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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre)

@nestcentre.bsky.social
88 followers 101 following 425 posts

We bring together the best expertise on Russia and the surrounding region. Based in London and Washington, DC. nestcentre.org

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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
What to watch this week, from NEST Centre's experts ➡️
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Putin is touring Russia again—but mostly beyond Ukrainian drone range. NEST Centre's latest briefing note examines the electoral logic behind the spectacle. 🔗 nestcentre.org/at-a-safe-di...
nestcentre.org
At a safe distance: Putin's pre-election tour beyond the reach of Ukrainian drones – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Putin’s revived regional tour aims to reassure war-weary Russians and shore up the Kremlin’s image of stability ahead of State Duma elections in 2026.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
What to watch this week: an expolsive-laden drone at the Leipzig Airport, pressure on the anti-war Yabloko party, and Russian Defence Ministry reshuffles.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
“They are no longer expected to be politically neutral technocrats.” NEST Centre's latest briefing note how the Kremlin is increasingly judging regional leaders—including Moscow’s city government—by their support for Russia’s war effort. nestcentre.org/all-in-the-k...
nestcentre.org
All in: The Kremlin's new expectations of regional elites – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
The war is erasing the line between governing Russia’s regions and mobilising them for the front
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
'This is Russian interference. It’s all part of undermining support for Ukraine by pointing to the dangers of escalation and, frankly, scaring the German authorities.' NEST Centre's John Lough spoke to the BBC about the explosive-laden drone at the Leipzig Airport. www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Leipzig airport drone-bomb: Could Russia be involved?
The BBC has seen evidence from previous cases that Russian-linked proxies not only handled drones and explosives, but also delivered them to Germany.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Europe’s rupture with Russian science is creating a long-term strategic opening for China. Russian students and researchers are building new linguistic, institutional and professional ties—relationships that could shape Moscow’s elite for decades. New short analysis: nestcentre.org/the-brain-dr...
nestcentre.org
The brain drain goes East: How Europe is ceding influence over Russian science to China – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Following the introduction of Western sanctions in 2022, the international movement of Russian students and early-career researchers has gradually shifted towards China, where new linguistic, professi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Is Russia preparing for another mobilisation? Five warning signs to watch ⬇️🧵
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
What to watch this week, from NEST experts: ➡️ The prosecution of Pavel Durov ➡️ The alleged assassination attempt on the Commander-in-Chief of the Aerospace Forces in Moscow ➡️ Moscow’s response to the first visit by Trump’s negotiators to Kyiv
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
'Increasingly aggressive rhetoric, new repressive legislation, moves to put the economy on a war footing, and the prospect of a new wave of military mobilisation all indicate that the Kremlin is not planning to de-escalate.' New briefing note: nestcentre.org/mobilisation...
nestcentre.org
Mobilisation 2.0: The Kremlin is preparing for the next phase of the war – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Drone and missile strikes by the Ukrainian Armed Forces against civilian and industrial infrastructure have accelerated the transformation of the Putin regime. Previously, it was characterised by an i...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Why did Kazakhstan’s president tell Putin that the war in Ukraine 'has to be stopped'? Ben Goodwin joins John Lough this Thursday to discuss what Tokayev’s intervention reveals about the changing Russia-Kazakhstan relationship. Register to attend: zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Turkey is moving closer to the West, but Moscow sees no geopolitical realignment. Ruslan Suleymanov examines how energy dependence, shared interests and Erdoğan’s transactional diplomacy keep Ankara close to Russia. nestcentre.org/a-trusted-pa...
nestcentre.org
A trusted partner: Moscow is unconcerned by Ankara’s westward pivot – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Kremlin tends to interpret Ankara’s closer engagement with Western countries as a series of tactical, transactional moves rather than a fundamental geopolitical pivot.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
'The Lukashenka regime is helping Russia prolong the conflict.' Katia Glod spoke with Le Monde about the role Belarus plays in providing Moscow with logistics, training grounds and the means to exert hybrid pressure on Europe. www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
lemonde.fr
Guerre en Ukraine : l’Europe redoute une participation plus active de la Biélorussie
Sommé par Kiev de rompre ses liens militaires avec Moscou, courtisé sans succès par les Occidentaux, Alexandre Loukachenko, le président biélorusse, maintient son pays dans une posture d’appui discret...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
What to watch this week: FOM weekly public sentiment indicators, the impact of the EU's 21st sanctions package, and US-Russia dialogue ⤵️
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
'For the first time since the start of the full-scale war in Ukraine, Russians’ negative expectations outweigh positive ones regarding both their own and the country’s future.' New briefing note: nestcentre.org/growing-pess...
