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Neil Irwin

@neilirwin.bsky.social
9K followers 306 following 127 posts

Chief Economic Correspondent at Axios. Author of daily Axios Macro newsletter. Author of "The Alchemists." Formerly: NYT, WashPost.

PostsRepliesMedia
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
A thing about modern life I don't care for is every service provider hectoring you to give them an online review afterward. Constant texts trying to get me to give gold stars to the plumber, the furniture delivery guy, the pediatric urgent care, etc. THAT'S WHAT THE MONEY IS FOR
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Reposted by Neil Irwin
Felix Salmon @felixsalmon.com · 09/05/2025
Some personal news... I'm leaving Axios at the end of this month! Which means there's now an opening for a markets reporter. Apply here! job-boards.greenhouse.io/axios/jobs/6...
job-boards.greenhouse.io
Senior Reporter, Markets
Remote
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
This is very good.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Now, more than ever:
media.tenor.com
a woman wearing glasses and a blue shirt is asking what a week huh ?
ALT: a woman wearing glasses and a blue shirt is asking what a week huh ?
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Sometimes you just have to let the robot know who's boss.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
media1.giphy.com/media/XqpnXa...
giphy.com
gone christmas GIF - Find & Share on GIPHY
Discover & share this gone christmas GIF with everyone you know. GIPHY is how you search, share, discover, and create GIFs.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Stroll down (unhappy) memory lane with the great @vermontgmg.bsky.social who is out with an oral history of the Bear Stearns collapse/rescue. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | The weekend that shook the world
Seventeen years ago, Bear Stearns collapsed over a weekend — what lessons remain today?
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
If you're just a guy who has covered central banking for the last 20 years and has known Mark Carney and his mindset for a long time, it is disconcerting to watch this.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Energy executives do not like what they're getting out of the administration. "I have never felt more uncertainty about our business in my entire 40-plus-year career." www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...
dallasfed.org
Oil and gas activity edges higher; uncertainty rising, costs increase
Activity in the oil and gas sector increased slightly in first quarter of 2025, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
And then it was of course smooth sailing in the months and years that followed May 2007.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
I like to eat the occasional banana and favor an economic structure that makes this possible.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
It's just the preliminary numbers, for which n=~420, and sentiment hasn't been a good guide to consumer activity in recent years. But this is, um, really bad. www.axios.com/2025/03/14/c...
axios.com
Consumer sentiment plunges in early March, inflation expectations soar
Even among Republicans, sentiment declined by double digits.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
This is maybe the most profound and important take ever for us to all internalize.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
I will never tire of a company with a [checks notes] $1.03 trillion market cap sticking with a the 1997-era-Geocities-style website. At this point it would be disappointing if they were to modernize it.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
This chart from the BLS's press release tells the not-so-great story of where we are on inflation.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Hurts gets MVP, yes?
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
Things getting real for Canada-domiciled bourbon enthusiasts. www.cnbc.com/2025/02/02/o...
cnbc.com
Ontario to remove U.S. alcohol from shelves after Trump's tariffs announcement
The Liquor Control Board of Ontario will remove American alcohol from its shelves in response to U.S. President Trump's tariffs on Canada.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Another Chiefs-Eagles Super Bowl is a dark timeline that we cannot avoid. Apparently.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
Who’s gonna make the Luvu dive a meme?
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Big news in the Fed press corps!
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
The NFL to everyone: ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED???
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Turns out it is enjoyable to watch your city’s NFL team play in a competent manner against excellent competition in the playoffs. Who knew?
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Defense, what is it?
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
NFL weeks, ranked: 1) Divisional playoff weekend 2) Conference championship weekend 3) Week 1 4) Super Bowl 5) Thanksgiving 6) Wild card weekend
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
"The best way to make a successful transition to the public sector is to do so with humility. The alternative, in many cases, is to have humility thrust upon you." www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...
wsj.com
Opinion | The Limits of ‘Running Government Like a Business’
After a long and successful private-sector career, I came to Washington—and it made me more humble.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
