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Nick Huntington-Klein

@nickchk.com
8.7K followers 287 following 1.4K posts

Econ prof at Seattle University. Book The Effect theeffectbook.net out now! Substack nickchk.substack.com Twitter @nickchk

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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 24/09/2026
The toddler has a Little People version of Rosa Parks and he also has a bus toy with seats in it and I'm just sitting here watching him and sweating profusely
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 23/09/2026
not digging super deep here but gotta recognize www.youtube.com/watch?v=3nWJ...
youtube.com
Suede - The Drowners (Remastered Official HD Video)
YouTube video by Suede HQ
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 18/09/2026
If you have recently reviewed one of my papers I confirm I have heard you loud and clear 🫡
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 18/09/2026
Sometimes you get a referee report back and you're just like "huh I guess you're right, this paper does kinda blow"
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
wow do the surveys really show people are angrier with trump on inflation than they were with carter? that's surprising to me
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
ohhh i remember this. didn't the duck live on top of their monitor
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
oh yeah it can do that for sure
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
i don't know what rubber duck means in this context i have found LLMs consistently terrible at offering deckbuilding advice
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
I have been running this test on every big new model since *2024* and this is the first time a model has actually solved it. Why is this such a hard task for LLMs? I discuss this in an old Substack: nickchk.substack.com/p/ai-errors-...
nickchk.substack.com
AI Errors Are Statistical Errors
If it trains like a duck and predicts like a duck...
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
Sorry I mean Opus *5*. Got confused after writing GPT6
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
This is the prompt ( attn @proptermalone.bsky.social )
Three card blind is a variant of Magic: the Gathering, where each player starts with a three-card hand of their choice, and no cards in their deck. Failing to draw a card does not lose the game. Player A is playing Mountain, Goblin Guide, Lightning Bolt Player B is playing Forest, Thallid, Thallid Who wins when Player A goes first? Explain your thinking step by step.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 17/09/2026
It's that time again, and there's a slight change!!! GPT-6: Fails Gemini 3.1-pro: Fails Opus 6: **Success**! I asked it twice and it was right both times, both in terms of calculating who wins and the chain of logic that works out why Opus 6 is the first model that has ever succeeded on this task.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 16/09/2026
after some testing i have some greater success with instructing the AI to annoy the student and remind them that AI is not allowed. this will in no way prevent cheating (they can remove the warning text and re-ask) but i suspect will deter some students in automatic-use-AI mode
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 16/09/2026
hmm it worked when i tested it earlier today but now looks like it only functions about 50% of the time and warns tehm the other 50%
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 16/09/2026
i have shifted much of the grading weight to exams / quizzes but there are some exercises where it's worth it to do it anyway.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 15/09/2026
i have to assume students are wise to the "secretly put instructions for the AI in your assignment page" cheating detection at this point right
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 15/09/2026
decided to start a thread that i will come back and add to whenever i hear a song and i'm like 'oh damn that's really good' www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dryd...
youtube.com
Macie Stewart - "I Forget How to Remember My Dreams" (ft. Lia Kohl)
YouTube video by International Anthem
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 15/09/2026
Bringing gollumf rice to the potlock final meeting
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 09/09/2026
plums are fantastic. however, like all stonefruit they are low-floor high-ceiling. a great plum is a top tier fruit. a mediocre plum is awful.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 08/09/2026
in the final episode of the most recent revival season he becomes a business owner
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 02/09/2026
ikr
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 02/09/2026
Anyone particularly well-versed in AI safety stuff available to answer a DM question
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 01/09/2026
Anyone else got a big uptick recently in review requests way outside your expertise?
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 28/08/2026
I've yet to receive an angry email about any of my local-news appearances but sometimes I see the comment threads when they post the videos on social media and while very rarely is anyone mad at *me*, hoooooboy are they mad at something!
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 28/08/2026
also i got to do causal inference in the newspaper. it's a (basic-enough-to-describe-in-the-newspaper) crime event-study-and-then-DID
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 28/08/2026
i have an op-ed in the actual newspaper next week on a topic that positions me against an opinion i'd call "nextdoor/facebook-typical". how many angry emails should i prepare for
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 25/08/2026
"don't show me this" button does nothing
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 25/08/2026
every time i log in: - right-wing culture war stuff - christian vs atheist "debates" in the form of extremely smug memes - people whose politics i agree with but who post exclusively about people who send them mean comments - inflation pregnancy vore fetish pages??? as in all three combined
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 25/08/2026
i am still on facebook for the purposes of sharing baby photos with family and man there is not an algorithm on this planet less able to figure out what i want to see. like not even malicious, just incompetent.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 23/08/2026
Ah shit
Mail from your bossYou aer fired
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 20/08/2026
she has been my daughter's favorite artist for about a month, which is about how long she typically holds a favorite, so i've heard a lot of it now. i'd say she has two good tracks (Lush Life and Midnight Sun) and a whole lot of pretty generic pop music you could very easily skip forever
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 20/08/2026
this is in the US where apparently she has never had a top 10 hit
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 20/08/2026
my daughter's 7th birthday happened recently and every child, without any prior coordination, knew all the words to two different Zara Larsson songs. you may use this as a barometer of your in-touchness
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 20/08/2026
Everyone in this thread was clearly an adult when the cd came out. Personally the cd is older than me so my first cd was the cd single for One Week by the Barenaked Ladies lol
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 18/08/2026
They discuss their process themselves in this podcast episode bsky.app/profile/nick...
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 18/08/2026
The authors behind this study openly try dozens to hundreds of quasi experiments and publish only the ones that "work". This makes me very skeptical of any of their findings, regardless of any robustness tests they do.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 16/08/2026
I think a difference there is that a model of human cognition quality could come up with new uses for itself, endlessly.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 10/08/2026
Oh na sparkling is the only kind of na wine I've had
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 10/08/2026
i notice that these are all, like, fruit cordials instead of things labeled "scotch" or "wine" which is probably smart!
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 10/08/2026
if dr. pepper had less sweetener in it it would taste more like scotch than the NA scotch i got
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 10/08/2026
yeah lemme just pay $4/can for "non-alcoholic wine" that somehow tastes exactly like a slightly less sweet grape juice and not at all like wine, or $50 for a bottle of "non-alcoholic scotch" which is, like, some herb water i guess that has nothing to do with whiskey
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 10/08/2026
i am a drinker of actual alcohol but my experiences with non-alcoholic drinks allows me to summarize: old NA beer brands: awful new NA beer brands: really shockingly good any NA that's not beer: it's not bad or anything but also it's just extremely expensive juice.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 08/08/2026
Oh 😑
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 08/08/2026
From LinkedIn, my book has finally been spotter in a non-university bookstore! At Waterstone's in London
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 04/08/2026
Just got my copy yesterday, thank you for sending!
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 03/08/2026
(\phi-1)/\phi 🌀
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 30/07/2026
(and besides, many of the "clean" papers have similarly important gaps, they're just ones we're used to so we let them slide. the difference between "this flaw is unacceptable" and "this flaw is fine" is usually a social one not a rigorous one)
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 30/07/2026
But the number of useful more-signal-than-noise papers I've skipped bc I know that R2 will peace out between the part of the paper where it becomes clear there's a gap and the part where I take the gap seriously is a lot.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 30/07/2026
The obvious downside is that those results can then be distributed further and taken as more definitive than they deserve.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 30/07/2026
Like we don't need a weak entry on what the returns to education are. But there are a ton of questions where something suggestive or with iffy identification would be a clear plus relative to what we have. But this is very hard to publish. Lampposts and lost keys and all that.
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