nestcentre.org
Growing pessimism in Russia could unnerve the Kremlin – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
As war disrupts everyday life, growing pessimism could fuel emigration, capital flight and an increasingly repressive Kremlin response
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Ukraine’s strikes are bringing the war deeper into Russia, while Russian forces advance in Donbas and bombard Ukrainian cities. John Lough spoke to The Australian Financial Review about the current military balance—and why neither side is ready to stop. ➡️ afr.com/world/europe...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Russia’s car sales have rebounded from their 2022 collapse—but domestic production has not. Import barriers, subsidies and taxi regulations are creating an industry that imitates a functioning market while becoming ever more dependent on the state. ➡️ nestcentre.org/the-artifici...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Russia is now producing less petrol than it consumes. Ukrainian strikes have not destroyed Russia’s refining industry—but their cumulative impact is turning disruption at individual refineries into a national supply problem. 🧵
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
What impact would the proposed Graham sanctions bill have on Russia and its relationships across Asia? This Thursday, Bobo Lo joins @JohnLough to discuss how the bill may be perceived in Moscow and what it could mean for China and India. Register to attend: zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Russia’s economy resembles a parachutist in descent: still being buffeted by changing winds, not yet at the moment of impact. Sergey Aleksashenko examines the forces shaping its trajectory—and the growing risks of a hard landing. New economic monitoring: nestcentre.org/slow-decline/
nestcentre.org
Slow decline: Russia’s economy is worsening, but neither collapse nor recovery is likely – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
The Russian economy continues to decline under the influence of well-established factors: military spending, high interest rates, and sanctions.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
What to watch this week: tensions over Ukraine’s military transformation, obstacles facing tougher US sanctions on Russia, and whether declining refinery output becomes a sustained crisis.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
'The Kremlin is simultaneously testing mechanisms for external de-escalation while reminding domestic elites that they will have to submit to increasingly restrictive wartime conditions.' Read the NEST Centre's latest briefing note: nestcentre.org/pragmatism-f...
nestcentre.org
Pragmatism for export: The Kremlin offers a vision of the post-war future – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Andrey Melnichenko’s article signals Moscow’s terms for post-war dialogue while seeking to reassure Russia’s increasingly anxious business elite
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
'Russia never had to annex Belarus to achieve most of its strategic objectives.' Watch Katia Glod and Ian Bond discuss the findings of Glod's latest paper on Russia's influence in Belarus and what it means for European security. youtu.be/LURV0dpxuKo
youtu.be
Russia's policy towards Belarus since 2022: Implications for European Security
YouTube video by NEST Centre
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Russia's coal industry was once one of the country's biggest export success stories. In a new short analysis, Nikolay Kulbaka explains why it's now in crisis—and what that reveals about the Kremlin's economic model. 🔗 nestcentre.org/the-coal-trap/
nestcentre.org
The coal trap: How Russia’s own policies are undermining a once-profitable export sector – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
The Russian coal industry has reached a point at which preserving the existing economic model of the country's coal-producing regions will require permanent, ever greater state support unless structur...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Russia's pro-war Z community has built powerful volunteer networks, media platforms and direct links to the front. But could growing frustration with the authorities become a political challenge? New report by Ella Paneyakh: nestcentre.org/angry-but-st...