Turned on Texans-Chargers like 10m ago and every play has been the craziest thing I ever saw.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
It’s no longer the Economists’ Hour. Well done from @bencasselman.bsky.social here. www.nytimes.com/2025/01/10/b...
nytimes.com
Economists Are in the Wilderness. Can They Find a Way Back to Influence?
Economists have long helped to shape policy on issues like taxes and health care. But flawed forecasts and arcane language have cost them credibility.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Anybody up for a little mid-cycle adjustment? The 2019 FOMC transcripts are out! Have at it. www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...
federalreserve.gov
2019
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Robusto! +256k on payrolls in December, unemployment rate edges down to 4.1%
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
Fed vice-chair for supervision Michael Barr is stepping down from that role, while remaining a Fed governor, front-running a potential legal clash over whether Trump can demote him. Come for the news, stay for the gaming out Trump's options for reshaping the Fed. www.axios.com/2025/01/06/b...
axios.com
Top Fed bank cop steps aside, front-running potential Trump clash
Michael Barr will remain on the central bank's board of governors.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
Like all good late-GenXers, I'm using this snow day to teach my progeny the Mr. Plow jingle
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
Can't help but think the U.S. Steel/Nippon deal would have gone through with minimal controversy if the companies were named, like, SteelCorp and Industriex. Which isn't a great basis for public policy, but here we are.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
Jason bringing the 🔥🔥
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
I feel like the existence of this photo is a piece of evidence that we're living in a simulation.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
2024 is now on the books for financial markets. S&P 500 up 23%, for a total return (including dividends) right at +25%. 10-year Treasury yield ends at 4.57%, up about 70bps from a year ago. Good job, everybody.
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Reposted by Neil Irwin
Ben Berkowitz @berkowitzbt.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
Natural gas futures up more than 21% at one point this morning, one of the bigger moves ever.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
Fun fact: Nobody anywhere has any idea what day of the week this is. Is it Wednesday? Friday? Sunday?
media.tenor.com
a group of men in historical costumes with the words nobody knows above them
ALT: a group of men in historical costumes with the words nobody knows above them
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
As a general rule, other peoples’ fantasy football stories are the most boring thing on earth. This is an exception.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
That thing when you're glad your local NFL team is fun and good for the first time in your adult life, but really don't care for this "flexing the game into the late late slot" stuff. Two more hours until kickoff, total madness.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
I have no rooting interest in Bengals-Broncos, not even a minor wager, but this is OUTSTANDING content.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
Can DOGE do something about excessively difficult-to-open toy packaging?
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Reposted by Neil Irwin
Heather Long @byheatherlong.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
Wow. Take a look at the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for December: "About 22% of consumers spontaneously reported that purchasing durables now would enable buyers to avoid future price increases—the highest reading since 1990. Many...specifically identified future tariffs as the culprit."
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
Inbox: Here's Cleveland Fed president Beth Hammack on why she dissented from Wednesday's rate cut.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
You can imagine an alternate universe where the Fed is a little quicker on its feet and more willing to surprise markets in which it 1) Cut 25bps in July, 2) would have cut only 25bps in September, with no need for a super-sized move, 3) Did another 25bps in November then 3) Skipped this month.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
14 out of 19 Fed officials see two or fewer cuts as likely to be justified next year. Consensus view of '25 and '26 inflation (both core and headline) bumped up a good bit. Cleveland Fed chief Beth Hammack dissented, wanting to stand pat. Pretty hawkish mix!
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Reposted by Neil Irwin
Binyamin Appelbaum @bcappelbaum.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Kind of amazing that the nation's 2d through 5th largest metro areas (LA, DMV, Chicagoland, Bay Area) have a grand total of 3 skyscrapers under construction.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
We each have our own definition of "urgent."
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
The European mind can’t comprehend, etc. etc.
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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Inbox: Michelle Neal, head of the New York Fed's markets group, is heading to the private sector.
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