Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 23/07/2025A thing about modern life I don't care for is every service provider hectoring you to give them an online review afterward. Constant texts trying to get me to give gold stars to the plumber, the furniture delivery guy, the pediatric urgent care, etc. THAT'S WHAT THE MONEY IS FOR 2341741
Reposted by Neil IrwinFelix Salmon @felixsalmon.com · 09/05/2025Some personal news... I'm leaving Axios at the end of this month! Which means there's now an opening for a markets reporter. Apply here! job-boards.greenhouse.io/axios/jobs/6...job-boards.greenhouse.ioSenior Reporter, MarketsRemote 7415
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 09/04/2025Now, more than ever:media.tenor.coma woman wearing glasses and a blue shirt is asking what a week huh ?ALT: a woman wearing glasses and a blue shirt is asking what a week huh ? 0230
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 08/04/2025Sometimes you just have to let the robot know who's boss. 0240
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 06/04/2025media1.giphy.com/media/XqpnXa...giphy.comgone christmas GIF - Find & Share on GIPHYDiscover & share this gone christmas GIF with everyone you know. GIPHY is how you search, share, discover, and create GIFs. 091
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 01/04/2025Stroll down (unhappy) memory lane with the great @vermontgmg.bsky.social who is out with an oral history of the Bear Stearns collapse/rescue. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...washingtonpost.comOpinion | The weekend that shook the worldSeventeen years ago, Bear Stearns collapsed over a weekend — what lessons remain today? 2171
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 28/03/2025If you're just a guy who has covered central banking for the last 20 years and has known Mark Carney and his mindset for a long time, it is disconcerting to watch this. 1436
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 26/03/2025Energy executives do not like what they're getting out of the administration. "I have never felt more uncertainty about our business in my entire 40-plus-year career." www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...dallasfed.orgOil and gas activity edges higher; uncertainty rising, costs increaseActivity in the oil and gas sector increased slightly in first quarter of 2025, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey. 081
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 24/03/2025And then it was of course smooth sailing in the months and years that followed May 2007. 0140
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 14/03/2025I like to eat the occasional banana and favor an economic structure that makes this possible. 270
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 14/03/2025It's just the preliminary numbers, for which n=~420, and sentiment hasn't been a good guide to consumer activity in recent years. But this is, um, really bad. www.axios.com/2025/03/14/c...axios.comConsumer sentiment plunges in early March, inflation expectations soarEven among Republicans, sentiment declined by double digits. 24910
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 08/03/2025This is maybe the most profound and important take ever for us to all internalize. 4355
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 22/02/2025I will never tire of a company with a [checks notes] $1.03 trillion market cap sticking with a the 1997-era-Geocities-style website. At this point it would be disappointing if they were to modernize it. 3190
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 12/02/2025This chart from the BLS's press release tells the not-so-great story of where we are on inflation. 1011837
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 02/02/2025Things getting real for Canada-domiciled bourbon enthusiasts. www.cnbc.com/2025/02/02/o...cnbc.comOntario to remove U.S. alcohol from shelves after Trump's tariffs announcementThe Liquor Control Board of Ontario will remove American alcohol from its shelves in response to U.S. President Trump's tariffs on Canada. 3100
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 27/01/2025Another Chiefs-Eagles Super Bowl is a dark timeline that we cannot avoid. Apparently. 130
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 19/01/2025Turns out it is enjoyable to watch your city’s NFL team play in a competent manner against excellent competition in the playoffs. Who knew? 2110
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/01/2025NFL weeks, ranked: 1) Divisional playoff weekend 2) Conference championship weekend 3) Week 1 4) Super Bowl 5) Thanksgiving 6) Wild card weekend 180
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/01/2025"The best way to make a successful transition to the public sector is to do so with humility. The alternative, in many cases, is to have humility thrust upon you." www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...wsj.comOpinion | The Limits of ‘Running Government Like a Business’After a long and successful private-sector career, I came to Washington—and it made me more humble. 192
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 12/01/2025Turned on Texans-Chargers like 10m ago and every play has been the craziest thing I ever saw. 3372