nestcentre.org
Angry, but still loyal: Will Russia’s pro-war community turn against the Kremlin? – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
A network of active supporters of the war has emerged among Russians – the so-called Z community. This group may account for up to one third of the population and has considerable potential for politi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Is Andrey Melnichenko's recent intervention a rare act of dissent, or a carefully calibrated message from the Kremlin? Join The Economist's Arkady Ostrovsky and NEST Centre's Sergey Aleksashenko this Thursday to discuss. Register: zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
NEST Centre's John Lough and Nikolai Petrov joined Meduza's Russian-language podcast to discuss the findings of our recent report, 'Cracks in the Kremlin Walls,' and what could actually threaten the stability of the Putin regime. 🔗 youtu.be/hWqTR6F1el0
youtu.be
Угрозы путинизму. Политологи о слабых местах Путина
YouTube video by Meduza
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
77% of Russians believe the war is harming the economy. NEST Centre's latest nationwide polling suggests economic pessimism is growing and attitudes are shifting. Read Sergey Aleksashenko's latest analysis: nestcentre.org/the-war-come...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
What to watch this week from NEST Centre experts: ➡️ The Kremlin's reading of the NATO summit ➡️ Growing tensions between Moscow and Russia's business elite ➡️ Whether fuel shortages begin to trigger public protest
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Ukraine's strikes on Russian oil refineries have triggered a fuel crisis that is exposing one of the Kremlin's greatest vulnerabilities: its inability to respond quickly to complex crises. Read the latest NEST Centre briefing note 🔗 nestcentre.org/russias-fuel...
nestcentre.org
Russia's fuel crisis has exposed the Putin regime's greatest vulnerability – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Ukraine's refinery strikes have exposed not only fuel shortages, but the structural weaknesses of Putin's highly centralised system of governance
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
How prepared is the West for a post-Putin Russia? John Lough spoke to The Sun about why the West should be planning for the possibility that change in Russia could come more rapidly than expected, alongside the NATO summit, fuel shortages and the war. www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDQa...
youtube.com
Why Putin might escalate war by striking Poland | John Loach
YouTube video by The Sun
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
There is still time to register for this online discussion on 15 July. 🔗 zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
The recording of this week's Midweek Briefing is now available. Eugene Rumer joined John Lough to discuss how the NATO summit, Europe's rearmament, and Ukraine's battlefield gains are reshaping Russia's security calculations. youtu.be/T1cYsETtusc
youtu.be
The Ankara summit: Implications for Russia
YouTube video by NEST Centre
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
In a new short analysis, Nikolay Kulbaka examines Russia's shipbuilding industry to show how the Kremlin's industrial policy works in practice—and why understanding the micro-level of the economy is essential to understanding the bigger picture. nestcentre.org/putins-indus...
nestcentre.org
Putin's industrial policy: Nationalise and make the private sector pay – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
The state nationalises most of the companies operating within a 'a strategic sector'. Private businesses are compelled to finance the state's plans through mandatory payments.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
'Even under an authoritarian system, elections can still serve a variety of purposes.' In a new interview with Ben Noble, Nikolai Petrov explains why Russia's September State Duma elections still matter—and what they reveal about the Kremlin's wartime politics. 🔗 nestcentre.org/the-meaning-...
nestcentre.org
The meaning of September’s State Duma elections – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Russia’s first national parliamentary elections since the 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine will take place in September this year.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
'Russians are very much concerned and aware of these disruptions.' NEST Centre's Head of Sociology Ella Paneyakh spoke to The Straits Times about Putin's declining popularity in the face of widespread fuel shortages. www.straitstimes.com/world/europe...
straitstimes.com
It’s a different, more confident Ukraine President Zelensky coming to NATO this year
Ukraine is “doing so much better over the last couple of months”, said Nato. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Join this week's 30-min briefing: 'The Ankara summit: implications for Russia.' Eugene Rumer joins John Lough to discuss the results of the NATO summit and how they are likely to be interpreted in Moscow. 9 July | 16:00 CET | 10:00 EST | Online Register: zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
The NEST Centre's report, 'War with the Anglo-Saxons,' is featured in a new Kyiv Post analysis on how the Kremlin frames Britain as Russia's historic enemy to justify its war against Ukraine. 📰 Article: kyivpost.com/post/79716 📑 Report: nestcentre.org/war-with-the...
kyivpost.com
SVR: London Fighting Old Battle With Russia Through Ukraine
Moscow’s foreign intelligence agency links war in Ukraine to an unresolved 1850s grievance between Britain and Russia.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
📷 Some highlights from the NEST Centre's 'Russia in Focus: Policy Research Intensive.' Over four days, 28 participants joined expert lectures, debates, workshops, simulations, and a discussion with oscar-winning filmmaker Pavel Talankin.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
What to watch this week, from NEST Centre Experts🧵 [1/5]
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
"The Kremlin has been systematically preparing Kaliningrad to withstand isolation." NEST Centre's latest briefing note examines why Moscow is strengthening contingency plans for the Russian exclave, and what this could mean for security in the Baltic region. 🔗 nestcentre.org/rising-tensi...
