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Neal Hockley

@nealhockley.bsky.social
856 followers 2.1K following 1.3K posts

Senior Lecturer in Environmental Economics & Policy | land, forests, conservation, equity, Madagasikara, Cymru. Climber, runner. "Trech gwlad nag arglwydd". www.bangor.ac.uk/staff/natural-scie…

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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
It's not the most important effect of climate change, but the rapid disappearance of alpine landmarks is one of the most obvious to me - I did the traverse of the Meije a few years after the first picture. Just wild to see the changes.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Unclear what this actually means, but sounds lunatic. 'Natural party of government' just giving up on the things governments are supposed to do.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Journalists need to start asking Reform why they are soft on crime and terrorism.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
This is a good question ('the UK' is ofc not homogenous). However, if we ever get that far, it will be interesting to see if the EU would actually *want* the UK to join the Euro...
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
A reasonable summary, but I was intrigued by the description of the UK as "a country with Atlanticist, free-trading, low-regulation instincts" and I wonder how true that still is (particularly the last point) www.ft.com/content/3d43...
ft.com
Does the EU want Britain back?
Burnham has reopened the Brexit debate. That doesn’t mean the UK will be welcomed back on its own terms
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I'm obv very late to triple lock discourse. But what is the case for retaining double lock (inflation or 2.5%). Why not just match inflation?
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Decades ago the French learned the lesson the Americans are still coming to terms with. Democracy isn't about getting what you want. It's mostly about trying not to f*** up too badly. Can they pull it off again?
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Advert for a private hospital in Dar es Salaam . Not sure if it's a slogan or a threat...
"your health is your wealth"
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
My (Welsh) grandpa used to use "English" to refer to what Suella means by "British", seemingly because British still had some connotation of "Welsh", having been used, even quasi officially, to refer to the Welsh language well past 1707 (Not sure what this proves mind, but hey it's fun...)
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Good thread. But worth noting that one reason this field got so much attention was the idea that 'one little trick' (nudges) could have outsize impacts - very attractive to cash-strapped decision makers. It's healthy if we are settling into a more realistic view of behaviour change interventions.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Interesting review of tourist taxes (tho much could be summed up as 'elasticities innit'). One thing it doesn't mention is that driving down take-home rates may be a feature not a bug, if these taxes are aimed at reduce demand for housing as they often seem to be www.ft.com/content/e685...
ft.com
Tourist taxes on the march
Governments see a revenue raiser that doesn’t annoy voters and a way to manage the tourist hordes. The leisure industry isn’t so keen
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Once again, AI is (partly) just an incentives problem, and we don't seem very interested in giving people the right incentives.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Chatting only yesterday with colleagues about how AI is partly just an old fashioned story of incentives. AI is, partly, a paywall breaking, copyright evading machine. If there's no incentive to produce intellectual property, it won't be produced.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Without necessarily disagreeing with this, I would say that IF the govt wants to reduce immigration, charging high fees is one of the least bad ways to do it. Far better than capriciously refusing entry to visa holders, vilifying immigrants, arbitrary rules on spousal income etc...
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
I'm not anti data centre, but I've been enjoying the techno optimists who reply to concerns about power demands by saying "I would simply produce massively more low carbon energy at very low cost".
static.klipy.com
Donald Kimball: Why Didn't I Think Of That
ALT: Donald Kimball: Why Didn't I Think Of That
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Good post that applies to governance well beyond banking (and incidentally promoted me to check the etymology of "gainsay").
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Every time I've transited Addis Ababa someone has tried a wee swindle - diff business each time. This time, trying to charge $4 for a $2 cup of tea because of tax (15%) and service charge (10%). They always back down after polite push back. Never had this elsewhere (nor in Addis outside airport)
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
2 years driving ban. Ordered to pay the victim £187. WTF? Why aren't both of those numbers way way higher. I'll never understand why fining the heck out of criminals isn;t a bigger thing. Surely it's a political win win?
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Have we just given up on governing? This guy was convicted of driving dangerously AND without insurance or licence AND at 150mph and he's banned for just 2.5 years. Why would you not ban him for life? (it's unclear if he gets to keep his car, I guess so) news.lancashire.police.uk/news/2026/se...
news.lancashire.police.uk
Lancashire Police News Homepage
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Conservatives -> Reform -> Plaid Cymru in 2 years is certainly a journey. But as someone who would like to see the party system weakened, I can only applaud this sort of peripatetic politics. Maybe she could become a libdem next year.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Clearly he should be campaigning in "African".
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Oh lordy. Compulsory licensing of barbers is literally the textbook example of rent seeking. There are real issues out there requiring actual government. (Rest assured I have no conflict of interest here, having not paid for a hair cut in 20 years).
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Good to see Bangor colleagues important work on the recent wildfires getting coverage. Burning 4000 years of carbon deposition is not good! www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Summer wildfires caused 'catastrophic' hidden damage, scientists warn
Bangor University researchers say the scale of damage is far greater than what is immediately visible.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Nice illustration of the difficulty of picking apart policy impacts!
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Obviously this is 'feature not bug' news, but also 'did not find a buyer' is economically illiterate hogwash for "they choose not to sell and decided they were happy to just pay the tax after all"
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
They could of course remove the archaic anomaly that PMs have anything to do with these appointments by disestablishing the English church and throwing the bishops out of the lords, as they should have done when the aristos finally slung their hooks.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Be careful, allowing Welsh councils to charge tourists 75p-£1.30/night is going to lead to the complete implosion of the Welsh tourism sector apparently.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Problem is, most students are trapped into doing low wage zero-hours contract work to fit around often irregular timetables, term/holidays etc. A bit of that is fine (we all did it) but the marginal returns to human capital formation tail off quickly. They'd be better studying proper FT for 2 yrs