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 10/01/2025It’s no longer the Economists’ Hour. Well done from @bencasselman.bsky.social here. www.nytimes.com/2025/01/10/b...nytimes.comEconomists Are in the Wilderness. Can They Find a Way Back to Influence?Economists have long helped to shape policy on issues like taxes and health care. But flawed forecasts and arcane language have cost them credibility. 1121
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 10/01/2025Anybody up for a little mid-cycle adjustment? The 2019 FOMC transcripts are out! Have at it. www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...federalreserve.gov2019The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC. 040
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 10/01/2025Robusto! +256k on payrolls in December, unemployment rate edges down to 4.1% 061
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 06/01/2025Fed vice-chair for supervision Michael Barr is stepping down from that role, while remaining a Fed governor, front-running a potential legal clash over whether Trump can demote him. Come for the news, stay for the gaming out Trump's options for reshaping the Fed. www.axios.com/2025/01/06/b...axios.comTop Fed bank cop steps aside, front-running potential Trump clashMichael Barr will remain on the central bank's board of governors. 2356
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 06/01/2025Like all good late-GenXers, I'm using this snow day to teach my progeny the Mr. Plow jingle 191
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 03/01/2025Can't help but think the U.S. Steel/Nippon deal would have gone through with minimal controversy if the companies were named, like, SteelCorp and Industriex. Which isn't a great basis for public policy, but here we are. 3334
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 02/01/2025I feel like the existence of this photo is a piece of evidence that we're living in a simulation. 1150
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 31/12/20242024 is now on the books for financial markets. S&P 500 up 23%, for a total return (including dividends) right at +25%. 10-year Treasury yield ends at 4.57%, up about 70bps from a year ago. Good job, everybody. 0151
Reposted by Neil IrwinBen Berkowitz @berkowitzbt.bsky.social · 30/12/2024Natural gas futures up more than 21% at one point this morning, one of the bigger moves ever. 031
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 30/12/2024Fun fact: Nobody anywhere has any idea what day of the week this is. Is it Wednesday? Friday? Sunday?media.tenor.coma group of men in historical costumes with the words nobody knows above themALT: a group of men in historical costumes with the words nobody knows above them 1250
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 30/12/2024As a general rule, other peoples’ fantasy football stories are the most boring thing on earth. This is an exception. 1112
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 29/12/2024That thing when you're glad your local NFL team is fun and good for the first time in your adult life, but really don't care for this "flexing the game into the late late slot" stuff. Two more hours until kickoff, total madness. 1100
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 29/12/2024I have no rooting interest in Bengals-Broncos, not even a minor wager, but this is OUTSTANDING content. 1110
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 25/12/2024Can DOGE do something about excessively difficult-to-open toy packaging? 1171
Reposted by Neil IrwinHeather Long @byheatherlong.bsky.social · 20/12/2024Wow. Take a look at the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for December: "About 22% of consumers spontaneously reported that purchasing durables now would enable buyers to avoid future price increases—the highest reading since 1990. Many...specifically identified future tariffs as the culprit." 79231
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 20/12/2024Inbox: Here's Cleveland Fed president Beth Hammack on why she dissented from Wednesday's rate cut. 051
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/12/2024You can imagine an alternate universe where the Fed is a little quicker on its feet and more willing to surprise markets in which it 1) Cut 25bps in July, 2) would have cut only 25bps in September, with no need for a super-sized move, 3) Did another 25bps in November then 3) Skipped this month. 180
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 18/12/202414 out of 19 Fed officials see two or fewer cuts as likely to be justified next year. Consensus view of '25 and '26 inflation (both core and headline) bumped up a good bit. Cleveland Fed chief Beth Hammack dissented, wanting to stand pat. Pretty hawkish mix! 0120
Reposted by Neil IrwinBinyamin Appelbaum @bcappelbaum.bsky.social · 17/12/2024Kind of amazing that the nation's 2d through 5th largest metro areas (LA, DMV, Chicagoland, Bay Area) have a grand total of 3 skyscrapers under construction. 3389
Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · 12/12/2024Inbox: Michelle Neal, head of the New York Fed's markets group, is heading to the private sector. 051