nestcentre.org
Rising tensions: The Kremlin prepares Kaliningrad for a potential blockade – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
The Kremlin is stepping up preparations to ensure Kaliningrad can withstand isolation in the event of a crisis with NATO
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
The recording of this week's briefing is now available. Stanislav Andreychuk joined Katia Glod to discuss what Russia's September State Duma elections reveal about the Kremlin's priorities, the war's growing role in politics, and the mechanisms sustaining electoral control. 🔗 youtu.be/SreDKa5fpaE
youtu.be
United Russia and the difficult road ahead to September's parliamentary elections
YouTube video by NEST Centre
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
How has Russia reshaped its relationship with Belarus since 2020, and what does it mean for European security? Join Katia Glod in conversation with Ian Bond on 15 July for an online discussion hosted by the NEST Centre. Register: zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Russia's online marketplaces have become too important to remain independent. In a new short analysis, Nikolay Kulbaka examines why Wildberries and Ozon have attracted the attention of the Kremlin and what it reveals about control over Russia's economy. 🔗 nestcentre.org/too-big-to-i...
nestcentre.org
Too big to ignore: How Russian online marketplaces became too powerful to remain independent – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Russian online marketplaces have experienced remarkable growth and have become an important part of the Russian economy, ultimately attracting the attention of the state.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Join this week's 30-min briefing: 'United Russia and the difficult road ahead to September’s parliamentary elections.' Stanislav Andreychuk joins Katia Glod to discuss the internal dynamics of the party and the challenges facing the Kremlin before September.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Russia and Ukraine's demographic crisis began long before 2022, but the war has made it harder to reverse. In a new short analysis, Sergey Aleksashenko & Aby Shukiurov examine why migration may become essential to both countries' future. 🔗 nestcentre.org/russia-and-u...
nestcentre.org
Russia and Ukraine facing depopulation: Рrospects for demographic recovery after the war – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Russia and Ukraine are facing long-term depopulation, and the response to this challenge is the recruitment of migrants, primarily from Central Asia.
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Repression in Russia is no longer aimed only at dissent. In a new research paper for the NEST Centre, Nikolai Petrov argues it is increasingly being used to discipline officials, business leaders and the ruling elite itself. 🔗 nestcentre.org/war-inside-r...
nestcentre.org
War inside Russia: Repression as a pillar of the Putin regime – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
Repression in Russia is no longer a response to dissent, but a core mechanism of governance, disciplining society and elites while preparing the way for the Putin regime to assume a still more authori...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
"Ukraine's recent approach has proven effective." NEST Centre's Katia Glod tells The Kyiv Independent that Kyiv's willingness to pressure Minsk directly is changing Lukashenko's calculus and could alter his relationship with Putin. 🔗 kyivindependent.com/lukashenko-b...
kyivindependent.com
How Ukraine's ultimatum changed the equation for Belarus
The relay equipment that helps guide Russian drones over Belarus went dark on June 22, days after President Volodymyr Zelensky issued a public ultimatum, threatening to disable the equipment with Ukra...
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
"Membership of Putin's inner circle no longer guarantees immunity." NEST Centre's latest briefing note examines what the arrest of influential St Petersburg businessman Ilya Traber reveals about the Kremlin's changing expectations of Russia's elites. 🔗 nestcentre.org/a-signal-to-...
nestcentre.org
A signal to the elite: What the arrest of a Putin-connected businessman says about the Kremlin's expectations – New Eurasian Strategies Centre
The arrest of Ilya Traber signals that even Putin's oldest allies are no longer immune if their loyalty to the war effort is in doubt
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
What to watch this week, from NEST Centre Experts🧵 [1/5]
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New Eurasian Strategies Centre (NEST Centre) @nestcentre.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
The recording of this week's briefing is now available. Nikolai Petrov joined John Lough to discuss Ukraine's intensifying campaign against occupied Crimea and what the mounting pressure could mean for both the Putin regime and the future course of the war. youtu.be/GTndGpm_y9s
youtu.be
The Kremlin's Crimea problem
YouTube video by NEST Centre
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