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Good ex of how uni leadership is often to blame, by promising things universities are not best placed to deliver, in an effort to occupy more policy space. (unpopular opinion, universities should do what we're good at & prob have less public money as a consequence, the savings going to <18 & FE)
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
The focus on rigid timescales seems particularly damaging. I think we should require e.g. a more demanding English level (B1 is too low), but that is a productive thing ppl can work on that directly aids integration. But simply stringing out the process over long and uncertain timescales is nuts
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Good news, but the timings in this story continue to puzzle. "tonnes of rubbish appeared in a field in November last year" and "The EA shut down the site in October... after reports in July 25" Surely this could have been stopped much earlier, saving £millions? www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Two more people arrested over ‘mountain of illegal waste’ dumped in Oxfordshire
A total of six people apprehended as clean-up of rubbish stacked 10 metres high cost about £6m
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
We now have a new government in the Bay. If they don't regard clearing up this mess as one of their top 3 priorities, they might as well go home now. It's a disgrace and we've run out of excuses. (Worst, IIRC the gap is largest among the most deprived groups).
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Teams auto-transcription of interviews is really pretty good except for a) occasionally just missing out entire sentences for no reason and b) when it doesn't understand a word (e.g. a Welsh place name) just substituting the name of a colleague that sounds vaguely similar, who is in no way involved
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Interesting that Restore is described here as Far Right, but Reform is not. The FT routinely describes their RN and AFD soul mates as "far right", so it is not that they reject the term per se, or regard it as an unnecessary descriptor for familiar parties www.ft.com/content/f244...
ft.com
Police face questions over Dover disruption caused by masked protesters
Up to 500 activists dressed in black brought part of UK port town to a standstill on Saturday
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Ah yes, the von Papen gambit [But it might work for us.gif]
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
A strange story: the EU already has a 'oil and gas tax' (the emissions trading scheme). You can argue it should be broader (it should, incl offshored emissions) & the price should be higher (quite likely). But profits don't cause fires, emissions do. www.ft.com/content/86da...
ft.com
Spain pushes for EU oil and gas tax to pay for climate change response
Rising extreme weather costs fuel campaign ahead of new resilience strategy
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Thankfully, @thatsdevolved.bsky.social
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
I never understood the "National Trust has gone woke" complaints, the NT is nowhere near woke enough. I couldn't give a shit about soft furnishings tell me where the sodding money came from.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
There's been lots of discourse about air con this summer. Not saying it's not needed, but I struggle to think of anywhere in southern Europe where buildings don't have have shutters, which seems a good place to start www.ft.com/content/575b... (ironically, I think the ones in that picture are fake?)
ft.com
For sweltering Britons, rising energy prices could spark a shutter boom
Shares in window specialists have outperformed the broader market in the past month
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Ah, so we want to influence EU policy-making that affects us do we? You know a really good way to do that? www.ft.com/content/2781...
ft.com
Andy Burnham raises concerns with Emmanuel Macron over ‘Made in Europe’ scheme
UK prime minister warns French president new EU procurement policy could ‘pose significant challenges for UK industry’
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Good piece of writing on this summer's drought by @herdyshepherd.bsky.social, who I've missed hearing from since the Other Place went mental. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
The Cumbrian shepherds racing sunrise to beat the heat
Ancient farming practices are having to adapt to Britain’s increasingly brutal summers, writes James Rebanks
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
This issue encapsulates a lot of left wing politics, which tries to address power imbalances through regulatory fiddling instead of changing the fundamentals. Dramatically increasing housing supply would also increase workers' power in the labour market.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
I get this is partly a result of tech making it easy, and practices carrying over from childhood by default... but this also seems symptomatic of a wider phenomenon of society infantilising young people which is deeply unhealthy.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
The limits to growth... turn out to be rather prosaic. It would be interesting to know more about the relative importance of grid infrastructure vs (economically efficient) dynamic pricing in solving this www.ft.com/content/0a5e...
ft.com
The Dutch city where Europe’s electricity grid crunch hits home
Households and businesses in Utrecht face strict limits on power use to avoid outages
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
One thing I've found AI search to be good for: I'm terrible at names, and searching for "who's the guy who writes about x and y" is really quite effective.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Lots of good points in here from @ryan1648.bsky.social. I would add 2 things: 1) fiscal devolution shouldn't just be about borrowing and spending more. It's also about reforming taxation - not simply raising rates, but *changing* the balance of what we tax (land instead of labour).
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
This is good, but I'd add that our leaders (UK & European) have been far too slow to tackle border adjustment, providing ammunition to those who claim (with some truth) that our climate actions do nothing and simply shift emissions (and industries). CBAM is even more powerful than "leadership"
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Diana's death was my first lesson in how little I understood my fellow humans. I was on the coach to Chamonix to go climbing, heard it on French radio & thought "ah, I bet that'll make the headlines back home". Returned home 2 weeks later to find the entire nation had completely lost its shit
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
One could make a principled case for restricting UK voting rights to citizens of countries that offer reciprocal rights to UK citizens. But IIRC that would essentially limit the vote to expats from the Caribbean and Mauritius, which might not be the racial bias Jenrick's looking for.
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Neal Hockley @nealhockley.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Weirdly, when I searched Google maps for "Lake Ontario" this morning it gave me this 🤷. I guess it had just got fed up.
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