalen vaak in procedures, hiërarchie, of de angst om als lastig te gelden. Maar zolang organisaties geen systeem bouwen met een goede infrastructuur voor waarsch...
000
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
Very excited to share my book Catastrophe Foretold will be published by @vikingbooks.bsky.social (UK) and Union Square (US)!! My book traces warnings before ten major disasters of the past century, and why so many went unheeded. Huge thanks to @mmagency.bsky.social & amazing @agentbal.bsky.social
153
Reposted by Nikki Ikani
Madeleine Milburn Agency @mmagency.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
So thrilled to announce CATASTROPHE FORETOLD by @nikki-ikani.bsky.social a genre-opening book about catastrophes from a world-leading expert in crisis warnings. It will be published in Spring 2028 by @vikingbooksuk.bsky.social and Union Square in the US. www.thebookseller.com/rights/vikin...
thebookseller.com
Viking acquires ‘genre-opening’ book on catastrophes in ‘major’ pre-empt
Viking has acquired Catastrophe Foretold by Nikki Ikani. Senior commissioning editor Greg Clowes acquired UK and Commonwealth rights from Emma Bal at the Madeleine Milburn Agency in a “major” pre-empt...
021
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
My team at Leiden University is looking for a new Assistant Professor in Intelligence and Security! We're a group of active researchers looking for a colleague passionate about research and teaching. @dvanp.bsky.social 📅 Deadline: 30 September Details: www.universiteitleiden.nl/en/vacancies...
universiteitleiden.nl
Assistant Professor in Intelligence and Security
The Institute of Security and Global Affairs (ISGA) aims to appoint one Assistant Professor with specialisation in Intelligence and Security. The successful candidate will have demonstrable research e...
030
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Just published: My open access article in ISR. We've seen many "Intelligence failure" accusations recently, but binary framing obscures how warning systems actually fail. The new typology I propose enables a more comprehensive understanding of warning effectiveness. academic.oup.com/isr/article/...
academic.oup.com
Beyond the Binary: A New Typology for Evaluating Warning Success and Failure in Strategic Surprise
Abstract. Why do some intelligence warning processes succeed in anticipating surprise while others fail? This article challenges the binary perspective on
0143
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
How does the EU change its foreign policy course? My book "Crisis and Change in EU Foreign Policy" is out now in paperback. Eery timing as Europe is scrambling to respond to its biggest security challenge since WWII. manchesteruniversitypress.co.uk/9781526182586/ ‪@manchesterup.bsky.social‬
2112
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
As a scholar of warning and learning from crises, I explore how actors anticipate crises, issue warnings, and adapt (or fail to adapt). Here I examine France’s ability to anticipate the rise of ISIS and the establishment of its so-called Caliphate: www.degruyter.com/document/doi...
0121
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
🚨The edited volume "Contemporary Intelligence Warning Cases", edited by @drbemg.bsky.social and Stig Stenslie is out now via EUP @edinburghup.bsky.social 👉 edinburghuniversitypress.com/book-contemp... I had the privilege of contributing chapter 7: Mosul 2014 – The Rise of ISIS 👇
162
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
My colleagues wrote a piece in the European Journal of International Security arguing that OSINT presents an evolution rather than a revolution of traditional intelligence practices - and that it faces many of the same hurdles the latter faces. Read it here in open access 👉 doi.org/10.1017/eis....
doi.org
The rise of open-source intelligence | European Journal of International Security | Cambridge Core
The rise of open-source intelligence
150
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
I’m a scholar of crisis warning and response—exciting projects are coming in 2025! But for today, here are 9 reads that made my year. Though very different, what unites them is that they explore the underbellies of communities - and the love, violence and relationships that shape them.
040
Nikki Ikani @nikki-ikani.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
📚 Paperback coming soon! As crises and war unfold on Europe’s doorstep, my book Crisis & Change unpacks how these events shape EU foreign policy, and offers a framework to understand the shifts. Pre-order manchesteruniversitypress.co.uk/9781526182586/ @manchesterup.bsky.social
manchesteruniversitypress.co.uk
Manchester University Press - Crisis and change in European Union foreign policy
Crisis and change in European Union foreign policy - Browse and buy the Paperback edition of Crisis and change in European Union foreign policy by Nikki Ikani
0206